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"Can I offer you a drink?"
"Sorry Mr. Burns, no deal!"
I haven't really looked at any projections for Bay, but at first glance that seems like an overpay.
I'm not surprised by the rejection. I'm surprised that the character assassination has begun so quickly.
Based on what? The only FO quote I see is Epstein saying that "It's not a surprise that a player that's gone this far wants to see what's out there."
That is actually "clubhouse cancre."
The anonymous quote of the salary dollars and the length of contract. I'm not saying this report is character assassination, but now it's out there as a fact that he rejected what [edited:]Randy (above) remarked as an overly generous contract. When/if he signs for more, the assassination machine will have been pumped and primed by this report.
It just looks like the pattern we've seen so many times. The Sox don't want a player, or they want him at a certain price, and in order to maintain a perception that they did their due diligence, they offer a pro forma contract. Same thing happened with Nomar, right?
edit: I now see post 8. I think it is just as likely that the anonymous money figures came from Bay's agent, especially because it is Heyman who got the tip.
Again! Damn you people, I am not a dirty Canadian. Also, my post was a response to #3.
heh.
Also, what's the definition of "close to 50 million?" 45 million? I don't blame him for seeing if he can do better than 11.25 a year.
Fixed, sorry.
And I haven't said a damn thing in this thread. Besides, I hate the Red Sox - why would I want to help them out by pointing out a mistake?
It says "close to 60 million". $14 million/year isn't small potatoes, but he might be able to do better, even in this market.
Well, I also hate the Red Sox, but I don't see why that matters in this case.
Out of curiosity, with who? As near as I can figure, the market for Bay at that cost is basically the Yankees and the Red Sox, and I think the Yankees are a lot more likely to chase Holliday.
I hope you're right.... I would love to somehow get Bay and Holliday and force Papi out of the lineup. If Papi returns to form, he might be tradeable.
Well, at least you're doing something right. As to why it matters, I'm really not sure - I can't quite tell what I was thinking when I typed that last one up.
Jeez, I'm not sure. If you believe the owners, no free agents will be signed at any price.
Did you miss the memo? The Yankees have no interest in Holliday. None at all.
Neither do the Angels apparently.
Huh. Are you sure you aren't a dirty Canadian?
Given that the Angels are projecting a 2010 payroll close to what they had this past season, I'm not sure they'll be able to make Lackey any sort of offer at all, especially when Moreno's also saying stuff like, "We'd like to have a power bat, a starter and another bullpen guy." $12-$15 million per won't be enough to fill the spots they need to fill.
Touché. All I'm saying is it's beginning to look like every other Red Sox contract negotiation with a star who was leaving.
I disagree - it's within a few runs either way. Not to mention, he *can* play LF (unlike, say, Ortiz), and there's value in being above replacement level, even if it's by very little.
To be fair, that 4/60 number does seem really familiar. Nomar extension offer in ST '03?
But haven't those negotiations generally worked out for the Sox? The team offered enough to not offend the player (and his media minions), while not bidding against themselves. The Nomar offer was fair, but a long ways away from what his trinity-mates were getting. Obviously, they're happy he didn't accept.
Amid the World Series glow and placards of "Re-Sign Lowell!" the Sox held firm and wouldn't give Mikey Doubles a fourth year, even when the Phillies did. Maybe they shouldn't have re-signed him period (although you've still got to credibly explain what the team does at 1B/3B without him), but they were certainly right not to give him four years.
The Pedro offer started at two years with a vesting option and eventually got to three guaranteed, but they were never going to match the four years the Mets gave. I don't remember the team making any sort of effort at all to retain Lowe. Arbitration to get the picks, but that's all. We'll never know what would've happened if he stayed, but park factors be damned, I think those mid-threes ERAs he put up in LA would've been steady fives in Boston.
Varitek is the one situation where the club probably got played a little and paid more than they had to. It's hard to see him getting 4/40 anywhere else. But Fangraphs values him at $37.6M over the length of the deal, so it's not like the Sox got hosed.
Varitek did best by taking the Sox' offer, Nomar should have taken it, Pedro and Lowe smartly followed the money and Lowell probably should have. It'll be interesting to see what kind of deal Bay lands on the open market. I don't see any way he gets a lower AAV than the $15M the Sox offered him, and I think he'll get five, or if Sabean's hearing footsteps, six years.
It's been a great season-and-a-half and I'll miss the way he could just flick a ball and you'd know off the bat it was going over the Monster.
Lowell may actually like playing in Boston. The fans in Philly would have treated him mercilessly if he had played for them they way he has since signing that deal. The fans in Boston knew he was a good guy struggling through injuries and have been supportive. He seems like a sharp, financially responsible kind of guy, and another $10 million ($5 million after taxes) probably doesn't make much difference in terms of what he will do with his life after baseball. To say he should have gone to Philly is probably true if money is what's most important to Mike Lowell, but probably not true in reality.
I thought it was "chancre".
I suppose if they can work out a deal with Lackey in the 16-17 per year range, they won't treat the 12-15 million room as a hard salary cap. You might be able to get a starter, power bat, and bullpen guy for 15 million, but not through the free agent market. Best to look at teams that might try to dump arbitration eligible players on the cheap.
Boston got Jeremy Hermida for basically nothing, and he'll probably get 4-5 million next year. Last year the Marlins dumped Josh Willingham for very little, and he's not expensive at all for a guy who can give you a .500 SLG.
Plus, for some reason I've always loved the idea of a former catcher becoming a power hitting left fielder.
I don't think I said that, and I didn't mean to imply it. I'm not really concerned about leaked contract details. There's just a narrative of Red Sox contract negotiations that really gets nasty, and I don't appreciate it. It begins with leaked contract details, and then it gets progressively less civil, until we find out that the player was a me-first, greedy, unsportsmanlike ####### who was hell-bent on leaving Boston no matter what. If Bay leaves and the local media don't tear him a new one with anonymous quotes from team sources, then I will admit I overreacted.
fair enough, but post #5 makes it seem like the nasty part has already begun when all there is is a leaked offer (which could have come from anyone).
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