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Thursday, August 21, 2008

FOX Sports: Perry: How schedules will impact playoff contenders

You need a Pum-Pum! The latest scratch from Perry.

Red Sox
Remaining Opponents’ Avg. Win%: 0.532
Home Games Left/Road Games Left: 20/15
Biggest Series: 8/29-8/31 White Sox

Over at Baseball Prospectus, they give the Red Sox just a 27.3 percent chance of winning the AL East, but they give them a 63.2 percent chance of taking the Wild Card. That’s why, from Boston’s perspective, their most important games don’t come against the division-leading Rays. The more realistic goal is taking the Wild Card. They don’t play the Twins again this season, but they do tangle with the White Sox at the end of the month. The good news is that the Sox play most of their remaining games at home; the bad news is that their opponents are generally quite tough.

Twins
Remaining Opponents’ Avg. Win%: .500
Home Games Left/Road Games Left: 12/24
Biggest Series: 9/23-9/25 White Sox

Thanks to the Republican National Convention’s arrival in Minneapolis, the Twins are about to play 14 straight on the road. In 2008, they’re just 26-31 away from home, so it’s obviously a crucial stretch. Worse for the Twins’ hopes is that, from this point forward, they play twice as many games on the road.

Repoz Posted: August 21, 2008 at 04:34 PM | 11 comment(s)
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1. ellsbury my heart at wounded knee Posted: August 21, 2008 at 05:23 PM (#2912046)

I know the Yankees aren't doing well this year, but shouldn't they still be considered a playoff contender?

2. Colin Wyers Posted: August 21, 2008 at 05:31 PM (#2912054)

I know the Yankees aren't doing well this year, but shouldn't they still be considered a playoff contender?

Why?

3. Answer Guy Posted: August 21, 2008 at 05:36 PM (#2912061)

The Yankees are only 5 1/2 games back and, importantly, have several games left with the Red Sox and thus many more chances to close the gap. (Not sure if they have any left with Chicago or Minnesota.)

4. 1k5v3L Posted: August 21, 2008 at 05:36 PM (#2912062)

Because they are, you know, contending?

5. Daniel Posted: August 21, 2008 at 05:40 PM (#2912068)

From TFA:

(We're defining contenders as those teams within five games of playoff position ... )

6. ?Donde esta Dagoberto Campaneris? Posted: August 21, 2008 at 05:48 PM (#2912075)

Why?

I think its because if the Yankees catch the Red Sox and keep them out of he playoffs, a certain person will bypass hypertroll and go to plaid. So the thought is kind of appealing.

7. TerpNats Posted: August 21, 2008 at 07:12 PM (#2912157)

I believe the Chisox play the next-to-last series at Yankee Stadium, just before Baltimore visits.

8. ellsbury my heart at wounded knee Posted: August 21, 2008 at 09:56 PM (#2912331)

(We're defining contenders as those teams within five games of playoff position ... )

I don't think a half game is that insurmountable.

9. scareduck Posted: August 21, 2008 at 10:05 PM (#2912350)

Does anyone know whether strength of remaining schedule is available anywhere?

10. APNY Posted: August 21, 2008 at 10:06 PM (#2912354)

Yankees need to play .657 ball just to get to 90 wins, which would likely leave them 2-4 games out of the wild card. That's not a contender.

11. Dayn Perry Posted: August 21, 2008 at 10:39 PM (#2912390)

Scareduck:

Go here and scroll down to the "Games Left to Play" table:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/NL_2008_standings.shtml

See column marked "AvgOppRec."

For the AL, go to the AL Expanded Standings Page.

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Thursday, August 21, 2008

FOX Sports: Perry: How schedules will impact playoff contenders

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