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Monday, September 29, 2008

Mike Greenberg: CC 4 NL MVP

MG 4 ABCENILE

I was never a ballplayer, and you know I would have loved to have been.  I would have given anything to have been a professional ballplayer; I wasn’t good enough.  But, I’ll tell you what I wouldn’t have given.  I wouldn’t have given $130 million.  If you said to me you could either have $130 million or win a World Series, in an honest moment, I’d have to admit, I would take the $130 million.  So, I think that you look at what CC Sabathia is risking.  It’s not football: you’re not going to tear up your knee every time you step out there, but by consistently throwing on short rest and throwing as many pitches as he did, he is jeopardizing what everyone knows is going to be a payday of eight figures and more.  So, I think that has got to be so inspirational to his teammates.  It’s like the football player going out there when everyone knows how hurt he is but playing for the team.  It is for that reason as well as his on-field performance, that I really believe - I’m not just saying this to try to be a talk-show host, stirring it up - I really believe he should win the National League’s Most Valuable Player award, and it frustrates me that the inside-the-box thinking of the voters is going to be “well, he wasn’t there all year, so we’re not going to vote for him.” C’mon!  C’mon!  That guy put that team on his shoulders, both literally and metaphorically, and carried them into the postseason.  That’s what an MVP does.

Repoz Posted: September 29, 2008 at 07:04 PM | 33 comment(s)
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   1. Anonymous Observer Posted: September 29, 2008 at 07:14 PM (#2960613)
I was never a ballplayer, and you know I would have loved to have been. I would have given anything to have been a professional ballplayer; I wasn’t good enough. But, I’ll tell you what I wouldn’t have given. I wouldn’t have given $130 million. If you said to me you could either have $130 million or win a World Series, in an honest moment, I’d have to admit, I would take the $130 million. So, I think that you look at what CC Sabathia is risking. It’s not football: you’re not going to tear up your knee every time you step out there, but by consistently throwing on short rest and throwing as many pitches as he did, he is jeopardizing what everyone knows is going to be a payday of eight figures and more. So, I think that has got to be so inspirational to his teammates. It’s like the football player going out there when everyone knows how hurt he is but playing for the team. It is for that reason as well as his on-field performance, that I really believe - I’m not just saying this to try to be a talk-show host, stirring it up - I really believe he should win the National League’s Most Valuable Player award, and it frustrates me that the inside-the-box thinking of the voters is going to be “well, he wasn’t there all year, so we’re not going to vote for him.” C’mon! C’mon! That guy put that team on his shoulders, both literally and metaphorically, and carried them into the postseason. That’s what an MVP does.

Authorities believe alcohol is involved.

AO
   2. Portia Stanke Posted: September 29, 2008 at 07:17 PM (#2960618)
Puke.

Both literally and metaphorically.
   3. Craig Calcaterra Posted: September 29, 2008 at 07:20 PM (#2960622)
I really would pay a lot of money to see CC literally put the Brewers on his shoulders. I'd pay a good sum simply to see Prince Fielder up there.
   4. Biff. You know, for kids! Posted: September 29, 2008 at 08:16 PM (#2960678)
I really would pay a lot of money to see CC literally put the Brewers on his shoulders. I'd pay a good sum simply to see Prince Fielder up there.

I watched the replay of the post-game-ending-DP celebration. The sheer tonnage involved with Sabathia/Fielder is impressive.
   5. James SC Posted: September 29, 2008 at 08:24 PM (#2960690)
To me if you are going to give a big time second half performer in the NL the CY Young over Timmy, that pitcher has to be Santana. Not that CC doesn't deserve praise (and some CY Young and MVP votes), but IMO he should be 4th or 5th in the vote. (Behind Timmy-Webb/Santana).

I have been impressed with CC's willingness to do this the past 3 weeks and has been inspiring, I also think that the Brewers have been downright liable in their use of a pitcher that they clearly only view as a player as a rental and willing to literally tear his arm off if it meant playing in the post season.

Going into the year I thought CC and his waistline were the poor bet for a contender to risk 7 years on. After the way he has been abused by the Brewers the last 2 months I would say it would be a train wreck waiting to happen.

On the bright side? Hankee might just be paniced enough now to spend the 5-7 years at 20-25 mil on Sabathia, and that would just make me happy.
   6. comrade DDT Posted: September 29, 2008 at 08:55 PM (#2960706)

Going into the year I thought CC and his waistline were the poor bet for a contender to risk 7 years on. After the way he has been abused by the Brewers the last 2 months I would say it would be a train wreck waiting to happen.

On the bright side? Hankee might just be paniced enough now to spend the 5-7 years at 20-25 mil on Sabathia, and that would just make me happy.


I agree - I don't really have a problem with what the Brewers are doing to CC, but if CC's physique and overused arm do damage to Hankenstein's wallet, I'm even more fine with it.

Any talk of CC for MVP (ludicrous) or Cy (slightly less crazy) benefits from being able to conveniently overlook those first four atrocious starts in the AL, which did unfortunately count for the Indians. Even discounting the AL stats (which is only appropriate, I guess), CC doesn't come close.


To me if you are going to give a big time second half performer in the NL the CY Young over Timmy, that pitcher has to be Santana. Not that CC doesn't deserve praise (and some CY Young and MVP votes), but IMO he should be 4th or 5th in the vote. (Behind Timmy-Webb/Santana).


I'd give it to Lincecum also, with Santana not that far behind and Webb back a bit more. Not sure how Webb can be considered ahead of Johan.
   7. sunnyday2 Posted: September 29, 2008 at 09:15 PM (#2960725)
CC 4 MVP is another example of confusing MVP with the most interesting story. If I'm a writer, I don't give a #### about MVP, I just like a good story.
   8. Dock Ellis on Acid Posted: September 29, 2008 at 09:22 PM (#2960727)
If you said to me you could either have $130 million or win a World Series, in an honest moment, I’d have to admit, I would take the $130 million.


Would you take 34.5 million and a World Series? That's what CC's earned in his career through the end of the season.
   9. Portia Stanke Posted: September 29, 2008 at 09:26 PM (#2960731)
The MVP is always the best narrative, though. That's what happens when sportswriters are responsible for the vote.
   10. salvomania Posted: September 29, 2008 at 09:47 PM (#2960743)
Brewers winning pct., pre-C.C.: .556
Brewers winning pct, post-C.C.: .556

Wow.

I remember in 1985, when the Cardinals and Mets were battling it out for the NL East crown and the right to play in the postseason. In mid-September, the Mets held a slim lead, but the Cardinals edged ahead, and with 4 games to play held a one-game lead. The Cardinals would go on to win the division, eventually losing in the World Series.

The Cardinals had an unassuming lefty without obvious overpowering stuff, but he went 6-0 in September, and 5 times in his final 8 starts pitched at least 9 shutout innings. I say "at least" because in two of those starts he threw 10 shutout innings, including a 1-0 win over those very Mets that pulled the Cardinals into a first-place tie with them.

From July 2, 1985 (roughly analagous to Sabathia's July 9 acquisition) he went 14-1 in 20 starts with 8 shutouts and 11 complete games and a 1.38 era. His team played .651 ball over that span, compared to .589 before then.

And needless to say, he didn't win the MVP award.
   11. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: September 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM (#2960763)
Any talk of CC for MVP (ludicrous) or Cy (slightly less crazy) benefits from being able to conveniently overlook those first four atrocious starts in the AL, which did unfortunately count for the Indians. Even discounting the AL stats (which is only appropriate, I guess), CC doesn't come close.


Even with those four atrocious starts, CC arguably had a better year than any of the other NL contenders, if you find the extra 19-26 innings pitched over Santana and Lincecum more significant than the 1 and 2 points of ERA+.
   12. Darren Posted: September 29, 2008 at 10:23 PM (#2960766)
To me if you are going to give a big time second half performer in the NL the CY Young over Timmy, that pitcher has to be Santana. Not that CC doesn't deserve praise (and some CY Young and MVP votes), but IMO he should be 4th or 5th in the vote.


Crazy talk. Johan's team didn't make the playoffs so everything he did had was completely meaningless.
   13. Crashburn Alley Posted: September 29, 2008 at 10:33 PM (#2960776)
How come no one mentions Cole Hamels when they mention Brandon Webb? Hamels has had a better season, slightly. Webb isn't even top-five in the Cy Young race (Santana, Lincecum, Dempster, Hamels, Haren, and Sabathia wherever you decide to throw him in).
   14. andrewberg of udub law Posted: September 29, 2008 at 10:41 PM (#2960779)
Brewers winning pct., pre-C.C.: .556
Brewers winning pct, post-C.C.: .556


To be fair, they weren't .556 in NON-CC starts after the trade. They were .556 in games he didn't start before the trade, .491 in games he didn't start after the trade, and .824 in his starts after the trade.
   15. Snowboy Posted: September 29, 2008 at 10:45 PM (#2960781)
it frustrates me that the inside-the-box thinking of the voters is going to be “well, he wasn’t there all year, so we’re not going to vote for him.” C’mon! C’mon! That guy put that team on his shoulders, both literally and metaphorically, and carried them into the postseason. That’s what an MVP does.


Tune in again tomorrow to hear Mike Greenberg make the case for Sabathia as NL ROTY:
it frustrates me when inside-the-box guys say "well, he's played in the AL before, so we’re not going to vote for him." C'mon! C'mon! He was 11-2 in the National League, ERA of 1.65. That is the most impressive debut since Fernando. And has he ever pitched for an NL team before this year? No. Which is about all I need to know when picking a rookie.[/Greenie]
   16. Boots Day Posted: September 29, 2008 at 10:47 PM (#2960785)
Johan's team didn't make the playoffs so everything he did had was completely meaningless.

I don't think making or missing the playoffs has anything to do with Cy Young voting. Obviously, a pitcher on a good team is more likely to win the award because he's more likely to pile up more wins, but there doesn't appear to be any effect beyond that.
   17. Darren Posted: September 29, 2008 at 10:58 PM (#2960790)
It frustrates me when inside-the-box guys say "well, he's played in the AL before, so we’re not going to vote for him for president." C'mon! C'mon! That guy put that team on his shoulders, both literally and metaphorically, and carried them into the postseason. He'll certainly do the same for our country. Plus, I'd like to have a beer with him.
   18. The Most Interesting Man In The World Posted: September 29, 2008 at 11:52 PM (#2960825)
Am I the only person who keeps thinking this guy is in fact Mike Greenwell?
   19. Booey Posted: September 29, 2008 at 11:54 PM (#2960826)
I saw this show this morning, and Greenie was getting seriously irked with Golic for not agreeing with him. But since Golic was pimping Ryan Howard, he didn't exactly come across as less than nuts himself...

While I agree it's stupid to give league awards to players who spent less than half the season with that league, it would bother me much less if Manny or CC won MVP or CYA than it would if someone like Howard or Delgado won. Because at least the former DID have MVP/CYA caliber seasons, even if it was split between leagues. The latter two didn't have MVP caliber years at all.
   20. salvomania Posted: September 30, 2008 at 08:12 AM (#2960943)
They were .556 in games he didn't start before the trade, .491 in games he didn't start after the trade, and .824 in his starts after the trade.


The '85 Cardinals were .850 in John Tudor starts after July 2, and played only .594 ball in games he didn't start. Meanwhile the Mets played .614 ball in that same timeframe...

My point was that every year chances are some playoff team has benefited from a pitcher's ridiculous hot streak over the second half, without which there's a good chance they would not have made the postseason. But that pitcher (in lieu of any other obvious candidates) doesn't normally get talked up for an MVP award...
   21. bunyon Posted: September 30, 2008 at 08:17 AM (#2960944)
I really would pay a lot of money to see CC literally put the Brewers on his shoulders. I'd pay a good sum simply to see Prince Fielder up there.

German chemists warn that if Prince Fielder climbs on CC Sabathia's shoulders, the two will collapse into a black hole that will swallow the earth.
   22. Padraic Posted: September 30, 2008 at 08:49 AM (#2960956)
the two will collapse into a black hole that will swallow the earth.


No, that's not right. It's just a normal hole.
   23. Edmundo, more Jules than Jim Posted: September 30, 2008 at 09:11 AM (#2960977)
the two will collapse into a black hole that will swallow the earth.


No, that's not right. It's just a normal hole


Oh, this is pure hyperbole. Fielder on CC's shoulders would do nothing more than shift the earth's precession a half of a degree or so.
   24. JJ1986 Posted: September 30, 2008 at 10:16 AM (#2961027)
The Cardinals had an unassuming lefty without obvious overpowering stuff, but he went 6-0 in September, and 5 times in his final 8 starts pitched at least 9 shutout innings. I say "at least" because in two of those starts he threw 10 shutout innings, including a 1-0 win over those very Mets that pulled the Cardinals into a first-place tie with them.

From July 2, 1985 (roughly analagous to Sabathia's July 9 acquisition) he went 14-1 in 20 starts with 8 shutouts and 11 complete games and a 1.38 era. His team played .651 ball over that span, compared to .589 before then.

And needless to say, he didn't win the MVP award.


There is one other thing that deserves mention regarding Tudor's 1985, which is that he was not the only pitcher pitching that well, but one of two, and so he didn't stand out in the way that Sabathia did this year. Doc went 13-1 with a 1.41 ERA with 9 CG and 5 SHO in 18 starts over that same time period. The Mets went 16-2 in his starts.
   25. The Bones McCoy of THT Posted: September 30, 2008 at 12:30 PM (#2961179)
Suppose Francisco Rodriguez pitched for the other LA team this year and racked up his save totals there. Who would you put higher on your Cy Young ballot?

C.C. Sabathia: 11-2, 1.65 ERA 130.2 IP
Francisco Rodriguez: 2-3, 2.24 ERA 68.1 IP 62 SV

Do you give more weight to the fact that F-Rod spent his entire year in the same league or do you give more credit to the fact that Sabathia pitched almost twice as many innings even though he spent just half the season in the league?

I know those who stump for him or Manny Ramirez for post season honours aren’t taken seriously but I’m genuinely curious what is everybody’s take in such a situation--what’s more important; the innings or length of time in the league?

Best Regards

John
   26. BeanoCook Posted: September 30, 2008 at 12:51 PM (#2961189)
Puke.

Both literally and metaphorically.


CC is 10x a better choice for MVP than Ryan Howard, who is a platoon player. I would vote Pujols, but after that, I'd go CC for MVP. Tiny Tim for CY.
   27. retro-shiite Posted: September 30, 2008 at 01:06 PM (#2961203)
Man, I still have clear memories of that Gooden/Tudor deathmatch in '85. Those guys were monsters. Tudor started the year 1-7, ended up 21-8 with an ERA under 2, and of course Gooden was even better.
   28. G-String Posted: September 30, 2008 at 01:15 PM (#2961212)
Lincecum seems to be the consensus pick on BTF for Cy Young. Why Lincecum over Santana?

Santana had led the league in ERA and innings pitched. He had a nearly identical ERA+ to Lincecum (164 v 163), pitched seven more innings, had a better WHIP and strikeout to walk ratio. Did the stats guys lock in on Lincecum early (when it looked like Lincecum v Webb) and make up their minds before Santana's scorching September?
   29. PreservedFish Posted: September 30, 2008 at 01:30 PM (#2961229)
Did the stats guys lock in on Lincecum early (when it looked like Lincecum v Webb) and make up their minds before Santana's scorching September?

I believe there is a tendency to give the tie-breaker to the guy with more strikeouts.
   30. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: September 30, 2008 at 01:38 PM (#2961242)
Did the stats guys lock in on Lincecum early (when it looked like Lincecum v Webb) and make up their minds before Santana's scorching September?

Only one of them is ahead of Ryan Dempster in wins. You can't finish behind him and win the Cy.

Seriously, though, I think you're correct. I hadn't realized the extent to which Santana had closed on Lincecum's rate stats in September - including a short rest start. There has also been a lot of talk about Santana's dropping K rate. I think that has caused some of us to neglect his still excellent peripherals.
   31. Baldrick Posted: September 30, 2008 at 01:40 PM (#2961250)
60 extra strikeouts.

That pretty much sums it up for me.
   32. comrade DDT Posted: October 01, 2008 at 12:05 AM (#2962073)
I know those who stump for him or Manny Ramirez for post season honours aren’t taken seriously but I’m genuinely curious what is everybody’s take in such a situation--what’s more important; the innings or length of time in the league?

I know it goes against my earlier sentiment, but I'd certainly take CC in this case- I am one of those that devalues (maybe even undervalues) the importance of a closer. I have to say CC's innings/starts would carry much more weight with my vote than F-Rod's length of service, in this example.
   33. Master of Karate and Friendship (Kyle C) Posted: October 01, 2008 at 01:20 AM (#2962103)
Lincecum seems to be the consensus pick on BTF for Cy Young. Why Lincecum over Santana?


His FIP is nearly a run lower and if you consider unearned runs they gave up runs at about the exact same rate while BR has Shea more pitcher friendly.
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