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Sunday, April 27, 2008

FOX Sports: Perry: Tigers will score, but does it matter?

Dayn’s latest…

Baseball’s season is (blessedly) a long one, and anything can happen to any team over a span of, say, 10 or 12 games. Yes, the Tigers got off to a miserable start, but over the span of those seven consecutive losses the offense managed just 2.1 runs per game.

That’s plainly aberrant.

This is an offense capable of scoring 900 or more runs this season, and the struggles they were enduring in the early days of the season have no lasting meaning. They’ll hit. In fact, they are hitting, having touched home 37 times in their last three games.

...The Tigers, especially now that Granderson is back, are going to score lots of runs. On the other hand, they’re going to give up quite a few runs.

They’ll be a winning team, and they’ll be in the race in the Central. However, contrary to pre-season speculation, Detroit is not on the level of, say, the Red Sox and Diamondbacks. That is, they’re contenders, but they’re not among the power teams in baseball right now. For them to rise to that level, a few pitchers will need to step up and defy expectations.

Repoz Posted: April 27, 2008 at 03:11 PM | 2 comment(s) | Login to Bookmark
  Related News: GeneralDetroit

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   1. RMc's grumbling has gone far enough Posted: April 27, 2008 at 05:26 PM (#2760581)
Detroit is not on the level of, say, the Red Sox and Diamondbacks.

Er, what? When did Arizona become one of the "power teams in baseball"? Yes, they started hot, but nobody believes the D-Backs are a real .708 team anymore than the Tigers and Yankees are sub-.500 teams. (News flash: Conor Jackson will not finish the year with a .351 average.)
   2. ValueArb Posted: April 27, 2008 at 06:46 PM (#2760713)
DBack's team OPS+ 114, ERA+ 138. Out of the top 5 scoring teams in the NL the Dback's BABIP is 4th (.302) yet they lead the league in scoring, so it doesn't seem like their hitters are that lucky. The problem is that no one has played anyone yet, all we know is the DBacks have dominated the NL West.

While likely not a .708 team, it's reasonable to think they are the best team in the NL. Barring injuries, the pitchers should match or beat last year's team ERA+ of 114, and the hitters should finish way over last year's 89 OPS+, say 105-110. Add in good defense (first in NL defensive efficiency) and good baserunning (last years 3rd best running team has been hampered by an explosive offense and some hamstring injuries but still 10-12 on SBs), and who's better? And just called up Max Scherzer giving them yet another good arm.
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