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Monday, July 07, 2008

Dugout Central: Who Is The Greatest Living Hitter?

We asked our staff who the greatest living hitter is. We received five articles, with three votes going to Barry Bonds and one each to Stan Musial and George Brett.

George Brett? Ok, carry on.

Jeff Parker: GEORGE BRETT

My extreme Royal bias probably is affecting me, but I think George Brett is the greatest living hitter. While his career line of .305/.369/.487 is less impressive due to the offensive explosion of the last ten years, he was one of the best in his era. He won the 1980 MVP and could have won in 1976 and 1979 – and he should have won in 1985. He was selected for 13 all-star games and started nine.

Brett was at his best in the post season, batting .337/.397/.627 with 10 home runs and 23 RBI’s in 43 games. In his two World Series appearances he hit .373/.439/.539 - he hit .375 against the Phillies in 1980 and .370 against the Cardinals in 1985. He was always able to elevate his game when the situation required. Now I know clutch hitting is supposed to be a myth, but anybody who watched him play knew him to be a clutch hitter. His post-season heroics aside, during the regular season for his career George hit .314/.390/.496 with runners on base.

Repoz Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:29 PM | 147 comment(s)
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   1. Rusty Priske Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:36 PM (#2847461)
Well, three people got it right.
   2. Conor Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:40 PM (#2847468)
I gotta say, if you are talking about the greatest living hitter, referring to your pick as "one of the best of his era" probably ain't gonna cut it.
   3. Harold Reynolds: An Erotic Life (AG#1F) Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:41 PM (#2847469)
“I’ve always loved the way he played the game of baseball, and I also thought he was the most dangerous hitter I ever faced - certainly in the American League. Back with Cincinnati, I used to walk the Giants’ Willie McCovey all the time because he could just kill you. I thought I’d never treat another hitter that way, but I wound up doing it with George.”

Who am I to argue with Sparky Anderson?


If you don't argue with Sparky Anderson, you must think that Torey Luvollo is a future Hall of Famer, and that Howard Johnson will never develop into a power hitter.
   4. Delorians Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:41 PM (#2847471)
Based on the literal definition, Bonds is correct.
Based on what the term 'Greatest Living Hitter' has evolved to mean (greatest hitter who is also an elder statesman representing the game's history), Musial is correct.
Using the same definition, but calling it 'Greatest Living Player' (including fielding/baserunning), Mays is correct.
   5. Eraser-X is dominating this site! Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:42 PM (#2847472)
I gotta say, if you are talking about the greatest living hitter, referring to your pick as "one of the best of his era" probably ain't gonna cut it.


Unless everyone from his era is dead.
   6. Conor Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:49 PM (#2847480)
Unless everyone from his era is dead.


That's funny, I was about to edit my post to add that when I read this.
   7. AROM Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:54 PM (#2847486)
Frank Thomas deserves some consideration, unless Bonds you give Bonds a complete free pass for you-know-what. Maybe Pujols as well.
   8. Alan S Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:56 PM (#2847488)
Albert Pujols is the greatest living hitter. Greater than all dead hitters too, for that matter.
   9. Van Lingle Mungo Jerry Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:57 PM (#2847492)
No love for Joe Shlabotnik?
   10. AROM Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:58 PM (#2847493)
Through age 33:

Bonds 164 OPS+
Thomas 167
Pujols (to age 28) 169
   11. "Catching Dianetics" by Dr. L. Ron Karkovice Posted: July 07, 2008 at 04:58 PM (#2847494)
Let's do this logically

1. The greatest living hitter would have had to have hit against the greatest and toughest living pitcher.
2. The greatest pitcher alive today would have to be a member of the greatest generation.
3. Bob Feller was the greatest pitcher of the greatest generation (according to Feller).
4. Bob Feller pitched from 1936-1941 and from 1945-1956
5. Bob Feller's peak season was in 1946
6. The greatest hitter would have to have played in 1946
7. The greatest hitter would have been in the AL during the period referenced above
8. The greatest hitter could not have been on the Indians in 1946
9. Bob Feller would measure hitting prowess based on a hitter's Batting Average and a Hitter "knowing how to win"
10. The Boston Red Sox knew how to win more than any other AL team in 1946
11. Johnny Pesky was a member of the 1946 Boston Red Sox
12. Johnny Pesky is alive
13. No player that hit higher batting average than Johnny Pesky on the 1946 Red Sox can also claim to be alive at present
14. ipso facto, Johnny Pesky is the greatest living hitter
   12. Lassus Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:00 PM (#2847497)
No love for Joe Shlabotnik?

-pause-

"RATS!"
   13. There's a chill wind blowing in Misirlou's soul Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:07 PM (#2847505)
Geroge Brett...He won the 1980 MVP and could have won in 1976 and 1979 – and he should have won in 1985. He was selected for 13 all-star games and started nine.


Musial won 3 times and was second 4 times. Bonds of course won 7 times. Brett probably did deserve the MVP in 1985 (him or Rickey), would have been defensible in 1976, but not 1979 (Lynn).

Musial was selected for 24 ASG's (20 different seasons), and started 14 times (14 seasons). Would have been 25 and 15 if not for the war. Bonds made 14 ASGs and started 12.
   14. maharishi mahesh yogi berra (phredbird) Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:07 PM (#2847506)
11, good one.

for some reason, i thought the article title meant greatest hitter playing today.

stan should get the 'greatest living hitter' title, but i'm biased.

seems like willie should get the informal title 'greatest living player' ... at least we don't have to be subjected to joe dimaggio being called that anymore. that always bugged me, specially after reading the cramer bio.
   15. Herschel Pinkus Yerucham Shmoikel Krustofsky Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:08 PM (#2847508)
I'll take Stan Musial as the Greatest Living Hitter, and I'll take Willie Mays as the Greatest Living Ballplayer. For what it's worth, pencil me in for Greg Maddux as the Greatest Living Pitcher.

EDIT : I almost forgot Hank Aaron. He's way, way up there for best overall and best hitter. It's kinda funny how even as the former home run king, Hank Aaron doesn't come to mind for these sort of discussions quite as quickly as Musial, Mays, Bonds, or someday, Pujols.
   16. LargeBill Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:09 PM (#2847510)
Oh, and I suppose having one's head frozen is a disqualifier?
   17. BeanoCook Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:18 PM (#2847521)
Willie Mays aint dead yet muther #######!
   18. BeanoCook Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:19 PM (#2847523)
That being said, I vote Bonds.
   19. Russlan is an overhyped Met BTFer Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:20 PM (#2847526)
Frank Robinson?
   20. Dag Nabbit Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:24 PM (#2847531)
John Paciorek.
   21. There's a chill wind blowing in Misirlou's soul Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:26 PM (#2847536)
Esteban Yan
   22. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:33 PM (#2847545)
Musial is an interesting pick.
   23. There's a chill wind blowing in Misirlou's soul Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:35 PM (#2847548)
I gotta say, if you are talking about the greatest living hitter, referring to your pick as "one of the best of his era" probably ain't gonna cut it.



Unless everyone from his era is dead.


Right. Musial was merely one of the best of his era. But DiMaggio, Williams, and Mantle are all dead. That said, Brett is a silly, idiosyncratic choice.
   24. Dag Nabbit Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:39 PM (#2847554)
Rick Camp. (18th inning at bats only) .
   25. Halofan Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:52 PM (#2847562)
Mike Piazz-- oh, LIVING, I thought it was "loving" ... Alex Rodrig-- uh, hitter? He'd like to now!
   26. HotelSierraFoxtrot Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:54 PM (#2847565)
Yeah, George Brett really turned it on late in the game with runners on base. With the bases empty early in the game he just couldn't be bothered.
   27. Gonfalon Bubble Posted: July 07, 2008 at 05:58 PM (#2847573)
The greatest living hitter is Robinson Cano, and this screen capture from Yahoo's gametracker proves it.
   28. RMc is the President of the United States Posted: July 07, 2008 at 06:04 PM (#2847579)
John Paciorek.

And the greatest living pitcher: Larry Yount. No major-leaguer ever came close to hitting one of his pitches!
   29. McCoy Posted: July 07, 2008 at 06:16 PM (#2847587)
Cool, this gives me a chance to mention a cool little fact about Stan that almost never gets mentioned.

We all know that Ted Williams was the last person to hit over .400 in a season and some of us know that Tony Gwynn and Wade Boggs both have managed to hit .400 over 162 team games but almost nobody knows that Stan Musial once hit .408 in 259 games!

Second bit of trivia, Ted Williams never managed to hit .400 or better in 154 games played in any stretch of his career. The closest he ever got to it is .3992
   30. There's a chill wind blowing in Misirlou's soul Posted: July 07, 2008 at 06:20 PM (#2847589)
We all know that Ted Williams was the last person to hit over .400 in a season and some of us know that Tony Gwynn and Wade Boggs both have managed to hit .400 over 162 team games but almost nobody knows that Stan Musial once hit .408 in 259 games!


Care to elaborate?
   31. McCoy Posted: July 07, 2008 at 06:27 PM (#2847592)
In 1947 Stan had an inflamed appendix and was hitting .140 in May and .203 in mid June, and then Stan got hot, very hot. He hit .469 in the last 104 games of that season. Through the first 76 games of 1948 he hit .403 and would finish the season with a .376 average in 155 games.

Total it all up and it is a .408 batting average in 259 games, and obviously since it is a high .400 if we look past those 259 games we will find more games at either end that extends this streak.
   32. There's a chill wind blowing in Misirlou's soul Posted: July 07, 2008 at 06:32 PM (#2847596)
Wow. That's pretty cool. Never heard that. I though you were going to say something about his hitting on an Army team in 1945 or some other gimmick.
   33. Booey Posted: July 07, 2008 at 06:49 PM (#2847613)
I'm too lazy to look up numbers, but just off memory I'd say the top ten living hitters are:

1-Bonds
2-Musial
3-Aaron
4-Mays
5-Robinson
6-Thomas
7-McGwire
8-Ramirez
9-Schmidt
10-Pujols
   34. Ray DiPerna Posted: July 07, 2008 at 06:59 PM (#2847623)
My extreme Royal bias probably is affecting me, but I think George Brett is the greatest living hitter. While his career line of .305/.369/.487 is less impressive due to the offensive explosion of the last ten years, he was one of the best in his era.


Brett's top OPS+ was 203. Bonds had 2 seasons at that level (204, 205) and 4 seasons much better than that level.

Bonds's career OPS+ (182) is higher than Brett's second-best season (178).

In other words, what we've learned is that that "extreme Royal bias" is another way of saying "stupidity." Though I do like how he tried to justify the ludicrous selection of Brett by pretending that era adjustments make said selection reasonable.
   35. Herschel Pinkus Yerucham Shmoikel Krustofsky Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:02 PM (#2847630)
In other words, what we've learned is that that "extreme Royal bias" is another way of saying "stupidity." Though I do like how he tried to justify the ludicrous selection of Brett by pretending that era adjustments make said selection reasonable.


I think it might be another way of saying "steroids". Just a guess, though.
   36. Gainsay Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:04 PM (#2847635)
Mike Schmidt played the same position in the same era and was a better hitter than Brett.
   37. Russlan is an overhyped Met BTFer Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:07 PM (#2847639)
I think it might be another way of saying "steroids". Just a guess, though.

Bonds had six seasons with a 170 OPS+ or better before any suspicions of steroids.
   38. vortex of dissipation Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:08 PM (#2847641)
No love for Sadaharu Oh?
   39. Padraic Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:13 PM (#2847647)
Brett wasn't even the best hitting 3B of his era.

Edit - Agreed Gainsay
   40. McCoy Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:16 PM (#2847653)
I took a look through 1949 box scores and found that Stan dipped below .400 on his 17th game when he went 0/3 but then got back to .400 the next day when he went 2/3. He then goes 0/4 in his 19th game to fall below again and I believe stay below for good.

So it is 277 games at .400 for Stan Musial, 396 hits to 989 at bats. He also had 398 hits in 1000 at bats as well.
   41. Ben Grieve -automatic dp Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:19 PM (#2847666)
Ben Grieve
   42. SacBunt Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:23 PM (#2847679)
Wilt Chamberlain
   43. vortex of dissipation Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:25 PM (#2847681)
Wilt Chamberlain


He died in 1999.
   44. There's a chill wind blowing in Misirlou's soul Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:35 PM (#2847708)
So it is 277 games at .400 for Stan Musial, 396 hits to 989 at bats. He also had 398 hits in 1000 at bats as well.


Of course Rogers Hornsby hit over .400 from 1921-1925 inclusive.

But he's not alive
   45. McCoy Posted: July 07, 2008 at 07:47 PM (#2847735)
Yeah but we already knew that, almost nobody knows what Stan did in 1947 and 1948. Imagine what his line would have looked like if his appendix didn't bother him in 1947.
   46. Dag Nabbit Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:00 PM (#2847772)
Carlos Zambrano.
   47. Joey B. Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:08 PM (#2847800)
If A-Rod isn't already in the top ten alive now, he's got to put there in the fairly near future I think.
   48. Walt Davis Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:15 PM (#2847819)
Where's the Neifi love?
   49. Ray DiPerna Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:18 PM (#2847828)
I think it might be another way of saying "steroids". Just a guess, though.


But if we're disregarding Bonds, Brett is not close to #2 on the list.
   50. Teddy F. Ballgame Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:24 PM (#2847849)
If A-Rod isn't already in the top ten alive now, he's got to put there in the fairly near future I think.


He's a great, great hitter, no doubt, but depending on how fast guys die off, I don't know if he makes the list. He's seventh in OPS+ on the active list, and his incredible value is partly derived from providing that offense from what's essentially a middle infield position. He may rank as the top living player at some point, but will probably never be the greatest living hitter.
   51. AROM Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:42 PM (#2847901)
He died in 1999.


I knew he was dead, but good god, it's almost been a decade. Surprising to me.
   52. Ray DiPerna Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:44 PM (#2847908)
He's a great, great hitter, no doubt, but depending on how fast guys die off, I don't know if he makes the list. He's seventh in OPS+ on the active list, and his incredible value is partly derived from providing that offense from what's essentially a middle infield position. He may rank as the top living player at some point, but will probably never be the greatest living hitter.


I agree with this. ARod is obviously a great hitter, but he's generally been overrated as a hitter at the same time. He does appear to have raised his offense a tick since moving off SS, but you still have to go to #214 on the all-time single-season OPS+ list before ARod's best year shows up.

As to "greatest living hitter," if we list the best single-season OPS+s since 1968, ARod doesn't show up until 49th on the list. And everyone above him is still alive, except for Stargell, who has one year above him.

That's what I mean by overrated. Some in the New York media last year <cough, Mike Francesa, cough> seriously thought that ARod's 2007 was the greatest offensive season in 50 years.
   53. Herschel Pinkus Yerucham Shmoikel Krustofsky Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:47 PM (#2847921)
But if we're disregarding Bonds, Brett is not close to #2 on the list.


Oh, agreed. It was just a justification I thought of. Another is that Brett was a simply phenomenal "pure" hitter, with tons of line drives and a strikeout rate. On that basis, I'd still rather have Musial, but Brett becomes much more defensible. On a slightly different note, who would you take as the greatest living "pure" hitter? Gwynn? Boggs? Musial? Brett?
   54. T.J. makes a mochary or the sport Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:49 PM (#2847924)
Brett Myers

Elijah Dukes
   55. Kiko Sakata Posted: July 07, 2008 at 08:55 PM (#2847943)
his incredible value is partly derived from providing that offense from what's essentially a middle infield position. He may rank as the top living player at some point, but will probably never be the greatest living hitter.


It's very hard to separate out a player's position from their "hitting" - it's so natural to do a semi-conscious mental adjustment that bumps up guys at tougher defensive positions - A-Rod, Brett, Willie Mays - and bump down defensive liabilities like Frank Thomas and Manny Ramirez.

Looking solely at hitting - no baserunning (except insofar as it translates into hits and extra-base hits), no fielding - depending on how you want to define your standard, if you exclude Bonds for the 'roid years, and use a reasonably long peak (say 6-8 years or so) as your measure of "greatness" (as opposed to career totals), I think Frank Thomas has a pretty decent case. Through age 29, he played 1,076 games over 8 seasons (7 full) and put up a line of .330/.452/.600, for an OPS+ of 182. Stan Musial, for example, had an OPS+ of 182 or higher in exactly 3 seasons, one of which was exactly 182 and one of which was 183 (he had a 200 in 1948).
   56. Fred C. Dobbs Posted: July 07, 2008 at 09:02 PM (#2847960)
ALL U KOBE HATERS SUCK! the gratest Ever! GO LAKE SHOW!!11!
   57. Moscow Hiding In The Shadows Posted: July 07, 2008 at 09:09 PM (#2847983)
You tellem, Fred. Nobody puts one over on Fred C. Dobbs
   58. Eraser-X is dominating this site! Posted: July 07, 2008 at 09:11 PM (#2847992)
Who is the greatest living Hitler?

Jesse Helms? Oh wait, nevermind...
   59. Moscow Hiding In The Shadows Posted: July 07, 2008 at 09:18 PM (#2848012)
But if we're disregarding Bonds, Brett is not close to #2 on the list.


Oh, agreed. It was just a justification I thought of. Another is that Brett was a simply phenomenal "pure" hitter, with tons of line drives and a strikeout rate. On that basis, I'd still rather have Musial, but Brett becomes much more defensible.


That was my take, too. It wasn't about simply looking at an OPS+ list. It included the aesthetics of Brett's swing (and his innumerable postseason clutch performances) along with his raw statistics. If you were going purely by the stat lines, it'd have to be Bonds, but with the other factors included, you shouldn't be ashamed to put Brett up there.

On a slightly different note, who would you take as the greatest living "pure" hitter? Gwynn? Boggs? Musial? Brett?

Musial, Brett, or Bonds, but not Gwynn or Boggs, since even if you limit your pick to players who don't have an inordinate strikeout rate, power is certainly an important part of "pure" hitting.
   60. too fat and ugly to play third Posted: July 07, 2008 at 09:29 PM (#2848058)
Let's do this logically
6. The greatest hitter would have to have played in 1946
7. The greatest hitter would have been in the AL during the period referenced above


Feller would never exclude the All Star game, so that's another vote for Musial.
   61. Kiko Sakata Posted: July 07, 2008 at 09:34 PM (#2848079)
Feller would never exclude the All Star game, so that's another vote for Musial.


Eh, Musial went 0-for-2 against Feller in the 1946 All-Star Game, although he did reach on a error by Johnny Pesky. I'm sure Feller was unimpressed.
   62. Ray DiPerna Posted: July 07, 2008 at 10:14 PM (#2848148)
Oh, agreed. It was just a justification I thought of. Another is that Brett was a simply phenomenal "pure" hitter, with tons of line drives and a strikeout rate. On that basis, I'd still rather have Musial, but Brett becomes much more defensible.

That was my take, too. It wasn't about simply looking at an OPS+ list. It included the aesthetics of Brett's swing (and his innumerable postseason clutch performances) along with his raw statistics. If you were going purely by the stat lines, it'd have to be Bonds, but with the other factors included, you shouldn't be ashamed to put Brett up there.


Well, the writer wrote six paragraphs defending his selection, and didn't once list "the aesthetics of Brett's swing." So I don't know why we're including that.

The writer simply looked over Brett's career and cherry picked and double-counted the things Brett did well. The writer provided no comparison of the things Brett did well to other living players. That's how the writer ended up with a ludicrous conclusion.

Well, that, and noticing that Sparky Anderson intentionally walked Brett a lot.

On a slightly different note, who would you take as the greatest living "pure" hitter? Gwynn? Boggs? Musial? Brett?


Bonds.

Or, to be more responsive: as far as I can tell, "pure hitter" means "hitter with the best batting average and least power who doesn't walk or strike out much." I guess if one is defining it that way the answer is Gwynn or Ichiro, but the question is completely uninteresting to me. It's simply a mechanism to pretend that a Tony Gwynn is better than he was.
   63. Moscow Hiding In The Shadows Posted: July 07, 2008 at 10:43 PM (#2848200)
That was my take, too. It wasn't about simply looking at an OPS+ list. It included the aesthetics of Brett's swing (and his innumerable postseason clutch performances) along with his raw statistics. If you were going purely by the stat lines, it'd have to be Bonds, but with the other factors included, you shouldn't be ashamed to put Brett up there.

Well, the writer wrote six paragraphs defending his selection, and didn't once list "the aesthetics of Brett's swing." So I don't know why we're including that.


OK, then, I guess it's my take on my position, and not my take on the writer's position. And no, even discounting his steroid years you can't put Brett above Bonds. I love Brett, and as a Yankee fan I've never seen a more frightening late inning sight, but there's just too wide a statistical discrepancy between the two of them to make that kind of a stretch.

as far as I can tell, "pure hitter" means "hitter with the best batting average and least power who doesn't walk or strike out much." I guess if one is defining it that way the answer is Gwynn or Ichiro, but the question is completely uninteresting to me. It's simply a mechanism to pretend that a Tony Gwynn is better than he was.

I'm not sure that this was the writer's conscious intention, but it does seem to have that result. And if you employ that power-free standard, you can probably add Carew to that short list of candidates for "greatest living 'pure hitter'" while you're at it. It's an interesting sub-question to the concept of "greatest living hitter," but I place the stress emphatically on the "sub-" part. You can't seriously equate a group of talented banjo hitters to the likes of Bonds, Brett, or Musial.
   64. Ricky C. Posted: July 07, 2008 at 11:15 PM (#2848258)
It's kinda funny how even as the former home run king, Hank Aaron doesn't come to mind for these sort of discussions quite as quickly as Musial, Mays, Bonds, or someday, Pujols.


Hank Aaron is actually the first person I thought of. My list, with extremely minimal thought or research:

1. Bonds
2. Pujols
3. Aaron
4. Musial
5. Mays
6. F. Robby
7. ManRam
8. A-Hole
9. V. Guerrero
10. Big Hurt/Big Mac/Dick Allen
   65. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: July 07, 2008 at 11:17 PM (#2848260)
Bonds.

Or, to be more responsive: as far as I can tell, "pure hitter" means "hitter with the best batting average and least power who doesn't walk or strike out much." I guess if one is defining it that way the answer is Gwynn or Ichiro, but the question is completely uninteresting to me. It's simply a mechanism to pretend that a Tony Gwynn is better than he was.


Yes, there's nothing more interesting than just looking at the BBRef leaderboard for career OPS+, then checking to see which one's still kicking, to determine the answer to the question.

I think there's a number of ways you can look at it, each interesting in its own way.

Historically, I think you can make a reasonable argument for three ways:

The best offensive player (aka Ray's way) The guy who was the most productive in all phrases of batting. Obviously Bonds is the choice.

The best hitter, power and average, disregarding walks. The idea behind this is that while walks are part of a player's offensive game, they're not "hitting." Brett might fall into this category, though he wouldn't trump Hank as the best still breathing.

The best "pure" hitter. As far as I understand it, this is meant to describe those guys who most consistently hit strikes hard. They don't swing and miss often (consequently, they don't walk). Tony Gwynn may be the best (though I didn't see enough of the older generation to tell whether he was actually better at this than Stan the Man, for example.)

And before Ray objects, I think a lot of ballplayers use this definition for this question. I imagine if you told Jim Thome he was a better hitter than Tony Gwynn, he'd laugh.

And two other possibilities...

The best hitter, anything goes division. The magicians with the bat, who can turn on a fastball, drop a bunt, bounce a chopper off astroturf, or inside-out a pitch to left. Ichiro and Carew come to mind.

The best hitter, strike zone be damned. Not just the guys who eschewed walks, but the guys who can hit any pitch, from the one in the dirt to the one at their eyes and everywhere in between, equally hard. Vlad is the obvious current choice, and I believe Clemente had a similar skill set.

If you want to stop after the first category, that's fine. Kind of makes for a boring exercise, in my view.
   66. rconn23 Posted: July 07, 2008 at 11:19 PM (#2848264)
Even better question... Who is the worst living hitter?
   67. Greg Maddux School of Reflexive Profanity Posted: July 07, 2008 at 11:32 PM (#2848276)
2. Pujols
10. Big Hurt


I'd like to hear any remotely coherent argument in favor of this position.
   68. villageidiom Posted: July 07, 2008 at 11:45 PM (#2848292)
Muhammad Ali.
   69. Baseballing powerhouse Crispix Attacks Posted: July 07, 2008 at 11:56 PM (#2848310)
Even better question... Who is the worst living hitter?

I believe Tony McKnight has the most career plate appearances of any living player with zero career hits. But I could have searched for the wrong thing.
   70. Baseballing powerhouse Crispix Attacks Posted: July 07, 2008 at 11:59 PM (#2848317)
Who are the two pitchers to have walked Tony McKnight, the worst living hitter? Mac Suzuki and Lance Davis. I have no memory of Lance Davis, whose career will certainly inspire future scholars, or even me right now, to ask why he only pitched that one season.
   71. Baseballing powerhouse Crispix Attacks Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:04 AM (#2848324)
And of course I was wrong. Randy Tate had more chances for a hit than McKnight, going 0 for 41 in his career. How did my earlier search miss him?

OK, I'll shut up now.
   72. Dock Ellis on Acid Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:06 AM (#2848327)
Shouldn't the greatest living hitter still be active? Or at least Barry Bonds? I mean, Stan Musial can't hit anymore. If he could, he'd still be playing.
   73. Baseballing powerhouse Crispix Attacks Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:08 AM (#2848328)
By Dock Ellis's standards, Randy Tate would definitely be the worst living hitter, since Tony McKnight is probably in better shape than him at the moment.

On the other hand, Randy Tate, whoever he is, could probably outhit Stan Musial right now, being only 55 years old.

It's so hard to establish consistent standards for this sort of thing.
   74. Ray DiPerna Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:18 AM (#2848339)
Hank Aaron is actually the first person I thought of. My list, with extremely minimal thought or research:

1. Bonds
2. Pujols
3. Aaron
4. Musial
5. Mays
6. F. Robby
7. ManRam
8. A-Hole
9. V. Guerrero
10. Big Hurt/Big Mac/Dick Allen


How does Pujols, with 1150 games, and not having played through his decline phase yet, get listed ahead of the other players on the list? Thomas has a career twice as long, and loses nothing to Pujols at the front of it. McGwire had a higher peak, and was roughly the same hitter in a career 700 games longer. Mays and Aaron played 3,000 and 3200 games, respectively.
   75. AlouGoodbye Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:26 AM (#2848343)
The best hitter, power and average, disregarding walks. The idea behind this is that while walks are part of a player's offensive game, they're not "hitting." Brett might fall into this category, though he wouldn't trump Hank as the best still breathing.
Hank Aaron .305/.555 vs park-adjusted league of .261/.395.
Barry Bonds .298/.607 vs park-adjusted league of .263/.410.
George Brett .385/.487 vs park-adjusted league of .364/.396.

If we calculate BAS+ (like OPS+ but with BA instead of OBP) we get:

Bonds - 161 BAS+
Aaron - 157 BAS+
Brett - 139 BAS+

It's still Bonds. Of course this is career not peak but Bonds's peak obviously puts him further ahead.

And, like a kid with a new toy, here's the numbers for the other worthies mentioned in this thread:

Musial - 159 BAS+
Thomas - 145 BAS+
Pujols - 168 BAS+
Mays - 153 BAS+
Vlad - 153 BAS+
Piazza - 146 BAS+
A-Rod - 146 BAS+
Pesky(!) - 109 BAS+
Ramirez - 148 BAS+
Belle - 144 BAS+
Bagwell - 139 BAS+
Frank Robinson - 148 BAS+
Sosa - 128 BAS+
Gwynn - 144 BAS+
McGwire - 144 BAS+
Schmidt - 134 BAS+
Boggs - 129 BAS+
Carew - 137 BAS+
Allen - 152 BAS+
Ichiro - 128 BAS+

Other notables:

Cabrera - 142 BAS+
Snider - 138 BAS+
Chipper - 141 BAS+

Pujols has his decline phase ahead of him (with old player skills that batting average will come far closer to league average). So the crown goes to Bonds, although Albert may take it from him depending on how he ages.
The best "pure" hitter. As far as I understand it, this is meant to describe those guys who most consistently hit strikes hard.
By that definition, the answer is still Bonds.

Most every way you ask the question, you're going to get the same answer.

EDIT: All data I got from bb-ref.com. Any errors made are my fault.
   76. Ricky C. Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:41 AM (#2848358)
How does Pujols, with 1150 games, and not having played through his decline phase yet, get listed ahead of the other players on the list?


Because I think Albert Pujols is the second best living hitter? I didn't try to come up with a list of the ten most accomplished living hitters. I could have easily played it safe and rounded up the usual suspects.

I'd like to hear any remotely coherent argument in favor of this position.


Frank Thomas is 40 years old, a career .302 hitter with 520 home runs. Let's say he finishes at 550 and .300. I'll be shocked if Pujols doesn't hit at least 600 HR and I bet he hits at least .310 for his career. Yes, you could have said the same thing about Frank Thomas when he was 28.

Other than Bonds, Albert Pujols is the best hitter I've seen in my life (I'm 36).
   77. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:41 AM (#2848359)
Interesting stuff AlouGoodbye. I don't think folks who look at it that way tend to put a number on it (and I'm not sure how you would put a number on the "pure" hitter equation, since I doubt data exists for balls "hit hard"), but the BAS+ thing is pretty cool.
   78. Ray DiPerna Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:48 AM (#2848364)
   79. AlouGoodbye Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:49 AM (#2848367)
Note: just rereading my post I mistyped the Brett numbers horribly. It should be .305/.487 and league of .264/.396. The 139 BAS+ is correct though.
   80. Kiko Sakata Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:52 AM (#2848368)
I'll be shocked if Pujols doesn't hit at least 600 HR and I bet he hits at least .310 for his career.


You're WAYYYYY under-estimating what a normal decline phase looks like. When Frank Thomas was Albert Pujols's current age (28), he had a career OPS+ of 182. Pujols has had one full season in his career so far with an OPS+ above 182 (2003, 187).
   81. Ray DiPerna Posted: July 08, 2008 at 12:52 AM (#2848370)
Yes, there's nothing more interesting than just looking at the BBRef leaderboard for career OPS+, then checking to see which one's still kicking, to determine the answer to the question.


Actually, that wasn't my method at all. Number of games matters also; Bonds has 3,000 of them. Steals matter also; Bonds has 500 of them. Peak matters also; Bonds had the greatest peak of all time.

OPS+ is certainly a good place to start, though. If Brett isn't in the same galaxy as Bonds in terms of OPS+, then Brett needs to make up that difference in some other way. Does he make the difference up with steals? No. Games? No. Peak? No.

There's only one sane answer to the question, and that's Bonds. But even if one wants to disregard him, Brett is not a rational choice. "One of the best hitters of his era" -- that about sums Brett up. But if a player is only "one of the best hitters" of his era, it's going to be damned difficult to make a case for him as the best hitter of the last *three* eras. And as we saw, the author failed miserably at it, not even bothering to compare Brett to other candidates.

I think there's a number of ways you can look at it, each interesting in its own way.


I was using value to gauge "best" or "greatest." I don't see any other reasonable way to answer the question.

Historically, I think you can make a reasonable argument for three ways:

The best offensive player (aka Ray's way) The guy who was the most productive in all phrases of batting. Obviously Bonds is the choice.

The best hitter, power and average, disregarding walks. The idea behind this is that while walks are part of a player's offensive game, they're not "hitting." Brett might fall into this category, though he wouldn't trump Hank as the best still breathing.


But since walks certainly are part of "hitting" -- as I'm sure you agree -- this argument makes no sense.

And why would Brett trump Bonds by this definition?

The best "pure" hitter. As far as I understand it, this is meant to describe those guys who most consistently hit strikes hard. They don't swing and miss often (consequently, they don't walk). Tony Gwynn may be the best (though I didn't see enough of the older generation to tell whether he was actually better at this than Stan the Man, for example.)


And this isn't "hitting." It's "pure" hitting, whatever the hell that is.

And before Ray objects, I think a lot of ballplayers use this definition for this question. I imagine if you told Jim Thome he was a better hitter than Tony Gwynn, he'd laugh.


Or maybe Thome would remember that he has 500 home runs and 1500 walks, and not laugh.

But I don't care whether Thome knows that he's a better hitter than Gwynn; I care whether a rational, objective way to measure offensive value tells me that Thome is a better hitter than Gwynn. You're making the same mistake the writer makes above, trying to answer the question by telling us what Sparky Anderson thinks about Brett. I don't care what Sparky Anderson thinks about Brett; I care what Brett did.

And two other possibilities...

The best hitter, anything goes division. The magicians with the bat, who can turn on a fastball, drop a bunt, bounce a chopper off astroturf, or inside-out a pitch to left. Ichiro and Carew come to mind.

The best hitter, strike zone be damned. Not just the guys who eschewed walks, but the guys who can hit any pitch, from the one in the dirt to the one at their eyes and everywhere in between, equally hard. Vlad is the obvious current choice, and I believe Clemente had a similar skill set.

If you want to stop after the first category, that's fine. Kind of makes for a boring exercise, in my view.


Well, since the question was who was the best ("greatest") living hitter, I think I'll stop there, yes. The above are simply different questions. It's like asking who the "best pitcher, groundball division" is; it's not the same question as "who is the best pitcher?". Chien Ming Wang is not as good as Johan Santana, no matter how many ground balls he gets.
   82. Monty Posted: July 08, 2008 at 01:02 AM (#2848378)
But since walks certainly are part of "hitting" -- as I'm sure you agree -- this argument makes no sense.


I don't think it's entirely unreasonable to ask who the best player at "swinging the bat and hitting the ball" was. It's a very specific skill which is a subset of a baseball player's offensive skillset, and I think that could be what people are talking about when they say "hitting". Not "Who was the best at getting a positive result when standing at the plate", but "who was the best at actually hitting the ball".

I mean, the answer's still probably Barry Bonds, but walks are not a necessary part of the equation when you're talking about "hitting".
   83. Ray DiPerna Posted: July 08, 2008 at 01:07 AM (#2848380)
Other than Bonds, Albert Pujols is the best hitter I've seen in my life (I'm 36).


McGwire and Thomas say hello.
   84. Ray DiPerna Posted: July 08, 2008 at 01:10 AM (#2848381)
I mean, the answer's still probably Barry Bonds, but walks are not a necessary part of the equation when you're talking about "hitting".


They most certainly are. Why are people hung up on labels? Walks are part of "hitting."

The goal of hitting is to produce a favorable result, as you note. That's what walks are. They're not as favorable as a single, double, triple, or home run, but they're still favorable, as everyone here agrees.
   85. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: July 08, 2008 at 01:17 AM (#2848387)
There's only one sane answer to the question, and that's Bonds. But even if one wants to disregard him, Brett is not a rational choice. "One of the best hitters of his era" -- that about sums Brett up. But if a player is only "one of the best hitters" of his era, it's going to be damned difficult to make a case for him as the best hitter of the last *three* eras. And as we saw, the author failed miserably at it, not even bothering to compare Brett to other candidates.


I don't know why you think I'm making a case for Brett under any of these definitions, or defending the author's position.

But since walks certainly are part of "hitting" -- as I'm sure you agree -- this argument makes no sense.


Actually, I think it depends on how you look at it (you've made it abundantly clear on numerous threads that you only look at things one way, and fail to see any sense in the way anybody else sees things.)

If you ask someone who the greatest "hitter" was, he's free to interpret that as the guy who is the most proficient at actually hitting the ball, not taking four balls. If you ask him who the greatest living "offensive player" was, he might give you a different answer. You choose not to, and that's OK too.

And this isn't "hitting." It's "pure" hitting, whatever the hell that is.


I ####### told you what it was. The guy who is the most proficient at hitting the ball hard, the greatest percentage of the time he swings the bat. Look at it as hitting as a technical skill, rather than as an end result.

Jim Thome swings and misses a lot. Since I don't think he's intending to do that, it's a failure on his part, something a guy like Tony Gwynn was much better at avoiding. It just so happens, Thome's swings and misses are actually beneficial to him in the context of offensive performance (he hits a lot of bombs with his full-throttle swing, and it gives him additional opportunities to pile up the walks that elude a guy like Gwynn). But it's still true that when it comes to taking one swing at a ball and hitting it hard someplace, Tony Gwynn was better at it than Jim Thome. When many people describe pure hitter, that's what they're talking about.

If you want to look at the question in a single way, go ahead, though I guess I find it somewhat strange that you would then include baserunning in a question of the greatest living hitter.

Frankly, I'm not advocating any of these positions (nor taking a hard stance on who would be the greatest in those categories). But I think it's a hell of a lot more interesting to consider the possibilities than your "only one sane answer" method.
   86. Monty Posted: July 08, 2008 at 01:32 AM (#2848401)
They most certainly are. Why are people hung up on labels? Walks are part of "hitting."


Look, do you think its worthwhile to talk about who has the strongest throwing arm? Or are we only allowed to talk about Overall Defensive Value? So why can't we talk about who was best at hitting the ball without having to include walks and baserunning in it? The component skills are interesting to examine sometimes. And what would you suggest that skill would be called?
   87. Softball-Playing Human Refuses to Be Walked Posted: July 08, 2008 at 01:42 AM (#2848407)
Other than Bonds, Albert Pujols is the best hitter I've seen in my life (I'm 36).

McGwire and Thomas say hello.
Hello back. Thomas > Pujols I can see, but WRT McGwire, all things being equal I'd rather have the hitter whose BA is a larger component of is OBP. (And of course, all things aren't equal; Pujols' OBP is a fair bit higher.)
   88. Zach Posted: July 08, 2008 at 01:42 AM (#2848408)
In the spirit of having a little fun, I give you hitting average = (H-SO)/AB.

Best seasons since 1900:
+-----------+-----------+--------+---------+
namefirst namelast  yearid hitting |
+-----------+-----------+--------+---------+
George    Sisler    |   1922 |  0.3959 
George    Sisler    |   1920 |  0.3772 
Lefty     O'Doul    |   1929 |  0.3683 | 
| Harry     | Heilmann  |   1927 |  0.3663 | 
| Tris      | Speaker   |   1920 |  0.3641 | 
| Rogers    | Hornsby   |   1924 |  0.3638 | 
| Tris      | Speaker   |   1925 |  0.3613 | 
| Joe       | Jackson   |   1920 |  0.3579 | 
| Paul      | Waner     |   1927 |  0.3579 | 
| Heinie    | Manush    |   1928 |  0.3558 | 
| Ty        | Cobb      |   1922 |  0.3555 | 
| Tris      | Speaker   |   1923 |  0.3537 | 
| Tris      | Speaker   |   1922 |  0.3521 | 
| Ty        | Cobb      |   1921 |  0.3511 | 
| Tris      | Speaker   |   1916 |  0.3498 | 
| Ty        | Cobb      |   1925 |  0.3494 | 
| Bill      | Terry     |   1930 |  0.3491 | 
| Arky      | Vaughan   |   1935 |  0.3487 | 
| Tony      | Gwynn     |   1994 |  0.3484 | 
| Ted       | Williams  |   1941 |  0.3465 | 
| Harry     | Heilmann  |   1925 |  0.3455 | 
| Eddie     | Collins   |   1923 |  0.3446 | 
| Paul      | Waner     |   1928 |  0.3439 | 
| Lefty     | O'
Doul    |   1930 |  0.3428 
Zack      Wheat     |   1924 |  0.3428 
Pie       Traynor   |   1929 |  0.3426 
Zack      Wheat     |   1923 |  0.3410 
George    Brett     |   1980 |  0.3408 
Eddie     Collins   |   1920 |  0.3405 
Luke      Appling   |   1936 |  0.3403 
Tony      Gwynn     |   1995 |  0.3402 
Ty        Cobb      |   1919 |  0.3400 
Lou       Boudreau  |   1948 |  0.3393 
Tommy     Holmes    |   1945 |  0.3381 
Debs      Garms     |   1940 |  0.3380 
Tris      Speaker   |   1921 |  0.3379 
Paul      Waner     |   1930 |  0.3379 
Joe       DiMaggio  |   1939 |  0.3377 
Goose     Goslin    |   1928 |  0.3377 
Smoky     Burgess   |   1954 |  0.3362 
Lefty     O'Doul    |   1932 |  0.3345 | 
| Sam       | Rice      |   1925 |  0.3344 | 
| Charlie   | Gehringer |   1936 |  0.3339 | 
| Charlie   | Jamieson  |   1924 |  0.3333 | 
| Ty        | Cobb      |   1927 |  0.3327 | 
| Joe       | DiMaggio  |   1941 |  0.3327 | 
| Ty        | Cobb      |   1918 |  0.3325 | 
| Edd       | Roush     |   1921 |  0.3325 | 
| Harry     | Heilmann  |   1921 |  0.3322 | 
| Joe       | Jackson   |   1919 |  0.3314 | 
| Charlie   | Hollocher |   1922 |  0.3311 | 
| Joe       | Sewell    |   1923 |  0.3309 | 
+-----------+-----------+--------+---------+


George Brett's 1980 comes in at second among living players.
   89. Ricky C. Posted: July 08, 2008 at 01:51 AM (#2848412)
You're WAYYYYY under-estimating what a normal decline phase looks like. When Frank Thomas was Albert Pujols's current age (28), he had a career OPS+ of 182.


I don't think Pujols will have a "normal" decline phase. He'll decline, obviously. But I expect him to produce well for many years. I freely admit that is an educated guess. And I actually think Frank Thomas had a somewhat abnormal decline phase. I think he started to drop off a few years before you would've expected and his 30s mixed some quite dreadful years with a couple of mini-renaissances. I still find his 30s quite odd looking when you look at his career numbers. I'll be very surprised if Pujols doesn't have a much more consistent and productive 30s than Thomas.

Barring injury, Pujols needs 300 dongs in the next 12 years to get 600. Hell, even Griffey got to 600. He's going to make it unless he has a career-ender.

If he gets 5,000 more official AB in his career (he currently has 4317), he'll need to hit .290 the rest of his career to finish up at .310. And even the pessimist has to figure he's got a real good chance to hit .320-.330 for the next 1,500 or 2,000 of them. What would he need from there out to hit .310? Maybe about .275 or something. Whatever it is, very doable. I don't know what the various prediction toys say for Albert, but I'm taking the over on 600 HR and a .310 career BA.
   90. Ricky C. Posted: July 08, 2008 at 01:51 AM (#2848413)
McGwire and Thomas say hello.


Apparently, I'm entitled to Ray DiPerna's opinion.
   91. Zach Posted: July 08, 2008 at 02:40 AM (#2848422)
Career leaders in "hitting average" (min 1000 h) in the lively ball era (deadball hitters completely dominate this stat):

+-----------+------------+---------+------+
namefirst namelast   hitting hits |
+-----------+------------+---------+------+
Tris      Speaker    |  0.3294 1496 
Ty        Cobb       |  0.3220 1476 
Eddie     Collins    |  0.3204 1334 
Lefty     O'Doul     |  0.3128 | 1136 | 
| George    | Sisler     |  0.3089 | 2033 | 
| Zack      | Wheat      |  0.3056 | 1337 | 
| Sam       | Rice       |  0.2997 | 2561 | 
| Edd       | Roush      |  0.2987 | 1581 | 
| Joe       | Sewell     |  0.2961 | 2226 | 
| Harry     | Heilmann   |  0.2959 | 2085 | 
| Rogers    | Hornsby    |  0.2947 | 2310 | 
| Lloyd     | Waner      |  0.2941 | 2459 | 
| Jack      | Tobin      |  0.2935 | 1255 | 
| Paul      | Waner      |  0.2935 | 3152 | 
| Tony      | Gwynn      |  0.2915 | 3141 | 
| Frankie   | Frisch     |  0.2891 | 2837 | 
| Heinie    | Manush     |  0.2847 | 2524 | 
| Pie       | Traynor    |  0.2828 | 2416 | 
| Dale      | Mitchell   |  0.2824 | 1244 | 
| Riggs     | Stephenson |  0.2813 | 1515 | 
| Charlie   | Gehringer  |  0.2784 | 2839 | 
| Mickey    | Cochrane   |  0.2776 | 1652 | 
| Tommy     | Holmes     |  0.2774 | 1507 | 
| Earle     | Combs      |  0.2764 | 1866 | 
| Rip       | Radcliff   |  0.2764 | 1267 | 
| Arky      | Vaughan    |  0.2759 | 2103 | 
+-----------+------------+---------+------+


Tony Gwynn: greatest living hitter!
   92. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: July 08, 2008 at 02:48 AM (#2848427)
I know the last line is in jest, Zach, but that chart is in the spirt of what I'm talking about. Ray might not find it interesting, but I do.

If asked who I thought was the greatest living hitter, I'd say Bonds. But I see nothing wrong with approaching the question from a different angle, and arriving at a different answer to that question.
   93. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: July 08, 2008 at 03:02 AM (#2848428)
Greatest living hitters

Danny Jackson
Mario Mendoza
Luis Pujols
Tony Pena Jr.
Rey Ordonez
Neifi Perez
Billy Ripken
Ozzie Guillen
Joey Gathright
Joe Giraldi

(wait, I might have the wrong list here)
   94. Blackadder Posted: July 08, 2008 at 07:11 AM (#2848442)
SoSH, I am curious why you would prefer the higher BA. My understanding was that, for fixed values of OBP and SLG, a LOWER BA was actually preferable, at least in high scoring environments. See, for instance, the table at the end of http://www.tangotiger.net/ops2.html

I would see McGwire vs Pujols as pretty close, but I would probably take McGwire (although obviously Pujols is better overall).
   95. AROM Posted: July 08, 2008 at 08:01 AM (#2848451)
I'm generally not one of the anti-Barry posters around here. I would not hold him out of the HOF as punishment and I think many teams are being idiots by not offering him a contract. But this is one place where I think steroids should disqualify him. Before foods, he was not a better hitter than Frank Thomas.
   96. Chris Dial Posted: July 08, 2008 at 08:39 AM (#2848460)
But this is one place where I think steroids should disqualify him.
Why? Did he not perform?

Did Frank Thomas take steroids? Amphetamines? Any PED?
   97. Fred Garvin, Male Prostitute Posted: July 08, 2008 at 08:55 AM (#2848463)
Biff Pocoroba.

What's the question again?
   98. Eraser-X is dominating this site! Posted: July 08, 2008 at 09:03 AM (#2848468)
Did Frank Thomas take steroids? Amphetamines? Any PED?


No.

Frank Thomas risked his career for a more rigorous testing regime. I generally agree with the "why pick on him--everyone was using" argument, but this is taking one of the few people in the era who DID take a stand against steroids, ignoring that and then disparaging their name.

I mean, we don't KNOW that Dr. King didn't lynch people, but I think people would be understandably upset if you used that argument.
   99. The Politics of Torre: How the HOF Really Works Posted: July 08, 2008 at 09:25 AM (#2848475)
The greatest living hitter is probably some kid we never heard of who was just born in Santo Domingo, DR. Chew on that.
   100. Chris Dial Posted: July 08, 2008 at 09:26 AM (#2848476)
. I generally agree with the "why pick on him--everyone was using" argument, but this is taking one of the few people in the era who DID take a stand against steroids, ignoring that and then disparaging their name.
Well, Frank did play major college football at an SEC school and certainly was around lots of it. He may well have used earlier in his career and came to an understanding. That doesn't say he never took amphetamines, but that he learned early on what steroids would do to a body. Maybe he gave up football because he wouldn't use.

At any rate, the point stands: why would Bonds be disqualified - he's either the best hitter or he isn't. Why he is the best hitter dosn't seem relevant.
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