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Thursday, April 05, 2007

Matsuzaka leaves striking impression

The Daisuke Era has officially begun.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 05, 2007 at 05:16 PM | 109 comment(s)
  Related News: GeneralBoston

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   1. bunyon Posted: April 05, 2007 at 05:31 PM (#2326494)
FWIW, Greinke apparently pitched really well, too.
   2. Sean McNally Posted: April 05, 2007 at 05:40 PM (#2326503)
Just from watching - and grading on a curve of who they were pitching to - I came away a bit more impressed with Greinke than Matsuzaka.

However, Matsuzaka did look good himself. Though I pity poor Red Sox fans because he works awful, awful slow.
   3. Count Posted: April 05, 2007 at 05:45 PM (#2326508)
He reminds me a little of Pedro circa 2001-2005. Throws the fastball at a decent velocity and with accuracy and has an assortment of breaking pitches.
   4. Nick Warino Posted: April 05, 2007 at 05:52 PM (#2326510)
Though I pity poor Red Sox fans because he works awful, awful slow.


We'll be fine.
   5. Moscow Hiding In The Shadows Posted: April 05, 2007 at 05:53 PM (#2326513)
Serenity now!
   6. Jimmy P Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:07 PM (#2326523)
FWIW, Greinke apparently pitched really well, too.

You'd never know it. Just watched Sportscenter, they showed just about every batter Matsuzaka faced, they didn't show one pitch of Greinke's. Guy comes back from anxiety problems that are so severe he didn't play baseball, and they don't even show one pitch. I know he's not Japanese, but isn't that worth something?
   7. El Hombre 2 MVPs (Le Samourai) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:08 PM (#2326524)
Seriously. I had fun watching Daisuke but more fun watch Greinke. He was really impressive and I was glad to see him do so well so quickly.
   8. DCW3 * Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:11 PM (#2326527)
I know he's not Japanese, but isn't that worth something?

I think it has virtually nothing to do with Greinke not being Japanese, and everything to do with what team he does (or doesn't pitch) for. If Greinke were on the Red Sox and Matsuzaka were on the Royals (no, they could never afford him, but work with me here), then Greinke's comeback would have been the big story of the game.
   9. Jimmy P Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:13 PM (#2326530)
I think it has virtually nothing to do with Greinke not being Japanese,

Yes, I know that.
   10. Cutter Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:15 PM (#2326533)
If Greinke were on the Red Sox and Matsuzaka were on the Royals (no, they could never afford him, but work with me here)
Well they could afford him but like most teams they would never choose to afford him.
   11. Spute Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:17 PM (#2326535)
The strike zone was very generous at the knees, but credit Greinke for exploiting it to his full advantage. I haven't seen Greinke locate that well in a long time. Is Zack Attack back?
   12. Vaux, A.B.D. Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:31 PM (#2326544)
It was probably a really good thing for Grienke that his first outing was opposite Matsusaka, who would get all the attention. That's a good reason, in fact, for putting him third in the rotation instead of fifth, where we'd think there'd be less pressure.
   13. Garth has been one-uped by Brian Bannister Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:38 PM (#2326551)
I have some pictures and perhaps some (crappy) video from the game that I'll try to have up after my night class tonight. Fun game. To me, as a Royals fan, Greinke stole the show from Dice-K. They pitched the same amount of innings. Zack got himself out of some serious jams. Color me very impressed.
   14. Templeusox has reached his genetic threshold Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:41 PM (#2326552)
I was more impressed with Matsuzaka than Greinke.
   15. OCD SS Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:45 PM (#2326556)
However, Matsuzaka did look good himself. Though I pity poor Red Sox fans because he works awful, awful slow.


Clement is slow. Matsuzaka is no Clement.
   16. Matt Waters Posted: April 05, 2007 at 06:50 PM (#2326561)
The Zaka actually reminded me of the good version of Javy Vazquez, circa. 2003 I suppose.
   17. Dave Cyprian Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:03 PM (#2326566)
Interesting post DCW (#8). I think it has virtually nothing to do with Greinke not being Japanese, and everything to do with what team he does (or doesn't pitch) for.

There is truth to both those ideas, but there is a third layer as well. Daisuke's debut was the first sight of a $100 million dollar investment in a player who has never played in the major leagues being Japanese and playing for a very popular, visible team.
   18. PJ Martinez Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:08 PM (#2326571)
Yeah, there are several factors contributing to Matsuzaka getting all the coverage, one of the smaller ones being that he did, in fact, outpitch Greinke.

Point taken, though, that the Sox offense is better than KC's, and Greinke owned Ortiz all day.
   19. kevin Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:08 PM (#2326572)
Don't listen to McNally. Daisuke pitched considerably better than Greinke. BGreinke was in trouble most innings, though he pitched out of them well. Matsusaka was in control the entire game.

McNally is still bitter his team got outmaneuvered for one of the best pitchers in baseball and loves to make whine out of sour grapes.
   20. Biff, Red Sox Jinx Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:09 PM (#2326573)
To me, as a Royals fan, Greinke stole the show from Dice-K. They pitched the same amount of innings. Zack got himself out of some serious jams. Color me very impressed.

But...Greinke also got into those jams in the first place. He allowed a leadoff hit (often a double) in every inning except the first.
   21. PJ Martinez Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:09 PM (#2326574)
Yes, kevin, that's why he pities us poor, poor Sox fans who have to have this tremendously exciting new player on our team. Woe is us.
   22. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:25 PM (#2326586)
If Greinke were on the Red Sox and Matsuzaka were on the Royals (no, they could never afford him, but work with me here), then Greinke's comeback would have been the big story of the game.


While I'd agree that the coverage might have been more balanced in such an event, I don't think that's quite accurate. If a guy the Royals bid $51 million just to talk to, then another $50 on a contract, was making his big league debut, he would get the lion's share of the attention. But some would have been spread to Boston's version of Greinke. Of course, has its version in own comeback type guy in Lester, so we'll have to see what kind of coverage his return gets. I doubt it equals the Matsuzaka focus.
   23. PJ Martinez Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:29 PM (#2326589)
Just watched Will Carroll's video for MLB.com on Matsuzaka's mechanics. Interesting stuff-- the comparison with Clemens is encouraging from a health-perspective.
   24. Russlan is an overhyped Met BTFer Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:36 PM (#2326594)
McNally is still bitter his team got outmaneuvered for one of the best pitchers in baseball and loves to make whine out of sour grapes.

I don't want to sound like a hater but it's one start. Beckett put up a 1.29 for the Red Sox in his first three starts last year. Whatever your opinion of him, one start shouldn't change your opinion of the guy.

I think he's going to be really good but a tad homer prone. I think he's going to post very good k/9 and k/bb ratios but give up around 1.2-1.3 hr/9.
   25. Vaux, A.B.D. Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:41 PM (#2326595)
He seems like he could wind up similar to Javier Vazquez.
   26. Joe Bivens, Ditch Digger Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:44 PM (#2326596)
Only on Primer could a guy who loses 4-1 be perceived as pitching better than the guy who got the win.
   27. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:46 PM (#2326599)
Game report:

#1) Matsuzaka has lots of crazy groupies (photo taken by myself before the game)

#2) The main difference between Greinke and Matsuzaka's showings is that the Red Sox have better hitters. The Royals were foiled because guys like Emil F. Brown and Tony Penita were hitting in clutch situations. The Red Sox got a big hit from Manny.

Note to John Buck: You're not really that good at defense (Buck is also responsible for two of the runs)

Matsuzaka is going to be a rollercoaster purely due to the pressure on him. He's a better than average pitcher, but when he fails, everybody is going to knife him big time. He'll be very good on some days, bad on other days, and above average in general.

And the East Coast sports media is always going to have a bias. Duh.
   28. Joe Bivens, Ditch Digger Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:50 PM (#2326603)
Wow, that stadium is out in the middle of nowhere. I'm jealous.
   29. Vaux, A.B.D. Posted: April 05, 2007 at 07:51 PM (#2326605)
It really is a beautiful place. The backdrop captures western Missouri/eastern Kansas very well. There's something about the sky out there.

Not that I'd ever move back, but I can understand why it would appeal to some people.
   30. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 08:01 PM (#2326612)
A scoreboard pic

A fountain shot

And for some reason, Esteban German hugged Manny on the field before the game. In a manly way, of course.
   31. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 08:10 PM (#2326616)
   32. robinred Posted: April 05, 2007 at 08:32 PM (#2326629)
McNally is still bitter his team got outSPENTmaneuvered
   33. robinred Posted: April 05, 2007 at 08:40 PM (#2326630)
I mentioned earleir that I thought DM would be lights-out early, and will come down a bit after the league sees him. The "adjustment" will be on hitters' side, not his.
   34. kevin Posted: April 05, 2007 at 08:41 PM (#2326631)
The backdrop captures western Missouri/eastern Kansas very well.


And that's a good thing? Haven't you seen "In Cold Blood"?
   35. scotto Posted: April 05, 2007 at 08:56 PM (#2326636)
Just watched Will Carroll's video for MLB.com on Matsuzaka's mechanics. Interesting stuff-- the comparison with Clemens is encouraging from a health-perspective.

Funny, because the SI baseball issue stressed how different his mechanics were from the prototypical Clemensish drop 'n drive style.
   36. Darren Posted: April 05, 2007 at 09:26 PM (#2326652)
You know who else worked pretty slowly? That El Duque guy. That big leg kick sure took a long time. He sure was no fun to watch.
   37. J. Cross Posted: April 05, 2007 at 09:48 PM (#2326657)
prototypical Clemensish drop 'n drive style.

"drop and drive" isn't prototypical these days. I think that kids have been learning the "tall and falling towards the hitter" method since my high school days and maybe sooner. I think Seaver is the paragon of drop and drive.
   38. kevin Posted: April 05, 2007 at 09:53 PM (#2326662)
I think Seaver is the paragon of drop and drive.


Ryan even more so.
   39. Darren Posted: April 05, 2007 at 09:54 PM (#2326663)
I think Seaver is the paragon of drop and drive.


Clemens was a great admirer of Seaver's form, and took the chance to learn from him when they were teammates. He used to talk about how when Seaver was in good form, he's get the knee portion of his uniform dirty, and Clemens would try to do the same. You can see a lot of Seaver in Clemens--same body type, same style, similarly great results and longevity.
   40. Garth has been one-uped by Brian Bannister Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:08 PM (#2326671)
Don't listen to McNally. Daisuke pitched considerably better than Greinke. BGreinke was in trouble most innings, though he pitched out of them well. Matsusaka was in control the entire game.

... except for the first, fifth, and sixth innings.

His fourth inning was the best (striking out the side) and I don't deny a really great game out of Matsuzaka. He is the real deal, so far as we can tell. But "considerably better" is quite an embellishment.

Matsuzka: 7 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 10 K, 1.29 ERA
Greinke: 7 IP, 8 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K, 1.29 ERA

Considerably better? Forgive me, but I must strongly disagree.

Adjusting for lineup strength, I'm extremely pleased with Zack Greinke's performance (he struck out David Ortiz not once, not twice, but thrice).

I think this is a great day for both BoSox and KC -- Boston's big signing has had a great first day, and it looks as if Greinke can go toe-to-toe with one of the best lineups in the major leagues and come away victorious.
   41. kevin Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:10 PM (#2326674)
Considerably better? Forgive me, but I must strongly disagree.


You must have forgotten about the 3 leadoff doubles.
   42. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:14 PM (#2326679)
It's not Greinke's problem that batted balls hit off him were hit into an outfield with Mark Teahen and Ross Gload both lumbering around.
   43. kevin Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:16 PM (#2326681)
The balls were all hit well. Aside from the homer, the hits Matsusaka gave up were bleeders and soft line drives in front of the outfielders.
   44. Garth has been one-uped by Brian Bannister Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:16 PM (#2326682)
You must have forgotten about the 3 leadoff doubles.

So that DeJesus home run was, what, planned?
   45. GORP Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:18 PM (#2326686)
Greinke also got into those jams in the first place.

Admittedly, I was at work, and could only catch one inning of the game (as a personal Matsuzaka fan and a fantasy Greinke owner, this was a much-anticipated machup). However, in that one inning, both pitchers looked equally nasty. In response to this quote, the one inning I saw started with a double that was misplayed and easily could have been caught. To his credit, Greinke (with a double being allowed DESPITE his pitching, not because of it) got out of it.

Only on Primer could a guy who loses 4-1 be perceived as pitching better than the guy who got the win.

I'm relatively new to the discussion portion of this site, so correct me if I'm missing the joke, but you sound like Joe Morgan. If I'm not mistaken (I'm not), Greinke walked one, struck out a batter per inning, gave up one earned run, and then watched his bullpen take the loss. Matsuzaka was the better pitcher today, and I love what I saw, but nothing should be taken away from Zack. He may be one of the stories of the year come September.
   46. GORP Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:21 PM (#2326687)
Retract my last comment, I'm a misreading tired fool ... plus, I failed to notice my point had already been made. Needless to say, they both looked great today, and both should be the talk of baseball when this season ends.
   47. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:22 PM (#2326691)
So, who wants to comb Japanese blogs to get the Japanese reaction to Kansas City and Kauffman Stadium?
   48. kevin Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:22 PM (#2326693)
Who won? It sure wasn't Greinke. All of Matsusaka's peripherals were better- K/BB ratio, % of strikes thrown, hits/batters faced, WHIP.
   49. Garth has been one-uped by Brian Bannister Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:25 PM (#2326695)
Who won? It sure wasn't Greinke.

How many RBI did Matsuzaka get anyway?
   50. kevin Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:26 PM (#2326696)
Greinke walked one, struck out a batter per inning, gave up one earned run, then watched his bullpen take the loss



??? Greinke left the game losing by 1 run. He lost the game, not the bullpen.
   51. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:28 PM (#2326702)
Matsuzaka advised Ortiz to tag up from third on that fly ball.
   52. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:30 PM (#2326705)
tag up from second to third on the fly ball.

there seemed to be more of a negative reaction to Ortiz than Ramirez, which is puzzling, since Ramirez is less likeable.

Granted, JD Drew is a punk who deserves boos on principle.
   53. GORP Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:34 PM (#2326710)
Greinke left the game losing by 1 run. He lost the game, not the bullpen

I meant to say his bullpen blew it--putting the game out of reach--not lost, making the contest seem more one-sided to the uninformed (the people just finding out from Sportscenter) than it really was. I also meant to chide his defense behind him, but never got around to that. Good catch though.
   54. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:42 PM (#2326724)
Tony Pena, Jr's footspeed isn't that great from what I saw
   55. Biff, Red Sox Jinx Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:45 PM (#2326725)
there seemed to be more of a negative reaction to Ortiz than Ramirez, which is puzzling, since Ramirez is less likeable.

Ramirez is less likeable? I don't really see how someone could not like Manny. He's just...weird.
   56. Garth has been one-uped by Brian Bannister Posted: April 05, 2007 at 10:50 PM (#2326726)
I don't really see how someone could not like Manny.

I haven't been a big fan of his public contract negotiations. On the other hand, Ortiz is a nasty beast, but he's got that whole redemption story behind him -- discarded by the Twins, now a great ballplayer -- that makes him likable.
   57. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 11:13 PM (#2326741)
Ortiz seems more jolly than Ramirez, which is helpful, imagewise.

Manny would definately make an all-time team of "lazy players".

But the universe would collapse if Manny and Barry Bonds were teammates.
   58. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 11:16 PM (#2326746)
If it were possible, I'd put Shaq and Manny on a team together.

Or a themed sitcom with Officer Shaq and his new deputy Manny.

Also, I wonder how much Matsuzaka was helped by being able to blow into his hands during the game.
   59. Raskolnikov Posted: April 05, 2007 at 11:27 PM (#2326755)
McNally is still bitter his team got outSPENTmaneuvered


I know I am that the Mets got outmaneuvered. Give Theo his props, Dice-K should been a Met.
   60. Rafael Bellylard (p8p) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 11:29 PM (#2326758)
I enjoyed the game, and while Dice-K pitched very, very well, Greinke's performance was solid. Most days, he pitched well enough to win.
   61. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 05, 2007 at 11:30 PM (#2326760)
Oh yeah, here's the times I noticed on Matsuzaka's pitches

The Fastball was around 94mph

The breaking pitches were in the low 80s
   62. willcarrollsux Posted: April 05, 2007 at 11:55 PM (#2326790)
Let me get this straight: he gave up a home run to a Royal, and people are saying he did well?

Are you guys looking at the same American League as I am?
   63. farfalone Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:22 AM (#2326810)
yeh, Matsuzaka is slow, but very elegant, I like his style
   64. Garth has been one-uped by Brian Bannister Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:48 AM (#2326829)
I have a bunch of pictures and a few videos here, in the featured section, for those interested.
   65. MSI Posted: April 06, 2007 at 02:44 AM (#2326871)
I imagine his career will resemble something like Hideo Nomo. Great to start, then slowly becoming very good, good, productive, story of yesteryear.
   66. MSI Posted: April 06, 2007 at 02:47 AM (#2326872)
Also a lot of his success was probably intimidation and surprise from seeing him. After getting more used to him, adapting, facing some tougher offences, I see him getting more hit up than he did today.
   67. Good cripple hitter Posted: April 06, 2007 at 03:06 AM (#2326875)
Only problem with that is Hideo Nomo's career arc was anything but a slow downward curve. Nomo was great, mediocre, horrid, average, great again, then toast.
   68. IronChef Chris Wok Posted: April 06, 2007 at 03:40 AM (#2326878)
Greinke was fantastic. Stop hating all of you.

I was never really a fan of Dice-K's Slider and Curve. They don't break that much. I was always a bigger fan of his forkball and changeup, which break much much more.

I liked the cut fastball and the 2-seamer though. They'll serve him well.

Dice-K's fastball: topped out at 150km/h on the NHK gun, hovered around 144-148.

Dice-K really helped himself out with the 3 fielding plays he made. Turned a strong double play, and showed some hustle off the mound fielding a dribbler.

Still don't know how Tek caught the runner.
   69. Guy LeDouche Posted: April 06, 2007 at 04:08 AM (#2326883)
"Though I pity poor Red Sox fans because he works awful, awful slow."


Most of them survived Nomar without getting seizures, so they'll be fine.
   70. Garth has been one-uped by Brian Bannister Posted: April 06, 2007 at 10:14 AM (#2326949)
Still don't know how Tek caught the runner.

From my very distant seat, it didn't look like he did. It appeared he got under the tag.

But from someone who watched the game -- was it an out? I assume so, but it just looked like he got under it from my end.
   71. kwarren Posted: April 06, 2007 at 10:37 AM (#2326965)
You'd never know it. Just watched Sportscenter, they showed just about every batter Matsuzaka faced, they didn't show one pitch of Greinke's. Guy comes back from anxiety problems that are so severe he didn't play baseball, and they don't even show one pitch. I know he's not Japanese, but isn't that worth something?

Greinke got all the pub when he was a 20 year old rookie in 2004. He's old news now, and will have to settle for comeback player of the year now.

It MATSUZUKA time now. Not to mention that Greinke is a Royal, and Matsuzuka is a Red Sock.
   72. PJ Martinez Posted: April 06, 2007 at 10:39 AM (#2326969)
I wasn't watching, but a bunch of chatterers who were said the ump blew the SB call.
   73. kevin Posted: April 06, 2007 at 10:44 AM (#2326972)
But from someone who watched the game -- was it an out?


Even after slow-mo review, it was too close to call but it looked like he was safe.
   74. jim in providence Posted: April 06, 2007 at 10:49 AM (#2326975)
But from someone who watched the game -- was it an out?

It didn't look like an out to me - it looked like German got his foot under the tag. It also appeared to me that Lugo was partially blocking the umpire's view. But they only showed the replay a couple of times on NESN and Buddy Bell appeared to make only a nominal protest, so my eyes may have deceived me.

I agree with the sentiment that Greinke was excellent. When was the last time Ortiz struck out three times in a row? If he can keep the anxitey issues under control, he looks to have a good/excellent comeback season.

Re. the league's adjustment to Matsuzaka - he doesn't have nearly as extravagant a windup as did Nomo, so I don't see him deriving a significant initial advantage from hitters' unfamiliarity with his delivery.
   75. kwarren Posted: April 06, 2007 at 10:51 AM (#2326976)
Don't listen to McNally. Daisuke pitched considerably better than Greinke. BGreinke was in trouble most innings, though he pitched out of them well. Matsuzaka was in control the entire game.

Matsuzaka - 26 batters faced, 1 BB, 10 K, 1 HR, 14 balls in play of which 5 went for hits (.357 BABIP).

Greinke - 29 batters faced, 1 BB, 7 K, 0 HR, 21 balls in play of which 8 went for hits (.381 BABIP).

Greinke didn't allow a HR. Matsuzaka got more K's. Greinke faced a much tougher line-up. Both pitchers were unlucky in the number of hits allowed, but Greinke more so.

I'd have to give the edge to Greinke.
   76. Slinger Francisco Barrios (Dr. Memory) Posted: April 06, 2007 at 11:08 AM (#2327000)
I love the first week of the season.
   77. kwarren Posted: April 06, 2007 at 11:16 AM (#2327011)
The backdrop captures western Missouri/eastern Kansas very well.



And that's a good thing? Haven't you seen "In Cold Blood"?


Couldn't the exact same point have been made, without the condescension, by simply posting:

Is that a good thing? Have you seen "In Cold Blood" ?

Just a thought.
   78. bunyon Posted: April 06, 2007 at 11:17 AM (#2327013)
Good lord. They both pitched well. If the two teams get this as an usual performance from these two guys, they'll both be very happy. My comment in #1 wasn't intended to say that Gyro didn't pitch well, just that Greinke did as well and it wasn't being commented on much in the MSM. Why it should be that Greinke pitching well means Dice Clay didn't is beyond me.
   79. kwarren Posted: April 06, 2007 at 11:20 AM (#2327018)
You must have forgotten about the 3 leadoff doubles.

How about saying, "Greinke gave up three leadoff doubles" ? No need to insult the other poster to make your point.
   80. Smiling Joe Hesketh Posted: April 06, 2007 at 11:20 AM (#2327019)
RE: the stolen base, on first viewing the runner clearly looked safe. From reverse angle replay it miight like Lugo might have slapped the tag on the runner's thigh JUST before his foot hit the bag. Tough to say for sure.

As a Sox fan I'm very pleased with Matsuzaka's outing, but Greinke really impressed me yesterday, particularly in the way he was able to attack the outer edge of the plate against lefties. He looked really, really good. Poor defense let him down some, but Royals fans should be thrilled he's back and apparently very effective again.
   81. milford_blatti has gap power! Posted: April 06, 2007 at 11:21 AM (#2327020)
You know what's more annoying than the hype surrounding Dice-K? The reactionary anti-hype Dice-K hating.

At least the hype is based on some evidence and history of dominance at a high level. All this guy has done is totally kick ass in every competitive situation presented to him and do it with poise and professionalism.

Yet, because of the posting fee, salary and surrounding hype, people here and elsewhere have to look for reasons to be unimpressed. 7IP 10K 1BB 1ER doesn't count because it was against the Royals, or because he had a generous strike zone, or because he got a call on a CS. Sheesh!

And this extrapolating a career path from watching one start is, like, Rob Dibble level stupid, as is the assumption that the league will "adjust" and "figure him out;" right 'cause they don't know how to do that in Japan. The game they play over there bears only a passing resemblance to the potent, man-style ball played in the US.

p.s. Greinke also pitched well and had the same generous strike zone.
   82. kwarren Posted: April 06, 2007 at 11:27 AM (#2327028)
All of Matsusaka's peripherals were better- K/BB ratio, % of strikes thrown, hits/batters faced, WHIP.

HR allowed is a big-time peripheral. Greinke won that one.

Matsuzuka allowed more HR than Greinke. I'm sure that was an honest ommission on your part but should have been noted in a comparison of each pitchers' relative effectiveness.

Would it be possible for you to include the quality of the opposition line-up in your analysis. That might possibly lead to more useful/accurate conclusions.
   83. El Hombre 2 MVPs (Le Samourai) Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:11 PM (#2327065)
I suppose if somebody wants to get fancy they could calculate mLVR based off PECOTA predictions and find how many fewer runs each pitcher allowed than expected.
   84. kevin Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:27 PM (#2327084)
HR allowed is a big-time peripheral. Greinke won that one.


8 hits/4 doubles<<<<<<< 6 hits/1 HR.

7 K's <<< 10 K's.

101/64 <<<<< 108/74.

These are not negotiable points, they are indisputable. I think you need to work on your math a little.

Would it be possible for you to include the quality of the opposition line-up in your analysis. That might possibly lead to more useful/accurate conclusions.


More useful like how? Like trying to sabermetrically finesse a loss into a win for Greinke? What, you think this is golf or something? You think they allow Greinke to use a handicap?

Let me put an extra color or two into your paintbox for you. The only numbers that really count are wins and losses. All the other numbers are BS if they don't lead to more wins and less losses for you. If you lose, all of the good work you did goes for nothing. Greinke allowed the leadoff man to reach base in every inning but one. He was lucky he only gave up 1 earned run. IF this were June, he would have had his head handed to him and been out of the game by the third inning. How's that for a useful conclusion?
   85. Garth has been one-uped by Brian Bannister Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:27 PM (#2327085)
One thing I'd like to note that would be hard to fit under any category, peripheral or not, was the temperature. I'm extremely impressed with both Matsuzaka and Greinke throwing as well and as long as they did in the 35-40 degree temps (without factoring wind) that made me retreat to the concession stands twice.

---

Gil Meche, vs. Red Sox (Game 1): 7.1 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K = 1.23 ERA
Zack Greinke, vs. Red Sox (Game 3): 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 7 K = 1.29 ERA

Jumping to conclusions (and assuming Greinke + Meche are real, two dubious claims at best), I'd say the Royals are about two good starters short of a strong rotation, and Luke Hochevar (probably due up sometime this year) might be one of those two. A first-round draft pick this year might be another.

For the first time in a very long time (ever?), I'm excited about Royals pitching.
   86. Cowboy Popup Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:33 PM (#2327096)
"Would it be possible for you to include the quality of the opposition line-up in your analysis. That might possibly lead to more useful/accurate conclusions."

You're not used to disagreeing with Kevin are you?

I'll take D-mat because of the Ks, but Greinke was right behind him IMO and yes, Greinke deserves a bonus for having to face two of the three best hitters in the league while D-Mats toughest out was (apparently) DeJesus.
   87. kevin Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:40 PM (#2327103)
For the first time in a very long time (ever?), I'm excited about Royals pitching.


There's a lot of "if's" in there, Garth, but I'm inclined to agree with you.

Has Hochevar pitched yet this year?
   88. kevin Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:45 PM (#2327109)
Both pitchers were unlucky in the number of hits allowed, but Greinke more so.


Oh, I get it now, kwarren. Greinke was clearly better because he was unluckier than Matsusaka. Thanks for clearing that up for me.

Tell me, what was Greinke's Luck-ERA last year? I guess you are expecting a rebound in his luck factor, I suppose.
   89. Garth has been one-uped by Brian Bannister Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:53 PM (#2327119)
Let me put an extra color or two into your paintbox for you. The only numbers that really count are wins and losses.

Gil Meche > Curt Schilling?
   90. The Clarence Thomas of BTF (scott) Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:57 PM (#2327126)
when they faced off, yes.
   91. Max Parkinson Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:57 PM (#2327127)
He certainly was on Monday.
   92. Nasty Nate Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:57 PM (#2327128)
DIZZY



_~--,-~>?> (david cone?)
   93. kevin Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:58 PM (#2327129)
On Monday he was, Garth.
   94. kwarren Posted: April 06, 2007 at 12:58 PM (#2327130)
IF this were June, he would have had his head handed to him and been out of the game by the third inning. How's that for a useful conclusion?

That's a typical "Kevin" conclusion, if you catch my drift.

Who is this Kevin guy anyway? He apparently thinks that pitchers are responsible for winning games. I think that he really believes that if Matsuzuka and Greinke were to trade sides yesterday, Matsuzuka would have led the Royals to a victory.

And that hits allowed on balls in play are a result of pitching skill? And HR allowed are not part of a pitchers' peripheral stats. Must be an interesting little world he lives in.
   95. kevin Posted: April 06, 2007 at 01:10 PM (#2327143)
Who is this Kevin guy anyway?


A lurker mostly. Every now and then he'll post something.

He apparently thinks that pitchers are responsible for winning games.


Yeah, kwarren. That .691 winning % that Pedro has? I'm now beginning to see the light, thanks to you. I don't know how I could have thought that he might have something do with such an outstanding record. Clearly, it was due to the outstanding play of Troy O'Leary and Darren Lewis.
   96. Brandon in MO (for America!) Posted: April 06, 2007 at 01:13 PM (#2327146)
I'll note that me making up pitch names and calling them Matsuzaka pitches (and listing them by number) was probably better than the fans behind me who tried to start a "USA" chant.
   97. Slinger Francisco Barrios (Dr. Memory) Posted: April 06, 2007 at 01:41 PM (#2327173)
Post #92, I have no idea what you're saying, but I like how you say it.
   98. Danny Posted: April 06, 2007 at 02:09 PM (#2327198)
You know who pitched better than Matsuzaka yesterday? Carlos Rosa. It was in the Carolina League, you say? BS, the competition doesn't matter. I just care about wins and losses.
   99. kwarren Posted: April 06, 2007 at 02:18 PM (#2327212)
That's two brilliant BABIP posts from you today.

Thanks :-)
   100. Viceroy of Rangoon Posted: April 06, 2007 at 02:38 PM (#2327237)
Ryan even more so.

Don't think so. Seaver has the knees to prove it.
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