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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Monday, March 24, 2008Dugout Central: Caimano: Robinson Cano is Better Than You ThinkBut maybe not as good as John “CANO WILL WIN MULTIPLE BATTING CROWNS” Sterling or Bobby “Cano’s gonna hit 40 HR’s one year” Murcer think he’ll be.
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My BookmarksYou must be logged in to view your Bookmarks. Hot TopicsNewsblog: SF Gate: Sabean thinks Giants have chance in 2008 (15 - 12:20pm, May 15) Last: Van Lingle Mungo Jerry Newsblog: Miklasz: Edmonds in a Cubs uniform? The thought is mind-boggling (43 - 12:20pm, May 15) Last: Misirlou is the new market inefficiency Newsblog: Fred Schwarz on Baseball & Conservatives on National Review Online (4418 - 12:19pm, May 15) Last: David Nieporent Newsblog: Dugout Central: Silva: Mets and MLB Missing the Boat on Wally Backman (8 - 12:16pm, May 15) Last: Skinny McBarfington Newsblog: Rosenthal: Reality may set in for certain teams (15 - 12:14pm, May 15) Last: Larry Bowa Approves of The Justin Upton (1k5v3L) Newsblog: Jazz. com: Kurtz: Kerouac, Jazz, and Baseball (17 - 12:14pm, May 15) Last: gef the talking mongoose Newsblog: The Biz of Baseball: Brown: Keith Olbermann to Pen 5-Part Series on Topps Cards (33 - 11:58am, May 15) Last: Mr. Tapeworm Newsblog: Politico: Utley has the president's vote (27 - 11:52am, May 15) Last: gef the talking mongoose Newsblog: TSN: Pinto: A's, Marlins beat expectations in different ways
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Freddy Sanchez is better than you think!
Cano is 25, Sanchez is 30
"2006 Batting Champion + A bunch more power" is somewhat supposed to equal "Insult!"
Neifi!
So your saying at some point in the next 3 years Cano will be better than A-rod? Pass.
Yes, every player is rated exactly correctly by me.
Actually, he is. It just seems like he isn't because he plays in the same division with Pedroia.
The difference between the two isn't that great thanks to defense. If A-rod turns in another 135 OPS+ at some point and Cano hits around what he hit in 05 for a full season, he'll be the better player.
Cano picks up 5-10 runs on position. He is not a tremendous defensive player, it's unlikely he can make up the difference, especially when their likly offensive production is vastly different.
From TFA:
His 2007 season, rated a +17, was above average
His ZR had him around 10 runs above average. Is he Adam Everett? No. Is he a much better defender than A-rod, who is right around average defensively? Yeah. You and I don't agree on his offensive ceiling, so I'm not expecting you to agree with me. But as long as I don't believe Cano has had his best season by 24, which I don't, there's no reason to not expect him to start matching up with A-rod soon since A-rod will be 32 next year and Cano will be 25. I do not think Cano will ever have a season like A-rod had last year, but 04 and 06 are part of A-rod's performance record too. I think it's likely that Cano exceeds A-rod once in the next three years.
Then we're going to disagree.
It's certainly possible if A-Rod has another off year and Cano puts up a OPS+ over 125, although A-Rod's basestealing/baserunning probably puts him somewhere between .5 and 1 win better than Cano, which would cover any positional adjustment. Really just evidence of how damn good A-Rod is rather than an indictment of Cano, who I like a lot.
In their dreams.
And I love Cano, but if he walked 75 times in a season I'd be floored. He still doesn't have 75 walks in his career.
All that, plus excellent defense, means he's my guy for best AL second baseman over the next ten or so years.
I don't know about the "+" part, but he did hit 19 in 2007. Could he hit 6 more this year? Sure, why not.
Pedroia farts in your generale direction.
If you count intangibles, Pedroia is already better than Babe Ruth.
I can see it, easily. There is power in his swing. I don't know where this comes from, but my image of Cano in 8 years is of a very muscular, Ruben Sierra-like man, playing first or DHing. And a bulked up slow Cano will hit 30 homeruns in his best years.
The 75 walks I have no idea about. But if he progresses like I think he will the walks will go up, if only because he will be pitched more carefully.
No, the headline was talking to me.
Cano makes contact too easily to walk 75 times. He's more likely to hit .360 to get his OBP up among the great hitters than he is to walk 75 times.
The 25 HRs I see coming at some point, I don't know how consistent it will be though.
Pedroia:
Home: .334 .391 .482 .873 OPS (299 ab)
Away: .265 .335 .365 .700 OPS (310 ab)
Cano:
Home: .296 .329 .468 .797 OPS (767 ab)
Away: .330 .361 .508 .870 OPS (854 ab)
Pedroia at Yankee Stadium
.273 .351 .394 .745 OPS (33 ab)
Cano at Fenway Park
.359 .389 .563 .952 OPS (103 ab)
The reason Pedroia is even in this discussion (which, granted, is being stoked by a deranged man who dreams of being sandwiched between Pedroia and Ellsbury) is that he's playing in a ballpark that forgives his piddling power and rewards him with an significant number of doubles he has no business getting. Fenway Park, ironically, was probably made for Cano. He'd be an MVP candidate if he played 81 games at Fenway...
He's not, there's no need to make it a serious comparision.
Yes but the Cano/Petunia threads have been fun :-)
At least Kevin hasn't tried arguing that Petunia > Wright in awhile....
What he said. Also, some of it is probably based on amateur scouting... Cano really stings the ball. Unlike some high average guys who slap and spray the ball around, Cano can and does drive pitches on a regular basis.
Can we just say Cano is underrated by Sox fans and overrated by Yankee fans and leave it at that?
No. I'm a Sox fan and will happily acknowledge that Cano is much more valuable than Pedroia is (and I love Pedroia).
We're still right about Nomar over Jeter, though, right? Right? Come on, you guys remember Nomar. Twitchy fella? Married to that Mia Hamm.
WERE right, past tense, NoMAH was more valuable than Jeter before he started getting hurt.
No, we can say that Cano is underrated by Kevin and overrated by Yankee fans.
Seriously, there are two important questions here. What is Cano's upside, and what is he likely to do. People sometimes confuse the two. Cano has a terrific upside - he might turn into one of the best players in the league. On the other hand, there are lots and lots of examples of guys as good as Cano at the same age, and who don't really develop much. What is Cano likely to do? Personally, I think Cano is very good now, but I wouldn't put even money on him developing much further. At the same time, I would put money on him having a terrific year at some point.
thanks to the steroids.
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