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It's Mets...Just Mets
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Tuesday, April 25, 2006

Six Days, Seven Nights

I don’t like small sample sizes, much less making decisions based on them, but they are hilarious to look at.

A week ago, the Mets were riding high - 10-2, the best record in baseball, and the largest lead ever after 12 games (5).  And some claimed it was “quality of schedule”, but that’s mostly nonsense at this point because you don’t know who is going to be good, and who isn’t.  These are all major league teams and can win any game - any pitcher can throw a no-hitter, as long as he doesn’t play or the Mets at the time, and any team of hitters can be hot at any given time.

So what happened since? No one can hit the ball.  No one.  Okay, Delgado.  It’s amusing to look at the OPSes of the players up and down the lineup.  In the typical lineup, over the last week, here are the OPS marks by lineup slot:

0.339
0.345
0.968
0.628
0.408
0.683
0.448
0.765

How that hitting went 2-5 the last week is amazing.

Delgado is going to hit a lot of solo home runs.  Normally, I’m not a “shake up the lineup” kind of guy, but the lack of OBP, not just this season, but career-wise, at the top of the order needs to be addressed.  Unfortunately, as I complained in my rpeview, no one on the bench can hit/play either.  It’d be nice if we had Victor Diaz instead of Endy Chavez.

Keith Hernandez, for all his dumb comments (insert your recent column of choice), also makes smart hitting observations, and someone needs to work with Reyes on his swing.  I have never cared for having someone “who can handle the bat” hit second.  I want someone “who can get on base” hitting second.  LoDuca isn’t a #2 hitter - he’s a #8 hitter *when* he is throwing baserunners out.  His success rate for that is Piazza-ian thusfar.

So what should Willie do?  Get Beltran back in the lineup or on the DL.  Get a second baseman that has a history of being able to get on base, and have him hit leadoff until Reyes can understand his job is to get on base, not hit triples, and get Ramon Castro more PAs.  Okay, there is no one to bat leadoff on the team, so we’ll bite the bullet on that - Reyes, Beltran, Delgado, DWright, Floyd, Nady, Matsui, Catcher.

It’s a good team, with good hitters from 2-5, acceptable hitters at 1, 6-8.  The pitching staff has been excellent, with the one exception who shall not be named. 

After San Fran, it’s down to Atlanta for a series, so it’d be a good time to get off the schneid.

Chris Dial Posted: April 25, 2006 at 08:28 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Related News: NY Mets

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   1. Free Rob Base Posted: April 25, 2006 at 09:37 AM (#1987466)
I noted last night that this Mets team has been very streaky under Randolph. It seems like they are either on fire or ice cold. I wonder if there is any reason for that or something to be learned.
   2. Zeba Zeba Eata Posted: April 25, 2006 at 09:43 AM (#1987472)
I think one reason is that they have had a crap bench the whole time, so when injuries occur, they tend to go in the tank (due both to the presence of a not-so-talented hitter/fielder in the lineup/field, and the rest of the team pressing to make up for it).
   3. Free Rob Base Posted: April 25, 2006 at 09:49 AM (#1987476)
The Tides only managed five hits and Lastings Milledge continues to play like he is in a different universe in terms of talent and picked up two of them on a 2 for 4 day in which he stole two bases.

This is from the Mets Geek. I don't understand the Milledge situation at all. Its costing us games not having him in the majors.
   4. Viceroy of Rangoon Posted: April 25, 2006 at 09:50 AM (#1987481)
I think having Milledge in hte minors *is* costing us games.
   5. Roadblock Jones Posted: April 25, 2006 at 11:53 AM (#1987692)
I'm as anxious to see Millege as the next guy (maybe more) but to be fair to to him, I'd feel better delaying his call-up till he has 150 ABs or so down there, and certainly wouldn't excuse rushing him by suggesting he'd be some kind of miracle cure (even if he is).

One of the things you could argue about our current struggles is that Reyes can't help himself as a result of not having had enough time to learn to do so in the minors. You'll recall he was supposed to be a short-term injury replacement when called up in 03.
   6. Roadblock Jones Posted: April 25, 2006 at 11:59 AM (#1987706)
By the way, I agree with the LoDuca assessment. His slump is killing us as much as Beltran's absense and Reyes' slump.

And worse than failing to throw out any baserunners, his work around the plate on balls in the dirt hasn't looked especially sharp. In fact were it not for his good salesmanship on the throw he dropped on opening day, his game beyond pitchcalling has been a real disappointment.
   7. Bob Koo Posted: April 25, 2006 at 12:55 PM (#1987828)
It's amazing that this team is 12-7 with all the at-bats given to hopeless performers like Hernandez, Chavez, and Valentin. And currently, Reyes.
   8. Rob Base Posted: April 25, 2006 at 01:11 PM (#1987858)
The team racked up most of those wins without Chavez and Valentin in the lineup, and while Reyes was hitting the snot out of the ball. So, it's not so amazing. The team is 2-5 over the last 7 games.
   9. J M Posted: April 25, 2006 at 01:40 PM (#1987921)
Hey Dial...great to see you doing this. Gonna be an automatic daily stop for me.

Here's the big question- was Reyes actually helped by Rickey (a la CedeƱo99) and now regressed as the lessons have gone out the window? Or was his hot start just that, making for a big ol' coincidence. I suppose we'll have some more evidence in June...
   10. Free Rob Base Posted: April 25, 2006 at 03:24 PM (#1988139)
One of the things you could argue about our current struggles is that Reyes can't help himself as a result of not having had enough time to learn to do so in the minors. You'll recall he was supposed to be a short-term injury replacement when called up in 03.

I doubt the 150 extra plate appearances you suggest Millege needs would matter much -- to Reyes or Milledge. Bring Milledge up. You can always send him back down.
   11. Шĥy Posted: April 25, 2006 at 03:32 PM (#1988156)
There's really no reason to start Lo Duca over Castro at this point. Castro is probably better offensively and defensively it is not even close. I think Castro even has him beat in the "heart and soul" category which is supposed to be Lo Duca's specialty.
   12. Benji Posted: April 25, 2006 at 03:33 PM (#1988157)
I know I'll get blasted for this, but this mini slump has me paraphrasing a '70's 49er fan banner:

The Mets are slumping (The Niners are losing)
The fans are blue
Matsui and Zambrano {Plunkett and Mike-Mayer}
It's bcause of you
   13. Roadblock Jones Posted: April 25, 2006 at 04:31 PM (#1988293)
Wasn't saying Milledge needed 150 "extra" ABs, just 150 ABs overall in AAA before one can be sure he's capable of being the difference between winning and losing games, as suggested above.

Agreed that the difference between Castro and LoDuca is mainly of brand, not skill.
   14. Russlan is glad the 2008 season is over Posted: April 26, 2006 at 09:57 PM (#1991971)
John Maine had a pretty good start in AAA. He went 7 innings and allowed 1 run. He struck out 9, walked one, and allowed a homer. He's posted a 2.63 ERA in 24 innings with a 18/5 k/bb ratio.
   15. The Tailor of the Garden of Tea (Crispix Attacks) Posted: April 26, 2006 at 09:59 PM (#1991980)
More interesting is that the losing pitcher in Maine's game today was Matt White of $10.3 million dollar signing bonus fame. He finally left the Rays after years of frustrating injuries...he was good in his first two starts with the Red Barons, but not today.
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