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Transaction Oracle: Phillies - Signed Jonathan Papelbon

Philadelphia Phillies sign DSA Jonathan Papelbon to a four year/ $50 million contract Fifth year vests based on games finished.

Forgive the delay, but I wasn’t sure whether I’d have to substitute Heath Bell. Or Hoyt Wilhelm. The writeup would be slightly different in each case.

It’s an argument that I have no chance of winning, but some windmills need to be tilted at. I’m referring to the DSA. Stands for Designated Save Accumulator. I’ve said many times that you are volunteering to pay a ...

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Ron J Posted: November 12, 2011 at 11:00 AM | 7 comment(s)
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Sox Therapy: You Will Never See Anything Like Him Again: Jonathan Papelbon

I’m not saying that the Red Sox cannot replace Jonathan Papelbon’s production going forward, but I am saying that what he did for them (us) was incredible. With a 197 ERA+ for his career, a 1.00 ERA in the playoffs, Paps was just about as close to perfect for the Sox as a closer can be. Add to that the fake intense face, the dancing, the goofy Ricky Bobby persona, and you’ve got one of the most memorable Red Sox ever. Thanks for the memories.

Darren Posted: November 11, 2011 at 09:56 PM | 62 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2011 ZiPS Minor League Translations Final

No complaints, so I'm upgrading it to "final" status. If you've already downloaded it, you don't need to again.

New URL for the CSVs

Pitchers
Hitters

As a reminder, these are translations, not projections and subject to the same pitfalls as any seasonal line is.

Any errors, omissions, or other questions, feel free to ask.

For those that don't remember, I have two flavors, one with no $H regression and one with mild $H regression. I post the latter one as people have found it more useful ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: November 11, 2011 at 07:09 PM | 2 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Detroit Tigers

The Tigers aren't really a 95-win team - there are a lot more players likely to have worse seasons than better in 2012 - but while the Tigers would have an issue repeating in the AL East, there aren't any teams in the AL Central that are all that scary. The team's top-heavy and has some depth issues that need to be taken care of prior to the season as they can't simply enter another season with Brandon Inge at 3rd and Ryan Raburn is a Plan B or C starter, not a Plan A one.

Another starter ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: November 10, 2011 at 07:23 PM | 33 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Royals - Acquired Sanchez

Kansas City Royals - Acquired P Jonathan Sanchez and P Ryan Verdugo from the San Francisco Giants for OF Melky Cabrera.

I count many Giant fans as friends. I can't imagine that any of them are happy at the moment. If the name Aaron Rowand doesn't come up in discussing this trade I'd be shocked.

Strictly on the basis of play in 2011 the Giants get the better of this deal, but that's a silly basis to make the deal. Cabrera is young enough that his excellent play last year could be a new talent ...

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Ron J Posted: November 07, 2011 at 08:43 PM | 35 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Phillies Sign Thome

Philadelphia Phillies sign 1B/DH/PH/3B (I kid) to a one year/ $1.25 million contract. I'm slightly surprised that he's coming back.That last appearance for the Indians at third base seemed like such a nice ending to one heck of a ride. But the man can still hit and I'd much rather have Thome as Ryan Howard insurance, DH in the AL games (and if all goes according to plan, the World Series) and primary pinch-hitter than Ross Gload for instance. Yes, Thome comes with issues. Can he still handle ...Read More...
Ron J Posted: November 05, 2011 at 08:24 PM | 15 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Diamondbacks - Signed Blanco

Arizona Diamondbacks - Signed C Henry Blanco to a $1.2 million contract with a 2013 mutual option for $1.24 million.

I'm not sure that the re-signing of a 40 year old backup catcher to a one year deal merits comment. In general that is.

First of all, Blanco played pretty well last year (.250/.330/.540 -- yes, Voros' Law applies of course. We are talking 112 plate appearances) and he's put up an 89 OPS+ over his last 616 plate appearances -- and was very good against the running game (46% ...

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Ron Johnson Posted: November 05, 2011 at 08:36 AM | 15 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Dodgers - Re-signed Juan Rivera

Los Angeles Dodgers - Signed OF Juan Rivera to a 1-year, $4.5 million contract with club option for 1-year, $3.5 million. This is a signing that makes me want to take a paint tutorial (Billy is pretty loyal to the Royals though and might not be available). Words will have to be enough. Honestly though this isn't an objectively terrible signing. I can't readily identify 60 better corner outfielders, so he's (arguably) playing on merit. He isn't horrendously overpaid and there's no long-term ...Read More...
Ron J Posted: November 05, 2011 at 02:52 AM | 3 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZIPS Projections - New York Mets

Obviously not a great year for the Mets at 77-85, but if you just went by the tenor of the media reports, thanks to the Wilpon/Madoff turmoil, you'd think the Mets played like the 1993 edition that went 59-103. The team spent most of the year, playing "sort of OK-ish" and while never really in any kind of risk of being relevant, weren't Astrotastic horrible.

The pitching staff is interesting in that while it was one of the worst in the league (the 89 ERA+ was 15th of 16 teams in the ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: November 03, 2011 at 06:07 PM | 81 comment(s)
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Hall of Merit: Most Meritorious Player: 1967 Discussion

The American League saw one of its more exciting pennant races, in the penultimate year of non-divisional play. By contrast, the National League found the St Louis Cardinals in first place on 18 June 1967, and they never looked back. The St Louis Cardinals beat the Boston Red Sox in the World Series.
                  Win       BB-ref
                 Shares       WAR
Carl Yastrzemski 43  	12.2
Harmon Killebrew 38  	 7.1	
Ron Santo 37  	10.2
Roberto Clemente 36  	 8.2
Orlando Cepeda 	35 ...
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fra paolo Posted: November 02, 2011 at 08:29 PM | 56 comment(s)
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