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You forgot to add, "and if by some miracle the Yankees decide to forfeit one of the next two games, the A's are an unstoppably awesome force that will crush us with barely a wave of Ken Macha's left hand. Put an end to the misery now."
Fixed that for ya.
But if they go down in flames like this in the playoffs, Cashman may lose power, and I think that would be catastrophic for the long-term health of the franchise.
I'd really like to be going to games in mid-October for years to come. So please, win this ####### game, guys.
So what can we conclude from the post-season success (to date) of the Tigers, Cardinals, and Mets, and the struggles of the Yankees and Dodgers and Padres and Twins?
A: Late-season momentum, and late-season struggles, don't mean ####, boys and girls. Things may still turn in one or more of these series, but late-season mo, and late-season struggles, don't mean ####.
In the book "Baseball Between the Numbers," there's a chart on page 361 that correlates playoff success with 26 different measures of team quality. The fcators that correlate best with winning playoff games are ones you's expect: W-L%, Pyth W-L%, Opponent's BA, Closer effectiveness. What factor correlates least well? W-L% After August 31.
That's right: teams that play well Sept 1 and later actually did less well -- a lot less well -- in the playoffs than teams who didn't. I was shocked to read this at first, but I guess it makes sense, when you think about it. So much for momentum.
Further, team Runs Allowed has an excellent correlation with winning, while Runs Scored seems to have no effect at all, either positive or negative.
So, in the Tigers we have a team that stumbled around in a daze for nearly two months and ralphed up the division title...but still lead the league in ERA. They're playing a team that played well after September 1st, with enough offensive firepower to light up Antarctica in the winter. It's a five-game series.
OK, let's get real; the Yankees could easily win the next two games 13-4 and 17-6. They're still the Yankees, people.
But I say the Tigers win it.
Win it all.
Against 23 year old flamethrowing righty Verlander the Yanks barely mustered any offense.
Against 62 year old junk throwing lefty Rogers (whom the Yankee hitters have mostly done well against) they mustered NO offense.
What to expect today? I'd love to predict 9 runs but who the hell knows. Looks like the Tigers are playing with a sense of purpose while the Yankees look like they're asleep.
I am pretty neutral about the Yankees, so I'm not saying this to bag on them, but I do think they could use a little on-field/in-the-dugout animation/anger Paul O'Neill stuff in these situations. Since they are THE YANKEES and they have THE 200M PAYROLL, there is that sense of "oh, ####, they are about to lose" when they get in tight post-season spots. I think a little anger and chair-kicking and "#### it" might help them. Torre's even-keel style is good long-term, but even though baseball ain't football, I think somebody--a player--needs to get a little visibly pissed off right about now.
Someone else needs to step up for today's game, because I'm all tapped out.
No worries. Satan has a "lifetime" arrangement with The Gambler now; you, like Bart Simpson and Joe Hardy, will be off the hook.
No team has lost the third game of a Best-of-Five series tied 1-1 and come back to win the series since the 2002 Giants
Jesus Christ, man.
2. D Jeter, SS .343 14 97 34
3. B Abreu, RF .330 7 42 10
4. G Sheffield, 1B .298 6 25 5
5. H Matsui, DH .302 8 29 1
6. J Posada, C .277 23 93 3
7. R Cano, 2B .342 15 78 5
8. A Rodriguez, 3B .290 35 121 15
9. M Cabrera, LF .280 7 50 12
Is Tiggers are wonderful things.
Their tops are made out of rubber,
Their bottoms are made out of springs.
They're bouncy, trouncy, flouncy, pouncy,
Fun, fun, fun, fun, fun.
But the most wonderful thing about Tiggers
Would be to win 3-1.
Go Tiggers!
6th is one thing, but 8th is really insulting. I don't get it all, from a managerial standpoint. Is Torre trying to light a fire under A-Rod or something? Doesn't that just put more pressure on him? Or, maybe, like that Verducci article suggested, Torre's trying to make A-Rod mad, so he'll show a little passion?
Well put. It really is something that the Yankees have perhaps the greatest-hitting SS of all-time on their team and he is playing 3rd base and batting eighth one loss away from an early postseason exit.
I pointed this out last night, but back when the Yankees were winning the WS every year, their perpetual calm was spun as "professionalism". Now that they haven't won it in five seasons, people say they look "flat". I wonder which it is for reals.
Anyway, on the subject of A-Rod batting 8th, I personally went apeshit and got suspended when my coach batted me 8th during a slump my junior year of high school. And I didn't hit any 35 home runs, if you know what I mean. So if it were me -- and this is not by any means to say that this is what should or even will do -- I would be extremely angry.
Maybe. Rodriguez does not seem to have the type of personlity this would work with, though.
I actually think putting Cabrera in is a good idea.
Yeah, but instead of your best left-handed hitter? How about benching your walking wounded, who's playing out of position anyway (ie, Sheffield)? I think this lineup is lunacy. It could also score eight runs without blinking.
If it were me, I would not bat Rodriguez 8th, nor would I bench Giambi to get both Matsui and Sheffield in there. So Giambi would be playing. But I think getting a little speed and D on the field is a good idea.
Oddly enough, though, I have a good feeling about Jaret Wright. And if it gets to Game Five, it takes a Tiger to beat the Tigers.
The difficulty with having so many good hitters, I suppose, is figuring out which one to sit when you want improve your defense. I guess if it came to benching either Giambi or Matsui for defense, to me it's a no-brainer: Sit Matsui. Unless Giambi has owies, which is a distinct possibility.
I don't think so. They won, what, 95 games? They made the playoffs for the first time in a zillion years. Zumaya & Verlander broke out; Curtis Granderson established himself; Jeremy Bonderman was some bad hit-luck away from being the second-best pitcher in the AL. Yeah, they played poorly in the final two months, and they got the toughest draw in the post-season by crapping out against the Royals on the last weekend. But does that negate all the good things that happened this year? Absolutely not. And they still get the financial incentives of being in the post-season. Ticket sales will be up next year, and if they can remain competitive (sure, a big if, but you never would have said it last year at this time) they're in a position to make long-term games.
Resting on their laurels over the off-season would be a mistake, but even if they lose in the next two games, the Tigers can be proud of what they achieved this year.
I'll add this, if the its late and close and Alex still looks like a deer in the headlights in his first couple of bats, I'd pinchhit for him.
Also, I think its pretty obvious that Giambi is out because his hand is bothering him.
So why is Sheffield batting fourth? I've watched the games and he looks pretty lost, too.
With whom? If Giambi's hand really is bothering him, that leaves . . . Miguel Cairo? Andy Philips? He's having a crappy series, but don't be ridiculous.
Bernie. Its not just a crappy series. He is now 4 for 38 with zero RBI's in the playoffs. Thats pretty hard to do. And he looks nervous and jerky at the plate.
You know what matters more than an entire career of being the second-best hitter in baseball? The last three games.
Lost or rusty, he hardly looks likely to be smacking ropes against Bonderman.
Even if we'd been swept, this would have been a very good season. Remember when we were hoping, if things broke right, we'd win 85 and finish third? That seems like ten years ago.
What horse ####. This is the most pathetic statement I have seen from a fan in a long,long time. You don't even particularly care! Ha! OK, Nero. Tell us how you wouldn't come all over yourself if the Yankees rebound and win the next 2 games, and then went on to win it all.
Have some grace, why don't you.
This, of course, not true. He's 4 for 38 in his last 8 playoff games. In the playoffs, he's hitting .305/ .393/ .534. I agree that he's looked hesitant. But, unlike Bernie Williams, he is physically capable of doing damage against a hard-throwing right-hander. Alex Rodriquez has had a few bad games. Bernie Williams is a bad player.
I mean, you spent 165 games paying attention to them. Going into the playoffs they were the oddsmakers choice to win the WS. They draw a team that has been playing horribly the last few weeks of the year. But you won't care if they don't win. Yeah, sure, I believe you.
Please god, let someone hit a walkoff HR today. Preferably the 9th batter.
Almost.
what in the hell is going on
I'm ####### nervous and I'm going to have to miss some of the game to go to a party. #### me.
And then this:
5. Robby Cano isn't just a God, he's THE God.('zop) Posted: October 07, 2006 at 09:48 AM (#2201960)
I don't even particularly care if the Yankees win the WS this year.
Last night you were nervous, but evidently, you've come to grips with it all.
Good luck to you, kid.
I think somebody owes me a bleacher seat for a game next year, by the way. A bet I was hoping to lose.
Oh god. Please don't talk about ############# Ben Stiller movies.
Either evaluate the guy on his merits or shut the hell up. Ugh.
I think the AL in the mid-late 90s would have been more competitive. Pedro would a won 25 games in front of that 99 offense.
Bonderman BB/9 is something like 2.7, best on the staff, so its probably strategy.
Six up, six down for Jeremy. Are we looking at a pitchers' duel?
Congratulations to Jeremy Bonderman on pitching the 2nd perfect game in post season history a day before the 50th anniversary of Don Larsen's.
Matsui was horrendous in the ALDS last year is what I remember. He had something like 175 LOB.
I remember Wright as the primary architect of <url=http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/B10060ATL2004.htm>this game</url>. 4 1/3, 8 hits, 3 homers, six earned...bastard.
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