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Digging in the Astrodirt
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Tuesday, May 13, 2003

May 13, 2003

We lead off this week with another foray into the world of Geography. When I saw a request for maps of the blackout areas for MLB TV, I realized that I wouldn't be worthy of the name Geographer Dan if I didn't at least give it a shot. So let's start with the maps--with apologies to our readers on 56K--and get to the disclaimers afterwards:

Hopefully those are pretty straightforward. Each shaded area represents the territory of one or more teams, which are labeled right on the maps.

 

How The Data Was Mapped

The blacked-out ZIP Codes were available on MLB's website here (thanks to Fog City Blues for directing me there). These were matched up with a GIS coverage of ZIP Code Tabulation Areas from the U.S. Census Bureau's 2000 Tiger files. (Whatever your opinion of the Census Bureau, for data-loving geographers, they're the equivalent of Retrosheet or Baseball-Reference.com.)

What are ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTAs)? Well, according to the Census Bureau, ZIP Codes are not simple polygons that cover a certain area. They are actually descriptions of delivery routes that can be approximated as polygons in most places--particularly urban areas. In the rural parts of the country, ZIP Codes are much less coherent.

The U.S. Census Bureau created ZCTAs in an attempt to show an approximate polygonal representation of the area included in a ZIP Code. They are not perfect, but they should provide a suitable approximation for this purpose.

In some large and sparsely populated areas, the ZIP Codes are difficult to approximate, in which case the Census Bureau used three digit codes--for example, 999XX. Had I left these unassigned, they would leave large empty areas on the map. So I made the questionable decision to assign them the same teams as the five-digit ZIP Codes that began with the same three digits. I can't guarantee that it is the intent of Major League Baseball to include these areas in the blackout areas, but given how complete the resultant coverage is, I strongly suspect these areas should be included. ZCTAs labeled in the form of 999HH, which represent large water features, were treated the same way. Any blank areas remaining on the maps are ZCTAs with ZIP Code numbers that were not included in the listings of any team's territory on MLB's web site.

One other problem with filling in the gaps this way: if the first three digits of a ZCTA filled in this way are shared by more than one team's territory, the team assignment between those teams is arbitrary. However, areas with this problem are both rare and small.

For more information on ZCTAs, visit the U.S. Census Bureau ZCTA page. And if you have a burning desire for a large, higher-quality version of this map that covers the whole country, e-mail me and I'll see if such a thing is possible. Also, if there are any GIS users around who'd like the coverage/theme/shapefile, feel free to drop me an e-mail.

I Meant to Include This Last Week

Thanks to Stan Javier for pointing out the Mariner blog Mariner Musings. There's more there than just Mariner coverage, so have a look.

Greg "More Plate Appearances Than Pat Borders" Colbrunn Watch

Two--count 'em, two--pinch hit appearances. And only one of them was for Ichiro in the ninth inning of a blowout. Colbrunn is tied for second on the Mariners in pinch-hit appearances (two) with Willie Bloomquist, behind John Mabry (ten). While that's still way out of whack, it could be worse. Colbrunn also hit his first Mariner home run on Sunday. Maybe it will inspire more consistent usage.

Geography of Baseball Trivia

If you drew a vertical line on a map so that fifteen teams were west of the line and fifteen teams were east of the line, what would be the easternmost team on the west side of the line? And the westernmost team on the east side? (In other words, the team closest to the line on each side.) (As always, please do not cheat and look it up.)

Song of the Week

From the man who brought you "The Real Jim Tracy," here's "Close It Out":

Close It Out

Look
If you had one chance
One save opportunity
To guarantee your team a victory
One inning
Would you convert it?
Or just let it slip?

Yo, his forehead's sweaty, he's weak, ball is heavy
He's behind in the count already, Dave Righetti
To a Yankee, but like Tom Henke he feels calm and ready
To throw strikes, but he keeps on forgetting
How to get outs, the whole crowd boos so loud
He works the count, but the hitter won't strike out
He's choking, how his mechanics are broken down
Throws on the ground, like he's pitching around
Don't feel like a big-leaguer, oh, there goes his heater
Oh, there goes Jeter, he smoked
One right back, and he's safe by a meter
But he's still eager to close, the whole game's on the ropes
The next batter's provoked
His bat shatters, a rope
To the gap and it goes
To the track, it's a double, throw home doesn't matter
He's safe and the batter to third, fielders scatter
He better get out of this inning before the game's in tatters

You better close it out in an inning, the role fits
You own it, you better never let it go
You only need three outs, do not miss your chance to blow
Save opportunities come every few games, yo

You better close it out in an inning, the role fits
You own it, you better never let it go
You only need three outs, do not miss your chance to blow
Save opportunities come every few games, you better

His balls aren't breaking, through the holes they're escaping
And the next guy is taking
They leave him in, no new pitcher, no pinch hitter
But he's no quitter, he's mad but not bitter
He's feeling the jitters, the crowd is atwitter, he only throws splitters
His throws they all miss or are easy for hitters
To foul off, waiting for their pitches
Finally he switches
He throws a few spitters, but no, they get hit
Or he can't find the plate and they miss by a bit
Or a lot, here comes the pitching coach, baby-sitter
He says through his mitt how these hitters obliterate
A bad splitter, that closers are richer
But they might make a switch or bring in a new pitcher
So he better not get lit or let the inning get bigger
He's his own grave-digger, but the game goes on

You better close it out in an inning, the role fits
You own it, you better never let it go
You only need three outs, do not miss your chance to blow
Save opportunities come every few games, yo

You better close it out in an inning, the role fits
You own it, you better never let it go
You only need three outs, do not miss your chance to blow
Save opportunities come every few games, you better

No more shame, close the game, better step to the plate
You better have the nerve to try to match my closer state
Of mind, I've been struggling, but it's going to change
I've been blown out and lit up and booed out of games
But I kept tossing and fought every loss
For as long as I could and it only gets longer
But I still get stronger despite the fact
That I can get swapped 'cause I ain't ten and five
And every time we lost, you remind me how much it costs for
A big-league closer, but I'm still on the roster
And it's no movie, there's no Kevin Costner
This is my life
And these losses are so hard and it's getting even harder
Giambi, Matsui, Jorge Posada
And then I gotta face Alfonso Soriano
And the press wants blood, like a bunch of piranhas
Got to pick my spots, gotta try to get hot
Gotta get three outs before an air-mail shot
Before they send me down to triple-A I've got
To not be circled by another comeback home-run trot
I remember the successes that they've all forgot
I cannot let go of my roster spot
So here I go, it's my shot
Arm fail me not
This may be the only save opportunity I've got

You better close it out in an inning, the role fits
You own it, you better never let it go
You only need three outs, do not miss your chance to blow
Save opportunities come every few games, yo

You better close it out in an inning, the role fits
You own it, you better never let it go
You only need three outs, do not miss your chance to blow
Save opportunities come every few games, you better

You can preserve any three run lead...

Dan 'The Boy' Werr Posted: May 13, 2003 at 01:00 AM | 36 comment(s)
  Related News: General

Reader Comments and Retorts

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Page 1 of 1 pages
   1. Marc Stone Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610855)
The Cubs are slightly west of the White Sox
   2. Traderdave Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610857)
The line would be bordered by the Cubs and White Sox, Cubs on West, Sox on East. I didn't look it up but I sketched it on a piece of scratch paper.
   3. Devin has a deep burning passion for fuzzy socks Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610858)
So, judging by the maps, it looks like Colorado has the largest blackout area (in terms of size) and Philly the smallest. Also, Iowa really gets shafted, with 6 teams blacked out (southern Nevada has the same thing, but that's a less populated area - and I'm sure you can find whatever you want at the casino sports book.)
   4. Tim Lincecum doesn't Wang Chung tonite (GGC) Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610859)
My guess is that the line is east of Wrigley and west of Comiskey; somewhere near where Shredder (among others) is :). The funny thing is that the Cubs were in the East and the Chisox were in the West during the four division era.

GGC
   5. Greg Pope Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610860)
So if I understand this correctly, someone living in Tampa can watch a Marlins game, but someone living in Mobile, AL could not?
   6. Shredder Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610864)
Clark runs diagonally, so although I'm west of Clark, I'm East of Sheffield. I live between Wrigley and Commiskey both East to West, and North to South. I'm only about 10 blocks South of Wrigley, and maybe 2 blocks East, which would make one wonder why I'll see probably 10 times more games at Commiskey this season than Wrigley.
   7. Devin has a deep burning passion for fuzzy socks Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610866)
Actually, I think Dan talked about this last year - and Milwaukee is actually farther east than either Chicago team.
   8. bob mong Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610867)
Seattle to Glendive, Montana (li'l town just off the highway on eastern edge of the state) is 1038 miles; approximately a 16-hour drive (all highway) across two mountain ranges (Rockies and Cascades). That's a hell of a drive to catch a ballgame :)
   9. Devin has a deep burning passion for fuzzy socks Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610868)
No, I'm wrong (I'm really not having a good week here). I double checked what Dan said in last year's geography discussion, and Milwaukee's definitely further west.
   10. Shredder Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610869)
Damn! Wibaux and Glendive references! My dad grew up in Sidney, which is actually a little closer to the ND border than Wibaux is, and is about 50 miles up the road from Glendive (35 minutes when there was no speed limit). And since Dan is a national park nut, all are within a couple of hours of Teddy Roosevelt National Park, which is pretty awesome. Wibaux is by far the closest, but it's also closest to the reform school/Juvenile hall that's right by there.

My dad grew up listening to Twins games, so I'm a bit surprised that they're in Mariner territory. The cool thing is that my family back there is about 4 miles from the edge of a time zone, which come to think of it, really isn't all that cool.
   11. villageidiom Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610870)

Jed - I've actually been to Plentywood, Montana. I don't recall any Mariner fans there, but maybe I wasn't there long enough to meet them. I do recall there being a lot of bugs outside the Dairy Queen, but that's neither here nor there.

Looking at the map, what strikes me most is just how far the blackout range extends for the Orioles. No wonder Peter Angelos doesn't want anyone moving into DC/VA!
   12. salvomania Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610872)
Is there any team on that map that is balcked out in more than 10 states? The Cardinals are blacked out in (parts of) Missouri, Kansas, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Oklahoma....
   13. Dan 'The Boy' Werr Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610873)
I guess that trivia question wasn't as difficult as I'd thought--or maybe I've brought you all to new heights of geographic awareness. I have to order a new case of Billy Awards.

Notes and responses (some of which should have been in the article):

1. If Canadian teams are blacked out in the US, the ZIP Codes aren't listed at MLB's site. Toronto's listing says that all of Canada is blackout area, I think.

2. No Alaska or Hawaii ZIPs were listed in any team's blackout area.

3. The largest team area is indeed Colorado's, followed by (in order) Seattle, Houston/Texas, and Kansas City. The largest single team area (by far) is Seattle's.

4. I'm reasonably sure that as the crow flies, the furthest blacked out point from a team is the southeastern corner of Montana from Seattle at just under 900 miles. The vicinity of Alzada and Albion.

Shredder, I've been by TRNP at about 1 am and 75 mph, but I honestly tried to see what it was like out the windows. It didn't work too well. And you can too play the piano.
   14. Ken Arneson Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610874)
Really interesting stuff, Dan. Here's a more difficult question: what is the total population of each team's blackout zones? Would that be possible to figure out?
   15. Dan 'The Boy' Werr Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610876)
Really interesting stuff, Dan. Here's a more difficult question: what is the total population of each team's blackout zones? Would that be possible to figure out?

I'll give it a shot. It would help if they correspond well with counties; if I have to use census tracts, my computer probably will not survive. If you ask me, MLB should just do this by county anyway.
   16. Shredder Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610878)
My dad grew up listening to Twins games

That's a blatant lie. Actually, I just wasn't thinking. The Twins didn't exist when my dad was growing up. I should have said that my cousins grew up listening to the Twins, and they're the team on the radio whenever we go back to visit. My dad was actually a Red Sox fan.

Villageidiom, count me in as one who has been to Plentywood. Pretty much the same as every other Eastern Montana town, only closer to Canada.

Dan, TRNP is something to see. The Badlands are really beautiful, and if you happen to be lucky that day, you can see a lot of buffalo roaming the park (I'm one for two). It's pretty small, and you can do the scenic drive in an hour and a half, which is good when are just there for a small amount of time.
   17. The definitely immoral Eric Enders Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610879)
According to Mapquest, it appears the farthest blackout distance belongs to the unfortunate residents of Capitol, Montana, who live 1,078 miles away from Denver (a drive of more than 20 hours).

Some other long commutes:

Shoup, Idaho: 921 miles (16+ hours) from Denver.
Rodeo, New Mexico: 841 miles (14 hours) from Denver.
El Paso, TX: 749 miles (12.5 hours) from Houston.
Alkabo, ND: 650 miles (13 hours) from Minneapolis.
Ironwood, MI: 600 miles (12.5 hours) from Detroit.

All of the above except Alkabo are significantly closer to another major league team than they are to their blacked-out team. Which raises the question: Which town in the United States is farthest away from Major League Baseball? (Actually, the answer is easy: Puuwai, Hawaii. But let's stick to the lower 48.)

I actually don't know the answer, but it's a question close to my heart, since I grew up about 700 miles from the nearest major league team. (El Paso, where the closest team was the Padres.)
   18. Scott Lange Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610881)
Which town in the United States is farthest away from Major League Baseball?

Detroit!

(Sorry, but that was way too easy.)
   19. Dan 'The Boy' Werr Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610884)
Wow... the US Census Bureau has 2000 ZCTA populations... I love those guys.

Team 2000 Pop Land Area Pop Dens
TEX 31,244,523 452,655 69.0
HOU 31,244,523 452,655 69.0
NYY 29,906,610 66,358 450.7
NYM 29,906,610 66,358 450.7
ATL 26,732,768 237,861 112.4
CIN 26,663,401 182,810 145.9
BAL 21,874,157 98,075 223.0
CHW 20,188,726 138,215 146.1
CHC 20,188,726 138,215 146.1
STL 19,770,576 302,475 65.4
ANA 17,909,226 94,856 188.8
LAD 17,909,226 94,856 188.8
KCR 16,693,129 392,779 42.5
OAK 15,537,343 247,036 62.9
SFG 15,537,343 247,036 62.9
PIT 13,523,556 82,515 163.9
DET 12,808,271 73,504 174.3
BOS 12,806,812 62,212 205.9
FLA 12,692,241 51,498 246.5
CLE 12,232,589 63,776 191.8
PHI 11,693,194 23,485 497.9
SEA 11,268,095 386,566 29.1
TBD 10,422,260 50,102 208.0
ARI 10,236,606 350,563 29.2
MIL 9,640,390 139,634 69.0
MIN 9,538,614 285,464 33.4
COL 9,218,592 459,417 20.1
SDP 6,451,370 94,003 68.6
</PRE>
Interesting... note that those are land areas only; they do not include water area.
   20. Tim Lincecum doesn't Wang Chung tonite (GGC) Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610885)
Eric, that's interesting. I had no idea that El Paso was closer to San Diego than Arlington. What was the closest Mexican League team? Was there one in Juarez? Central Connecticut, where I hail from, is the exact opposite. It's a short drive to New York and Boston. Philly and Montreal are manageble trips, although I've never seen a game at either.

GGC
   21. The definitely immoral Eric Enders Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610886)
Gary GC,
Yeah, El Paso is about the same distance from San Diego and Arlington. Mapquest says Arlington is closer, but I know from experience that San Diego is a shorter drive. Whatever. The whole town was Dodger fans anyway.

When I was growing up there in the 1980s, we were very far away from MLB, but we weren't really hurting for spectator sports. There was a highly successful Double-A team, a Mexican League team (featuring Teddy Higuera) across the river, and also big-time college basketball. Unfortunately the latter two don't exist anymore, even though the metropolitan area has grown to about 2 million people.

If I can take a stab at my own question, after eyeballing a United States map, it looks like the area furthest from a major league team would have to be either:

A) Far northeastern Montana, somewhere near Fort Peck, which would be equally distant from Seattle and Minneapolis, or

B) Somewhere near the Twin Falls, Idaho, area, which would be equidistant from Oakland, Denver, and Seattle.

Dan, do you have any neato geographer tools that might be able to give us the answer?
   22. Dan 'The Boy' Werr Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:05 PM (#610887)
Dan, do you have any neato geographer tools that might be able to give us the answer?

Actually, I looked at this question in <A HREF=http://www.baseballprimer.com/articles/danwerr_2003-01-07_0.shtml>Baseball and Geography</A>, and tried to post it earlier but my comment didn't take or I closed it without posting for some reason.

I believe the answer is Opheim, Montana, which is 817 miles from Minneapolis, 894 miles from Denver, and 963 miles from Seattle. As you suspected, it's basically due north of Fort Peck.

That's driving distance. If you want to know as the crow flies, I'm sure I can figure it out using buffers.
   23. Dan 'The Boy' Werr Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610891)
RMc, I came to the same conclusion as you before I saw your comment, so that's decent verification. Actually, Caldwell might be further, but I'm sure it doesn't appear on most maps, so it depends on what constitutes a town. The furthest point is of course on the Canadian border, somewhere near the border of Blaine and Phillips Counties.

On the other hand, if you live in Turner, you only have to drive 785 miles to see the Rockies; 803 if you live in Caldwell. So Opheim is still the driving distance champ as far as I know.
   24. Hatrack Hines Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610892)
So, these blackout rules are intended to make sure that no one who might be interested in the game will be able to see it, right?

   25. Shredder Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610894)
Why would a team black out a home game? Obviously, because it believes that keeping a home game off the air will encourage more fans to come to the ballpark instead. That's reasonable enough. But how reasonable is it to expect a Mariner fan in eastern Montana or an Astro fan in Amarillo to just hop in the car and go catch tonight's "home" game???

These are blackouts for MLB TV, which is basically the system through which games are webcast. I don't know if it's true for everywhere, but while in Champaign, for example, we got WGN and Fox Chicago. Most games blacked out on the webcast are available on TV in that area. That's why they aren't available on the computer. I don't know if local Billings TV carries Mariners games, but I would venture to guess that they either get Fox Sports NW, or Fox Sports Rockie Mountain. If it's the latter, they're blacking out the wrong team. If it's the former, they would still get M's games on TV.
   26. Will Young Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610895)
Dan, nothing against your choice of a major, but I am so glad I never have to take another geography course. I just finished "Population Geography" and it was the worst class I have ever taken. Not only did it suck, but the professor made in unnecessarily difficult. I wouldn't complain, but I put much more effort into that course than most others, yet I got my worst grade as a college student.
   27. The definitely immoral Eric Enders Posted: May 12, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610900)
Incidentally, I still get Pirates games mysteriously blacked out on Extra Innings in Cooperstown, even though my ZIP code (13326) isn't listed as Pirates territory on the MLB site. So apparently the TV and Internet broadcasts do have different blackout areas. (Which makes no sense, since both types of blackouts are designed to protect the same thing -- the wallet of whoever buys the TV rights from the team.)

The Pirates are only the eighth-closest team to Cooperstown. Good thing I don't really care about them anyway.
   28. Charles Saeger Posted: May 13, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610903)
Parts of Minnesota are in shared Brewers territory? Wow. Bud's ego is really booming. And it looks like he is including a good chunk of population too, both Duluth and Rochester.
   29. Shredder Posted: May 13, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610910)
Uncle B, the answer is no. The radio broadcasts allow you to choose which broadcasting to listen to, but MLB TV allows only one feed. There's only one link to click. If it's blacked out, you're SOL.
   30. Steve Posted: May 13, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610913)
How does MLB TV determine your location? By IP or by credit card billing address? If it's the latter, what is going to prevent two people from swapping account information? If the former, someone could just make use of an http proxy.

Either way, this restriction can be pretty easily defeated by anyone who wants to badly enough.
   31. Greg Pope Posted: May 13, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610916)
Not that I'm suggesting illegal behavior, but if it's credit cards, Steve's idea is a good one. Find someone that lives on the other side of the country. That shouldn't be too hard with sites like Baseball Primer. Swap logins, and Bob's your uncle.

Can the same user be logged in more than once at a time? I would think that they'd prevent this, so you may have to coordinate with your pen pal.
   32. fracas' hope springs eternal Posted: May 13, 2003 at 10:06 PM (#610917)
Swap logins, and Bob's your uncle.

I've heard this before, but I don't get it. By usage, it appears to approximate the meaning of "there you go." But I'm too scared to use it since I figure I'll use it wrong and look like a dork.

So what the hell does it mean?
   33. Richard Gadsden Posted: June 16, 2005 at 02:38 AM (#1408608)
Bump.

Any chance of an updated version with the Nationals on?
   34. DiamondHog Posted: July 20, 2005 at 02:50 PM (#1486341)
The Nationals territory is the same as the Orioles. I looked on mlb.com, and the zip codes are the same.
   35. Tim Lincecum doesn't Wang Chung tonite (GGC) Posted: April 12, 2006 at 05:48 PM (#1958538)
I miss Digging in the Astrodirt.
   36. Insert clever/punny handle here (oi!) Posted: April 23, 2006 at 07:53 PM (#1984422)
Yeah. Geographer Dan needs to make a comeback.
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