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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Sunday, May 18, 2008Cincinnati Enquirer: Edinson Volquez: Adjusted ERA pace would be best in historyI understand Justin Inaz is now contributing...but Adjusted ERA makes the Enquirer?! Wooo-eeee!
Repoz
Posted: May 18, 2008 at 10:23 AM | 21 comment(s)
Related News: General, Sabermetrics, Cincinnati |
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But call me a cockeyed pessimist, I guess.
Volquez has a 90.8 % LOB rate, and a 4.84 BB/9 rate. Even though his BABIP is exactly .300, I don't see how he can sustain his pace. Eventually those walks will hurt him.
However an ERA right below 3.00 is a reasonable projection.
Here's a trivia question that I'd like to know the answer to: when was the last time two ERA qualifiers faced each other this late in a season with a better average ERA+ than Volquez and Lee (507.5)?
Well, it's kind of like Hank and Tommy Aaron's combined HR total, but on May 14, 1981, Fernando Valenzuela (ERA+ 1155) faced Bill Gullickson (94) for an average of 624.
This is nit-picking, but when you combine/average ERA+, it doesn't work linearly, because the denominator of ERA+ is ER (as opposed to innings). The combined ERA+ of Fernando and Gullickson was probably around 200.
No pitching duel for the ages today, it's 4-2 Cinci in the 6th. Cleveland only plated 1 run through 5 despite 3 hits and 4 walks given up by Edinson. Mike Aubrey just hit his first career HR.
Yes, but I've always been "that guy" when it comes to grammar.
less and fewer
My personal fave. It's so easy to get it right.
My enthusiasm for this column dimmed as soon as I read the headline. The whole piece is built on the "on pace for" falacy.
affect/effect
their/there/they're
your/you're
misplaced apostrope (the Smith's)
Does not bug me (possibly because I don't use them right):
less and fewer
lie and lay
between and among
Possibly incorrect, but perfectly acceptable:
could care less (language changes, many idioms don't mean exactly what they say)
singular use of their (it used to be acceptable, it's better than he/she or other mutant variants)
misplaced apostrophe with acronyms (such as CD's, it improves clarity)
Who & whom.
Minuscule & miniscule.
Tons of others. Also, phrases ... & ampersands.
This is another that's so common that the actual correct usage actually sounds wrong. So it doesn't bug me at all.
Try and anything, other than try again.
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