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Notes in a Minor Key
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Monday, October 02, 2006

2007 draft order

The Royals, by knocking the Tigers out of the division title and into the wild card, also knocked themselves out of the #1 overall draft pick for the second consecutive year, handing that slot to Tampa. The Devil Rays will have the #1 overall pick for the third time in their history.

Updated: Ties broken (see the comments section)

#1 Tampa
#2 Kansas City
#3 Chicago Cubs
#4 Pittsburgh
#5 Baltimore
#6 Washington
#7 Milwaukee
#8 Colorado
#9 Arizona
#10 San Francisco (the Cardinals rainout cost them a shot at #9)
#11 Seattle
#12 Florida
#13 Cleveland
#14 Atlanta
#15 Cincinnati
#16 Texas
#17 Houston
#18 St. Louis
#19 Philadelphia
#20 Boston
#21 Toronto
#22 Los Angeles Dodgers
#23 San Diego
#24 Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
#25 Chicago White Sox
#26 Oakland
#27 Detroit
#28 Minnesota
#29 New York Mets
#30 New York Yankees

Mike Emeigh Posted: October 02, 2006 at 03:41 PM | 30 comment(s)
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   1. Still Waiting on Pork Chops (John R.) Posted: October 02, 2006 at 04:08 PM (#2194776)
So, the Rangers and Reds tied for the 15th and 16th picks...

If I remember my free agent compensation rules correctly, those finishing with picks in the bottom half have to surrender a 1st-round pick if they sign a Type A free agent, whereas those finishing with picks in the top half only have to surrender a 2nd-round pick. Is this going to be the case for the winner and loser of a coin flip?
   2. In the Disney betting pool, Roy Oswalt Posted: October 02, 2006 at 04:14 PM (#2194789)
There might not be any draft pick compensation at all this year....
   3. MM1f Posted: October 02, 2006 at 04:21 PM (#2194796)
Tiebreaker for draft slots is 05 record i believe
   4. Bicycle RepairMan Posted: October 02, 2006 at 04:32 PM (#2194816)
So who is the big name for next year's draft?
Is Matt Wieters' eligible?
   5. Kyle S Posted: October 02, 2006 at 04:43 PM (#2194836)
This is the earliest the Braves have picked in a long time. Wonder what HS guy they'll go after?

I'd imagine the UNC SS is going to go pretty high, if he's eligible - whenever i watched them last year, he always stood out.
   6. Bicycle RepairMan Posted: October 02, 2006 at 04:48 PM (#2194841)
He was a freshman last year..forgot his name too
   7. Miss Remember Posted: October 02, 2006 at 06:40 PM (#2194951)
David Price is the big pitcher going into the season. Big tall lefty again.
   8. Templeusox has reached his genetic threshold Posted: October 02, 2006 at 06:49 PM (#2194956)
Price, Schmidt, Wieters, Doolittle, Frazier, Roemer, Arencibia, Savery, St. Clair, among others cap off a very talententd incoming junior class. Additionally, the prep class is looking very good too. This draft has a chance to be the best in at least the last 5 drafts.
   9. Keith Law Posted: October 02, 2006 at 06:54 PM (#2194959)
Tiebreaker in the draft order is prior-year record, then (if still tied) the year before that. So the Dodgers should have pick 22 and the Padres 23, for example.

Savery's coming off surgery, BTW.
   10. CWS Keith Posted: October 02, 2006 at 07:06 PM (#2194970)
That's trash that the White Sox and Angels have to draft behind the Dodgers, Padres, and Cardinals. If they're going to let the shittier teams in the playoffs, then they ought to pay for that with their draft pick.

Ugh...
   11. MM1f Posted: October 02, 2006 at 07:07 PM (#2194971)
"I'd imagine the UNC SS is going to go pretty high, if he's eligible - whenever i watched them last year, he always stood out."

Weiters and Price are the big 1-2.

Other draft tidbits from my observations and what ive heard

Josh Horton has been a stud since HS. And Godot, if its Horton youre talking about he was a Soph last year. Solid crop of college SSs next year... Darwin Barney (Ore St), Horton (UNC), Zach Cozart (Ole Miss), Brian Friday (Rice), Frazier (Rutgers) and someone im forgetting right now.

Justin Jackson (From Cam Maybins HS) is considered the best pure HS SS

Matt Mangini (ex NC St, now OK St) tailed off in the 2nd half last year but hes a big athletic 3b who can hit.

Joe Savery (Rice) and Sean Doolittle (UVA) get grouped together as good 1b/LHPs. Both will likely pitch in the pros. Saverys had some injury issues but none pitching related IIRC.

Damon Sublett is a star 2b and closer at Wichita St. Really dominant on both sides of the ball, but i dont know what his tools are like (other than obviously a plus arm). Was injured some last year too.

Tennessees JP Arencibia is a top college catcher. Coll of Charlestons Alex Garabedian (a Miami transfer) was a big C prospect out of HS, is really strong and has good power (though it was masked last year).

GaTech CF Danny Payne is sorta Lenny Dykstra-esque. Small, fire-hydrant build, but good speed and surprising strength and power and goes all out all the time. This has lead to injuries though. Good arm too

UGA closer Josh Fields is 6-0 180 at best but can sit 96-98 and has dominated in college and on the Cape.

Andrew Brackman is the NC St basketball player. Was great on the mound as a freshman, hurt and bad last year. Huge wild card.

UNCs got some other good will-be juniors but i dont think the non-Horton ones are top prospects though they all have potential (Matt Spencer, Chad Flack, Reid Fronk, Benji Johnson, Seth Johnson)

Nick Schmidt (ark) is a lefty who can rack up Ks. Threw a no-hitter last year. Likely 1st rounder.
   12. Templeusox has reached his genetic threshold Posted: October 02, 2006 at 08:16 PM (#2195002)
The best two-way prep player in the country is Louisiana's Chad Jones. He is the 23rd ranked football player in the country via Rivals. But baseball is his favorite sport by a large margin, and he will sign for first round money only. He's a lefty who can throw in the mid-90's.
   13. Mike Emeigh Posted: October 02, 2006 at 10:12 PM (#2195081)
Tiebreaker in the draft order is prior-year record, then (if still tied) the year before that.


Thanks, Keith. I wasn't sure what the rule was, and decided just to list the ties originally. I've updated the header accordingly.

The Braves haven't drafted higher than #21 overall since they drafted Mike Kelly second overall in 1991.

-- MWE
   14. Dusty's Least Favorite Base-Clogger (Roy Hobbs) Posted: October 02, 2006 at 10:54 PM (#2195115)
Why did I think that the 1st overall pick switched back and forth between National and American Leaque from year to year?

Was it ever done this way? Or is it just another symptom of false optimism from this Cubs fan(read:sucker)?
   15. 1k5v3L Posted: October 02, 2006 at 11:06 PM (#2195134)
14: MLB stopped doing that recently.
   16. flournoy Posted: October 02, 2006 at 11:30 PM (#2195170)
Mike, you have Seattle listed twice, at eleven and thirteen. Thirteen should be Cleveland.
   17. Meatwad Posted: October 03, 2006 at 12:24 AM (#2195221)
i hope the cubs dont blow it in this years draft. they got a wide receiver who will be in the nfl
   18. John M. Perkins Posted: October 03, 2006 at 12:50 PM (#2195671)
Dusty's:
2005 was the first year that the Rule 4 & 5 draft orders and the waiver wire went leaguewide.
   19. Kyle S Posted: October 03, 2006 at 12:57 PM (#2195684)
brackman is a pretty good basketball player from what i remember seeing of him. i wonder which way he'll go.

thanks for the review of those guys, MM1F. You and templesox interested in putting together a top 30 draft eligible list? Most of those types of lists seem to be behind pay walls (e.g. at scout.com) and it would be a great resource for bbtf.
   20. VG Posted: October 03, 2006 at 01:00 PM (#2195690)
UGA closer Josh Fields

Yet another Josh Fields. Maybe the White Sox will take him, too.
   21. Templeusox has reached his genetic threshold Posted: October 06, 2006 at 07:39 PM (#2201246)
Here is my Top 30 which is really, really preliminary, so don't take the specific rankings so seriously.

1. David Price
2. Matt Wieters
3. Matt Harvey
4. Michael Main
5. Josh Vitters
6. Sean Doolittle
7. Nick Schmidt
8. Andrew Brackman
9. Rick Porcello
10. Julio Borbon
11. Cole St. Clair
12. J.P. Arencibia
13. Joe Savery
14. Todd Frazier
15. Blake Beavan
16. Josh Fields
17. Josh Horton
18. Neil Ramirez
19. Justin Jackson
20. Wes Roemer
21. Matt Dominguez
22. James Adkins
23. Michael Burgess
24. Evan Danieli
25. Kentral Davis
26. Madison Bumgarner
27. Beau Mills
28. Sean Morgan
29. Jake Arietta
30. Steven Brooks
   22. Mike Emeigh Posted: October 06, 2006 at 07:53 PM (#2201257)
brackman is a pretty good basketball player from what i remember seeing of him. i wonder which way he'll go.


With Herb Sendek gone from NC State, and top-10 status likely (I've heard at least one suggestion that he'd be #1 overall, which I think is ludicrous myself), Brackman's going the baseball route. Sidney Lowe, from what I've heard, isn't counting on him.

-- MWE
   23. Mike Emeigh Posted: October 10, 2006 at 04:54 PM (#2205911)
BA's top 5, from a Callis chat earlier this week: Price, Weiters, Brackman, Harvey, Jackson. I like Jackson, but not that much.

-- MWE
   24. Kyle S Posted: October 10, 2006 at 05:01 PM (#2205918)
thanks for the list, TempleUSox. if anyone feels like fleshing it out with individual scouting reports (or even just school/position) don't let me stop you... :)
   25. Mike Emeigh Posted: October 12, 2006 at 08:56 AM (#2208128)
   26. afoster Posted: October 13, 2006 at 03:50 PM (#2209981)
How do you guys go about gettng a grasp on each years upcoming draft class?
   27. SABRJoe Posted: December 19, 2006 at 09:01 PM (#2265398)
Any chance we could get the draft order updated?
   28. 1k5v3L Posted: February 19, 2007 at 06:59 PM (#2300216)
Any chance we could get the draft order updated?


From the latest Ask BA: http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/askba/263368.html

First-Round Picks
1. Devil Rays
2. Royals
3. Cubs
4. Pirates
5. Orioles
6. Nationals
7. Brewers
8. Rockies
9. Diamondbacks
10. Giants
11. Mariners
12. Marlins
13. Indians
14. Braves
15. Reds
16. Blue Jays (Frank Catalanotto, A, to Tex)
17. Rangers (Carlos Lee, A, to Hou)
18. Cardinals
19. Phillies
20. Dodgers (Julio Lugo, A, to Bos)
21. Blue Jays
22. Giants (Jason Schmidt, A, to LAD)
23. Padres
24. Rangers (Gary Matthews Jr., A, to LAA)
25. White Sox
26. Athletics
27. Tigers
28. Twins
29. Giants (Moises Alou, A, to NYM)
30. Yankees
Supplemental First-Round Picks
31. Nationals (Alfonso Soriano, A, to ChC)
32. Giants (Alou)
33. Braves (Danys Baez, A, to Bal)
34. Reds (Rich Aurilia, A, to SF)
35. Rangers (Lee)
36. Cardinals (Jeff Suppan, A, to Mil)
37. Phillies (David Dellucci, A, to Cle)
38. Blue Jays (Justin Speier, A, to LAA)
39. Dodgers (Lugo)
40. Padres (Woody Williams, A, to Hou)
41. Athletics (Barry Zito, A, to SF)
42. Mets (Roberto Hernandez, A, to Cle)
43. Giants (Schmidt)
44. Rangers (Matthews)
45. Blue Jays (Catalanotto)
46. Padres (Dave Roberts, A, to SF)
47. Mets (Chad Bradford, A, to Bal)
48. Cubs (Juan Pierre, B, to LAD)
49. Nationals (Jose Guillen, B, to Sea)
50. Diamondbacks (Craig Counsell, B, to Mil)
51. Giants (Mike Stanton, B, to Cin)
52. Mariners (Gil Meche, B, to KC)
53. Reds (Scott Schoeneweis, B, to NYM)
54. Rangers (Mark DeRosa, B, to ChC)
55. Red Sox (Alex Gonzalez, B, to Cin)
56. Blue Jays (Ted Lilly, B, to ChC)
57. Padres (Chan Ho Park, B, to NYM)
58. Angels (Adam Kennedy, B, to StL)
59. Athletics (Frank Thomas, B, to Tor)
60. Tigers (Jamie Walker, B, to Bal)
61. Diamondbacks (Miguel Batista, B, to Sea)
62. Red Sox (Keith Foulke, B, to Cle)
63. Padres (Alan Embree, B, to Oak)
64. Padres (Ryan Klesko, B, to SF)
65. Diamondbacks (have yet to sign 2006 first-rounder Max Scherzer)
Second-Round Changes
68. Nationals (Soriano to ChC)
70. Braves (Baez to Bal)
72. Cardinals (Suppan to Mil)
75. Athletics (Zito to SF)
78. Mets (Hernandez to Cle)
82. Padres (Williams to Hou)
89. Blue Jays (Speier to LAA)
Third-Round Changes
100. Mets (Bradford to Bal)
105. Reds (Aurilia to SF)
108. Phillies (Dellucci to Cle)
Fourth-Round Changes
135. Padres (Roberts to SF)



if anyone feels like fleshing it out with individual scouting reports (or even just school/position) don't let me stop you.


Kyle, check out this site.

http://www.brewerfan.net/ViewDraftAmateurPlayerRanking.do?positionId=0&draftId=5

You can click on individual names for scouting reports.
   29. Biff, Red Sox Jinx Posted: February 19, 2007 at 07:03 PM (#2300218)
Gotta love how there are 65 first round picks.
   30. 1k5v3L Posted: February 19, 2007 at 07:03 PM (#2300219)
Btw, my early pick for the "Evan Longoria of 2007" award goes to Todd Frazier, SS, Rutgers.

TempleUSox had him ranked as high as 14 as early as October of 2006, which is the highest I have seen him ranked anywhere. Frazier has been off to a hot start this year, and he'll probably end up getting drafted around 14, maybe even higher. I'm hoping the Dbacks sign Scherzer finally so they don't feel forced to take a pitcher with the 9th pick this year, and consider Frazier...
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