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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Sunday, July 06, 2008MIL Journal-Sentinel: Brewers make trade for pitcher C.C. Sabathia
The Brewers sweep the Pirates and now have the second best record in the NL, and this, too. Productive day. UPDATE: [Brewers’] Sabathia press conference at 11 a.m. NTNgod
Posted: July 06, 2008 at 07:02 PM | 159 comment(s)
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I'm not sure about the long-term effects of this deal, but I'll just sit back and try to enjoy this season.
Parra has been outstanding (too many walks, but otherwise outstanding) for 2/3 of the season so far. He's solid. Bush has been lights out in his last 3 starts, I think he's safe. McClung has been pitching pretty well recently, Suppan has not -- but Soup makes the big dollars, and McClung has "bullpen experience."
I'd bet Sheets' elbow that McClung goes to the pen, and hopefully Mota (but probably Stetter) gets sent packing.
NY Yankees
They've got a ton of salary coming off the books, plus CC is a California guy.
I've always gotten the impression that CC is a pretty bright guy. He has to know that going to Texas would be a death sentence for him.
Doubtful. Also, if the Brewers make a nice run, I think Sheets may stay.
and Colletti is crazy. It'll be like a little game, how much can one spend on a starting rotation AND the Major League disabled list!
Trade Fielder?!?!? Isn't it his presence that made them have no use for LaPorta?
They wouldn't have to do that, and considering that they just traded LaPorta, they don't have nearly as much of a corner logjam anymore. Their rotation could be average or above next year just with the guys they'll have under contract (Gallardo, Parra, Bush, Suppan, McClung, Villanueva). However, with Sheets and various other crap coming off the books, there is no reason they can't sign someone to replace Sheets and/or Sabathia. The above six guys will probably not even cost $20 million even with Suppan accounting for $12 million of that.
Zach Greinke could be a FA target.
Honestly, I think the expected result of the Sabathia deal for 2008 is that he'll take Sheets' place in the rotation after Sheets hurts himself and misses the second half as he always does.
Greinke isn't going to be a free agent though...
I thought I read that he was coming up.
Whoops.
Either way, Sheets will want 15/yr over lots of years,
That is not happening in Milwaukeea.
The Yankees have a ton of payroll (probably more than anyone else) coming off this year and are also moving to a more profitable stadium. Who knows what they'll do, but I hope they go after Sabathia hard.
Yeah, 6 years/$140 million is too much to pay for a pitcher, even Sabathia. But the Yankees, more than anybody else, can afford it, and with Sabathia and Teixeira we're talking about relatively young free agents, guys that are better bets than your typical free agent to still be good players 6 or 7 years from now.
They did that today too.
But he's not a free agent until 2010. And, I'd think that KC would want to keep him just a little.
(I'm assuming they have no realistic shot to re-sign CC, which I haven't heard anyone claim to the contrary.)
CC getting to hit regularly is cool, though.
When a team hasn't made the playoffs in over a quarter-century, yes, even that would be a tremendous boost locally.
Sheets is probably gone in 2009, so remember that.
This would eventually lead to some of them not wanting to be in the Yankees organization because they would have to get past a huge number of other good players in order to have any shot of making the majors. On the other hand, a $1 million bonus would make me see that as a much smaller problem. And it seemed to work when Branch Rickey did it with US prospects.
Wow, 107 OPS+ in 40 AB. Is that pure fluke, or does he have some pre MLB hitting form?
Doesn't sound like a deal yet to me.
Does it really accomplish much to say this is a good deal if the Brewers win the World Series and a bad deal if it doesn't? I think it's a good deal because it significantly improves their chances to win the championship, and it is, after all, about winning the championship.
The gold standard here is the Tigers trading John Smoltz for Doyle Alexander in 1987. Alexander propelled them to the world championship, and as great as John Smoltz was, it seems unlikely lacking him cost the Tigers any subsequent championships. Was it a terrible trade? Maybe it was, but I think it was a good trade -- they were trading a strong pitching prospect to bolster the team for a championship run now. Once in a while that prospect turns into John Smoltz, but mostly he turns into Bill Pulsipher or whatever.
Anyway, that trade seems OK to Tigers fans, because, of course, they won the championship. If they hadn't, it would be regarded today as one of the most disastrous trades of all time. I think this is unfair.
One more point -- there were a lot of people that didn't like the Brewers drafting LaPorta last year, because they already had more glove-free mashers than they knew what to do with. This is why at the top of the draft, you always draft the best player available, period, regardless of perceived 'organizational needs'.
Didn't the Twins win the championship in '87?
I do declare, dear sir, a certain team from Minnesota may perchance have bested the Detroits in that particular autumn.
Will they let him participate in the sausage race without a costume?
I could edit that out now, but I don't see why my idiocy doesn't deserve to remain in print for all to point and laugh at.
OK, so anyway, they won the division. That's the important part... right?
I wonder if C.C. actually put the commas in.
Who knew Andy Griffith was such a bat-out-of-hell baserunner?
It's not just the younger guys, either.
Favre's first comments on the comeback rumors were via text message.
Melvin's gone "all in". As we like to say at the poker table, "got's balls as big as church bells".
Ha!
Doyle Alexander with the Tigers: 9-0 in 11 GS (88-1/3 IP) with an ERA of 1.53 (278 ERA+); 4th in Cy Young voting, 13th for the MVP.
Randy Johnson in 1998 with Houston was just as good, if not better (10-1, 321 ERA+), but the 'Stros were gonna win the division without him. Detroit, without Doyle, not so.
Yeah, and if Hank Steinbrenner gives them Alex Rodriguez and $270 million to pay him with. Which is equally likely.
Or it's to be hoped....
There are conflicting reports on that. When Gallardo first got injured, he said he hoped to be back by the end of the season. The team hasn't said anything to that effect though.
It's still POSSIBLE, but not something that can be counted on with any level of confidence.
The top two prospects in the Brewer system are Gamel and Escobar. Then LaPorta. Then Jeffress.
Don't see "half the farm system".
But perhaps you were referring to something else.
While I agree it would be a ripoff to trade LaRoche for Jack Wilson - I'm not all that high on LaRoche. I think he'll be a decent major leaguer - I am skeptical that he will be a star. I do hope I'm wrong. I'm just not sure that he will hit for a decent average in the majors - and without that, he will have to have a very high iso to be a star.
Why not? He hardly strikes out and has shown excellent plate discipline in the minors. I realize he hasn't set the world on fire yet in the majors but his minor league resume is too good to not give him a healthy 400ABs or so.
I think he meant that there's often a belief around these parts that Colletti is going to gut the Dodgers' farm by trading away half of it for some vet, but it hasn't happened yet, despite fears/rumors to that effect.
Got that right. If that's accurate it's LaPorta and spare change......
edit: Also, they say he has a 95 MPH fastball. I would much rather have seen Cain go.
Possibly. Not every pick works out, and regardless of whether they work out, they get signing bonuses, so that balances it somewhat. Add in that LaPorta is worth more than 16-17 starts of Sabathia to the also ran Indians, and the PTBNL may or may not be significant. Obviously, Brewer fans hope he isn't, and Indian fans hope otherwise.
Frankly, getting one guy who looks very likely to have a significant major league career is a great trade. Three prospects besides is icing on the cake.
I should add, the word from the Journal-Sentinel is that the PTBNL will be Green once the Indians are reassured that he can still play 2B.
I don't follow the Brewers system closely, but that's the first time I've seen either Gamel and Escobar rated ahead of LaPorta.
Gamel's glove is a big question mark and this year is the first time he's hit at LaPorta's level. Escobar has a great glove, but he's needed a huge BABIP spike to post his first 700+ OPS as a professional.
LaPorta/Green/possibly Cain was one of the earliest versions of the trade proposal. Green was seemingly in at the beginning, and it appears it was three players from the get-go.
Based on the reports, it seems in the give-and-take of negotiations, Green got pulled off the table (since his name disappeared for a bit), but Melvin "relented" and put him back in the deal.
Jackson isn't much, but the Indians signed Jeff Weaver, so I suppose an arm is an arm for them right now.
If they caved, throwing in a low-A lottery ticket like Bryson isn't horrible. He wasn't someone to hold up the deal over.
Maybe I'm being harsh on him, but I haven't been impressed by his defense, and his major league tenure hasn't shown him ready for the pitching. He's not actually young for somebody who is going to become a star - he will turn 25 before the season is over. I know there are many exceptions, but somebody who has had two chances thus far to win a job, hasn't, and is two months from 25 is imo about to have his chances of stardom fade. As I said, I do think he'll be decent - I'm just beginning to be skeptical that he'll be the star predicted of him.
And yes, I hope it's just small sample size. And it wouldn't surprise me if he had one excellent season at his peak.
Now they are, not before this trade. Those 2 may have more value to the Brewers because of positional concerns, but there is no way they are both better prospects. Gamel is not going to hit .380 in the majors.
Of course not. It's foolish to think that ANY prospect is a sure thing, much less a young pitcher. But you are ignoring the factor of the signing bonus - but I am sure that the Indians are not.
The Indians got a player they think will be a significant contributor to them in a year or two. Plus they got three additional prospects, while saving Sabathia's salary for the rest of the season, AND saving the signing bonuses for the two draft picks they would have gotten for Sabathia.
Add in that the prospects they'll be getting are more of a sure thing than the draft picks (although with less chance of surprising on the high end).
Andy LaRoche has 153 career plate appearances. That doesn't constitute one chance, much less two. Oh, and despite the terrible batting average, his OBP over those 153 plate appearances is .355. Ned Colletti is an idiot.
And his OPS is .694. He walks, and not all that much else.
And he had 115 plate appearances last season. Maybe in a dream world a team in contention gives a player 400 plate appearances to hit, but in the real world that just isn't normally the case. Some players are shorted by this demand that major league prospects actually produce, but not as many as some here think.
Look, it's not like I'm saying that LaRoche is crap - it's just that I'm getting skeptical that he is going to be the big star that many here believe. It could happen - but the older he gets without actually producing at the major league level, the less likely it is to happen.
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