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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Philadelphia Phillies

Not a whole lot of surprises here.  A ton of hitters that played in the organization get projected this year, mostly because the team employed a massive number of semi-familiar names this

year.  Brent Clevlen!  Rich Thompson!  Tagg Bozied!  A lot of the minors looked a bit like the 2004 waiver wire in your fantasy baseball league.

The starting pitching made up for a lot of sins in the form of an overrated offense and should continue to do so, even if they can’t bring Roy Oswalt back at a ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 30, 2011 at 06:28 AM | 55 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Chicago Cubs

Epstein! That's pretty much the big news in Cubs baseball the last month. It's still hard to tell what direction exactly Epstein will take the Cubs, but it's likely that the list of players employed by the Cubs in 2012 will look very different than the list of players below. Epstein wasn't brought in with giant sacks full of money in order to politely churn Jim Hendry's assemblage of awesomeness.

On the plus side, the Cubs aren't really as decrepit a team to rebuild as the Houston ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 27, 2011 at 05:24 PM | 65 comment(s)
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Hall of Merit: Most Meritorious Player: 1966 Ballot

Most Meritorious Player: 1966 ballot Here are the specific rules for this election: Candidate Eligibility: Any North American professional baseball player is eligible for the Most Meritorious Player (MMP) award including players in the top Negro Leagues or independent teams. Voters should consider the player’s on-field contribution to Major League Baseball (MLB) team(s) in that season only. If part of the season was spent outside MLB, that value may be considered as well. However, the ...Read More...
fra paolo Posted: October 26, 2011 at 03:49 PM | 26 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Boston Red Sox

Despite the September collapse, the Red Sox managed to still win 90 games, but the collapse is what will be remembered about this team in the year 2050. Hopefully, as we listen to baseball games in our rocket cars or watch with our virtual reality Ballparksperience contraptions. Still, what it came down didn't really have much to do with beer drinking in the clubhouse (drinking beer and playing video games seemed to work just fine for the 5/6th of a season during which the team was one of ...Read More...
Dan Szymborski Posted: October 25, 2011 at 09:08 PM | 46 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Frank McCourt Bankruptcy Plan

With so many interest in parties, keeping track of who owes who what is a monumental task. To make things simple, I've made a quick diagram that sums up Frank McCourt's proposal to the bankruptcy court.

image

Dan Szymborski Posted: October 24, 2011 at 11:00 PM | 6 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Transaction Oracle, the Future

As most of you probably ought to know by now, I've been contributing regularly to ESPN.com for about a year and a half. As such, a lot of the transaction analysis stuff that went on in this area has gone by the wayside, simply because I've done a lot of articles for ESPN that involve player signings and trades. While I don't write up every trade for ESPN, I do enough that to oraculate about the rest here would tend to leave this blog unsatisfyingly fragmented. After all, what good's a ...Read More...
Dan Szymborski Posted: October 24, 2011 at 07:40 PM | 19 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - New York Yankees

And heeeeeeeere come the pretzels!

Just a reminder, that I'm going in reverse from last year. Starting next year, I'm going to randomly draw for order.

ZiPS is rather grumpy again about the Yankee starting pitching. Banuelos and Betances still have a lot of upside, but ZiPS is suspicious about them immediately making an impact in the rotation, given that they both walked way too many batters in AA. The good news for Yankees fans, of course, is that the team has an open wallet and is likely ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 24, 2011 at 03:52 PM | 72 comment(s)
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Sox Therapy: Statements from the Boston Red Sox, Jon Lester, Josh Beckett, John Lackey, and Terry Francona | redsox.com: Official Info

Tomorrow anonymous sources will report about satanic rituals in the bullpen. YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST!!!
PRESIDENT/CEO LARRY LUCCHINO ON BEHALF OF THE BOSTON RED SOX: "Tonight our organization has heard directly from Jon, Josh, John, and former manager Terry Francona. Each has assured us that the allegation that surfaced today about drinking in the dugout during games in 2011 is false, and we accept their statements as honest and factual. "As we continue our internal examination to fully ...
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Jim Furtado Posted: October 19, 2011 at 12:12 PM | 41 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2011 ZiPS Minor League Translations 0.9

Archive with files .xlsx and .csv can be found here. I'm calling this 0.9 for now as there are usually some errors to massage out, sometimes big ones I overlooked.

As a reminder, these are translations, not projections and subject to the same pitfalls as any seasonal line is.

Any errors, omissions, or other questions, feel free to ask.

For those that don't remember, I have two flavors, one with no $H regression and one with mild $H regression. I post the latter one as people have found it ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 16, 2011 at 08:09 PM | 10 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2011 Minor League Park Multipliers

As usual, the raw data for these would be a complete pain to accumulate without the scripting wizardry of Jeff Sackmann. Jeff runs College Splits, GMAT Hacks and has a weekly column on college baseball on ESPN Insider during the season. Jeff also has a tennis sabermetrics blog, Heavy Topspin. So make sure to support Jeff, or else I'll have to put the information together myseful, resulting in a gigantic headache and me retaliating on the community with random beatings and pessimistic ...Read More...
Dan Szymborski Posted: October 15, 2011 at 05:34 PM | 5 comment(s)
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