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Sunday, May 14, 2006

Beyond the Box Score: Player Profile: Jonny Gomes

Marc Normandin breaks down Jonny Gomes...the best thing in Tampa Bay clubbing since The Dukes of Hillsborough!

Gomes beat the average and power projections for him by both sources, but he did strike out a great deal, as was expected. In limited defensive time, Gomes was not all that bad, according to BP’s Rate. His Zone Rating in right was .931, but his UZR was terrible, as was his Range. Something I’ve noticed (and discussed with others) is that right field just doesn’t seem to match up system to system. The sample size is small for all of these figures, so don’t read too much into them, especially since Gomes has taken over as the everyday designated hitter in Tampa. Free to mash, he has produced quite the line in 2006 thus far, coming in at .293/.419/.659, with a .336 EqA, 13 homeruns and 27 walks in 123 at-bats. He is still striking out a great deal—46 whiffs so far this year—but he also has extra-base hits 53% of the time. He has amassed 2.1 Wins Above Replacement Player so far this season, which prorates to an incredibly valuable year, even primarily as a DH.

Repoz Posted: May 14, 2006 at 07:13 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Related News: GeneralTampa BayProjections

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   1. Latnam's first name is Bob Lemon's middle name.  Posted: May 14, 2006 at 09:43 PM (#2020334)
Gomes is easily the steal of my fantasy draft. I got him 5 rounds from the last one. His production has helped eased the pain of my first round blunder of A-Rod over Pujols.
   2. Best Regards, Larry Mahnken  Posted: May 14, 2006 at 09:45 PM (#2020341)
Gomes is easily the steal of my fantasy draft. I got him 5 rounds from the last one. His production has helped eased the pain of my first round blunder of A-Rod over Pujols.

If you got a good hitting 1B later in the draft, you won't regret having drafted A-Rod. At season's end his numbers will be similar and you'll probably have better cumulative numbers from 1B and 3B than if you'd drafted Pujols.
   3. Rob Base  Posted: May 14, 2006 at 09:54 PM (#2020350)
Gomes is easily the steal of my fantasy draft. I got him 5 rounds from the last one. His production has helped eased the pain of my first round blunder of A-Rod over Pujols.

Same here. Actually, the guy of drafted Gomes (second round from the last) dropped him a week and a half into the season and picked up Dewon Brazelton. I nabbed him and I'm sitting pretty in first place.
   4. chris p  Posted: May 14, 2006 at 10:00 PM (#2020356)
i had him for the end of last season. he played a pretty big role in my first place finish. you guys have like 5 team leagues? or just leagues full of idiots? how'd he get dropped!?
   5. Jim Wisinski is waiting till next year  Posted: May 14, 2006 at 10:42 PM (#2020379)
Actually, the guy of drafted Gomes (second round from the last) dropped him a week and a half into the season and picked up Dewon Brazelton.

Wow. I don't even know what can be said to that.
   6. The Hop-Clop Goes On (psa1)  Posted: May 14, 2006 at 10:58 PM (#2020384)
I thought the secret on Gomes was out long ago ...but in one of my drafts, I got him in the 8th round or so, and one of the other owners didn't have any idea who he was.
   7. Crispix Attacks is in the best shape of his life.  Posted: May 15, 2006 at 12:03 AM (#2020402)
I think people have Jonny Gomes confused with the other DRays outfield prospect Joey Gathright. God knows I have.
   8. Tike Redman's Shattered Dreams (shayborg)  Posted: May 15, 2006 at 12:06 AM (#2020405)
I picked up Gomes in the fourth round in a keeper league draft (every team started with 12-14 players from last year). The guy before me took Juan Uribe, and the next guy got Armando Benitez.
   9. Anabolix  Posted: May 15, 2006 at 12:36 AM (#2020416)
I traded Jonny Gomes for Hideki Matsui last week :(
   10. Walt Davis  Posted: May 15, 2006 at 01:53 AM (#2020432)
He's hitting 462/1038 on contact. Counting last year, he's 428/853. That's not sustainable.

Now 400/800 is theoretically possible -- Ruth and Thome have done it, Manny's pretty close. For comparison, Adam Dunn is at 367/765 in his career to date. All those guys (and almost every other guy) have better K rates than Gomes.

With his current K rate (1 per 3 AB basically), if he can match Dunn's on-contact numbers, Gomes would hit 245/510 and let's guess an OBP of 350. Nice, not superstar. If he can match Ruth and Thome, he'll be at 267/533 and let's go with a 370 OBP ... that's awfully nice.

Still, dropping that K rate a bit might be nice.
   11. Shredder  Posted: May 15, 2006 at 09:27 AM (#2020525)
Gomes is easily the steal of my fantasy draft. I got him 5 rounds from the last one. His production has helped eased the pain of my first round blunder of A-Rod over Pujols.

Got him in the 13th round of a ML universe draft, 15 team league, three keepers. He and Papelbon have been huge as late round pickups for me. I remembered last season when the Angels couldn't get him out (as opposed to this season when they can't get anyone out) and took a flyer on him. After six weeks, six games per week (it's a league where players individually earn points for performance, and you play against six different owners every week) I'm 33-3 and have a 12 game lead in my division.
   12. Crispix Attacks is in the best shape of his life.  Posted: May 15, 2006 at 09:44 AM (#2020539)
Just wait until Gomes gets traded for Papelbon. Gomes becomes Dave Roberts 2004! Papelbon gets a save every week! Torment and devastation reign in the streets!
   13. Rob Base  Posted: May 15, 2006 at 09:49 AM (#2020549)
i had him for the end of last season. he played a pretty big role in my first place finish. you guys have like 5 team leagues? or just leagues full of idiots? how'd he get dropped!?

10 team league. I win every year.
   14. Wheelhouse  Posted: May 15, 2006 at 11:55 AM (#2020687)
Saw Gomes hit a home run in person last season at the Trop. The ball flew off his bat amazingly fast - it was an obvious home run the instant he hit it. Very impressive.

Pinella's plans were to start both Cantu and Gomes in the minors last year. Very nice to know he's gone.
   15. Sawney Snows  Posted: May 16, 2006 at 01:57 AM (#2021884)
When I watched Cantu and Gomes play in AA a few years ago, I had no idea either would ever be as good as they've been. When I saw Cantu, he seemed a better defender than a hitter. Gomes looked like a solid hitter but not the masher he appears to have become.

Walt's post (#10) mentions "on contact" stats. Are these out there some place?
   16. Walt Davis  Posted: May 16, 2006 at 05:48 AM (#2021908)
Walt's post (#10) mentions "on contact" stats. Are these out there some place?

Surely they must be, but I just calculate them myself.
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