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Which teams?
It's a PR thing. Each of the 30 teams is more interested in making money than winning; no shock there, baseball is a business.* And, frankly, given the public perception of both Bonds and Clemens - partly from what they're accused of, partly from media perception/agendas/etc., partly from how they've chosen to behave over the course of their careers in the public arena - it should be no shock that any team would choose not to hire either of them.
And if it isn't a shock that any one team wouldn't even consider to hire either of them, why is it so hard to believe that each of 30 teams reached the same conclusion independent of each other?
* Yes, winning tends to bring the money. But that ignores the key middleman: the fans. Winning brings fans; fans bring money. If a player has the potential to be a huge PR problem, winning might not bring fans. Heck, it might turn fans away. Businesses also like to minimize risk, and the perceived PR risk is huge.
Wins all games = wow, roids are good
Wins about average = wow, roids are a waste of time
I wonder how he'll perform when he has to pick up the bar of soap in the shower at San Quentin?
However, part of my original calculus was based on the assumption that Bonds was looking for something along the lines of $10 million (or whereabouts), which while a obscene bargain for someone of his batting ability in any other situation, still wouldn't be worth it for the sh*tstorm of negative publicity that would come to any team that signed him.
But if what Borris says is true - that Bonds would play for $500,000 and donate that to charity to buy ballgame tickets for kids - then I'm a little disappointed that somebody wouldn't take him up on that. As some may remember, I'm pretty strongly in the anti-Barry camp alongside Andy and Kevin: you can't erase his records but you can definitely put the metaphorical Asterisk Of Shame on them.
But this would be a pretty sweet narrative all around: Barry playing for mininum wage out of sheer love for the game (let's be honest, the man ain't got nothing left to prove at this point), donating his salary to bring inner-city kids (hopefully) to the ballpark and create new fans, maybe learning a little humility in his final year, and helping a team to go to the postseason.** Hell, if the Rays signed him, Barry could well push them over the edge to a ridiculously awesome World Series Championship.
It's probably still never gonna happen, but if Borris isn't BS'ing here, these are the terms under which I'd actually really enjoy seeing it happen.
**Any team that signs him should stipulate: no Lay-Z-Boy.
For the record, I would love to see Barry play this year.
Which teams?
Let's go through a couple of teams with executives on the hot seat.
Team: Toronto. Executive: JP Riccardi. DH: Matt Stairs. OPS: 748
Team: Seattle. Executive: Bavasi (already fired). DH: Jose Vidro. OPS: 585
Team: Mets. Executive: Omar Minaya. LF: Angel Pagan. OPS: 720
Barry Bonds 2007 OPS: 1.045
Why haven't any of these GM's hired Bonds for the minimum to try and save their jobs?
The only reason I can think of is orders from above.
And as a couple of bonus stats:
Team: Cleveland. DH: Hafner. OPS: 676
Team: Detroit. DH: Sheffield. OPS: 691
what exactly is an apologist?
Nice work by Borris, too. It'll be hilarious if MLB ends up having to pay Barry a few million more.
But basically, in EVERY case you could conceivably mention, it boils down to the GM making the calculation "Bad PR + possibility Bonds will fall off the cliff = not worth risking my job, no matter what."
I wish. Pagan has been out since May 12th. Since then it's mainly a combo of Damion Easley (OPS .652), Marlon Anderson (.531), Fernando Tatis (.613), and Trot Nixon (.577).
When a guy is sitting and waiting for the ax to fall, he might as well take a risk. Even if GMs with safe jobs are afraid of bad PR, the guys on the hot seat should be resorting to all sorts of desperate measures. Even more desperate than signing Trot Nixon
I'm thinking somewhere along the lines of:
440/700/1200
I don't think I'm kidding either
So you'd form the baseball equivilent of the Oakland Raiders?
why do you think it would be that low???
hehhehheh
and by the way i sure do hope you are likeing your job i know you can't talk about it...
I can't think of any baseball players with major felonies on their records, so let's look at other sports:
Ray Lewis was involved in a murder. Kobe Bryant was accused of rape.
Both were some of the best players in their sport, so those incidents have been quickly forgotten.
Michael Vick killed and tortured dogs. He was a mediocre disappointing quarterback, so he was vilified and dumped by his organization.
If he had realized his prospect potential, you can bet that the Atlanta Falcons would've stood by him.
Most fans only care about winning. Who here would honestly stop watching their team if they signed a bad (character) guy?
Selig controls a central fund from (IIRC) luxury tax money. He doesn't have to explain publicly where that money goes. I believe it is supposed to be used for stadium construcion or improvement, but it is basically Selig's to dispense as he sees fit. I think that's the same leverage he holds over teams that won't pay over slot in the draft.
It used to amuse me how Lupica would always find some extraneous reason for fellating Vick on The Sports Reporters.
And yet teams go over slot all the time. Selig is also only Commisioner as a result of the 30 owners/representatives of the teams, many of which are reps for significant corporations. Do you honestly think that these organizations/corporations would put up with threats from Selig over his disbursement of discretionary funds? I don't.
That being said, if Borris is being truthful about Bonds offering to:
a) play for the minimum, and
b) donate his entire salary to charity
and no one wants him, then even if there isn't collusion, this will look bad.
Pardon my idiocy, but did Bonds kill somebody? I think you actually have to do something serious to wind up at San Quentin.
2006 - 113.1 IP, 193 ERA+, had expressed interest in playing again
2007 - 99 IP, 108 ERA+, had not expressed interest in playing again, had multiple mistresses publicly identified, and generally had his reputation trashed.
Also, there is no reason to think that Clemens would play for the minimum, given the way that he's held up teams the last three years.
I don't think there is provable collusion and may not be colluion at all. As far as "looking bad" vis-a-vis the salary/charity issue, I think #9 has it right: Bonds has been demonized to such a huge degree (part of that is on him; part of it is not) that I don't think that angle will be taken seriously.
I don't think there is provable collusion either, and I agree that the public largely won't care if Bonds isn't in the league.
However, the issue for Bonds isn't about public opinion - it's about a lawsuit and damages if it can be shown that baseball conspired to keep him out of the league. It's also about the players union having the option to reopen the CBA if it can be shown that 5 or more teams conspired. Given 30 teams declined to sign Bonds for the minimum (and charity), his case just got stronger, as did that of the union (should they chose to pursue it).
Nobody cares. No significant number of fans from any team have been clamoring for their team to sign him. If that's not the case, then it's one of baseball's all-time best kept secrets.
It may be unfair that he's one of the few players in this predicament, since he's hardly been the game's only juicer. But then his reward to risk equation worked out pretty well for him, didn't it? What's one year of exile compared to the money that the juice helped him get?
But I still think that some team will sign him by late July or early August, especially if that minimum salary offer is legit.
All teams? I swear Mets fans have complained here that the Mets refuse to draft and pay over slot. I do believe that an owner that is building a new stadium would make sure to keep the commissioner happy to decrease the cost of building a stadium. Why don't you believe that?
What part of "Barry has been offered at the minimum salary" do people not understand? He's been offered to all 30 teams for the minimum. None of the 30 teams have accepted. People try to claim that Bonds won't really play for the minimum, but that skips a step: a team needs to accept his offer first. Only then will we find out whether Bonds is bluffing. To claim that the problem is that Bonds must be bluffing, rather than the problem being that no team has accepted his offer, is a bit silly and naive.
Evidence?
bonds (supposedly) took steroids and this is what made him into the great baseball player he was and even after being off roids for 3 years, it made him break babe ruth's Sacred Home Run Record
and this is the worst crime ever committed by any human being in the history of this planet which is why he should get a life sentence without parole in san quentin and get gang raped every day
duh
Ray, perhaps you could show me these people who claim that Bonds probably won't play for the minimum. I can't seem to find them in this thread.
While it's possible that fans will forgive, ignore, or otherwise dismiss the general negativity surrounding Bonds or Clemens, it's doubtful it'd happen in the short term. It's more likely that the short term will produce protests, boycotts, drops in ticket and merchandise sales, and potential drops in ad revenue - not the results a death row GM needs to get a stay of execution.
So you're saying the only possible players with significant PR problems for a team are those with major felonies on their records? Or is your comment a non-sequitur?
Most fans root for a team that hasn't won jack in the last five years, and can't reasonably be expected to win this year. Yet they still seem to care, a lot. Sure, they want their team to win, but they still root for their team if they don't.
Most fans are fans of baseball in addition to being fans of their team. Here and elsewhere, most fans have a preference on the issues of instant replay, the designated hitter, artificial turf, maple bats, interleague play, pitch counts, PEDs, home-field advantage for the WS, Pete Rose's eligibility for the HoF, and so on, their preference often having nothing to do with their team's chances of winning. Everyone wants baseball a certain way, for whatever reason - but mostly because, at some root level, they care about baseball. There is no evidence that they only care about winning, and plenty of evidence that they care about other stuff. Please, let's stop pretending that baseball fans are as simple-minded as you suggest.
It might help if a segment of baseball fans didn't continue to assert that Bonds' early retirement package is the coincidental result of 30 isolated, uncoordinated, and completely logical roster decisions.
Michael Vick killed and tortured dogs. He was a mediocre disappointing quarterback, so he was vilified and dumped by his organization.
If he had realized his prospect potential, you can bet that the Atlanta Falcons would've stood by him.
BS. Atlanta ran away from him because (a) cruelty to dogs is not your typical PR hit, it is something that really does make a lot of people genuinely mad, as opposed to steroids which makes them sort of, kind of mad; and (b) THE DUDE WAS SENTENCED TO PRISON. Hard to stand by a guy when he is behind bars.
And if he has ANYTHING left when he comes back, somebody will sign him anyway.
Yes a felony, and he is in jail.
I think that you're thinking of another NFL player, Rae Carruth, who arranged the killing of his pregnant girlfriend. He's serving a life-sentence.
Ray Lewis, indicted in the murder of two people at a nightclub, got off with a year or two of probation on a plea deal for obstruction of justice despite witness testimony (from his limo driver) that he participated in the assault on one of the decedents.
EDIT: this post was in a response to Gambling Rent in #40, who apparently realized his confusion and removed his post.
Yeah thats what it was :)
..
I went back and read the original comments, and decided my post would start a #### storm, and that it wasn't worth it. Thats all
Signing Bonds is a short term fix. This guy is not a prospect who needs development time.
While it's possible that fans will forgive, ignore, or otherwise dismiss the general negativity surrounding Bonds or Clemens, it's doubtful it'd happen in the short term.
Enough walk-off homers will generate any amount of forgiveness necessary.
So you're saying the only possible players with significant PR problems for a team are those with major felonies on their records? Or is your comment a non-sequitur?
I was trying to make a point that even (alleged) rape and murder are not enough for fans turn on a player if he contributes enough to winning.
Most fans root for a team that hasn't won jack in the last five years, and can't reasonably be expected to win this year. Yet they still seem to care, a lot. Sure, they want their team to win, but they still root for their team if they don't.
Most fans are fans of baseball in addition to being fans of their team. Here and elsewhere, most fans have a preference on the issues of instant replay, the designated hitter, artificial turf, maple bats, interleague play, pitch counts, PEDs, home-field advantage for the WS, Pete Rose's eligibility for the HoF, and so on, their preference often having nothing to do with their team's chances of winning. Everyone wants baseball a certain way, for whatever reason - but mostly because, at some root level, they care about baseball. There is no evidence that they only care about winning, and plenty of evidence that they care about other stuff. Please, let's stop pretending that baseball fans are as simple-minded as you suggest.
What you are arguing is that negative publicity caused by signing an unpopular, immoral and possibly criminal player will negatively impact revenues. We know that winning increases revenue. So you are arguing that the bad PR impact will be bigger than the extra wins impact.
Barry Bonds had 55 VORP last year while playing 3/4 of the time. Knock off some for aging, add back some for playing more as a DH in the AL, let's use 5 wins above replacement as an estimate of his value this year. According to this article, 5 wins for a bad team are worth around $4-5 million and for a playoff contender around 3 times that. So, for you to be correct, enough fans would have to stop watching and attending to cost more than $5 mil for Seattle or $10 mil for Detroit (taking two teams from my previous post as examples, see article for the dollar amounts). Sure, many fans would be disgusted by an unpopular player, but how many would actually stop following the team?
Let's start the fan survey with the most immediately available fans - you and me. I am a Red Sox fan, and, Villageidiom, I believe so are you.
How bad a sinner would the Red Sox have to sign for you to stop following them?
Would you stop watching Red Sox if they signed a wife beater?
Would you stop watching Red Sox if they signed somebody who stole laptops?
Would you stop watching Red Sox if they signed Barry Bonds?
Well, I haven't stopped watching the games, and all the complaints about Julio Lugo I hear are about his suckitude on the field and not about his domestic abuse incident. Are you going to stop watching?
He's the HR king, at least for a few years. It would be nice to be able to remember him better. Ah, well.
If there really was this collusion (and i think there may well be), that energy would have been better used if Bud had brought him back to an exciting young team under the circumstances described in the article.
heck. Schilling's better. Least he's comin back in January.
It isn't legit. It's just his agent's pathetic attempt to stir the pot and get his name out there and perhaps gain some sympathy for his client.
This has been a great baseball season so far. And you know what's even greater? It proves beyond a shadow of a doubt fans don't care about Barry Bonds.
He probably weighs about 9000 pounds by now anyway, mumbling "Rosebud" while watching replays of himself on his giant screen HD.
And have fans of any other team noticed any similar grass roots sentiments?
It's really two sides of the same coin. Few fans would care much if their team did sign Bonds, but even fewer fans really want their team to sign him. To the extent that he even enters their thoughts, they're probably not unhappy that one way or the other, he's out of baseball. It's like hearing about the death of your nagging mother-in-law.
And as a result, what you get from an owner's or GM's point of view is a simple case of leaving well enough alone. This isn't "rational" by normal baseball standards, but then very few reactions to Barry Bonds have ever been along strictly rational numberscrunching lines. That's just the way it is.
In an entertainment business, the old saying is that "there is no such thing as bad publicity". That applies here as well. As much as some people want to think that fans don't want to see Barry Bonds, that is simply not the case. The Giants used to draw 39-40K fans per game. Without Barry, they are down to 34K this year. Of course you can never take a trend in San Francisco and apply it nationwide, that goes for baseball and any other question. People there are different. They are all Barry apologists who can see no wrong with their hero.
So how about Giants road attendance?
(in thousands per game)
2004: 36
2005: 31 (Barry misses most of season)
2006: 33
2007: 35
2008: 30
Whether they show up to cheer him or boo him, it's clear that if Barry Bonds is in town, the fans will come.
What we have here is owners/GM's refusing to try sign a player that will make their team win more games and make them more money.
It's funny you say this, scott, because I think that the kevins of the world are the ones who come across this way.
Meanspirited? Check.
Dogmatic? Check.
Angry? Check.
Full of hyperbole? Check.
I concur, and think that any team that signs him will see an increase in attendance due to his presence. Maybe a majority of the increase will be there to yell at him and dance around with big Styrofoam syringes, but they'll show up.
..
I went back and read the original comments, and decided my post would start a #### storm, and that it wasn't worth it. Thats all
Really? You mean you didn't post that Ray Lewis was involved in a murder and was in jail?
The only people I know who talk about Barry Bonds every single day are a small handful of diehard sycophants here on the web site. Even in the mainstream media, hardly any of the reporters talk about him anymore. The only reason articles like this appear is because Bonds is clearly in a deep state of denial, and so keeps sending out this annoying agent that nobody in the game wants to talk to to give his "we're still here" press statements.
Nice work by Borris, too. It'll be hilarious if MLB ends up having to pay Barry a few million more.
If the players' union is really going to file this collusion grievance, they should just stop talking about it and do it already.
Personally, I don't believe it's ever going to happen. Most of the players hate his guts because of when he opted out of their merchandise deal, and also just because he's such a scum-sucking dirtbag.
My smile for the day!
Don't bother to read the crime section, eh Joey?
I'd like to see some evidence for this.
and no Jeff Kent does not = Most of the players.
Most of the players might hate Jeff Kents guts, but i would like to see some evidence for your goobly gook up there.
Is that what they're calling stone-cold batshit these days, Joe? Confused?
How are you supposed to prove this? There is rarely a "grass roots sentiment" by fans of any team to sign any player. Would you call USS Mariner's posts about Chris Antonelli a grass roots sentiment in favour of a particular GM candidate, even though it is the product of one website that isn't ready by a vast majority of Mariner fans (as most fans don't read blogs period, I would say). I don't think this is something that can ever really be demonstrated.
And, FWIW, callers to JP's weekly radio show have repeatedly asked Ricciardi about the possibility of signing Bonds, to the point where they don't take calls about the subject anymore. Of course, I'm sure lots of Jays fans wouldn't want the team to sign Bonds, but there also a good number who recognize what a healthy Bonds would bring offensively.
Should we get this notarized?
Jeff Kent constantly defends Barry in the press. They don't hate each other. Sheffield and Sosa hate Barry, but there the only guys I know of that publically hate him. I read a long article once about Eckstein and Barry becoming friends, though that may be because Barry carried him around in a papoose one winter...
I don't think it would hurt.
I was listening to Imus yesterday (I wanted to hear if he further addressed his latest boo-boo), and he re-played an interview he did with George Carlin, back in December. Imus asked him what he thought about steroids in baseball, and mentioned that they were "illegal", and Carlin said "oh, I don't care about the legality of it, lots of laws are moronic." He went on to say that he was pro-steroids, because every other sport saw advances in equipment, and the players body were part of their equipment, so they should be able to do whatever they wanted. Sure , there would be deaths, he said, but, you're "gonna get that in sports." I laughed.
As opposed to the Joe C's of the world
Morally bankrupt? Check.
Ethically ambiguous? Check.
Intellectually lazy? Check.
Nihilistic? Check.
Philistine? Check.
Stop talking to yourself.
right here, at about the 7:40 mark he just goes on a tangent. great stuff.
So Kevin's rape humor can't even get the basic facts right.
Quentin is medium security now, too. It's not the hell hole it used to be. I mean, it's still a hell hole, but not a legendary one. I think the state decided sending inmates to Marin County was too nice.
How are you supposed to prove this? There is rarely a "grass roots sentiment" by fans of any team to sign any player.....
And, FWIW, callers to JP's weekly radio show have repeatedly asked Ricciardi about the possibility of signing Bonds, to the point where they don't take calls about the subject anymore.
Well, right there you've just given us some evidence of a bit of grass roots sentiment yourself. And it's entirely possible that there's more of this in Toronto or in other cities.
But compare this to the outcry from Yankee fans about A-Rod last winter, or Santana, or fans from several teams during the Dice-K auction. Or compare this to the buzz when a hot prospect in the minors is felt to be wrongly held back. These are cases of real grass roots sentiment demanding the pursuit of a particular player, and even though it isn't always universally shared, you don't need to conduct a poll to prove its existence.
Again, I don't deny that a certain number of fans have been wanting their teams to pursue Bonds. I'm only skeptical about the extent of that desire. And needless to say, none of this has anything to do with the inherent merits of the case from a strictly baseball point of view. As I said above, with Bonds it's never strictly about baseball.
For a contending team to sign Bonds--particularly for the minimum--to help out at DH would also be reasonable business decision. I have never see any real evidence that the "circus" around Bonds affects his teams in a negative way in terms of the on-field performace. The Giants always seemed to win about as many games as the talent on the team suggested they should and of course the Pirates have been lousy ever since Bonds left.
As to the fan grassroots issue, that is impossible to measure. Casual fans, based on my exp, are not thinking about it all. Hardcore fans of teams who could use some help at DH are thinking about it.
Joe's working on the assumption that Ortiz is coming back. If it becomes clear he's not, the equation changes.
No, it isn't. Can we please stop saying this? This bad argument flew the coop when Borris told us that Bonds has been offered to all teams for the minimum salary.
We know that signing Bonds for the minimum is not a bad baseball decision. The only way it could possibly be a bad _business_ decision is if it would create a fan backlash such that the team would suffer a significant revenue drop.
And there is precisely zero evidence for that fringe lunatic position.
Hell the San Diego Padres are swallowing $4 million dollars watching Jim Edmonds hit in Chicago. LA paid Shawn Green $10 Million to play for a division rival. we are talking prorated .. .. .. minimum! and still, he can't get a sniff.
And don't think for one minute that Bud Selig couldn't put an end to all of this with one phone call. He is a prideful man too.
He controls what, 4 teams now? Milwaukee, Kansas City, Florida and Washington. He is about ready to add the Cubs into the fold if somebody would just impregnate one of his siblings ...
This is nuts.
We are talking about, arguably, the greatest baseball player ever, being denied employment, over a measly $200,000, after the year he had ?? yeah I'm the crazy one.
I have already answered that question I believe.
do you have any idea how many millions Barry has donated to charity over the years?
That's gotta chafe.
This has basically happened in cycling
Cycling fans are, for the most part, even more rabidly anti-doping than any baseball fan except Kevin, but Rock Racing has a He-yuge cult following and have brought in a lot of casual-to-outside fans.
Isn't San Quentin a state prison, anyway? Bonds wouldn't go there for a Federal conviction...
EDIT: I see Nieporent beat me to it.
Kevin is not anti doping. He is anti doping for every team except Boston.
i bet there is a word for that.
Not if the bills have been gently laundered.
As a Red Sox fan, I really hope Tampa's front office doesn't realize this, but it makes way too much sense.
Not if the bills have been gently laundered.
I don't care how soft it is, wiping with 20,000 of anything will hurt. I mean, what is an average in the US? 5 or 6 sheets - I suppose it depends on what you eat. Maybe baseball players eat a lot of prunes.
Eew. This'll teach me to make a flip response to a scat reference.
I have even gone so far as to suggest that ESPN pay Barry's salary. Bonds in Tampa makes too much sense. All those August and September games against New York and Boston would be a dream come true for the world wide leader. Ratings would be through the roof.
Tampa Bay
2-Sep vs NY Yankees
3-Sep vs NY Yankees
4-Sep vs NY Yankees
5-Sep at Toronto
6-Sep at Toronto
7-Sep at Toronto
8-Sep at Boston
9-Sep at Boston
10-Sep at Boston
12-Sep at NY Yankees
13-Sep at NY Yankees
14-Sep at NY Yankees
15-Sep vs Boston
16-Sep vs Boston
17-Sep vs Boston
TwoEr, ah, ten Salmon P. Chases ought to do it, though.Eew. This'll teach me to make a flip response to a scat reference.
You should know by now that that's how we roll here.
Well, I disagree. I think if you weigh all the factors, I can see teams saying "pass" a la Bill James and Bagwell.
OTOH, I think you can make a very good case that the Rays, Angels or Mets should go for it.
Cox, if any, could maintain a harmonious clubhouse even with Bonds. The Atlanta media and fans are laid-back and therefore Barry would be under less scrutiny. And there's the positive of inner city Atlanta youth getting tickets to the games.
Won't happen, but it makes some sense.
In poop? That's it. I'm outta here.
It depends on the team which signs Chacon. If a team already has a competent set OF/DH, but a weak bullpen, it could remain a sound baseball decision to sign Chacon first, especially if the team has interpreted the Chacon incident as being the fault of management, rather than of Chacon.
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