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At the very least, Milton Bradley and Ozzie Guillen sharing a clubhouse would provide lots and lots of entertainment.
The only way I could feature this is if the Cubs took Scott Linebrink in return, and sent at least $16 million.
He had several gaping holes which he filled with non-gaping holes and got to count the ring.
Pierzynski and Bradley would make the 2010 White Sox possibly the most booed team in MLB history.
For me the big additons are a full year of Peavy (15 IP for Sox) and a full year of the real Alex Rios. Dye actually added negative value last year so him leaving and being replaced by even Brett gardner is a plus (especially while considering defense where the difference may be 2 wins). Replace Thome with Matsui and you've got your 85-90 win AL central champ.
I largely agree with you. But acquiring Gardner and Matsui are far from sure things.
What are you giving the Yankees for Gardner? That's going to weaken the team.
Then you can do a White Sox murder pool. Who gets killed first, and who does the killing? The options are Milton, Ozzie, and AJ. Go.
I'm surprised that folks on this site think Rios will be anything other than what he's been for his career (around a .770 OPS and good defense).
Right. He's a tease, and a guy that can get a lot of people fired because he always looks like he's this close to a .900 OPS, and then comes across at .750.
You don't get it, do you?
Which, of course, is a HUGE improvement over the .231/.285/.321, OPS of .606 line put up by centerfielders on the 2009 White Sox.
I'm assuming, perhaps incorrectly that the Yankees value him as a 4th/5th OF. So I would give them a low level pitcher with good stuff who could be a something one day and another guy (Santos Rodriguez and CJ Retherford?). If not then move on. Coco Crisp if he checks out medically. This team can be a greatly improved defensive team with another + OF (Dye and Quentin were absolutely horrible). If you can't improve with offense then improve with defense. Let Gardner or Crisp be our Guttierez or Nyjer Morgan. This is actually the problem with Podsednik. Despite being a slap-hitting speedster he's not a good defender. You can carry one of those guys if they are gonna be +15 defenders.
I don't think that does it. As a 4th OF, Gardner has a lot of value for the Yankees in his baserunning, defense and bunting ability. They'll want something that makes the current team better.
I would be against it, but I could see Ken Williams sending Bobby Jenks to New York for Gardner+ filler.
I'm sorry but I'm calling BS on this. How many teams can boast as good a top four as the White Sox? There's no reason to believe Danks, Buehrle and Peavy won't be in the 110-120 ERA+ range. Then there's Floyd who has thrown ~400 innings of a 115 ERA+ for the Sox yet is, for whatever reason, still looked at as trash. This despite the fact that Floyd's peripherals were vastly improved in 2009 -- he made rather significant strides in his strikeout, walk and homerun rates. Finally there's Garcia who is a perfectly reasonable fifth starter candidate with Hudson behind him.
It sounds like he's not going to be playing CF, though. So far, I've heard the Sox interested in Crisp and Gardner, and that would mean Rios has to play RF or LF. Which means he's got to outperform Dye, and I'm not sure if he can beat Dye's season last year (and that's a shitty Dye year).
No, Rios does not have to move to a corner if they sign Crisp or trade for Gardner. They can stick either of those two in LF and instead of getting a slightly-above-average CF (defensively), they'll have an extremely good defensive LFer (didn't Cameron have a pretty substantial blog entry on this at FanGraphs?). I particularly don't get the aversion to adding Coco Crisp. I also have to echo AROM's sentiments although I'm going to apply them to Crisp. ZiPS and Bill James' system are projecting him to be around a league average hitter. I understand that a league average hitter is below average for a LFer. That being said, Crisp's UZR/150 in LF is something like +20 -- he's a really good defender outside of what looks like one fluke year in Boston. Combine that with his baserunning and I imagine he's approaching something like an average-ish LFer. I'm not advocating giving him a three year deal, but if you can get him on a cheap-ish one year contract, that strikes me as a perfectly reasonable signing.
And if the Sox send Bobby Jenks to New York for Gardner, that's another $5 million saved, at least. $7-8 million in 2010 might be enough to sign Matsui by itself.
The Sox had a payroll of about $97 M last year. They're already up to about $80 M for 2010 and that's before arb awards for Jenks (2nd), Quentin (1st) and Danks (1st) plus another 7 roster spots presumably at or close to league minimum (which is still $3 M or so). It's hard to know what Quentin's gonna get but you'd think at least $3 M, Danks should pull down quite good money (career ERA+ of 114) and Jenks got $5.5 M last year. So the Sox basically are at 2009 payroll already. Kotsay, Vizquel and Teahen are only making about $6 M combined and you'd have to spend $1 M on two replacement level guys leaving just $5 M for a "major upgrade".
In short, the Sox haven't so much bungled this offseason as bungled some previous ones. Maybe because they were running closer to $110 a couple years ago and may have justifiably assumed they'd be operating around $120-130 by now only to see the economy tank.
As to who do the Sox have that the Yanks would want: Jenks seems an obvious candidate -- pricier than the Sox want to pay for sure and, if the Yanks are moving Hughes into the rotation, the Yanks need an 8th inning guy. The Sox might actually have to send some money along with that given what Jenks is likely to get in arb. Konerko is also in the last year of his contract and while I've never thought that much of him, the Yanks do have a DH opening at the moment. But this would hurt the Sox offense (but free up as much as $12 M although, again, I suspect the Sox would have to send some money along). An interesting but unlikely possibility is Pierzynski ($6.25 M) prompting a move of Posada to DH for 80+ games. Most likely would be a minor-league arm or two -- Gardner's not going to draw a big return on the trade market and, if they sign an LF, one of Melky/Gardner is kinda redundant.
The trade-off, of course, is that you have to give something up for Gardner. I tend to side with snapper in that the Yankees are going to want something reasonably decent for Gardner.
On this same note, if the Sox like Gardner so much, why the hell did they not just try and get him last winter for Swisher? That would have been a much more reasonable deal (although still a win for the Yankees) than the pile of turd the Sox got.
Edited to add: I'm also on board with either Jenks for Gardner or Jenks for Bradley (provided the Cubs send some cash for the second year of the deal). The former frees up cash and gives the Sox a good LF option (with a decent backup plan in Jones); the latter plugs a more urgent hole (DH).
I doubt the Yankees would do that. I'm certain they could have had Rafael Soriano, a much better pitcher, for Brett Gardner if they wanted. Everyone on the White Sox I'd accept for Gardner is way too good for the White Sox to consider doing the deal.
I actually have a hard time seeing the White Sox trading for Milton Bradley. If Ozzie Guillen couldn't stand having Nick Swisher around, there's no way in hell he's putting up with Bradley.
This seems to be a recurring theme. Perhaps Gardner is worth more to the Yankees than he is in trade.
I don't see it. I think Gardner still has options, so he's redundant but who gives a ####, they can still stash him in AAA if they need the roster space. Melky is out of options but he can play all 3 OF positions and switch-hit, albeit ineffectively. You keep Melky as your 4th OF, send Gardner back down, "glut" solved.
I dunno -- I think too much is made of that. How much more off-the-wall is Bradley than, say, Carl Everett?
I also tend to think that Swisher pissing off the mainstays like Konerko, AJ and maybe Dye (that is complete conjecture on my part, though) is more of the reason why he was shuttled out of town.
Supposedly the Cubs clubhouse broke out in spontaneous applause when Piniella announced that Bradley had been suspended for the last games of the season. It's an open secret that they hated his guts.
And it's not like Bradley's time on the North Side was an anomaly. Carl Everett had trouble in one place - Boston. Aside from a single year in Arlington, Bradley's been a problem everywhere he's been. Meanwhile, the White Sox under Guillen have always booted guys they don't like. There's a really good chance that, wherever Bradley ends up, it will be a total bust, and whatever talent or money the team gives up for him will be wasted.
I'd only take Bradley if the Cubs covered 90% of his salary and took Scott Linebrink in return.
Young-Span-Cuddyer left to right. This will not be pretty.
I wouldn't touch Bradley. The guy is toxic.
Young-Span-Cuddyer left to right. This will not be pretty.
Is Young going to be on that team next year?
And it's not like Bradley's time on the North Side was an anomaly. Carl Everett had trouble in one place - Boston. Aside from a single year in Arlington, Bradley's been a problem everywhere he's been. Meanwhile, the White Sox under Guillen have always booted guys they don't like. There's a really good chance that, wherever Bradley ends up, it will be a total bust, and whatever talent or money the team gives up for him will be wasted.
I'd only take Bradley if the Cubs covered 90% of his salary and took Scott Linebrink in return.
You could definitely be right. At the very least, though, a potential Guillen-Bradley blow-up might be Martin-Jackson-level epic, right?
Like I said, it would be entertaining. I don't think it would help the White Sox win baseball games, though.
But at, say, $1 million/year for two years, Bradley is dumpable. The Sox could just cut him loose at the first sign of trouble and be glad that they got rid of Linebrink's contract.
I'm starting to think that Bradley will be a Cub come Opening Day, though, or at least he'll be sitting at home nursing an "injury" while the Cubs pay his salary. They seem to think that they should get either talent or salary relief or both for Bradley, and I'd be shocked if either thing happened.
If the White Sox send away a useful player, or take on any amount of salary, to get Bradley, I'll be really angry.
And a lot of downtime together in the dugout, since I'm assuming Milton DHs.
It starts with Brett Gardner.
The Sox will have a payroll of about $100 M, maybe a little less. They currently have 15 players under contract for a total of $79 M, one of those is Viciedo who presumably won't play ML in 2010. Of that $79 M, $40 M is for pitchers (4 starters, 2 relievers). Oh yeah, they just added Putz for $3 M.
They also have some arb-eligible players, notably Jenks (2nd year) and Danks. Jenks made $6 M last year so he's got to be in line for $7-8 this year; Danks has a 114 career ERA+, very good numbers the last two years and I've got to think he's getting around $5. Although they probably should have bought out Danks last year, they can still do it to save some money now but probably not a lot. Anyway, this probably brings them to a pitcher payroll of $55 M and they still have 3 spots to fill. DJ Carrasco is another arb-eligible guy it seems they would want to keep (though he's pretty old) and he had a nice year last year, let's call that $1 M plus roughly $1 M for the final 2 bullpen slots.
So the Sox will have about a $100 M budget and will be spending about 57% of it on pitching. Every auction fantasy player knows that's crazy. :-) That's as strong a commitment as you can make to a pitching-first philosophy and it doesn't leave the Sox with enough money to build a good offense, especially snce they're spending 30% of their offensive payroll on Konerko and another 25% on Rios. Add Pierzynski, Teahen, Quentin's arb award, Viciedo, Vizquel and Kotsay and the Sox seem to have about $3 M to fill out the last 5 spots on the roster. And, as it stands, Andruw Jones is either the DH or the RF.
Either they're increasing payroll or Jenks and/or Pierzynski are being traded.
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