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Monday, December 01, 2008

David Schoenfield: Are Boras clients worth the money?

When Oakland A’s pitcher Barry Zito hit the free-agent market following the 2006 season, his agent, Scott Boras, proclaimed Zito, then 28, would become baseball’s best left-handed starter since Steve Carlton.

He even produced a glossy, 74-page portfolio to show this possibility.

“He will be baseball’s next great ace,” Boras told USA Today. “Barry could be one of the best left-handed pitchers of all time. Players like this are Maddux-esque.”

The San Francisco Giants apparently agreed. They signed Zito to a $126 million contract.

In 2007, Zito went 11-13 with a 4.53 ERA.

In 2008, Zito went 10-17 with a 5.15 ERA.

Maybe Boras meant Mike Maddux, not Greg Maddux.

As always, Boras is a major player in the free-agent market. He represents Mark Teixeira and Manny Ramirez, along with Derek Lowe, Oliver Perez and Jason Varitek, among others.

Zito’s contract has certainly proved disastrous for the Giants, but it’s just one Boras megadeal. Do teams get their money’s worth with Boras clients? We checked other big Boras signings and rated them on our Scott Boras scale: Five Boras heads mean the teams got a great deal; one Boras head means they got fleeced.

Tripon Posted: December 01, 2008 at 03:45 PM | 5 comment(s)
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   1. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 01, 2008 at 05:34 PM (#3018268)
I'm still trying to figure out how the A-Rod contract was disastrous for the Rangers. In 2001, for example, the non-ARod portion of the budget was higher than any other team in the AL West and 5 of the 8 playoff teams.

The $80 million that the Rangers spent everywhere else is what hamstrung the team.

Ignoring defensive quality (which only hurts A-Rod because he was an excellent defensive player back then), here's the % of the Rangers' VORP which was A-Rod:

2001 - 35%
2002 - 28%
2003 - 42%

These are absolutely absurd numbers. A-Rod didn't hamstring the Rangers, the Rangers hamstrung him.
   2. Darren Posted: December 01, 2008 at 05:54 PM (#3018278)
The A-Rod contract was so bad that they HAD TO trade him and 80 bajillion for Soriano. HAD TO!


Other than that, this was an interesting little exercise. Overall, it seems that teams got about what you'd expect on average.
   3. Darren Posted: December 01, 2008 at 05:58 PM (#3018279)
He also undervalues Beltran and Millwood a bit.
   4. jwb Posted: December 01, 2008 at 07:47 PM (#3018382)
It's just that so many of Boras' client are high profile, expensive players and when one of them goes bust, it's a bust of Dolly Parton proportions.
   5. Monty Posted: December 01, 2008 at 07:50 PM (#3018386)
Plus, Boras has a tendency to make wild, hyperbolic claims about how his clients are practically guaranteed to break every record, so when someone doesn't hit 85 home runs before the All-Star Break, it's a bit of a letdown.

I mean, if you're as gullible as Boras thinks you are.
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