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If Madden is serious about his definition of valuable then he must be consistent. His ballot (if he has one) must contain ten players from the team that made the playoffs by the smallest margin. If that's the Mets then fine, ten Mets. Pujols better not be on the ballot anywhere if he is not number one, otherwise Madden is betraying his own definition of valuable.
There have been some spectacularly bad choices over the years, but yes, I believe it will be.
You have to understand, though, that writers make their living by coming up with stories. Thus, by its very nature, the MVP award process is driven by the search for reasons not to give the award to the best player in the league. That would be boring. Everyone already knows Albert Pujols is the best player in the National League; so nobody's going to read a story about how Albert Pujols is the best player in the National League.
And the more complaining the writers hear from those bastard bloggers and stats geeks, the more delight they take in that process.
Who has been a better player than a teammate who won the MVP? There's Mauer of course in '06, Utley maybe last year except for the 30 games he missed, Bret Boone in '01 over Ichiro, perhaps Barry in '00 over Kent. That's just this decade.
There's a pattern, too. Morneau racked up RBI because Mauer was constantly on base in front of him. Kent racked up RBI because Bonds was constantly on base in front of him. Ichiro! over Boone... normally Boone wins that award, but Ichiro! was all the rage that year. That was anomalous.
Chickswriters dig the long ball. As long as the guy hitting said long balls doesn't walk too much. 'Cause then he's a selfish, lazy bastard.John Valentin over Mo Vaughn in 1995. (What a great year, now somewhat forgotten: Valentin was close to Vaughn in raw hitting numbers, let alone the fact that he played SS instead of 1B.) Mark McGwire, at least, over Eck in 1992 (Win Shares also has Rickey, Mike Bordick, and Terry Steinbach ahead of Eck). Maybe Trammell, Gibson, Lemon, (Whitaker, Petry, and Morris?) over Guillermo Hernandez in 1984 (Win Shares has Hernandez as third on the team behind Trammell and Gibson, tied with Lemon). Grich and Downing over Don Baylor in 1979. Jimmy Wynn and Andy Messersmith over Him Who Must Not Be Named in 1974. Reggie over Vida in 1971, etc.
Mickey Mantle, rather than Roger Maris, in 1961, and maybe also 1960.
Tommy Davis, rather than Maury Wills, in 1962 (not that you could possibly have justified Davis over Aaron, Mays, or Robinson).
(Arguably) John Tudor or Ozzie Smith rather than Willie McGee in 1985 (not that you could possibly have justified Tudor over Gooden).
Wade Boggs, rather than Roger Clemens, in 1986. (Compare Clemens/Boggs to Tudor/McGee the previous year. Clemens ERA+ 169, Boggs OPS+ 156, Tudor ERA+ 184, McGee OPS+ 147.)
Will Clark, rather than Kevin Mitchell, in 1989.
Of course, if you're going to argue that someone from a particular team should get the award, you'll have to agree on the story - else you'll split the vote and give the award to someone from another team. See 1954 AL: Doby, Avila, and Lemon had MVP vote shares of .62, .60, and .53, allowing Berra to win the award with a .68 vote share.
Oh, the notion that Madden has the foggiest idea what Span's minor-league numbers were will have me chuckling all day. :-)
Half point for Dave Parker over Willie Stargell in 1979.
Musial over Marty Marion in '44.
BBWAA are such hacks.
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