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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Monday, November 10, 2008MLB: Longoria named AL Rookie of the Year
Repoz
Posted: November 10, 2008 at 03:23 PM | 18 comment(s)
Related News: General, Tampa Bay, Awards |
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Me, too, and I'm an A's fan! Devine had a hell of a season.
give us time, we'll think of sumthin
And ranking D above Z shows he valued 0.59 ERA in 46 innings more than 1.06 ERA in 60 innings. And six wins to three? My goodness, you can't argue with the facts.
I have Mike Aviles leading AL rookies in WAR...
I don't think Aviles shoulda won, but I thought he was a clear #2. I don't see how Ellsbury is better than him, Ziegler, Galarraga or even Joba.
Devine also gave up more unearned runs (4) than earned runs (3).
I don't see a problem there at all. The difference is 14 innings of 2.57 ERA ball. Which is nice, but pretty inconsequential.
And each guy only got one vote, so we're just goofing even taking about them anyway. Devine looks like the A's next closer, though, if Street is part of today's trade as rumored.
Aviles: 122 OPS+ = 2.7 batting wins above average per 162. Played 84% of his time in the field at SS, 13% at 2B, and 3% at 3B, a mix which comes out to positional value above replacement of 2.5 wins/162. So that's a "raw" WARP of 5.2 per 162, so 3.3 in 102 G. He was apparently an outstanding baserunner per BP, with 4.5 runs above average. He was also a terrific fielder per Plus/Minus, at 10 runs above average, and 5 runs above average according to Dial, so call that a further +8, and you've got 4.55 WARP in 102 G. My god--that's 7.2 WARP per 162, which is MVP-caliber performance in many, many seasons. I had no idea he was THAT good. His season is a great unsung story of the year. Who knew???
Longoria: 125 OPS+ = 3 batting wins above average per 162, plus 1.8 wins/162 for playing 3B, is 4.8 WARP/162, so 3.6 in 122 G. 0.4 baserunning runs above average, 8 fielding runs above average per Plus/Minus, 2 fielding runs above average per Dial, so 6 fielding runs above average, and you're at 4.25 WARP.
I wouldn't worry about it. Judging by the NL vote, he'll get another chance next year.
Ziegler is really good for multiple innings, so they'll probably keep him in the set-up/relief ace role with Devine to get the saves.
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