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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Chicago White Sox

That didn’t go too well, did it?  The White Sox find themselves at a crossroads, where they have just enough talent on the team to compete in the AL Central, but not enough depth that they

can really handle nasty surprises.  In 2011, the performances of Adam Dunn and Alex Rios and the continued lack of value from Jake Peavy (the Sox have paid him roughly $34 million for 3.6

bWAR) hit the White Sox hard enough that problems that the team could have overcome in isolation (growing pains from ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: November 17, 2011 at 07:27 PM | 21 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Dodgers - Signed Mark Ellis

Los Angles Dodgers sign 2B Mark Ellis to a 2 year $8.75 million contract (team option for a third year at $5.75 with a $1 million buyout) I'm never going to love the signing of an aging mid-tier player. Particularly not one with plenty of problems staying in the lineup. Still, it's a move that makes all kinds of sense. First of all, the best option in the organization seems to have been Ivan DeJesus. He had a good year by his standards in AAA last year and it translates to .246/.314/.322. ...Read More...
Ron J Posted: November 15, 2011 at 08:28 PM | 5 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Phillies - Signed Jonathan Papelbon

Philadelphia Phillies sign DSA Jonathan Papelbon to a four year/ $50 million contract Fifth year vests based on games finished. Forgive the delay, but I wasn't sure whether I'd have to substitute Heath Bell. Or Hoyt Wilhelm. The writeup would be slightly different in each case. It's an argument that I have no chance of winning, but some windmills need to be tilted at. I'm referring to the DSA. Stands for Designated Save Accumulator. I've said many times that you are volunteering to pay a ...Read More...
Ron J Posted: November 12, 2011 at 11:00 AM | 7 comment(s)
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Sox Therapy: You Will Never See Anything Like Him Again: Jonathan Papelbon

I'm not saying that the Red Sox cannot replace Jonathan Papelbon's production going forward, but I am saying that what he did for them (us) was incredible. With a 197 ERA+ for his career, a 1.00 ERA in the playoffs, Paps was just about as close to perfect for the Sox as a closer can be. Add to that the fake intense face, the dancing, the goofy Ricky Bobby persona, and you've got one of the most memorable Red Sox ever. Thanks for the memories.
Darren Posted: November 11, 2011 at 09:56 PM | 62 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2011 ZiPS Minor League Translations Final

No complaints, so I'm upgrading it to "final" status. If you've already downloaded it, you don't need to again.

New URL for the CSVs

Pitchers
Hitters

As a reminder, these are translations, not projections and subject to the same pitfalls as any seasonal line is.

Any errors, omissions, or other questions, feel free to ask.

For those that don't remember, I have two flavors, one with no $H regression and one with mild $H regression. I post the latter one as people have found it more useful ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: November 11, 2011 at 07:09 PM | 2 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Detroit Tigers

The Tigers aren't really a 95-win team - there are a lot more players likely to have worse seasons than better in 2012 - but while the Tigers would have an issue repeating in the AL East, there aren't any teams in the AL Central that are all that scary. The team's top-heavy and has some depth issues that need to be taken care of prior to the season as they can't simply enter another season with Brandon Inge at 3rd and Ryan Raburn is a Plan B or C starter, not a Plan A one.

Another starter ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: November 10, 2011 at 07:23 PM | 33 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Royals - Acquired Sanchez

Kansas City Royals - Acquired P Jonathan Sanchez and P Ryan Verdugo from the San Francisco Giants for OF Melky Cabrera.

I count many Giant fans as friends. I can't imagine that any of them are happy at the moment. If the name Aaron Rowand doesn't come up in discussing this trade I'd be shocked.

Strictly on the basis of play in 2011 the Giants get the better of this deal, but that's a silly basis to make the deal. Cabrera is young enough that his excellent play last year could be a new talent ...

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Ron J Posted: November 07, 2011 at 08:43 PM | 35 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Phillies Sign Thome

Philadelphia Phillies sign 1B/DH/PH/3B (I kid) to a one year/ $1.25 million contract. I'm slightly surprised that he's coming back.That last appearance for the Indians at third base seemed like such a nice ending to one heck of a ride. But the man can still hit and I'd much rather have Thome as Ryan Howard insurance, DH in the AL games (and if all goes according to plan, the World Series) and primary pinch-hitter than Ross Gload for instance. Yes, Thome comes with issues. Can he still handle ...Read More...
Ron J Posted: November 05, 2011 at 08:24 PM | 15 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Diamondbacks - Signed Blanco

Arizona Diamondbacks - Signed C Henry Blanco to a $1.2 million contract with a 2013 mutual option for $1.24 million.

I'm not sure that the re-signing of a 40 year old backup catcher to a one year deal merits comment. In general that is.

First of all, Blanco played pretty well last year (.250/.330/.540 -- yes, Voros' Law applies of course. We are talking 112 plate appearances) and he's put up an 89 OPS+ over his last 616 plate appearances -- and was very good against the running game (46% ...

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Ron Johnson Posted: November 05, 2011 at 08:36 AM | 15 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Dodgers - Re-signed Juan Rivera

Los Angeles Dodgers - Signed OF Juan Rivera to a 1-year, $4.5 million contract with club option for 1-year, $3.5 million. This is a signing that makes me want to take a paint tutorial (Billy is pretty loyal to the Royals though and might not be available). Words will have to be enough. Honestly though this isn't an objectively terrible signing. I can't readily identify 60 better corner outfielders, so he's (arguably) playing on merit. He isn't horrendously overpaid and there's no long-term ...Read More...
Ron J Posted: November 05, 2011 at 02:52 AM | 3 comment(s)
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