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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
The Red Sox have sent outfielder Coco Crisp to the Royals for reliever Ramon Ramirez, a Kansas City radio station reported Wednesday morning.
My immediate reaction was WTF.
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He better make up for this by dealing Teahen to the Cubs for Josh Vitters, Sean Marshall and Felix Pie.
This Ramirez guy K's almost a man an inning, doesn't give up longballs, but does struggle with his control a bit.
Hey look, Horacio Ramirez isn't just a horrible starter, he's a good relief pitcher, and the Royals now have him as a trading chip. (and they traded him for Paulo Orlando...is he a real prospect?) Same deal with Rob Tejeda, who the Royals still have.
So, the Royals acquired Mike Jacobs, who gives them none of the things they need. Well, at least they only gave up a reliever, and they can make more. So, the Royals acquired Coco Crisp, who gives them none of the things they need and is old and expensive. Well, at least they only gave up a reliever, and they can make more.
If they can do that, say, 30 times, they might end up above .500!
I wonder what the Joakim Soria trade will be like...and how long before Tony Pena Jr. is a relief pitcher with a 2.50 ERA, sought after by the Mets.
I thought he could close if they wanted to move Soria to the rotation. He doesn't throw particularly hard, but he keeps the ball low and has this really great "hard" changeup. With a better defense behind him, he could really put together a great year.
EDIT: Too slow, as always.
Without going through the whole list I have to believe that the Sox can come up with something to replace Crisp. I saw Baldelli's name getting bandied about the other day which would probably be a decent fit now. Chris Carter isn't a perfect fit (he can barely play left, let alone center or right) but I wouldn't mind seeing him get 150 at bats in the right role. What's Jonathan Van Every's status? He's got a decent minor league track record. The Sox should be able to do better than him but he doesn't look like the worst fallback position in the world either.
Out of respect for the other Sox.
edit: For me it's easier for Sox = White Sox and Sawx = Red Sox than to give the Red Sox the Sox designation and then type White Sox all the time. Plus, I know it annoys White Sox fans that Sox is supposed to generically mean Red Sox and I'm sympathetic to their annoyance.
He can be an AAA insurance policy for the next few years, if you desire - last offseason was his first time on a 40-man. I'd be worried about why his already very high K rate skyrocketed toward the end of last season - could be a structural reason. Good glove, decent pop, decent base runner. You could do worse, but should do better if you're Boston with all that that entails.
No.
Getting Crisp has to mean DeJesus is gone. Right?
I'm a long time R-Ram fan (nice job getting him for Jorge de la Rubbish last year), but the low HR rate was a little fluky - '08 was near the height of what he can do.
Crisp and Butler aren't exactly redundant. Maybe they end up dumping Butler and you can consider it a disaster, but I don't think it will happen because they acquired Crisp.
I hear you. I think I'm looking at them going with Crisp/DeJesus/Guillen and then feeling like they can have Teahen play first while Jacobs DH's or something. Or that they think they're set on offense and they should flip Butler for some bullpen help to make up for the loss of Ramirez and Nunez. My guess is Teahen will be the one to go, but they don't seem all that committed to Butler. Am I wrong on that? If I'm a Royals fan I would very much want them to plug Butler in at DH and then leave him the hell alone for the season.
I bet he'd be a great lounge singer.
The deal makes good sense for the Red Sox as long as they come up with a solid fourth OF to replace Crisp. Rocco Baldelli would make me happy in that role.
Justin Masterson is presumably the odd man out. Trade? Or rotation?
Bubba Bell, I'd imagine. I actually happen to think he's something of a sleeper, and might be a reasonably useful player if deployed properly in the majors.
EDIT: The more I think about the Royals offseason, the less I really like their pattern. I believe that they've made upgrades at 1B and (presumably) CF, and I do believe these moves were worthwhile looking towards 2009. However, it feels like Moore is building the kind of team the Pirates always seem to have, where it's almost as though they're gunning for .500, as opposed to really trying to build towards something big.
Right now, I've got the Royals every day lineup as something like Crisp-DDJ-Gordon-Guillen-Jacobs-Buck-Butler-Aviles-2B (no specific order). That's a team that has a little pop, a little speed, a hint of BA, and less than stellar defense on the whole. That's a whole lot of nothing, long-term. It's not even as though this is a roster that could smallball it's way into something bigger, since the defense isn't good enough to buoy the pitching, and there's not enough contact or speed to "make things happen". A collection of mediocre veterans and starstruck prospects, ideal for the midseason contender to pick and choose from. They'll probably sign Edgar Renteria or Cesar Izturis to complete their "brand names for less!" motif. I don't object to the Crisp deal, but I do object to the philosophy which seems to be behind it.
Catching aside there really isn't much of a *need* spot for the Red Sox. Lowell is old, but Youk can replace him (and presumably will shift to 3rd when/if Lars Anderson is ready). Lowrie might struggle at SS but Lugo is around if needed (if he can accept the utility role). A 4th outfielder is needed, 4th and 5th spots in the rotation seem to be going the way of "throw decent end of the rotation options at a wall and see what sticks" - Masterson, Wakefield, Bucholz, Byrd? Colon? Schilling? And this trade seems to hash out the bullpen.
Catcher, 4th and/or 5th starter, 4th outfielder. Not bad.
The other option is to sign Teixeira and ask Youks to bust out those 3B and OF gloves. It has its logic.
To jacksone, I see no reason for the Red Sox to opt against spending money. Especially, why throw not very good pitchers, relievers, and injured pitchers at the 4/5 slots when you can spend all of your money on CC Sabathia? Which is what they should do.
And catcher, of course. This trade may free up Masterson to fill that need.
It was a weird transaction. It was for a PTBNL, but then the Royals dealt Jorge de la Rosa to the Rockies for a PTBNL, so people kinda assumed they were dealt for each other, but they weren't - it was two separate deals. The PTBNL in the Ramirez deal ended up being P Valerio de los Santos, who I wasn't even aware was in the Royals organization.
Oh, I see no reason to stop with the money flow either - I am more of a fan of the Teix than CC, although either one would fit well. I will be pretty disappointed if the Sox don't buy one of them.
True. When thinking about Timlin, I'm much more concerned about my blood pressure than the state of the Red Sox.
Crisp will need to keep his extra-base power up to succeed in KC. Something that will put him on 2nd on loopers, or drive in runners.
Dayton Moore learned how to GM by trading baseball cards. He collected tons of Jerry Augustine cards and exchanged them for a Jim Wohlford.
Teahen? People are upset this might mean a Teahen trade? He's had an OPS+ below 100 the last two seasons. His proper role on a team is back-up corner player and maybe that's how the Royals will use him. If they can find someone who wants to pretend he's a starting 3B, then thsy should swap him immediately (and that was true before they got Crisp).
Right now, I've got the Royals every day lineup as something like Crisp-DDJ-Gordon-Guillen-Jacobs-Buck-Butler-Aviles-2B (no specific order). That's a team that has a little pop, a little speed, a hint of BA, and less than stellar defense on the whole. That's a whole lot of nothing, long-term.
I see where you're coming from but that seems a bit harsh and early. The Royals were always gonna be a whole lot of nothing long-term if Gordon and Butler didn't turn out the way they're supposed to. But they're both still young and they could. And they've got fairly cheap and controlled Jacobs (meh), Aviles and DeJesus (3/$14!) to supplement. Guillen is the only player over 30. They're a long way from good and they'll never come close to it if Butler and Gordon don't develop. But how many lineups this side of Tampa Bay (who aren't particularly good offensively actually) have long-term promise?
So what you're saying is that i'm going to get horribly drunk in the right field fountain section of Kauffman Stadium as the Royals face off against the Yankees in the pivotal game 5?
I think the club wants his long term future to be in the rotation, and it hasn't been sufficiently proven that he can't be an effective starter, though the Red Sox aren't in a position to be really patient with him if he doesn't pan out as one. He'll need to solve his issues with lefty batters for that to happen but he's still developing so it could happen.
But he's not really replacing Gathright, he's replacing either DJ or Teahen, one of which is certain to be traded now. Gathright was going to be a bench player next year regardless. And that's setting the bar awfully low. Anyone would be an improvement over Gathright. Simply doing anything though wouldn't necessarily be a good move for the Royals. They have to make moves that make sense long-term.
Teahen? People are upset this might mean a Teahen trade? He's had an OPS+ below 100 the last two seasons. His proper role on a team is back-up corner player and maybe that's how the Royals will use him.
But isn't Teahen a pretty similar player to Crisp offensively? You're going to swap them out for each other, which will cost you $1-2 million more this year, and two controllable years (assuming they buy out Crisp's final year and don't pick up the option). All for what, to improve the defense? Offense was the big concern last year.
thanks. I looked around and read somewhere the misconception that you mention (that it was a trade for De La Rosa). The article I read made it seem like the Rockies wanted to use Ramirez' roster spot for Micah Bowie, who gave them about 8 terrible innings for the year. Seems like a pretty bad trade by Colorado.
Coco's baserunning has to add a couple of runs to his value. And I'll bet that Moore thinks that Coco might pull an Edgar Renteria and revert to something like his pre-Red Sox form when he leaves Boston. Maybe a bounce to a 105ish OPS. I wouldn't make that bet, but I think that's Moore's thinking.
I'm inclined to distrust defensive stats for OFs... Common opinion in Boston is that Crisp is an excellent defensive CF, better than Ellsbury (who sometimes takes odd routes and threw to the wrong base a few times). Zone Rating, OTOH, suggests that he is one of the worst CFs in the league. RZR puts him between Sizemore and Beltran, though with many fewer "Out of Zone" plays.
IMHO, Crisp is a top-third defensive CF. Excellent range, good fundamentals, weak arm. Roughly comparable to DeJesus, perhaps? The low OOZ totals may be a result of playing between Ellsbury and Drew so often. Plenty of competition for those balls in the gaps. Overall, the Red Sox defensive efficiency last year was excellent, so I have a hard time believing that their outfielders were all mediocre.
"If only I'd done that," Moore thought to himself. "Instead of trading mediocre starting pitcher prospect JP Howell for the poor man's Coco Crisp, I could have traded ace reliever JP Howell for the real Coco Crisp!"
And so the new strategy began...
Coco's baserunning has to add a couple of runs to his value.
Teahen is supposed to be a very good baserunner as well.
For whatever reason it seemed like Crisp got EXCELLENT jumps on everything that was hit in 2007. It seemed like he was already moving before the ball was hit, last year he didn't seem to be as quick at reading the ball off the bat. He was still good but not like he was in '07. I suppose it's possible that in '07 Lugo was flashing signs to him in center and for some reason Lowrie either didn't do that or didn't do it as well but that's a reach.
Is Dayton hoping that Crisp has a great year, becomes a type A free agent, lets him walk, and picks up 2 draft picks?
If he keeps trading these relievers with live arms, one of these trades could come back to haunt him.
If Crisp has a great year, I assume that picking up his option for $8 million would be a better strategy than letting him walk.
Yeah, and if he sucks I doubt he gets offered arb, so draft picks seem unlikely.
Is Dayton hoping that Crisp has a great year, becomes a type A free agent, lets him walk, and picks up 2 draft picks?
He was just on the radio and said that Crisp is a "two year player", but also says he has "value throughout the industry." I guess maybe he thinks he can flip him in July of 2010? I wouldn't bet much on that.
That reminds me of the Winter the Royals signed both Reggie Sanders and Grudzielanek to 2-year deals and I convinced myself that was a strategic decision which would give them two chances to trade them at the trading deadline to a team desperate for veteran solidity and thus drive up the price.
Dayton Moore's overriding strategy (other than a fixation with moving DeJesus to left field) seems to consist of making incremental improvements of the Crisp over Gathright and Jacobs over Gload variety. I may not live long enough to see this process result in acquiring good players.
Moore has stated that Olivo will be the starting catcher in '09
Teahen is supposed to be a very good baserunner as well.
Teahen is an excellent baserunner. He won't steal forty bases, but he has excellent baserunning instincts. I've watched him break from first on a double or second on a single where your initial thought is, "there's no way he'll score" and shortly after that he scores standing up.
I'm pretty sure Ellsbury was better than Crisp defensively this year.
I would only add that it seemed like he guessed right every time he dove or held up in 2007 while in 2008, he mostly seemed to guess wrong in those split second decisions.
(and I should add I hate Coco Crisp)
Now, it's a little meh.
The Royals are just too poor and too barren to do anything better than mediocre moves.
If AG and Butler don;t become all-stars this is going to be a really painful team to follow for the next five years.
KC seems REALLY down on DDJ's defense, I have no idea why.
Biff, I agree with you. Haven't found many other Red Sox fans doing so, however. And from what I can tell they are both pretty good.
Because it's not that good, maybe (at least in CF)?
-- MWE
Guh?
"If you are worrying about the quality of X, you either have nothing more important to worry about or you are overlooking something more important you should be worrying about."
Crisp's 3 years in Boston show an up and down defender. He was one of the best defensive CFers in the game last year, but regressed this year. As I watched him it looked like he had slowed down just a tick, but the real issue to me was that it looked like he was trying to always make phenomenal plays, diving for balls that he should've held up on and played on the bounce (these balls tended to roll for awhile, so they probably really hurt his stats this year). I think if he's got the starting job he should be fine, it really looked like he was trying to overcompensate for loosing his starting gig to Ellsbury.
That said, +/- has Coco at -2 for 2008 and DeJesus at -10. DeJesus does pretty well in LF (+8 in 2008) so this looks like it upgrades the KC OF defense.
Far too many words wasted on the Red Sox mop-up man last year. One might almost be tricked into thinking that it is a critical role on the team.
(and I should add I hate Coco Crisp)
Now, it's a little meh.
I'm the exact opposite. As you can see in #1, my initial reaction was also "WTF, this sucks." Now, I think the team could benefit from a much improved outfield defense. Crisp will likely hit as well as Teahen, who is probably on his way out. And if you can spin Teahen for something slightly more valuable than Ramon Ramirez, which I think you can, then it turns out to be a pretty good set of moves.
Having stepped back, I do see your point. I understand that Moore is probably just trying to put out a reasonably competitive team while waiting for the kids to develop. That having been said, it's still offputting when a roster just screams "We're trying for .500!!!" Perhaps Moore will get lucky and Butler or Gordon will wake up and become that impact bat they so obviously need. Until then, however, I'll refrain from seeing this as anything more a band-aid placed on a gaping wound.
I am fully prepared to eat my words if Crisp bounces back and is dealt for good prospects, btw. In fact, I wouldn't be too surprised if that is just the case.
I have to say I'm really surprised the reaction wasn't better.
Even if Crisp plays at around his current level, and his defense in just upper third, not spectacular, I see this as a win for KC.
A speedy guy who'll OB ~3.50 and plays center for a young reliver for a team that doesn;t need them?
Honestly, I was way more upset about the Jacobs trade.
Partly because I like Nunez, and partly because I hated Mike Jacobs being a 'solution' to anything.
Maybe people just don't want to contemplate moving players down the defensive spectrum during the offseason.
A) standing in the way of universally beloved future superstar Jacoby Ellsbury
B) being paid untold millions of the Red Sox's scarce dollars
C) costing them Kelly Shoppach in a trade
D) not being as good of a hitter as J.D. Drew, Manny Ramirez, or Jason Bay.
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