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Monday, April 23, 2007

Batter’s Box: Home Field Advantage

In other words, [the Cardinals] were .193 better at home than on the road, a figure I am calling the Home Field Advantage (HFA).

And that, ladies and gentlemen, means that Busch Stadium III currently provides the biggest HFA of any ball park we’ve seen in the last hundred years…

The Cardinals HFA of .193 would be phenomenal if it held up over the years, which it absolutely will not do. And as a single season mark, it’s only the 194th best HFA of all time - meaning that it’s been bettered 193 times in the 2136 seasons that major league teams have played since 1901. It’s still impressive, it makes the top ten percent, but it’s probably just a single season fluke.

MSI Posted: April 23, 2007 at 10:30 AM | 9 comment(s)
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   1. MSI  Posted: April 23, 2007 at 10:50 AM (#2343085)
Do yourself a favour and read this article. It's a long, lengthy analysis with tons of data to back it up. More...

"However, Fenway's Offensive Impact does not match that of Ameriquest in the thirteen seasons that the two parks have both been in the AL. During this period, the Fens has given a modest boost to run scoring (10697 runs in 1027 home games, 10106 in 1013 road games, an Offensive Impact of 1.0584). It's just another hitter's park now, nothing particularly special. The change is generally attributed to new press box, built in 1988, which appears to have affected the wind currents at Fenway. Of even more interest during this period is that the Red Sox HFA has actually fallen below the league average - they've played .578 ball at home during these last few years and .522 on the road, an HFA of just .056. That last fact further hints at how the Sox home-field advantage has been declining, and I think it's time to produce another pretty picture so that you might see for yourself:"
   2. MSI  Posted: April 23, 2007 at 10:54 AM (#2343090)
Damn. Here are all the data tables.

http://www.battersbox.ca/article.php?story=20070320041601162#comments
   3. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: April 23, 2007 at 11:25 AM (#2343110)
Best fans in baseball!
   4. MSI  Posted: April 23, 2007 at 12:08 PM (#2343159)
I always thought pitching homeparks would favour the hometeam over the long haul. Easier to have good pitching there, and pitching wins championships. The more obscure the park I guess the harder to adapt for opposing teams.
   5. A Surfeit of Peaches Graham (SdeB)  Posted: April 23, 2007 at 12:19 PM (#2343164)
Ah, for the days when you could sell sausages with the slogan: "U.S. Government Inspected!"
   6. salvomania  Posted: April 23, 2007 at 12:52 PM (#2343186)
I was checking out that photo of Crosley Field and I became curious about identifying the game, as the scoreboard shows the score, as well as the lineups---the Reds are beating the Cardinals 8-0 in the top of the 5th.

I was able to peg the game as being in the late '60s since the numbers for Brock, Flood, Javier and McCarver are all there, and Cepeda is at first so it's post-Bill White....

Pitching for the Cardinals at that point is #47, worn by, among others, Hal Gilson, who played only in 1968.

And the game was June 9, 1968.

And shortly after that photo was taken, after the current batter's (Lou Brock) at bat, the Cardinals went on to score 10 runs in the inning (Javier RBI double; Cepeda RBI single; McCarver 2-run single; Maxvill 2-run single; Edwards RBI single; Brock 3-run homer), and held on to win 10-8.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/CIN/CIN196806091.shtml
   7. Robert S.  Posted: April 23, 2007 at 12:58 PM (#2343190)
I always thought pitching homeparks would favour the hometeam over the long haul.

I believe there's a Bill James study that found the same. I wonder how much wear and tear it saves a given staff?
   8. KJOK  Posted: April 23, 2007 at 03:42 PM (#2343307)
What wasn't mentioned in the article is that teams in a new park historicall have a lower than average HFA in that first year, so the Cardinals were truly an abberation.
   9. ekogan  Posted: April 23, 2007 at 05:04 PM (#2343353)
Looking at the Fenway HFA graph, it has been really high (again) in the Theo years (2003-2006). Coincidence or smart team construction?
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