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Transaction Oracle: 2011 ZiPS Minor League Translations Final
No complaints, so I’m upgrading it to “final” status. If you’ve already downloaded it, you don’t need to again.
New URL for the CSVs
As a reminder, these are translations, not projections and subject to the same pitfalls as any seasonal line is.
Any errors, omissions, or other questions, feel free to ask.
For those that don’t remember, I have two flavors, one with no $H regression and one with mild $H regression. I post the latter one as people have found it more useful for ...Read More...
2 comment(s)Posted: November 11, 2011 at 06:09 PM |
Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Detroit TigersThe Tigers aren't really a 95-win team - there are a lot more players likely to have worse seasons than better in 2012 - but while the Tigers would have an issue repeating in the AL East, there aren't any teams in the AL Central that are all that scary. The team's top-heavy and has some depth issues that need to be taken care of prior to the season as they can't simply enter another season with Brandon Inge at 3rd and Ryan Raburn is a Plan B or C starter, not a Plan A one.
Another starter ...Read More...
33 comment(s)Posted: November 10, 2011 at 06:23 PM |
Transaction Oracle: Royals - Acquired SanchezKansas City Royals - Acquired P Jonathan Sanchez and P Ryan Verdugo from the San Francisco Giants for OF Melky Cabrera.
I count many Giant fans as friends. I can't imagine that any of them are happy at the moment. If the name Aaron Rowand doesn't come up in discussing this trade I'd be shocked.
Strictly on the basis of play in 2011 the Giants get the better of this deal, but that's a silly basis to make the deal. Cabrera is young enough that his excellent play last year could be a new talent ...Read More...
35 comment(s)Posted: November 07, 2011 at 07:43 PM |
Transaction Oracle: Phillies Sign ThomePhiladelphia Phillies sign 1B/DH/PH/3B (I kid) to a one year/ $1.25 million contract. I'm slightly surprised that he's coming back.That last appearance for the Indians at third base seemed like such a nice ending to one heck of a ride. But the man can still hit and I'd much rather have Thome as Ryan Howard insurance, DH in the AL games (and if all goes according to plan, the World Series) and primary pinch-hitter than Ross Gload for instance. Yes, Thome comes with issues. Can he still handle ...Read More...
Transaction Oracle: Diamondbacks - Signed BlancoArizona Diamondbacks - Signed C Henry Blanco to a $1.2 million contract with a 2013 mutual option for $1.24 million.
I'm not sure that the re-signing of a 40 year old backup catcher to a one year deal merits comment. In general that is.
First of all, Blanco played pretty well last year (.250/.330/.540 -- yes, Voros' Law applies of course. We are talking 112 plate appearances) and he's put up an 89 OPS+ over his last 616 plate appearances -- and was very good against the running game (46% ...Read More...
Transaction Oracle: Dodgers - Re-signed Juan RiveraLos Angeles Dodgers - Signed OF Juan Rivera to a 1-year, $4.5 million contract with club option for 1-year, $3.5 million. This is a signing that makes me want to take a paint tutorial (Billy is pretty loyal to the Royals though and might not be available). Words will have to be enough. Honestly though this isn't an objectively terrible signing. I can't readily identify 60 better corner outfielders, so he's (arguably) playing on merit. He isn't horrendously overpaid and there's no long-term ...Read More...
3 comment(s)Posted: November 05, 2011 at 01:52 AM |
Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZIPS Projections - New York MetsObviously not a great year for the Mets at 77-85, but if you just went by the tenor of the media reports, thanks to the Wilpon/Madoff turmoil, you'd think the Mets played like the 1993 edition that went 59-103. The team spent most of the year, playing "sort of OK-ish" and while never really in any kind of risk of being relevant, weren't Astrotastic horrible.
The pitching staff is interesting in that while it was one of the worst in the league (the 89 ERA+ was 15th of 16 teams in the ...Read More...
81 comment(s)Posted: November 03, 2011 at 05:07 PM |
Hall of Merit: Most Meritorious Player: 1967 DiscussionThe American League saw one of its more exciting pennant races, in the penultimate year of non-divisional play. By contrast, the National League found the St Louis Cardinals in first place on 18 June 1967, and they never looked back. The St Louis Cardinals beat the Boston Red Sox in the World Series.
Win BB-ref Shares WAR Carl Yastrzemski 43 12.2 Harmon Killebrew 38 7.1 Ron Santo 37 10.2 Roberto Clemente 36 8.2 Orlando Cepeda 35 ...Read More...
56 comment(s)Posted: November 02, 2011 at 07:29 PM |
Hall of Merit: Most Meritorious Player: 1966 ResultsIn our second-closest election since we began the project earlier this year, Frank Robinson's four-point advantage over Sandy Koufax wins him the title 'Most Meritorious Player' for 1966.
pts ballots 1sts Player 186 13 8 Frank Robinson 182 13 2 Sandy Koufax 166 13 2 Juan Marichal 150 13 1 Willie Mays 131 12 0 Dick Allen 123 12 0 Ron Santo 110 11 0 Jim Bunning 74 10 0 Roberto Clemente 73 9 0 Joe Torre 36 5 0 Willie McCovey 35 5 0 Harmon Killebrew 22 3 0 Henry Aaron 19 3 0 Bob Gibson 14 2 0 Al ...Read More...
10 comment(s)Posted: November 02, 2011 at 04:31 PM |
Transaction Oracle: Yankees - Signed SabathiaNew York Yankees - Signed P C.C. Sabathia to a 6-year, $142 million contract.
Well that was something of a letdown. I think most of us were poised for a lot of posturing and a lengthy negotiation that in the end would see CC re-signing with the Yankees.Did he leave anything on the table either in terms of length of contract or dollar per year? Could be, but I'm skeptical that he left a lot. In effect he signed for 5 years at $117 million (but with a potential $5 million buyout at the end) ...Read More...