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Friday, July 18, 2008

Delgado makes us all look dumb

Since April 27th, Delgado’s hit .276/.353/.536 with 34 extra base hits (nearly half of his 73 total hits since then), including his July surge that has him posting a 1.212 OPS since the beginning of the month. He’s absolutely torching the ball right now, and looks anything but finished.

Delgado’s resurgence is yet another data point in favor of the belief that we simply have a long way to go before we can identify a player who really has “fallen off a cliff” ahead of time. Both visual evidence and trend analysis suggested that the grim reaper may have come for his power during the off season, but it just wasn’t true. Delgado was slumping, and slumps happen regardless of how young or old a player is. However, we have pre-written narratives about what slumps mean when they happen to young players (he’s not ready for the majors, he’s getting exposed the second time around the league, etc…) and when they happen to old players (he’s done), but we need to remember that those narratives aren’t based in as much reality as we would like to believe.

I am a pretty big Delgado fan and even I thought he was done. He still needs to be platooned but he has posted an .887 OPS against righties this season and he looks better now than at any time since 2006.

Russlan is glad the 2008 season is over Posted: July 18, 2008 at 05:13 PM | 4 comment(s)
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   1. salfino Posted: July 18, 2008 at 10:24 PM (#2864509)
Hey, speak for yourself.
   2. Marmaduchscherer Posted: July 19, 2008 at 12:17 AM (#2864646)
The only people that Delgado made look dumb are people who a) put too much stock into visual evidence or b) don't know how to properly weight recent performance (or, more precisely, people who put far too much weight on recent performance). Look at Delgado's ZiPS projection: .257/.349/.476. That's remarkably close to his line so far: .254/.334/.467.
   3. Leroy Kincaid Posted: July 19, 2008 at 12:42 PM (#2864805)
PECOTA had him at .265/.344/.471
   4. Ryan Jones Posted: July 19, 2008 at 12:43 PM (#2864807)
Hey, speak for yourself.


Yeah. Some of us can look dumb without any help from Delgado.
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