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Monday, January 28, 2008

Baseball Could Weather Recession

Adds Maury Brown of the Business of Sports and The Biz of Baseball:

A recession will most likely slow growth for baseball, but at this point with a number of teams adding new stadiums and the aforementioned MLB Channel coming online in ‘09, the odds seem long at this point for a downturn for MLB’s revenues.

Lastly, MLB has at least one serious trump card, should they be faced with numbers that are not to their liking. Placing MLBAM as an IPO would garner a massive cash infusion to MLB. In 2000, MLBAM was said to be worth approximately $2 billion. There’s little doubting that it would be worth more now.

Dave_Rouleau Posted: January 28, 2008 at 02:56 AM | 9 comment(s) | Login to Bookmark
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   1. McCoy Posted: January 28, 2008 at 04:24 AM (#2677360)
Wouldn't IPO's of media fluff be some of the first things to go in an economic downturn?
   2. akrasian Posted: January 28, 2008 at 04:31 AM (#2677364)
Not necessarily. For instance, if many people choose to save money by going to the ballpark less frequently, they might spend some of that savings on MLBAM products. And if they expand the reach of MLBAM products during a recession, that reach would probably continue after the economy recovers.
   3. McCoy Posted: January 28, 2008 at 04:42 AM (#2677372)
That I guess is a possibility but I would think the more likely customer for MLBAM are people who have already chosen not to go to games and that listening to games on the internet is an extra cost that they cannot afford and can live without.
   4. akrasian Posted: January 28, 2008 at 04:55 AM (#2677378)
I don't know for sure, of course. But in my experience, when I see someone cutting corners in one way (by not going to as many games, for instance) they feel justified in splurging in some other, minor way. Properly positioned, MLBAM could capture a lot of that frugal splurging. And MLBAM has been so well marketed, I doubt that they would let such an opportunity pass them by.
   5. Charter Member of the Jesus Melendez Fanclub Posted: January 28, 2008 at 05:23 AM (#2677404)
Certain aspects of show-business have traditionally been recession-proof since time immemorial.
   6. BeanoCook Posted: January 28, 2008 at 05:26 AM (#2677406)
MLBAM is much, much more than just baseball. It is the leading streaming video technology on the internet. CBS used MLBAM to run it's NCAA tournament on-line the past year. It pulled in millions and millions of viewers and millions of dollars in revenue.

MLBAM is also being used in the entertainment industry as in promoting music artists, leveraging interactive website design and distribution of content.

This is a legit business that MLB has created that has clout far beyond baseball.
   7. Pete Toms Posted: January 28, 2008 at 02:32 PM (#2677520)
MLB will not be impacted negatively by a recession. Their core audience is fairly prosperous, not the sort of folk who will be be hit hard by a recession.

Offseason ticket sales are boffo and more importantly many, more than 1/2?, teams have hiked ticket prices. I and others have speculated that secondary ticketing is contributing to higher prices and stronger sales.

As for the speculation surrounding a sale of BAM, it is driven by 2 factors. First , it is worth a big pile of dough. Second is the issue of digital rights, how much more money could MLB get from their media partners if they packaged TV & digital rights together?
   8. Dave_Rouleau Posted: January 28, 2008 at 03:42 PM (#2677576)
I really liked Maury Brown's argument that teams have made available a multitude of package options for fans and that should help with ticket sales. I wonder how these packages have helped shift the buying habits of customers...

Do they buy it earlier in the year to reserve their place for some important series, assuring the team of their presence (or at least the ticket money) in advance?
   9. McCoy Posted: January 28, 2008 at 04:30 PM (#2677613)
When I used to buy tickets I always tried to buy them as early as possible. I never could figure out why baseball couldn't sell their tickets during December. If they had I would have bought more as presents.
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