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http://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/920274.html
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2M0c6DxCMY
"public enemy number one!"
Justin Upton or Clayton Kershaw?
Upton, and it's not even close. He's a pitcher, for cryin' out loud!
And it's ridiculous to refer to Wood as a "flameout". He has about 1200 IP in his career with a 117 ERA+. From 2001-2003, he threw 600 IP with an ERA+ around 120-125. Wood was hurt twice (followed by a string of owies), not a flameout. Amazingly (i.e. I'm old), he's entering his 10th season (11 if you count the year entirely on the DL).
There are a million things to (potentially) criticize the Cubs for with regard to Wood and Prior, but the idea they would have benefited from another year or two in AAA strikes me as off the mark.
Just to reinforce that point. To date Wood has the 11th highest WARP1 total from his draft class and if you just look at pre-FA WARP he has the 6th highest total.
There's certainly a lot of "what could have been" with Wood - hell that pre-FA total includes a year burnt on the DL - but would was a valuable player in relation to his peers. That's easy to see as long as you don't automatically assume his peers are Nolan Ryan and Roger Clemens.
Wouldn't it be good to be in his shoes?
Just become a Met fan already, man. You are obsessed with them.
Scully's great. Love the "public enemy #1" line.
http://tinyurl.com/ywvl2w
Not too bad a draft class that.
I didn't realize that Van Benschoten had even made the majors. Man has he stunk (1-10, 49 ERA+, WHIP>2, BB>K).
In a world where Pirates management isn't idiotic, he would have been an outfielder years ago.
Nice one, Reggie. Just wanted you to know that somebody got it.
Sowers didn't sign that year. Bonderman has had one above average season in 5 full in the majors. Unless he wins the CY this year I'd take Prior's first 6 years over his. Mathis and Gross are longshots to deliver Prior's value. Neither appears likely to have a starting job in the near future. In particular, Gross already has three years in and is a corner OF with an OPS+ < 100.
From the 2001 draft, the best of the rest who signed are Shoppach, Hardy, Haren (2nd), Keppinger, Barfield (4th), B.Harris, Howard (5th), Tracy, D.Johnson (7th), Youkilis (8th), L.Scott (9th), Soto, Uggla (11th), Bartlett (13th), Chris Young the OF (16th), Gomes (18th), Duke (20th), Parra, Kinsler (26th), Gathright (32nd), Shelton (33rd), Gaudin (34th). I skipped pitchers like E.Jackson and Albers who haven't produced yet and all RP (Heilman and Medders probably the best). Notice the nice late round drafting by the D-Rays.
Haren and Howard have already or will soon pass Prior. I would expect that either Hardy or Youkilis will, and maybe a couple of the others if they break out (Soto, Young) or age well (Uggla, Kinsler). So right now, I'd put Prior 6th (Mauer, Teixeira, Wright, Haren, Howard) and he'll probably end up around 10th.
I know, but here's where we get into quantity vs. quality. Bonderman will be very lucky to have a 100 career ERA+ by the end of the year but, assuming healthy, he will have 1100+ IP to Prior's 650-700 (if he pitches at all this year). That's an extra 2.5 seasons (out of 6) of mediocrity which is pretty valuable these days. So I'm not so willing to assume Bonderman was less valuable than Prior. Now if somebody wants to run some numbers....
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