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I don't know enough about the Royals to answer the question. But the A's future does look promising. They are pretty set everywhere, assuming Barton hits again, but they really need a third baseman... a right-handed slugging third baseman, preferably. Someone like Adrian Beltre.
Therefore, the A's are by definition not OBP. Just because some dude wrote a book six years ago highlighting the way the A's targeted high OBP players doesn't make that some sort of permanent organizational philosophy.
Christ, this gets old. Beane really never should have written that book.
He's in Sacramento, where they're sporting a pretty unfair roster for the PCL playoffs. The OFers are Buck, Murton, Denorfia, and CarGo. They had Sean Gallagher start last night, with Brett Anderson relieving. The rest of the roster is filled out with AAAA guys like Donnie Murphy, Brooks Conrad, and Wes Bankston.
Meanwhile, Dan Johnson put up a .980 OPS for Durham this year; good thing the A's held onto Mike Sweeney instead.
They do need some of those interesting young players to be hitters with some power though, because the team has been dreadful to watch for a couple years now even though everyone seems to be noticing it this year.
But most of all I need to move away so I can watch games on Extra Innings or MLB.tv and not always have to deal with Glen Kuiper and Ray Fosse.
Kasper is the man. I'm always happy when I know the Cubs are gonna be in HD on WGN and I can also be home at the same time.
Papa is such a putz. He really has no clue. I'm glad his brother is enjoying so much success now, he actually knows what he's doing.
With respect to the A's radio guys, I loathe listening to Vince Contronio. That highly polished, "professional" voice comes off as smarmy to me, and the things he says I usually disgree with completely. Ugh.
Well the A's are last in the league in OBP because they are last (dead last... with a bullet) in BA, not because they don't draw walks. They are 5th in walks and they are 5th in isolated OBP (OBP-BA).
ADDED: They are last in the league (tied with KC) in isolated slugging, however.
If you just want a quick snapshot, BB% coupled with BB/K works better.
The only reason I can think of is that they are hoping that Brown ends up as a type B. But, if that is the case, it makes no sense not to play him everyday, which they are not doing.
Having him on the roster is stupid.
Because Murton hasn't hit a lick in 3 years? Murton's got a whopping 768 OPS at Sacramento after posting a 777 at Iowa this year. In the majors this year, he's sporting a swank 18 OPS+ after jaw-dropping years of 100 and 104. In about 400 AB this year spread across AAA and the majors, Murton has 2 HR. If this is the way the A's stack the AAA roster for the playoffs, I don't think the rest of the PCL has that much to worry about.
I know, Emil Brown stinks. It's possible he's worse than Murton, though at this point I've got my doubts. But he's also under contract and Murton has options left. And Murton's just not good.
The proper question is why did Beane want Murton in the trade. At least Eric Patterson can hit AAA pitching.
The same reason I think they trot Dan Meyer out there every 5th start, to try and lose ballgames and get a better draft pick without making it blatantly obvious.
*May not have been Joe West, but they all suck, so it's not like he would deserve an apology if I'm wrong.
Career AAA line:
Murton: .306/.389/.457, 506 AB
Patterson: .311/.366/.484, 895 AB
Of course, that's a big difference if Patterson can play a credible 2B.
Because Murton hasn't hit a lick in 3 years?
Murton has been a better hitter than Brown in the past, and almost certainly will be a better hitter than Brown in the future, based on their ages. (Brown is 33, Murton is 26.)* The only thing Brown has over Murton is defense, but we're talking about left field. I want the better hitter.
*ADDED: Unless there's something "wrong" with Murton I don't know about... Walt?
Yeah, Fosse bugs me too. He wishes aloud for certain specific things to happen, like: "It would be great if Suzuki hit one in the gap right here, to score Ellis from first and send us all home." No kidding Fosse, that would be great, but don't wish for it out loud.
Which goes to show why building strategies around "taking a walk" rather than "getting on base" are distinguishable.
For aesthetic reasons I would love an outfield of Cunningham, CarGo and a healthy Buck. They would just be fun to watch.
It's hard to say to what extent the A's atrociously low team batting average is attributable to them "looking for walks". How does everyone on the team (except Suzuki and Sweeney) manage to hit .230? Is it their approach? Are they taking hittable pitches? I've seen a good number of their games this year, but I'm not really sure.
I find Ryan Sweeney aesthetically pleasing as well. Actually, I really like Rajai's style too. He. Just. Can't. Hit.
probably true ... but it's not like Murton can hit.
Look, I believe Matt Murton could have been somebody. I believe if the Cubs had just put him out there everyday, he'd have developed into an average or better hitter for a corner. But they didn't and he didn't develop right (or maybe they were right not to have faith in him) and it's time we realized that.
In 2006, he spent the whole season in the majors, got 508 PAs and put up an OPS+ of 104. In 2007, he did crush in 170 AAA ABs and put up a 100 OPS+ in 261 ML PAs. This year he's got a 775 OPS in about 350 AAA PA and a 18 OPS+ in 70 ML PA. In the last 3 seasons, he has 170 excellent AAA PAs to his name and a lot of below position-average hitting. And, as I mentioned, in over 400 PA in AAA and MLB this year, he has 2 HR. No, you can't live with that in a corner in the majors.
And Murton will be 27 next season -- there's little reason to think he'll get substantially better than he is. Sure, he might have a 2004 Craig Monroe season or 2005-06 Emil Brown seasons in him ... but he is Monroe or Brown, not Kevin McReynolds.
The Patteson-Murton comment was basically a joke (i.e. Murton can't outhit Patterson ... who can't hit) but not only are Patterson's numbers compiled at 2B he's also been a year younger than Murton for most of his AAA time.
Sorry, it's just one of my pet peeves about my saber fellow-travelers. We (rightly) champion the Matt Murtons and the Ken Phelps All-Stars as cost-effective alternatives ... but there comes a point where you have to let go, especially if they're starting to no longer perform in the minors. There might have been a time when Murton was undervalued -- I believe there was -- but that time is gone. Sure, he might be a better 4th OF option than Monroe or certainly a better DH option than Vidro, but that's pretty much his upside right now.
The Rich Harden trade is starting to look reminiscent of the Pirates trading Ramirez and Lofton to the Cubs. Not that bad, but of a similar shape. In that trade, the Cubs were desparate for a 3B and a CF (given Patterson had recently gotten hurt). Now Lofton was old and ARam had not been particularly good to that point in his career (average hitter, poor defender) so one could argue (and I have) that the Pirates shouldn't expect much in trade. But the strange thing was they traded for Jose Hernandez (purely a short-term placeholder), Bobby Hill ... who they promptly buried ... and Matt Bruback ... who they promptly lost on waivers when they tried to remove from the 40-man roster.
It's one thing to trade for a prospect who doesn't pan out but they traded Ramirez and Lofton for 3 guys they clearly didn't want (probably the single best piece of evidence in favor of Justin Z's Pirates hypothesis). Now the A's do seem to want Gallagher but if they actually believe that Murton and Patterson can be quality ML players, they're not showing it. Maybe they did before they got a look at them and quickly changed their minds or the A's were satisfied with Gallagher as the return and M&P;were acquired purely as extra AAAA pieces. But I see little reason to expect Murton to get any more of a shot with the A's than he ever got with the Cubs. I assume he's out of options after this year and I wouldn't be surprised to see him traded or made rule 5 eligible (or minor-league FA or whatever).
"So smart... and yet with a smack of ham to it."
Well I agree about Murton. But it looks to me like the A's are giving Patterson a tryout for the 2009 second base position.
I'm going to miss Ellis. Sniff.
I anticipate that Beane will do some wheeling and dealing this offseason. It seems to me they have a glut of outfielders and no third baseman (or Pennington at third in 2009?) Too many lefty bats. Street has been mentioned in trade rumors for months... I could easily see Street and an outfielder being traded this winter.
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