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Unit is too skinny to be a true giant.
It would be more of a walk
Word is RJ is getting $8m guaranteed plus $5m in incentives.
First, the Dbacks don't have $8m, unless they trade Eric Byrnes for Hackensack
The most they could probably scrape up for another starting pitcher is $2-3M
And second, the Dbacks have a team policy against giving incentives in contracts
So they couldn't have come close to matching the Giants offer anyhow
At least RJ didn't sign with the Dodgers...
I think they signed him to play Ghost of Christmas Past for Zito
The shame is that, unless my rumors are mixed up, RJ came to the D-Backs offering to take a 50% pay cut right off the bat. Even then they supposedly still didn't have enough money. Pennywise, pound foolish. Or rather: blame the Eric Byrnes extension. Stupid owners!
Don't talk to me about Adam Dunn's on-base percentage!
/hangs up
As bad as the Giants are, I think that if Randy can manage 25-30 starts, he squeeze out 5 wins with them.
Don't get me wrong, I wanted the Dbacks to re-sign RJ more than any other Dbacks fan out there (no, that's not an exaggeration). But what's done is done. The Dbacks are about as good now as they were at the start of last season, arguably better. And that team won 82 games despite a crappy bullpen. The Giants, despite their moves, are still the 4th best team in the NL West.
Giants will be a bit better offensively, but I don't know if they're quite mediocre yet. I would expect worse offense from Lewis, Winn, and Molina and their only clear upgrade is Renteria (offensively, gives most of it back defensively). They'll also get less production from 2B, where Durham had a solid year at the plate for 2/3rds of the season.
Yes, the Dbacks lose Hudson and Dunn. But they should get better production from Upton, Jackson, and Byrnes (big time). I still think Chris Young is going to put up a fluke monster season one of these years. Reynolds could also bust out. Arizona may be slightly below average offensively (although it's far from certain given how most of their hitters are in their mid-20s). But there's no question that the Dbacks have a superior lineup to the Giants, as rosters are currently constructed.
If its the second line, then that looks a lot like what we can expect from Schierholtz, who is a better defender than Lind. The Giants already have an surplus, mediocre offensive corners with better gloves (Lewis, Winn, Schierholtz), so I'm not seeing where Lind would represent much of an upgrade once you factor in defense.
It could be that the Giants would be better off trading for Lind and trading away both Winn and Lewis (in unrelated deals) and then start Schierholtz in RF and Lind in LF. That would certainly increase the power in the lineup, at the expense of defense. But I'm pretty sure that Sabean is committed to both his mediocre corners for 2008, so the odds of him trading for Lind are pretty minimal.
Adam Dunn wasn't offered arbitration, so he's still a possible target for the Giants.
EDIT: The Dbacks didn't offer Johnson arbitration, nor did the Cubs to Howry, nor the Tigers to Renteria. So far Affeldt (Type B) is the only FA signing that will cost them picks.
I'm not going to argue with this, just say a few things - he definitely looks shaky out there at times, but for the most part he rarely makes mistakes out there, and the Fielding Bible actually had him as a good LF in 2007 (sample size alert?).
And while it's a shame that the Giants are locked into Randy Winn for 9m this year, having him and Fred Lewis around is a terrible reason to not pursue a hitter who may flourish at the big league level. Fred Lewis will never hit enough to be a corner OF, and Winn is 35 with one decent season out of the last 6. They do not represent reasons to stay away from Lind. Winn could always be platooned with Lind until the trade deadline, when a playoff team would be willing to add Winn to their bench for a couple of months. This trade would set the Giants up nicely for 2010-2012 with an OF of Lind/Rowand/Schierholtz.
If they could do better then fine, but I doubt they can get a better package than Lind and say Davis Romero (or another of one of Toronto's many arms) for Sanchez.
Also, I agree 100% that Lewis and Winn are inferior hitters for corner outfielders. But Sabean likes having a great defensive outfield, which Lewis/Rowand/Winn provides (although probably not as good as Sabean may think it is).
Anyway, about 5-6 years ago I resigned myself to the fact that Sabean makes most of his personnel decisions based on his gut, not any sort of objective analysis. Occasionally he's been right, but most of the time he's been wrong. Regardless, there's not much point in beating the dead horse about Sabean's deficiencies--he is what he is, and no amount of complaining is going to change what he does. Hopefully the Giants can contend in a weak division in 2009 despite their incompetent management.
You mean the Heimlich manœuvre, CPR is different.
BPro had Winn 5.7 runs above the positional average for RF offensively, before adding in non SB / CS baserunning. For baserunning, he was +5.8 runs.
In 2007, they had Winn at 3.3 runs above the average RF offensively. For baserunning, 0.5 runs.
Fred Lewis in 2008, 0.6 runs above LF average. Baserunning, +4.9 runs.
This is just offense.
The Mets, and their fans, will need a lot of both in September again. Heimlich for the Mets, CPR for the fans.
Historically, James' projections have been wildly optimistic for every hitter. IIRC, whoever projects in James' name, projects a league where the hitters score about 0.5-0.75 R/G than the pitchers allow.
After watching him this season, I'm inclined to believe that the Fielding Bible's ranking is a result of a small sample - he only had about half a season out there. Really, while he's not historically bad, he just doesn't look like a good fielder. Of course, that's only based on my eyes, and not any real analysis.
The Diamondbacks won 82 games last season and are losing 180+ innings of 117 ERA+ pitching, 4 months of Orlando Hudson, 2 months of Adam Dunn, and their best setup man. A full year of Scherzer will help but this team won't be as good as it was last year. They might win as many or more games but that's because the Giants are the only team in the division that is trying to improve. The NL West was a really bad division last year and is getting worse.
...and all the children are above average.
the Giants cannot sign anymore Type A/B free agents who were offered arbitration
Where is this coming from? I was not aware that it makes any difference whether the players are offered arbitration. There's a limit of four type A/B signings per team this year; you can exceed that limit if you also lose some A/B free agents.
It doesn't, I don't believe - just if they're Type A or Type B, according to the CBA (page 86 of the PDF file; page 74 if you go by the written page numbers):
The Giants have no one to take Jonathan Sanchez's rotation spot. If they're trading him to get better offensively they're likely plugging the fifth spot in the rotation with replacement or sub-replacement garbage.
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