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EDIT: Spelling corrected.
Millwood for a backup catcher.. Ahem, that wasn't Todd Pratt or somebody of that ilk, it was Johnny Estrada, who has had a useful career as a starting catcher.
Still an extremely one-sided trade. Estrada's been useful? Millwood won an ERA title and tossed a no-hitter.
Also, Millwood, Wagner, Milton and Lidle were all in the last year of their contracts, IIRC, so those trades must be viewed in that context.
True. Heck, Lidle was only a two-month rental. All were still very good trades. Heck, having Milton for only one year arguably makes it an even better trade.
Wade is the GM definition of meh. There is a little overreaction here
The first 40 posts consisted almost exclusively of people calling him the worst GM in baseball. That's definately overreaction.
Yeah, they've been a bad franchise for most of their history, including the pre-WS era. And as a Cub fan, I enjoy pointing out that even the Cubs' 99-year title drought hasn't been long enough for the Phils to catch them in total world series titles. (Hey--how many teams can we even arguably look down on in those terms?)
Who do you think is happy now?
Rolen left around $50M on the table.
The Cardinals have Rolen through 2010 at $12M per, and he's put up two pretty poor offensive seasons out of the last three.
The Phillies have never found an adequate replacement at 3B.
This was the quintessential Ed Wade trade.
Wendell's ERA+'s for the previous 5 1/2 years: 150, 97, 143, 144, 121, 117. Phils get him ... 57 ERA+ in 15 2/3 innings.
Cook's ERA+'s for the previous 7 1/2 years: 132, 103, 123, 104, 176, 114, 82, 96. Phils get him ... 77 ERA+ in 9.7 innings.
The main knocks on Wade are: (1) mediocre middle reliever fetish, (2) doesn't help his team at the trade deadline, and (3) his teams never made the playoffs. At the time, this trade (in which they gave up nothing of value), on paper, looked like it could have debunked all three of those complaints. But Wendell and Cook pitched like ####, so instead, it fed them.
No doubt, Millwood > Estrada. But not by all that much. The Phils had Estrada at ~300K and in this trade, picked up 1 innings-eating year of Millwood for 9.9M. This was a little pricey a couple of years ago. Then the Phils got stuck with arb the next year so all in all they netted 360 innings of high 90s ERA+ for 20.9M.
In Cleveland, two years after his reserve rights expired. So now you're down to "he was expensive and totally 'blah' for a year, but he had that one great game."
How complicit were the GMs in the ballpark extortion scheme? Rolen became disillusioned with the Phils partially because of their non-commitment to winning -- keeping the payroll low so they could sing the blues about needing a new ballpark to compete, yada, yada, yada. Having to sign Rolen for 14M a year would bolster their claim in a bizarre way.
not just the standard "He sucks because he's an idiot!" stuff.
christ, man; if you used that standard, you'd eliminate 90% of BTF posts
Words to live by.
Funny, but whenever I think of J.D. Drew and the Cubs, I'm reminded of Draft Day 1998, when the Cubs passed on Drew and his demands for some HS centerfielder by the name of Patterson. I remember posting in USENET that in my mind the two will be forever linked.
As the Family Circus would say, "Thanks for the remembery, Dan." The Phils have successfully implanted in peoples' minds (Grrr, including mine) that Rolen turned down the bigger contract. I'm kind of guessing based on the way things have played out, the Phils would not have exercised their options.
And again, whose team happened to have Milwood the one year he has a high BABIP and has his only below average (and decidedly below average, at that) ERA+? Ed Wade's. Plus he does it in his walk year, so the Phillies are scared off from getting draft pick compensation for a guy who's been a reliable average or better starting pitcher for every other year in his career except that one.
I'm becoming more and more convinced other than maybe 50 or 100 pitchers, trying to figure out which pitcher will return value for cost is a crap shoot. Might as well stockpile a$$-kickin' young cheap arms and rotate through them, keeping the effective ones. The performance isn't likely any different than using established pitchers.
For instance on the Phils roster right now, I only feel confident that I have a rough idea of what Myers, Hamels and Madson(Bullpen only) will give me. Well, I'm confident that Eaton and Mesa will suck but you know what I mean. The other guys may give me 60-120 ERA+. And you never know about injuries.
Which is why you'd think any human being with cognitive skills would learn from that mistake and correct it in his second go-round. I'm telling you ... everyone hates Wade for loving veteran middle relievers and not making deadline deals. Well, unless he's learning disabled, he should correct the middle reliever thing, and, hell, since the Kazmir trade, NOBODY makes deadline deals anymore.
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