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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, September 03, 2008
Chamberlain, who was activated from the disabled list on Tuesday as a reliever, pitched an inning and a third in the Yankees’ 7-2 victory against Tampa Bay.
The Yankees still view Chamberlain, who turns 23 this month, as a starter in the long term. But while Manager Joe Girardi said this season had not stunted Chamberlain’s progress, Cashman acknowledged that it had.
“We do believe you can put some guys in jeopardy by putting way too much on them,” Cashman said. “If someone is adding a significant amount of innings from a previous season, history says those guys will have a breakdown or a significant underperformance the next year.”
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If he can't pitch 180 innings at 23, he's probably destined to get hurt anyway.
Do we Met fans wish we had an 8th inning man these last two years?
Would you move Mike Pelfrey to the bullpen to solve that problem, even if you knew he'd be as dominant as Joba in that role? I know I wouldn't.
Keep his innings real low, although slowly increasing, until his age-25 season.
This is pretty dumb, frankly. Almost as bad as saying that the eighth inning is more important than the first seven. If you drafted a 22 year old college senior who'd never pitched more than 90-100 innings in a year, would you double his work load in his first professional season? It makes all the sense in the world to limit his innings. This is as good a way as any.
I'd still rather see the man as a starter, but if the medical people say definitively that in this situation, relieving is better than starting for Joba's health, I'm willing to listen.
I disagree. Also, you suck uncontrollably.
The way the game has ALWAYS been played, getting to the 8th inning with an actual lead (or a chance to take the lead) is exceedingly important, and you don't do that if you don't employ quality starters, which Joba has proven to be (albeit in small samples). And, as #12 notes, starters are more valuable than relievers -- unless it's an issue w/ a guy being unable to handle the workload (which is still up for debate, at least publically), the better pitchers should obviously be in your rotation. And it's a cascading effect -- a better starting rotation = a better bullpen (if only by virtue of not being overworked).
And you definitely shouldn't use the Mets as an example of why a set-up man is so important, when they're Exhibit A on how to NOT set up a bullpen.
To bring up a name that doesn't live elsewhere in this thread, I think we can point to Papelbon's usage and injury non-history as a datapoint that reliever usage may be less strenuous on certain pitchers, handled carefully.
Or Santana's. It looks like the Yanks don't mind using Joba as a swingman type pitcher for a couple of years before they decide to turn him loose and let him plow through the league. This does throw a new wrinkle into the "Who will the Yanks sign" question.
*Edit*
My bad; I didn't see the other column. "Stephen Chamberlain" played for the Royals from 2002-2005.
The only potential problem here is that, the more you pitch him out of the pen (assuming he pitches well there, which is very likely), the more people you're going to have arguing that he should be left there. In terms of public relations, it'd be better to just pull the Band-Aid off, as it were.
But, if the organization is willing to just ignore that pressure, I don't see a problem. Who knows if that'll be the case.
This is a quarrel in a faraway bullpen among people of whom we know nothing.
Again, if experts say that Joba's health will be protected better with a reliever workload, I'm in favor of bullpen usage for him.
I'm not a doctor, of course. And what's true for Joba may not be true for all pitchers and vice-versa. So I genuinely don't know what's best for him and for the team in this spot. I'm willing to trust those who are paid to know and (presumably) have much more information than I do.
Probably still not more valuable as a reliever. If Joba's a 3.50 ERA starter and can make 30 starts averaging 6 innings a start, then he'd save about 20 runs above an average (4.50 ERA starter), 35-40 runs above a replacement level one. If he's a 2.50 ERA reliever and pitches 80 innings, he'd save about 13 runs above an average (4.00 ERA reliever), 18-22 above a replacement level one. If we give him a leverage index boost of 1.5, which is probably high, that about 30 runs above replacement level, which makes him a half a win to a win less valuable in the pen.
Expecting Joba's control to remain shaky is probably wishful thinking if he follows typical aging patterns though.
Would you not want to have a dirt, cheap pitcher throwing the same number of innings as Mussina 08 with (probably) slightly better results?
(BTW - I'm a huge Moose fan, rooting for 20/300/HoF. My comment did not mean to belittle the Moose, who's having a wonderful season).
Why would you think that? You're far from the only person I've heard or read make this kind of comment, but I don't see any factual basis for it at all. Swing-man was the traditional way of breaking in young pitchers in MLB for about 120 years or so. Did it wreck all of them? OTOH, the Orioles almost destroyed Jim Palmer's career before it got going by doubling his workload between 1965 and 1966, and I bet you can find another dozen or so examples without too much trouble. Not to mention all the guys whose arms got shredded and didn't heal.
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