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The NL East needs to load up on lefties to deal with the Philly offense.
For what its worth, against Perez in his career, Ryan Howard is hitting 091/192/227 with 14 Ks in 26 PA.
Utley is hitting 188/381/250 but with only 4 Ks in 21 PA.
Well, he's older than Burrell, so he is probably more likely to decline quicker. But, production wise, Ibanez and Burrell, and have been pretty damn similar the last 3 seasons.
Yeah, just considering Ibanez qua Ibanez, I'm looking at him as having similar production to Burrell the last few years, but providing it in a more well-rounded package (little less power and OBP, much more contact, not quite as horrendous D and baserunning). The age concerns me, but Burrell, though "only" 31, is a damn old 31. Not seeing much of AL teams west of the Mississippi, I was surprised that Ibanez is a lefty. Always though he was a righty, and that's obviously of some concern in this line-up.
What I cannot get around is what this means for the decision to not offer arb to Burrell. I bit my tongue at the time, because I wasn't sure how serious the rumors about Ibanez were, and there seemed to be other names (like Baldelli or a revitalized Jenkins) floated. But if signing Ibanez was their top option for filling the LF hole, not offering arb to Burrell makes less than zero sense.
Why did the Phillies prefer Ibanez to Burrell?
It's been a puzzlement to Phillies fans ever since they didn't offer arb to Burrell. The thinking was that Burrell might get as much as 16M in arb and the numbers 3/45 have been thrown around a lot as to where Burrell will end up salary-wise.
I know Ibanez is supposed to be an awful OF -- what is he bad at? With Burrell it was only range, every other phase was at least acceptable.
Another thought is that the Phils might be thinking that Burrell's days as a full-time OF are over. Charlie substituted a defensive replacement as soon as he could when the Phils had the lead and Burrell also faded down the stretch. He's gotten some nicks over the years, so maybe he's only good for 100-120 games a season. Not saying that I am convinced of that, but the club might be.
Just as the fans had grown appreciative of what Burrell brings, it's time to leave.
With Dunn, Holliday, Manny, and Burrell all availale or moving teams this year, Ibanez seems very ho-hum, especially as his defense enables me to pitch Manny and Dunn for OF duty without flinching. (Sorry Blanton)
- Lawn Dart!
- Bad Angle!
- He didn't want to fumble or bobble the Fingal dopple!
- Into The Wall!
- Ichiro Just Can't Believe This Sh*t
- It's A Trap!
- The sad part about this one is that you can see it in his eyes - he knows it's not going to end well.
Good luck with that defense, Phils! I hate to break it to you, but absent some amazing offensive spike due to a new league/ballpark, you're losing more on defensive than you're gaining with the bat. Can you say "Charlie Manuel-dictated 7th inning defensive replacement?"
Dunn should get at least $13 M, right? As much as the Mets need a LF, I'm not ready for them to spend $10 M plus on one. Unless they get someone who will move to 1b when Delgado's done.
That one was hilarious... the pitcher's (Felix?) grimace is classic... he goes from getting out of the first with zero runs to having 2 runs score and another in scoring position...
Rollins
Victorino
Utley
Howard
Worth
Ibanez
Feliz
Ruiz
Trading a failed first round pick for another failed first round pick.
Trading a backup catcher for a backup catcher.
Allowing one poor defensive OF go to sign another one for more years, and at the expense of a draft pick.
I was fine with trying for a cheap platoon in LF while waiting for Taylor/Mayberry/Brown...or for overpaying Burrell for one year...but this makes no sense. Oh, well.
I read somewhere the Phils were kicking tires on Juan Rivera. I wouldn't have minded him for two years at half the salary rate of Ibanez, leaving Worth in full time, and moving Jenkin's playing time to mainly in left.
On the other hand...last year the Mets' big move was replacing the corpse of Tom Glavine with Johan Santana, and the Phils' big move was replacing Aaron Rowand with Pedro Feliz, and yet this did not improve the Mets' position, because of various little things.
Can Ibañez play first base? I still think there's a nonzero chance that Ryan Howard's career will be over by the end of this decade. What if he hits .203 next year and only gets, say, three first-place MVP votes? I might non-tender him, if I understood what "non-tender" meant.
See Mike Cameron.
On the other hand, he is definitely worth at least 3X what Kyle Farnsworth is worth, so by that standard this is a steal. It's all in what angle you approach things from.
I don't think we can definitively say that, as the defensive metrics don't agree with each other, and even if they all agreed we're just looking at sample data subject to error.
I think we can be comfortable saying they are all bad left fielders, costing their teams somewhere around 10-15 runs per year.
And I'm ecstatic that he's no longer Angels plan B! I hope all the other "alternatives" sign quickly except for one, and if Tex leaves, the Angels will be "stuck" having to offer a deal to Milton Bradley.
Every December, clubs have to renew their reserve on a player by tendering a contract for the following season. If the Phillies thought Howard was slated to make some outlandish sum in arbitration that they were unwilling to pay, they could forfeit their reserve rights by not tendering him a contract, freeing themselves of the obligation to pay the arbitration award and freeing him to sign anywhere for whatever the market would bear.
I mean, offering arbitration is offering a renewal of the contract, right?
It's the same for 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th year players. You can also nontender players who aren't yet eligible for arbitration.
Y'know, when you're with your girlfriend, and you say some sweet things and hold her hand and give her soft kisses -- you're being tender.
Do you want to be tender with Ryan Howard?
Unfortunately, I'm afraid that the Angels are a perfect fit for Bradley. They have depth to cover for the 40-50 games a year he will miss, and he will be great protection for Vlad when he's in the lineup.
That's why I'm hoping that, since MB wants a multi-year contract, and Jon Boy isn't biting, he hurries up and joins the Ranger Alumni Association, Chicago office...
Inconceivable!
Word is that the Phil's had inquired about Baldelli as well. But now they have five OF's on the team, Ibañez, Victorino, Worth, Jenkins & Stairs, plus Bruntlett who they also can send out there. With the righty Mayberry in AAA, and a need for more second base support due to Utley's hip, I don't think the Phils add any more outfielders.
Virtually any LHB is going to hit worse against left handed pitching. Utley though finished second in the majors in OPS among lefties facing lefties, behind only Joe Mauer.
Now, the 13 position players are pretty much set, save for an addition to fill in for Utley and/or Feliz due to injury:
C
Ruiz
Paulino
IF
Howard
Utley
Rollins
Feliz
Dobbs
Bruntlett
OF
Ibanez
Werth
Vic
Stairs
Jenkins
Weird thing will be the bench on most days: backup catcher, utlility player, Dobbs (LH), Stairs (LH), Jenkins (LH). Given the way Manuel used his PH last year, I would be surprised if Jenkins got 100 AB this year.
And Mayberry looks like the definition of underwhelming as the fallback option in LF.
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