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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Monday, April 28, 2008Fangraphs: Cameron: Cust CussingCustom Cams will give you the edge on your competition!
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My BookmarksYou must be logged in to view your Bookmarks. Hot TopicsNewsblog: Klapisch: Goose tells Joba to act like a Yankee (29 - 3:25am, May 12) Last: Phil Coorey & The Major Newsblog: Ramirez, Marlins close on 6 year, $70 million deal (6 - 3:17am, May 12) Last: Clarence Thomas luuuvs Jacoby Ellsbury (scott) Newsblog: L.A. Times: Simers: Dodgers didn't get a care package with Andruw Jones (RR) (56 - 2:38am, May 12) Last: Gonfalon Bubble Newsblog: Teen dies after assault from another teen at Giants game (19 - 2:35am, May 12) Last: TempleUSox is in the Best Shape of His Life Newsblog: N.Y. Times: Silver: For Griffey, the Roads Not Taken (RR)
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Cust from May 14th to the end of the year: .249/.404/.463 in 475 PA.
That said, he's useless unelss he starts hitting dingers again. His BABIP won't stay down at .250, but his regression back to a .300+ BABIP will have to be coupled with longballs to make him worthwhile in LF.
How deep is this slump? Cust's Marcel projection entering the year was .257/.383/.464; today it stands at .248/.382/.442. Yes, that's a pretty significant drop in his true talent AVG and ISO; yes, the A's would be stupid to cut that production.
I hate April.
And vice versa.
That said, the A's won't and shouldn't cut him because he's cheap and under control for a while, and a) it could be just a slump, which all guys that make so little contact are going to go through or b) he might make that adjustment. The only risk for them is a 25 man spot that could go to someone else, and they can always cut Brown first, who's not that great now and not a part of their future.
I have to admit I'm strongly rooting for the A's - the high A's projection was probably the biggest deviation ZiPS had compared to the other simulations, so I'd much like this one to work out.
I think that's true of a lot of guys particularly because of Home Runs. A guy who hits 40 homers only hits one every four games, but they are so valuable as events that a couple in a week usually make for some gaudy OPS numbers.
Cust is closer to being a .160 hitter than he his a .500 hitter of course, but the point should have been he's not a .160 hitter either.
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