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Friday, November 20, 2009

BPro: Indians Top 11

Five-Star Prospects
1. Carlos Santana, C
Four-Star Prospects
2. Lonnie Chisenhall, SS
3. Alex White, RHP
4. Jason Knapp, RHP
5. Nick Hagadone, LHP
Three-Star Prospects
6. Hector Rondon, RHP
7. Lou Marson, C
8. Jason Kipnis, OF/2B
9. Carlos Carrasco, RHP
10. Michael Brantley, OF
11. Zach Putnam, RHP

Four More:
12. Jess Todd, RHP: Todd is a short, squat reliever acquired from the Cardinals, and one who reached the big leagues in short order, but his ceiling is probably as a seventh-, maybe eighth-inning set-up man.
13. Nick Weglarz, OF: Two years of non-performance have dropped him significantly, as a ton of walks can only get you so far. As a first baseman or left fielder, Weglarz needs to show more.
14. T.J. House, LHP: He was an over-slot lefty from 2008 who showed solid stuff in his full-season debut; he’s a good breakout candidate.
15. Jason Donald, SS: He’s always been a bit overrated, and profiles best as a nice utility type.

1. Carlos Santana, C

Tripon Posted: November 20, 2009 at 06:21 PM | 21 comment(s) | Bookmark
  Related News: GeneralMinor LeaguesProspect ReportsScoutingCleveland

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   1. Crispix Attacks Posted: November 20, 2009 at 08:52 PM (#3392887)
So they got their #4, #7, #9, and #15 prospects for Cliff Lee and Ben Francisco...not bad.
   2. Danny Posted: November 20, 2009 at 08:58 PM (#3392895)
And their #1 prospect for Casey Blake...
   3. Masterson and Manson Posted: November 20, 2009 at 09:07 PM (#3392910)
I can play too! #5 for Victor Martinez.

Their minor league system must have really sucked before 2008...
   4. JJ1986 Posted: November 20, 2009 at 09:11 PM (#3392921)
Their minor league system must have really sucked before 2008...

#s 10 and 12 were acquired in trade and four others were drafted in the last two years. Rondon and Weglarz (I think) are the only ones who have been there since 2008 opening day.
   5. Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: November 20, 2009 at 09:11 PM (#3392922)
#12 for Mark Derosa.
   6. Tripon Posted: November 20, 2009 at 09:14 PM (#3392927)
KILL NED COLLETTI.
   7. The elusive Robert Denby Posted: November 20, 2009 at 09:28 PM (#3392943)
All those foul tips off the hands can't be good for Santana's guitar playing.
   8. Not The Real Fausto Carmona (Dan Lee) Posted: November 20, 2009 at 09:29 PM (#3392944)
Their minor league system must have really sucked before 2008...

As I've mentioned a bunch of times in other threads, it's an illustration of how completely hopeless the Shapiro regime has been in the draft. Their 2007 draft has a pretty reasonable chance to produce zero major league ballplayers. Zero. None of the players on the above list are from the '07 draft, and no players from the Indians' draft that year are anywhere near the majors.

It's mind-boggling.
   9. Best Dressed Chicken in Town Posted: November 20, 2009 at 10:03 PM (#3392973)
I assume there must be some, but how many drafts produce no major leaguers? Is it 10%? 1%? I'm thinking this is not something easily searched on the B-R draft pages, so I'm not going to bother.
   10. Mike Emeigh Posted: November 21, 2009 at 12:20 AM (#3393089)
Their 2007 draft has a pretty reasonable chance to produce zero major league ballplayers.


I wouldn't give up on Beau Mills just yet, even though his '08 campaign was pretty brutal. Thompson's old for his levels, but he's got a chance as a utility infielder.

-- MWE
   11. philly Posted: November 21, 2009 at 01:52 AM (#3393148)
I assume there must be some, but how many drafts produce no major leaguers? Is it 10%? 1%? I'm thinking this is not something easily searched on the B-R draft pages, so I'm not going to bother.


Much loser to 1%. There are about 150 player per draft that make the majors. It's pretty tough not to come up with one. I've looked at every draft from 1987-1999 and I don't think there is a single one from memory. A few that produced no positive value by WARP or WAR, but those still had a couple of cup of coffee types.

I'd say getting completely shut it very rare. And looking at that draft, it wouldn't surprise me if Beau Mills at least made a small appearance in the majors.
   12. channeling my inner STEAGLES Posted: November 21, 2009 at 02:09 AM (#3393174)
KG is flat wrong on weglarz. that kind of power potential, plus that kind of plate discipline makes a massive breakout pretty much assured. he might have to johnny gomes his way along, but great power is gonna come, even if it's yet to been displayed, and even if it's gonna take another 2-3 years to get there.
   13. channeling my inner STEAGLES Posted: November 21, 2009 at 02:11 AM (#3393175)
also, lonnie chisenhall probably doesn't deserve to be a 5* prospect, but he is the best 3B prospect in the minors right now, and i'd like to see him acknowledged as such.
   14. scareduck Posted: November 21, 2009 at 05:55 AM (#3393300)
#6 -- slowly.
   15. Alex meets the threshold for granular review Posted: November 21, 2009 at 06:04 AM (#3393301)
All those foul tips off the hands can't be good for Santana's guitar playing.


Tony Iommi says otherwise.
   16. MM1f Posted: November 21, 2009 at 07:30 AM (#3393311)
Their 2007 draft has a pretty reasonable chance to produce zero major league ballplayers.

Bryce Brentz : )
Though probably not as an Indian
   17. Tripon Posted: November 21, 2009 at 08:15 AM (#3393317)
So Cliff Lee was traded for what became the 4th, 7th, 9th, and 15th best Indian prospects. Did the phillies really had that big of a vice on Shapiro?
   18. Brian Posted: November 22, 2009 at 01:51 AM (#3393692)
Is Adam Miller alive?
   19. Jay Levin Posted: November 23, 2009 at 04:31 PM (#3394514)
I can play too! #5 for Victor Martinez.

And the #4 talent under 25.

Their minor league system must have really sucked before 2008...

Not really; they graduated LaPorta, Huff, Crowe and Valbuena to the majors, and Adam Miller has left the rankings. It was a good looking system a year ago.

As I've mentioned a bunch of times in other threads, it's an illustration of how completely hopeless the Shapiro regime has been in the draft. Their 2007 draft has a pretty reasonable chance to produce zero major league ballplayers. Zero.

Of course, in that particular draft, the Indians had only one pick in the Top 135, which was spent on Beau Mills. I think if you look at other clubs' 2007 drafts and remove all their second-round, third-round and supplemental picks, you won't find many that look all that great.

Two of the top three above were drafted by the Indians, and five of the top 14. That's not at all bad, considering how many prospects they've acquired by trade (who naturally would crowd out homegrown prospects). The Indians have had pretty poor yields from the draft for basically the whole decade, but there are some signs of progress in recent years.
   20. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: November 23, 2009 at 04:41 PM (#3394523)
also, lonnie chisenhall probably doesn't deserve to be a 5* prospect, but he is the best 3B prospect in the minors right now, and i'd like to see him acknowledged as such.

They wrote a version of the article that included a statement to that effect, but it disappeared from the writer's dorm room under mysterious circumstances.
   21. JJ1986 Posted: November 23, 2009 at 04:48 PM (#3394527)
Is Josh Tomlin an extreme soft-tosser or something? He has very nice numbers, but doesn't make it here and was left exposed to the Rule 5.
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