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Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Houston Chronicle: Berkman, Astros roll Giants 12-3 for sixth straight victory

Berkman’s fourth career regular-season grand slam was the highlight of an eight-run seventh inning that sent the red-hot Astros to a 12-4 pounding of the Giants at Minute Maid Park.

The Astros tied a season-high with their sixth consecutive win to climb over the .500 mark (60-59) for the first time since June 10. They have won 10 of their last 12 and 14 of their last 18.

Behind Berkman’s grand slam, a two-run single by Darin Erstad and a two-run homer by Ty Wigginton, the Astros scored a season-high eight runs in the seventh, turning a 3-2 deficit into a 10-3 lead.
...
Eight consecutive batters reached after one out in the inning. Erstad’s two-run, bases-loaded single to left scored Brad Ausmus with Hunter Pence sliding home on his heels.

The play was reminiscent of Geoff Blum’s two-run single in the bottom of the ninth against the New York Mets on Aug. 2 in which Mark Loretta slid home a split-second before Pence barreled into him.

Unfortunately for Ed Wade’s (or is it Drayton McLane’s?) playoff hopes, the team he hopes to catch has won seven in a row, so all this has done so far is keep them from losing even more ground.

NTNgod Posted: August 13, 2008 at 02:31 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Related News: GeneralHoustonSan FranciscoGame Recaps

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   1. kthejoker  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 09:52 AM (#2901047)
I credit Randy Wolf.
   2. baseball chick (now, with NEW blog)  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 10:34 AM (#2901119)
you are forgetting the great la troy hawkins

who has somehow managed to get leftys out don't ask me how
   3. dcba  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 11:45 AM (#2901233)
I only count the Cubs as 5-2 in their last seven games, not 7-0.
   4. Crispix Attacks is in the best shape of his life.  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 11:47 AM (#2901238)
Perhaps he means the Wild Card-leading Brewers. The Astros have maybe a 0.5% chance of catching them as opposed to the 0.1% chance of catching the Cubs.
   5. baseball chick (now, with NEW blog)  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 11:52 AM (#2901248)
cecil cooper is now saying he expects this team to win 90 games this year.


really

if this team wins 90 games/the pennant, it will have to be the luckiest worst team evah. including the 73 mets, the 87 twins and the 06 cards

but i personally am rooting for wandy to pitch the first WS nono since don larsen and therefore win the WS MVP.
   6. TVerik and his cavalcade of whimsy  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 11:57 AM (#2901256)
Why do they make a big deal out of the "regular season" when talking about Berkman's Slams? Did he hit one in the playoffs? I don't remember.
   7. Pops Freshenmeyer  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 12:01 PM (#2901264)
cecil cooper is now saying he expects this team to win 90 games this year.

Really? Do you happen to have a link, or did he make the statement during a broadcast?

The Astros would have to go 30-13 over the remainder of the season (that would require a win % of around 70). Basically, they would have to be the 1906 Cubs or the 2001 Mariners for a quarter of a season.

The Astros have maybe a 0.5% chance of catching them as opposed to the 0.1% chance of catching the Cubs.

The BPro Playoff Odds simulator estimates the Astros have a .02227% chance of winning the division and a .45043% chance of getting the wildcard. That's pretty good agreement :)
   8. Crispix Attacks is in the best shape of his life.  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 12:06 PM (#2901270)
The BPro Playoff Odds simulator estimates the Astros have a .02227% chance of winning the division and a .45043% chance of getting the wildcard. That's pretty good agreement :)

If only I could find some statistical mumbo-jumbo rationalization for pulling numbers off the top of my head!

According to my CFBPS, Astros gunboat Carlos Lee will lose 100 points of slugging next year, but only 10 points of OBP.
   9. baseball chick (now, with NEW blog)  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 12:19 PM (#2901292)
erik

berkman hit a granny in the famous 18 inning game vs atlanta in the 05 NLDS. everyone remembers ausmus!!!!! tying the game with a homer in the 9th and burke hitting the walkoff in the 18th

- interesting - berkman, unlike the more famous bagwell/biggio, has been a MONSTAH in the playoffs. and if lidge hadn't coughed it up to Uncle in game 5, berkman certainly would have been the MVP
   10. Cooper Nielson  Posted: August 13, 2008 at 11:43 PM (#2902550)
The Astros would have to go 30-13 over the remainder of the season (that would require a win % of around 70). Basically, they would have to be the 1906 Cubs or the 2001 Mariners for a quarter of a season.

But in all fairness, this is a lot easier to do over 43 games than over 162. You certainly don't have to be as good as the 2001 Mariners to go 30-13 over 43 games.
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