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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Scoop, enter the ESPN Aaron Boulding Building, go down the hall, make a left, hop over the babbling Corso torso…and the door on the right will read Mr. Keri. Knock on it.
You can’t see it, can you? It’s there. It’s that invisible, impossible-to-define-or-determine number that represents the intangible. That invisible number that changes the culture of a team inside a clubhouse and spreads itself over an entire city. It’s that number that helps makes major league baseball better and so interesting. Look at the All-Stars Ryan Howard has on his roster; look at the superstars Carlos Delgado has on the Mets; true, Pujols has carried the Cards, but they are in fourth place and the unwritten rule in sports is that the MVP award usually goes to a player on a playoff contender. But Manny Ramirez, in two months, resurrected one of the most important and storied franchises in baseball.
For that unseeable, intangible number, Manny Ramirez deserves the NL MVP. Will it happen? It doesn’t help his case when even he doesn’t believe it will happen. Or that he doesn’t feel he deserves it.
At the beginning of the season, all Manny Ramirez said he wanted was to win a Gold Glove. That was just MBM: Manny Being Manny, again. Little did he—or rest of us—know that this year there’d be something so much bigger in store for him.
Repoz
Posted: September 23, 2008 at 08:59 PM | 44 comment(s)
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You can’t see it, can you? It’s there. It’s that invisible, impossible-to-define-or-determine number that represents the intangible. That invisible number that changes the culture of a team inside a clubhouse and spreads itself over an entire city. It’s that number that helps makes major league baseball better and so interesting. Look at the All-Stars Ryan Howard has on his roster; look at the superstars Carlos Delgado has on the Mets; true, Pujols has carried the Cards, but they are in fourth place and the unwritten rule in sports is that the MVP award usually goes to a player on a playoff contender. But Manny Ramirez, in two months, resurrected one of the most important and storied franchises in baseball.
I just wanted you to read it again. 27-21!
Even if you buy the rest of the argument, what does this have to do with anything? In addition of getting extra (all?) points for being on a contender, do players now get extra points for being on one of those "important" teams?
And it seems like it would have been more impressive if he would have resurrected the Pirates or the Nationals...
In the NL, those numbers would have "only" placed him 3rd in average, rbi's, on base percentage, total bases, hits, and OPS; 2nd in slugging, and 4th in homers. While these numbers still aren't as good as Pujols', the Dodgers are making the playoffs, so there's a really good chance Manny would have taken home the trophy in this league as well.
I think that's sort of the point.
And that's why he's MVP!!
</sportswriter logic>
He's got an OPS+ of 217 as a Dodger. He's hitting .399/.493/.751 with 49 RBIs in 48 games. That's not intangible. He's made the Dodgers better because he's batting like Steroid Barry Bonds as a Dodger! Why does there have to be anything more to it than that?
That said, if we're going to give the NL MVP to a player who came to the league midseason from a 2007 ALCS participant, I'd probably be inclined to vote for the big guy up in Cheese Country. Of course, if we're going to take the NL MVP vote seriously, then I would vote for the guy who's batting .348/.453/.631 in 142 NL games so far to lead his team to probably at least 5-10 more wins than most people were expecting out of them.
I wonder how many of the guys who are touting Manny as an MVP candidate were also talking about what a cancer he was when he was traded. I would look it up, but I don't care what these morons think.
Has any generated MLE's yet for the National League?
I thought Carlos Beltran should have gotten some down-ballot NL MVP support the year he was traded to Houston, but as I recall he didn't get any NL MVP votes. He did pick up a few votes for AL MVP, for which I thought he should have been ineligible.
(Also, Beltran had more Win Shares in his Houston stint than he did with KC. That is, he was actually more valuable to the National League than he was to the AL, even though I don't think that matters.)
So, if I believed Manny has had a better season than Pujols or Berkman, he'd be my NL MVP.
I said on the Sabathia thread that I would consider him for NL Cy Young if he a) pitched demonstrably better in the NL during his time there than anyone else in that league (which he has) and b) pitched better than anyone else in the NL over the course of the season, including his time in the AL (which he hasn't).
When MLB bastardized the game with interleague play, it destroyed a lot of the distinction between the two leagues (and maybe introduced the question of why we need two awards anymore). But it does raise questions such as whether CC's starts against NL teams should figure into his NL Cy Young case? The end result, for me, is that if a guy wins the AL Cy Young for half a season there or the NL MVP for four months of work, so be it.
And none of this changes the fact that Albert is the obvious MVP in the NL.
I hope Carlos Quentin gets a chance to play in the NL sometime, just so we can see what he's capable of. Josh Hamilton, too.
By the way, is Manny the best hitter of the MVP era to never win the award? Without bothering to look it up, the only other guys I can think of who may give him a run are Mel Ott and Mark McGwire. I understand that voters don't generally care about defense or positional adjustments so all around players like Biggio or Alomar often get screwed, but I find it pretty unlikely that a guy who puts up Manny's triple crown numbers year after year for perennially contending teams has never came away with the prize.
Maybe a little bit, however our sample size is bigger. Those numbers he put up whilst with the Sox are over a larger part of the season then the numbers with the Dodgers. So logic does suggest that the Red Sox numbers would lend itself to the more consistent behaviour.
Anyway, I don't think he should even be considered for the MVP. Pujols or Berkman should win it.
BTW, you are correct in pointing out how remarkable it is that a guy that good for that long on consistent playoff teams could never win the MVP...its extraordinary when you really think about it. I reckon its because we just expect him to be brilliant every year; oh and that A-rod guy has been pretty good over a similar time frame.
Oh? Ok, I barely post anymore here anyway. You can be the new me I guess.
What exactly is the distinction between playoff contender and non-contender. The Cardinals were officially eliminated from the Playoffs last night with less than a week left in the season. So they were playing "meaningful" games through most of September. It seems like Pujols followed the "unwritten" rule.
Jim Thome's been just as good as Manny, and has gotten much less MVP support.
Quentin did play in the NL but we can't read too much into those numbers. He had to face former AL superstar Barry Zito.
I did a double take at this, but they're not too far apart. Manny's got a higher average, Thome's got more walks, but their rate stats are close (.406/.561 to .411/.593).
I thought there would be a big advantage for Manny in the durability department, but aside from Thome's '05, he's cleared 140 games every year but three. Manny has five seasons less than 140 (but none as low as Thome's 59 in '05).
Both had 137-game seasons for Cleveland in 1995 but that was pretty much a full season.
What about when you account for his -81 fielding runs?
They are quite similar, but Manny's OPS+ is 155 while Thome's is 148, in essentially the same PA (8994 to 8999). Unless other factors change the picture, that's enough difference for me to give a clear, if small, advantage to the dreadlocked one.
Thome's defensive advantage for his 3B games might be offset by his DH games, and Manny's defense has been thoroughly (if not conclusively) covered here. Let's just say that neither added much with the glove.
Manny had 8 top-10 MVP votes, highest at 3rd, while Thome had 4 with 4th place his best, but I think Manny has overall played on better teams, which might explain that discrepancy. Still, I've never heard laments for either because they didn't win in some particular year (and I hope not to hear any this year).
#36 - Exactly. Thome has been close, but Manny's pretty clearly better, albeit only a little bit. And he's two years younger too, so I expect him to widen the gap even more before he calls it quits.
#37 - Kevin, why do you think Manny's Sox numbers this season are what we should have reasonably expected him to do based solely on the fact that "That's what he hit last year." Last season was an off year for Manny. The worst full season of his career, in fact. He just didn't look right until the playoffs. But his total numbers for this season are right on par with what he's done EVERY OTHER FULL SEASON OF HIS CAREER. It doesn't seem reasonable at all to me to assume that 2007 is his true level of ability and that 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, and 2008 are all outliers. Yes, I realize that he's 36 and that any season could be the one where he finally starts to drop off for good, but it's not this year (and apparently it's not last year, either).
(Gotta go look this up)... OK, Ivan Rodriguez. And Pedro was second in the vote, with Manny coming in third. And for those of you who thought that RBI + division winner ought to mean the MVP, there's always another surprise.
But we're talking MVP. Thome's best seasons are clearly better than Manny's. Manny has nothing like Thome's 2002, and considering playing time, Thome's 2001 is probably better than manny's best season as well.
Top 2 OPS+ and PA
Thome - 197 613, 170 644
manny - 186 532, 184 518
Whoa! It's like some crazy barber shop mirror thing!
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