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Meet your future 15 times MVP: Eric Byrnes!
That's like saying that fractional times are useless to racing fans since they have Beyer numbers. I understand that OBP is more important than BA, but BA provides a slightly different slice of information, so why wouldn't you want to have it? I also realize that the article is a little tongue-in-cheek, or at least I hope it is ...
No. Dude looks like a hobbit.
I guess this is a joke article. Unless he expects MLB, which does not own team broadcasts, baseball card companies, video game companies, or fantasy leagues, to start dictating the content produced by these ventures. Sounds like a pretty convoluted licensing agreement.
I prefer batting average for risp, and think you are doing a disservice not to break it into three components in any situational analysis.
Assuming this column is serious, it misses the point in a huge, gigantic, enormous way.
Batting average isn't very useful, given the other tools we have such as OBP and SLG, in assessing the value of past performance. But it is hugely important in predicting future performance.
We need to know what is driving a player's OPS. How much of it is batting average, how much is walks, and how much is power? These are all important. If the player got lucky on balls in play (Posada 2007), his OPS is likely to decline once his batting average returns to earth. Batting average also helps assess aging patterns, and it gives the shape of a player's performance. So there is certainly "something to be gained" from it.
If the complaint is that batting average is quirky in how it deals with sacrifice flies, sacrifice bunts, errors, etc., well, that may be true, but that doesn't really have much of an impact on the usefulness of the statistic.
And, by the way, the proper analogy to the penny is not to drop batting average, but to round it to two decimal places (.320) instead of three (.318).
Winner.
Actually, Ray, it misses the point in a much more significant way. Regardless how much fun we have and time we spend trying to determine what statistics give us a greater understanding of baseball games are won and how players should be evaluated, the sport remains primarily an entertainment vehicle. And getting rid of one of the fundamental statistics that the vast majority fans have grown up with and understand, a stat that is used to determine batting champions, Triple Crown winners, and as the holy grail for hitting seasons .400) simply because it does not tell us as much as OBP is failing to understand that baseball exists for reasons other than study.
And Crashburn, I really can't find anything in Baer's piece to suggest his tongue was located in his cheek. If he was trying to be humorous in any way, he failed miserably.
Do you really think MLB would listen to a request to drop a statistic (for reasons other than comment #7 mentioned)?
The main reason I still use it is for getting a sense of how much of the OBP and SLG are a product of the BA itself. I tend to prefer a .250/.350/.500 hitter to a .350/.350/.500 hitter because very few hitters can maintain a .350 BA. This is especially useful for outlier seasons like Cano 2006 or Ichiro 2004 or Magglio Ordonez 2007.
The main reason I still use it is for getting a sense of how much of the OBP and SLG are a product of the BA itself. I tend to prefer a .250/.350/.500 hitter to a .350/.350/.500 hitter because very few hitters can maintain a .350 BA. This is especially useful for outlier seasons like Cano 2006 or Ichiro 2004 or Magglio Ordonez 2007.
That was my take. I communicate with Bill frequently and can tell you that he has never advocated this in any way.
Typical Baer hyperbole.
BTW Bill--nice to see your name in lights.
Best Regards
John
I stand corrected, though I guess I'm missing your point.
Next time, I won't make the mistake of publishing an article without first running my thoughts by the BBTF crowd. :-P
Now the Red Sox can't claim to have the "last" anything... well, except...
...shirt buried in the new Yankee Stadium?
I don't disagree, but I can tell you that once I came around to the idea that batting average was virtually useless in assessing the value of past performance (given OBP and SLG) I was able to discard it completely without looking back. I couldn't tell you who led the AL and NL in batting average last year.
I do know who led in OPS+.
I don't disagree that following a player's quest to hit .400 would be interesting, but it's mainly trivia. And I like paying attention to value more than trivia. But obviously everyone is different.
Yeah, having a point would be helpful.
Do you think baseball would be better off if BA was retired (while understanding that it can't be done by fiat)? If you do, then you're ignoring the role BA plays in the average fan's appreciation of the sport. If you don't, then why did you write something with this idea as the central thesis?
If you need a hitter's stat to retire, it should be RBIs.
I should have to be for or against batting average in order to write a humorous article about it? :o
All statistics have their niche, some are more useful than others. As has been pointed out above, BA does have some uses, albeit limited.
So, my answer is no.
Humor. I apologize for my inability to elicit laughs. I may have been the class clown in high school but I'm no George Carlin.
So an unfunny attempt at humor is our fault? Okay.
I realized that your "formal request" to MLB to drop batting average was not serious; but I wasn't sure whether the overall point of the article -- batting average is useless -- was a serious one. Whenever people miss the point of what I'm writing, I assume that I wrote it poorly.
That was also a sarcastic comment. I will scour eBay and buy a Sarcasm Detector for BBTF.
It's not useless. To make another analogy, batting average is to statistics what Bob was on the sitcom Becker. He didn't do much of anything as the super of an apartment complex (or as a person), but the man was a great cook.
I have another analogy. Batting average is to statistics what Slow Ride (by Foghat) is to Guitar Hero III.
But one with an underlying point.
Works for me. Though I do charge a fee for this service. :-)
Do you think his parents named him Albert on purpose?
A million dollars?
Nothing but luck, really. I forget which movie it was but I think it was Kevin Costner's character who talked about one bloop single a week being the difference between a guy being in the Majors or Minors.
Half a Rotisserie point?
I always found it interesting that Babe Ruth was named after the candy bar.
I forgot his middle name was Granola.
It they're going to retire a stat, it should be the error. Their occurrence has gone down from the birth of the sport, and now it's to the point where they're rarely assigned at all. Is it really better for an OF to let a ball drop in front of him than to have it bounce off his glove?
Since when is granola candy? Sheesh.
Edit: signed, Ray DiPerna. ;-)
I'd vote for the passed ball/wild pitch. Almost every passed ball occurs on a badly thrown pitch, and many wild pitches could be caught. Errors aren't bad.
I like pitcher wins. Its not my first choice for analysis, but its fun anyway.
Not much, but the terminology would sound completely out of place. "So-and-so is hitting twenty-eight this season."
How can you forget Bull Durham? Like it or hate it, it has become a part of the baseball lexicon, here and elsewhere.
Stupid idea. There's no such thing.
if it is a good league, thats 5 or 6 points
You must learn to trust your instincts.
I gave this up for two reasons. First, because my friends that knew more about baseball than I did assured me that batting average was the most important statistic and thought it was really funny that I wasn't using it. Second, I couldn't tell how well anyone was doing because I had no outside source to compare their numbers to. The newspapers at the time only showed batting average (this was 1980 or so).
BB/(AB+BB)
SO/AB
HR/(AB-SO)
(H-HR)/(AB-HR-SO)
(2B+3B)/(H-HR)
3B/(2B+3B)
(SB+CS)/(H-2B-3B-HR+BB)
SB/(SB+CS)
I wound up keeping all of it except the final two lines which I had to alter due to the sample size limitations of the final line. Eventually I added things like HBP and SF to make it more complete. I also used that distribution for things like MLEs and concocted similar ones for pitchers (obviously).
So you don't need Batting Average to do good projections (I thought mine did a pretty good job), but then you don't need On Base Percentage or Slugging Percentage either. As has been noted before, if you know OBP and SLG, AVG tells you next to nothing about hitting quality and in fact is a very slight negative (IE, given the same OBP and SLG, a higher AVG means less runs).
But I'm not sure getting rid of Batting Average is that great of an idea. It's been around so long, why not let it stick around for old times' sake if nothing else.
They should at least get rid of the errors in ERA and just have RA for pitchers. First of all, from the pitcher's perspective it doesn't matter whether the defense is bad and they miss balls vs. errors. Secondly, a pitcher can get two outs, then a guy reaches on an error, then the pitcher can give up 4 more hits, plus a walk, followed by a HR, and he gets 0 ER. He pitched pretty poorly, though.
The Angels have this Kendrick guy, ....
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