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That's not far from the mark. Hermida's probably Swisher Lite.
I've never been a big Hermida fan - he's one of those guys whose minor league BB rate was deceiving because he just sat back and waited for pitchers to make a mistake in his zone, but he has never showed any ability to cover the entire plate and he has a tendancy to work himself into a hole by passing up hittable pitches early in counts. I suspect that Boston's hoping they have another Youkilis here, but I think they'll probably be disappointed.
-- MWE
I think people said that about Youkilis when he was in the minors (except for the "waiting for a mistake" part). There was talk that he was too passive and wouldn't make it in the majors. That said, the track record on Wily Mo Pena, Carlos Pena and Choi make me think that the Sox aren't very good at fixing underachievers.
I know I said that about Youkilis, but that was based on only a couple of observations. I've also said it about Andy LaRoche, who I saw probably 10-15 times in the minors. In Hermida's case, that observation was based on a full season of AA home games (I saw him about 50-60 times that year).
Hermida's one good season - actually, a good half-season, since he was producing at more or less a normal rate for him until July - coincided with a stretch where he was aggressive early in the count. He's been hurt a lot since then and has slipped back into the old habits, from what I've seen. I will say that I've never seen someone with his ability to draw a walk take so many bas swings at good pitches in my life.
-- MWE
who is the anti-Hermida.
-- MWE
Their plan, inspired by nuclear physics:
If they can turn every arb player into two new players the will soon have a self sustaining chain reaction on their hands and can select their MLB squad from a pool of ~10^20 minor league players, which will include billions and billions of Bonds-class talents.
They only had Carlos Pena for a little over a month so he's probably not very indicative.
And can't the two threads be merged or something?
Youkilis has shown he can hit in the majors and Hermida has shown he can not hit in the majors, I don't see your point.
who is the anti-Hermida.
He is the bizarro world Hermida in so many ways.
Both were disappointing RF prospects on NL East teams. One never learned to swing, the other never learned not to swing.
Both were first round picks the same year out of suburban HS north of Atlanta. Hermida was picked higher, Francouer got a slightly larger bonus. Weirdest thing was that both were Clemson commitments.
The thought of a Hermida/Francoer platoon blows my mind.
So the solution is to never let him have that first at-bat.
Opposite sides of town, though. That makes all the difference.
Though it his hard to compare Baldelli's offensive output to anyone since he has never been healthy, Baldelli has the same career OPS+, is only 2 years older and can play CF.
I might take Baldelli over Hermida on my team in a straight up trade if $ wasn't an issue. Baldelli's health would be my holdup but since the Sawx are looking at reserves here anyway, health is less of an issue
Worst case he's Jeremy Giambi. Best case he's David Ortiz. I'd settle for a lefty Kevin Millar.
Primey!
Their respective potentials are differently shaped, but the ultimate point is the same - both could be all-stars in a corner OF position, and the Red Sox are giving them a part-time job in the hopes that they develop. These sorts of moves have not worked out well for Theo's Red Sox. Hopefully this one does.
I saw a link to a Red Sox prospect blog that ranked those two as the 44th and 45th best prospects in the system, so any team could have topped this. Looks like the Red Sox are the only team that thinks he's worth the 4 million or so that he'll get in arbitration. Curious move. As a backup outfielder (and a lefty) it doesn't make sense to use him when Drew or Ellsbury need a rest. Only way he's a bargain is if he gets at least a platoon share of LF.
But what he doesn't cost in payroll he costs in a roster spot. Intentionally downgrading from Bay to Hermida doesn't seem like the kind of move a big market team intending to compete for a championship does.
No, but not too far off, .840 for Kotchman and .870 for Hermida. Which is better than anything Murphy's ever done in more than 131 AB.
I think more it's likely he takes Baldelli's or Kotchman's spot (if they think Hermida can learn to play first a little.)
And it's a waste of Kotchman, who may still turn into a decent player on a team that plays him, but has zero chance of earning a job over Kevin Youkilis.
Yeah, I think it's too early to parse these moves too closely. We don't know what these teams are trying to do at a more macro level. I think the Sawx want Adrian Gonzalez really, really badly (not that I can figure how Hermida fits into helping them achieve that).
I think he gives them the flexibility of being potentially a decent starting left fielder. Figure with a Fenway boost he gets back to an .800 OPS, that is OK. The Sox can now go after Gonzalez without still having a gaping hole in left field. If the get Gonzalez (or Fielder, or some other not yet mentioned trade candidate) they now have a reasonable starting left fielder. Obviously Hermida would be on the lower end of that position but Hermida/Gonzalez/Youkilis at LF/1B/3B is certainly OK while Reddick or Baldelli/Gonzalez/Youkilis probably would not be (given Baldelli's inability to play every day).
Isn't Lowrie penned as the shortstop next year?
Also, JJ Hardy should be in Boston already.
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