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But he often hasn't been terrible, and I think he has a perfect HOM path in my system - "durable, consistent, a very good hitter overall AND plays a key position, and doesn't kill you in the field either."
Jeter could quit today and I'd have him high on an HOM ballot. Very long prime for an SS already.
Molitor will be my No. 1 for 2004, easily.
Vern Stephens, adjusted to 162 games, accumulated 7,200 PAs at 118.
Stephens was a B glove, Jeter a D+. Pesky was an A-, ARod a C+.
So Jeter is essentially Vern Stephens if you ask me. More longevity, less glove. Both played SS alongside a 3B who was a better SS than he was for reasons that...well, what can you say?
Of course, just looking at the 4 of them you'd say Stephens-ARod and Pesky-Jeter. But no, Jeter is Stephens, ARod is Pesky.
Well, but you know the weaknesses of that argument. Stephens played right through the war, having three of his best OPS+ years then. Stephens didn't play full-time after age 29, was basically washed up, his power gone, at 31 -- so pro-rating him to 162-game seasons is kind to him but understates Jeter's much greater durability.
Though, I would argue they are pretty close in ability/skills. But, sure, Jeter has more playing time and that gap will increase. I don't see how Stephens' early decline negates pro-rating him to 162 for his full seasons, however, though I also agree that you could dock him a few OPS+ points. I don't know how much people discount OPS+ for the war years--I use 10 percent. 10 percent X 3/10 of his career equal 3 points, or 115. Not a big difference.
So I would still say that qualitatively, they have a lot in common. Quantitatively, Jeter is now (2006-2007) starting to pull away.
YEAR SFrac BWAA BRWA FWAA Replc WARP1978 0.82 -0.9 0.2 -0.3 -2.6 1.6
1979 0.94 2.1 0.2 0.8 -2.6 5.7
1980 0.74 1.6 0.4 0.1 -2.1 4.2
1981 0.62 0.5 -0.2 -0.3 -0.9 0.9
1982 1.08 3.3 0.3 -0.3 -2.1 5.4
1983 0.99 1.0 0.2 1.3 -1.9 4.4
1985 0.93 0.9 0.0 0.5 -1.8 3.2
1986 0.70 0.2 0.3 0.1 -1.3 2.0
1987 0.78 4.1 0.5 0.1 -0.8 5.5
1988 1.01 2.9 0.5 -0.1 -1.4 4.7
1989 1.02 3.1 -0.2 0.7 -1.8 5.3
1990 0.67 1.2 0.2 0.0 -1.1 2.5
1991 1.09 4.4 0.3 -0.1 -0.3 4.9
1992 1.02 3.9 0.2 0.1 -0.2 4.4
1993 1.05 4.2 0.5 0.0 -0.1 4.9
1994 1.04 3.5 0.3 0.0 -0.0 3.9
1995 0.96 0.3 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.3
1996 1.03 1.5 0.3 0.2 -0.1 2.1
1997 0.86 0.8 0.2 0.0 -0.1 1.1
1998 0.80 -1.1 0.5 0.0 -0.0 -0.5
TOTL 18.16 37.7 4.8 2.9 -21.3 66.6
TXBR 17.36 38.7 4.3 2.9 -21.2 67.2
AVRG 1.00 2.1 0.3 0.2 -1.2 3.7
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