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Oh, wait...
The headline does say that Kenny Williams made a really smart free agent signing, needless to say, I am quite confused.
(labor de por vida, ofensiva-defensiva, player 409).
I've seen little of him, but the numbers (at first glance) and recollections of what I've read on him before suggest that he's a tweener - not enough bat for a corner outfield spot, not enough speed for center, not enough quickness for the middle infield. Still, worthwhile gamble for the price.
Kenny W should have no problems trading him to Hendry if Alexei doesn't pan out in the AL.
That being said, the Pablo Ozuna comparisons I heard from the local media sure don't make me super excited about this pick-up.
PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG TB SH SF IBB2820 2478 455 827 134 26 90 397 44 32 267 281 .334 .396* .518 1283 17 16 44?
Dan,
With some career stats from Cuba can ZiPS give us a projection for Ramirez? I don't really have his '07 stats other than he hit .335 with 20 HR and a .578 SLG
Barry Bonds.
That is just creepy.
Here's season by season numbers (set to '06, just change the Serie # in the URL for other seasons. Ramirez hit .335 and slugged .574 with 31 UIBB in 340 AB, while mostly playing CF (also 112.2 innings in the infield, mostly split between 2B and 3B). Cuba traditionally is a high average, high walk, low power environemt - the league hit .276 that year, low by their standards, with a walk every nine at bats or so, and slugged .373. His club, Pinar Del Rio, plays in a pitcher's park (PF ~ 0.9, using last year's BP).
I believe Davenport has conjectured that the Cuban leagues are at an 'A' level (no, I don't recall whether he meant high, low, or short A). My own, far less systematic, poking at the numbers once put it somewhere between high A and AA, closer to the former. (Before anybody gets upset by that - I'd like to note that it's a 16 team league for a relatively small island and that there is wide variation in the talent therein.)
Lastly, I'd like to compare the two using Kendry Morales as a comp (no - they're not similar players). [Here's a slightly dated list with a bunch of Cuban career stats for ex-pats, look at post 771.]
Optimists: his offensive numbers aren't that much worse than Kendry's (who also played in a pitcher's park) were. Alexei walks a bit less and has less power, while also showing more speed (not fast, but not Morales), striking out a little less and defensive ability.
Pessimists: Of course, Morales's last season in Cuba was as a 20-year old, not 26.
EDIT: Hey! B-Pro translations!
real stats:
677 ab, 119 runs, 223 hits, 31 2b, 5 3b, 32 hr, 122 rbi, 96 bb, 60 so, 21 hbp, 10 sb, 8 cs, .329/.427/.532
fake stats:
614 ab, 57 runs, 162 hits, 25 2b, 3 3b, 16 hr, 71 rbi, 44 bb, 87 so, 13 hbp, 6 sb, 5 cs, .264/.325/.393
Complicating factors and notes:
* his walk rate in Cuba was partially fueled by a bunch of intentional walks (26).
* the league K rate is very low compared to US leagues (13.63% of at bats). By comparison, the NYP featured a K in 22.87% of AB.
* the CNL hit .285/.366/.397 over the span in question.
* the league CS% rate is shockingly high (47.8). Not sure how to account for that - I'm sure it's a mix of catcher arm quality and running philosophy/technique issues...
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