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-Ortiz is 5th in the majors in EqA - when you adjust for the big drop in offense leaguewide, he's producing at a similar rate.
Numbers?
And how is Fenway playing this year? Mike Lowell's hitting for more power than one would expect, and maybe Youkilis, too, but everyone else's power numbers seem down. Is that just players slumping, or are there other factors at work?
one thing i've noticed is that Ortizzle has 29 doubles this year... as compared to 29 all of last season. the guy still has a near 1000 OPS, i didn't even really notice the dropoff in his production until it was pointed out to me.
overall offense in both the AL and NL is significantly down. David Ortiz's OPS+ is currently 160... and last year it was 164. that's pretty significant considering his raw OPS is .997 whereas last year it was 1.049. the league avg OPS is down from .784 last year to .765 this year.
the same effect is seen in the NL, where league OPS is down .025 thus far this year.
MLB runs per game, 2007: 4.67
Note: I am not accusing Ortiz of this phonomenon; it's way too soon to make that sort of statement.
often what happens (as a harbinger of sudden decline) is a significant drop in ISO, accompanied by an increase in BBs
a rise in BA isn't very common
This is true, but Papi's production, in context, is basically equal to his production last year.
the overall decline usually happens in year n+1
How do you know? Couldn't that bump in BABIP be due to his adaptation the the shifts that are being deployed against him too?
If he's beating the shift that consistently, then teams won't employ it anymore.
And if the shift leads directly to reducing his home runs (somehow) while making him a more dangerous singles hitter, I think most teams would take that tradeoff. There are other singles hitters; Ortiz is special for other reasons.
What would this mean...decrease in homers, increase in steals?
I can't think of anyone actually.
I thought so at the time that the Red Sox were really dumb to play Papi and his bad hammies with a 13 game lead. Maybe it's a chronic problem that's not going to go away but I think they were much too focused on trying to kill the Yankees in June and now that's coming to bite them a little bit, because clearly those hamstrings haven't healed.
Someone did. His name is scott, and you can view his work in #8.
His GB% has gone up and his IFF% has plummeted.
So yeah, it certainly sounds like he's not getting as much uppercut on his swing. Considering that it's a hamstring problem, I wouldn't be worried unless there's word this is chronic. And hell, even if it is, he's showing he can still be one of the most productive hitters in the majors without insane power.
Come on, we all know the Red Sox don't use PEDs.
Like Neifi Perez.
Damn ignore button...
i am the invisible post on the most recently updated list!
i am... DARKWING DUCK!
Lou Brock. He increase his BABIP and lowered his HRs around his age 32 season. For a few seasons thereafter, he held or improved the BBs, but they then went to s4it; the average held and any power never came back.
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