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Monday, September 15, 2008

MIL Journal-Sentinel: Zambrano tosses no-hitter at Miller Park

[Carlos Zambrano] handcuffed the Houston Astros lineup as he pitched the first no-hitter of his career, and the first by a Cubs pitcher since Milt Pappas accomplished the feat during the 1972 season. The Cubs won, 5-0, as they played as the visiting team against the Astros after the series was moved to Milwaukee because of Hurricane Ike’s destruction in the Houston area.

Zambrano, buoyed by the cheers of a pro-Cubs crowd of 23,441, allowed only a one-out walk to Michael Bourn in the fourth inning and a two-out hit batsman in the fifth, when he plunked Hunter Pence with a 1-2 pitch.

NTNgod Posted: September 15, 2008 at 01:30 AM | 162 comment(s) | Login to Bookmark
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   101. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 04:24 PM (#2942108)
You act like these guys are a bunch of little leaguers were are going to hang their heads because their mommy isn't out there cheering for them.

More hyperbole and straw-men. At no point has anyone claimed that presence of 20,000+ Cubs fans inevitably cause the Astros to "call it quits" or "hang their heads." I'm simply pointing out that having 20,000+ fans screaming for the Cubs is bound to (a) boost the Cubs play and/or (b) make it more disadvantageous for the Astros.


And whatever number it is, the Rays home record this year would seem to be serve as a counterargument.

No it doesn't; if anything, it serves as an argument on just how magnificent the Rays have been to achieve their record without the benefit of what should be a more energized home crowd.
   102. SouthSideRyan Posted: September 15, 2008 at 04:31 PM (#2942125)
2. They also said on the ESPN radio report that the gun was fast, showing Z at 99 MPH. In his post-game interview, he said that he saw the 99, and was inspired... that may have had something to do with him being psyched up.


The gun wasn't right at all. Beyond every other pitch for Z being 98 or 99, the other 50% were coming up as in the 40s.

Charging full price for today's game is certifiably insane. They're not gonna draw anything.

All the talk about the Astros whining and complaining from the get-go reminds me of the they won't let us close/open the roof(can't remember which) during the '05 series. They're already telling themselves they can't win under a certain circumstance.

Oh and I'm with the majority, I'm ####### thrilled that this means Milt Pappas will go away. Look we all hate Bruce Froemming, but you have a problem Milt, and you're kinda a jagoff yourself so watch those stones you're throwing.
   103. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: September 15, 2008 at 04:36 PM (#2942128)
No it doesn't; if anything, it serves as an argument on just how magnificent the Rays have been to achieve their record without the benefit of what should be a more energized home crowd.


If the Rays, with the best home record in baseball despite tepid home crowds except when supporters of the the big draw teams (Cubs, Red Sox, Yankees, against whom Tampa is 13-5 this year) flood the gates, are not a counterargument to the idea that big home crowds are important, what possible argument is there?
   104. Gern Blanston Posted: September 15, 2008 at 04:56 PM (#2942137)
Maybe the Cubs' big crowds make them feel more pressure, keeping them from having an even better record at home.

I kid, of course, but I don't know how much difference this all makes, and I think the impact over the course of two games is so trivial as to hardly be worth discussing, given the circumstances surrounding this Cubs/Astros series.

I mentioned this in the Cub chatter, but the Cubs have very quietly worked their way up to the NL's best road record. Who'd've thought?
   105. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 05:00 PM (#2942141)
I'm simply pointing out that having 20,000+ fans screaming for the Cubs is bound to (a) boost the Cubs play and/or (b) make it more disadvantageous for the Astros.

And again by how much? 1%, 2%? People keep saying things like the Astros got screwed or hosed. Well, words like screwed and hosed imply to me a big disadvantage. I don't see 20,000 blue fans has being a huge disadvantage to a bunch of a major leaguers who have a history of not calling it quits and winning games down the stretch.
   106. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 05:04 PM (#2942144)
And again by how much? 1%, 2%?

35.87%. Refute that.
   107. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: September 15, 2008 at 05:05 PM (#2942145)
And again by how much? 1%, 2%? People keep saying things like the Astros got screwed or hosed. Well, words like screwed and hosed imply to me a big disadvantage.

Can we at least agree that MLB's solution was about the most Cub-friendly/Astros-hostile possibility? Even if it only makes a 1 or 2 percent difference it's a disadvantage which seems like it could have been easily remedied.
   108. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 05:06 PM (#2942146)
Wow, 20,000 Cubs fans are a huge difference. I apologize, I now retract all my previous statements.
   109. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 05:07 PM (#2942148)
   110. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 05:09 PM (#2942150)
If the Rays, with the best home record in baseball despite tepid home crowds except when supporters of the the big draw teams (Cubs, Red Sox, Yankees, against whom Tampa is 13-5 this year) flood the gates, are not a counterargument to the idea that big home crowds are important, what possible argument is there?

It isn't a good counter-argument for a few reasons. First, it's only one example and may very well be anomalous. Second, while the Trop does draw plenty of Red Sox, Cubs, and Yankees fans for their games, those teams also bring out a lot of Rays fans too. It's not like the Rays regularly play in an environment like the Astros saw last night or will see today.

Third, as I mentioned before, it does nothing to refute that there is a disadvantage in playing before a crowd overwhelmingly in favor of your opponent. If anything it shows that they have been truly magnificent to overcome any such disadvantage.
   111. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: September 15, 2008 at 05:53 PM (#2942163)
It isn't a good counter-argument for a few reasons.


I didn't say it was a good one. Just that it was one.

I believe that the rooting interest of the crowd has little significance. Moreoever, I'm also arguing against the idea that a big crowd of pro-Cubs fans is somehow vastly more significant than a smaller crowd of pro-Cubs fans.

The Devils Rays have the best HFA record in baseball despite overall small crowds and a great record when playing in front of crowds that are outnumbered or evenly split among Rays fans and fans of the opposing team.

It may not be a be a big data point. But it's certainly an argument on my side (the rooting interests/size of the crowd is not a big part of HFA) rather than yours (big, happy crowds drive wins).
   112. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 05:55 PM (#2942167)
Fred Garvin, please give your opinion about my gross estimate that the Astros were forced to give up 0.12 expected wins. How much of a screw job do you opine the Astros received?
   113. Misirlou's got a busy day, he's wearing a vest Posted: September 15, 2008 at 05:57 PM (#2942175)
How much of a screw job do you opine the Astros received?


Apparently a lot. They're hitless through 3 so far today.
   114. Misirlou's got a busy day, he's wearing a vest Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:00 PM (#2942178)
Second, while the Trop does draw plenty of Red Sox, Cubs, and Yankees fans for their games, those teams also bring out a lot of Rays fans too.


I was at the Trop for a Red Sox game back in May. 3/4 of the stadium wore red, and the incessant chants of "Let's go Red Sox" was only interrupted by the occasional "Yankees Suck!"
   115. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:02 PM (#2942181)
They're hitless through 3 so far today.

But thats because they're facing the backend of the Daily Double: Ted Lilly.
   116. Mike Emeigh Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:04 PM (#2942183)
FWIW: People who have studied the home-court advantage in basketball attribute a good chunk of it to the officiating.

-- MWE
   117. Gern Blanston Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:08 PM (#2942196)
Holy ####. The Brewers fired Yost.
   118. Charles S., consistent since he changed his mind Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:11 PM (#2942201)
Mike, people who have not studied the home-court advantage in basketball attribute an even bigger chunk of it to the officiating.
   119. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:12 PM (#2942204)
Fred Garvin, please give your opinion about my gross estimate that the Astros were forced to give up 0.12 expected wins. How much of a screw job do you opine the Astros received?

I have no idea. I don't believe it can be adequately quantified. In this instance, you are taking an average number, playing around with it in ways that make sense in some ways and don't make sense in others, then using it to apply to this particular situation with this particular Astros team. While I appreciate the effort, I don't think it could be measured with anything close to precision.

I just believe that the Astros face a comparative disadvantage in traveling 1200 miles to play in a ballpark 90 miles from Chicago before 20,000 vocal Cubs fans.

Apparently, among Primates I'm alone on this, which stuns me.
   120. Justin T contains indigenous nudity Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:14 PM (#2942209)
Holy ####. The Brewers fired Yost.

Haha, and Casper said they made Sveum the manager and reassigned Simmons to an advisory role. So I guess even if firing Yost, they still found a way to piss of HW.
   121. Dizzypaco Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:16 PM (#2942214)
Apparently, among Primates I'm alone on this, which stuns me.

You're not alone Fred. It seems obvious to me that having a favorable crowd is an advantage to a team, even if I can't quantify that advantage.

Holy ####. The Brewers fired Yost.

Wow. How often does a team fire its manager with two weeks left in a season, with a still good chance of making the playoffs?
   122. Justin T contains indigenous nudity Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:17 PM (#2942217)
Cue the Lou Lamoriello references, as well.
   123. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:18 PM (#2942221)
Apparently, among Primates I'm alone on this, which stuns me.

You apparently haven't been reading this thread. I don't think anyone says there isn't an advantage, they just think its minimal.
   124. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:20 PM (#2942228)
If the next Astros hitter gets a base hit, the team batting average this series will be .025.
   125. Charles S., consistent since he changed his mind Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:21 PM (#2942232)
I don't think anyone says there isn't an advantage, they just think its minimal.

And management whining about it gives the Cubs more of an advantage than the home field does.
   126. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:23 PM (#2942239)
Quite possibly so. It definitely seems that the Astros aren't in a very good frame of mind, from what I've seen and read.
   127. Gern Blanston Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:27 PM (#2942247)
Through 14 innings at Miller, the Astros have sent 43 men to the plate.
   128. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:40 PM (#2942287)
Only once has a team ever no-hit an opponent in consecutive days -- May 5-6, 1917, when Ernie Koob and Bob Grooms of the Browns each no-hit the White Sox.

Even there, however, it wasn't in consecutive games, as Groom's no-no was in the second game of a doubleheader.
   129. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:43 PM (#2942306)
Thanks Fred. I was wondering if it had happened.
   130. Charles S., consistent since he changed his mind Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:43 PM (#2942307)
Only once has a team ever no-hit an opponent in consecutive days -- May 5-6, 1917, when Ernie Koob and Bob Grooms of the Browns each no-hit the White Sox.


Good news for the Astros. The White Sox went on to win the World Series that year.
   131. Gern Blanston Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:56 PM (#2942350)
Lilly through 6 with the no-no intact...
   132. Misirlou's got a busy day, he's wearing a vest Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:58 PM (#2942358)
Only once has a team ever no-hit an opponent in consecutive days -- May 5-6, 1917, when Ernie Koob and Bob Grooms of the Browns each no-hit the White Sox.


I don't think we should be talking about this.
   133. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 06:59 PM (#2942361)
Too late.
   134. Misirlou's got a busy day, he's wearing a vest Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:01 PM (#2942370)
Had to throw a Seinfeld reference in there, seeing as Joe Saccamano just PH.
   135. Dag Nabbit and his imaginary friends Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:06 PM (#2942395)
I just believe that the Astros face a comparative disadvantage in traveling 1200 miles to play in a ballpark 90 miles from Chicago before 20,000 vocal Cubs fans.

Apparently, among Primates I'm alone on this, which stuns me.


You're not. I just don't think it's worth the aggravation of getting into it.

In the book "Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" a computer is built to let people know THE answer - about the life, the universe, and everything. The answer it gives is 42.

That was a joke. See, I think some people on this site wouldn't get that it's a joke unless you explain that to them. They'd want to know what the methodology the computer used was.

Having people cheer for you helps. There's a reason why host counties in the Summer Olympics have done better than in surrounding Olympiads every time but one (1976 - blame those farkin' Quebec separatists!)
   136. Justin T contains indigenous nudity Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:13 PM (#2942426)
And now Brenly is going on about how often a guy goes deep with a no-hitter and then the wheels come off after he gives up the first hit. I first heard him do this when Lackey almost did it to the BoSox and then Boston ended up mounting a considerable rally.

First of all, he acts like these deep no-hitters happen often enough for him to know anything. Second, I really think he's full of ####. Thinking back, I really can't remember a single other instance of a guy giving up a hit late and then falling apart. I'm sure it's happened, but I think it far more frequent that the pitcher gives up the hit and then continues pitching extremely well, since he obviously had some pretty good stuff that day, it doesn't just evaporate into Zito-ness instantly.
   137. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:17 PM (#2942435)
Having people cheer for you helps. There's a reason why host counties in the Summer Olympics have done better than in surrounding Olympiads every time but one (1976 - blame those farkin' Quebec separatists!)


I thought host countries tended to build up their developmental infrastructure in advance of hosting with an eye toward performing well before the home folks. That and the possibility of greater success in judged sports could be two factors other than just hootin' and hollerin'.

Then again, I think it's actually 23.
   138. Justin T contains indigenous nudity Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:19 PM (#2942444)
Oh, and look, Lilly didn't give up a run. Brenly must be flabbergasted.
   139. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:21 PM (#2942452)
Having people cheer for you helps. There's a reason why host counties in the Summer Olympics have done better than in surrounding Olympiads every time but one (1976 - blame those farkin' Quebec separatists!)

Yeah, it is because they are automatically eligible for every single event and the home country tends to spend more money then usual when they are the host team. Well, that and it helps that the host country has been Soviet Union, USA a bunch, and China.

Or do you really believe that the curling crowd or skeet shoot crowd or yacthing crowd is so huge that it fires on those athletes?
   140. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:23 PM (#2942456)
I owe SOSH a coke. somebody from the other thread owes me one, you can have that one.
   141. Misirlou's got a busy day, he's wearing a vest Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:30 PM (#2942476)
Well, that and it helps that the host country has been Soviet Union, USA a bunch, and China.


Chris did specify
done better than in surrounding Olympiads
. That winter powerhouse Japan went 5-10-2 in medals (and 1-5-0 in Golds) in the 1994-1998-2002 games.
   142. Dag Nabbit and his imaginary friends Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:43 PM (#2942503)
First of all, he acts like these deep no-hitters happen often enough for him to know anything. Second, I really think he's full of ####. Thinking back, I really can't remember a single other instance of a guy giving up a hit late and then falling apart.

About ten years ago, Jon Lieber retired the first 20 batters he faced in a Cubs-Cards game. Then McGwire homers.

To make a long story short, the Cards get about 4-5 runs in barely six pitches. Just incredible. One guy singled, I think one pitch was taken, and the rest were all hit out of the ballpark. I wanna say it was around 1997-9, if anyone wants to look. It was in Wrigley.

Or do you really believe that the curling crowd or skeet shoot crowd or yacthing crowd is so huge that it fires on those athletes?

Go fuck yourself.

Do you really believe that people have 100% control of their emotions? Do you think people's emotions never affects their performance? Do you think games are played in computer simluations and not in real life?
   143. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:51 PM (#2942520)
Chris did specify
done better than in surrounding Olympiads


Which is then addressed by my previous sentence.
   144. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:55 PM (#2942530)
Do you really believe that people have 100% control of their emotions?

Apparently you don't
   145. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:57 PM (#2942536)
I've never said that fans have no impact. What I believe and what has been said now by several people is that I think the impact of 20,000 Cubs fans on the Houston Astros ability to play baseball is miniscule.
   146. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: September 15, 2008 at 07:58 PM (#2942540)
eah, it is because they are automatically eligible for every single event

Do you really believe that athletes not good enough to qualify for the olympics garner a significant number of medals?

and the home country tends to spend more money then usual when they are the host team. Well, that and it helps that the host country has been Soviet Union, USA a bunch, and China.

Do you really believe the USOC's budget rises and falls depending on the location of the olympics?
   147. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: September 15, 2008 at 08:03 PM (#2942556)
Do you really believe the USOC's budget rises and falls depending on the location of the olympics?


Not really. But the numbers of the U.S. and old Soviet Union are the most asterisk-deserving of the bunch in this study, since the U.S.S.R.'s 1980 total got a sizable boost from the absence of the United States and others, while the U.S. total enjoyed the same boost in 1984.
   148. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 08:12 PM (#2942572)

Do you really believe that athletes not good enough to qualify for the olympics garner a significant number of medals?
Do you really believe the USOC's budget rises and falls depending on the location of the olympics?



It sure seemed to work for China this year.

I would love to see the bugdets for the USOC. Why wouldn't the USOC devote more time and resources to a squad when it is playing in LA or Atlanta then in say Barcelona? If anything they could spend the same amount but have it mean more simply because they don't have to send everybody overseas.
   149. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 08:12 PM (#2942573)
The Olympics? Talk about small sample size.
   150. bbc is prejudice bout men Posted: September 15, 2008 at 10:40 PM (#2942738)
harveys ROOOLZ

but like tanya tucker sez

its a little too late to do the right thing nowwwwwww
   151. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 10:48 PM (#2942761)
I think the impact of 20,000 Cubs fans on the Houston Astros ability to play baseball is miniscule.

Sure it doesn't affect their "ability" to play baseball. That's not at issue.

What is at issue is whether it acts as a hinderance to their performance; or, conversely, whether it helps boost the Cubs performance. I would think that there would be no doubt of this, but apparently not.

Insert "fragile psyches" comment and/or "Little Leaguers" response here.
   152. McCoy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 10:51 PM (#2942773)
wait, what?

Here I'll reword it for you so we don't play the Philadelphia Attorney game.
Having 23,000 and 15,000 blue seats probably has a miniscule impact on their performance. Again I never said it has no impact, I said it has miniscule impact.
   153. Teufel's Graveyard Posted: September 15, 2008 at 11:44 PM (#2942932)
A Brewers official walked into the Brewers clubhouse before the Zambrano start yesterday. He saw several Cubs sitting on one of the couches in the Brewers clubhouse watching Brett Favre play for the Jets.
   154. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: September 15, 2008 at 11:48 PM (#2942941)
You forgot the punchline to the joke!
   155. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 15, 2008 at 11:49 PM (#2942942)
Having 23,000 and 15,000 blue seats probably has a miniscule impact on their performance. Again I never said it has no impact, I said it has miniscule impact.

1. Those weren't just blue seats; those seats were filled with loud Cubs fans.

2. Are you also saying those loud Cubs fans have miniscule impact on the Cubs' play?
   156. Gern Blanston Posted: September 16, 2008 at 12:01 AM (#2942985)
Fragile psyches or not, the Astros just got completely housed by the Cubs, to the extent that blaming it on the location seems awfully whiny. I don't care if you're playing on Mars--if you get one hit in two games, you've got no one to blame but yourselves.
   157. Mike Emeigh Posted: September 16, 2008 at 12:04 AM (#2942996)
Glad you're OK, Lisa.

-- MWE
   158. Fred Garvin is a sick f**k, guilty as charged Posted: September 16, 2008 at 12:07 AM (#2943005)
Fragile psyches or not, the Astros just got completely housed by the Cubs, to the extent that blaming it on the location seems awfully whiny. I don't care if you're playing on Mars--if you get one hit in two games, you've got no one to blame but yourselves.

Well put, Mr. Straw-Man.
   159. Gern Blanston Posted: September 16, 2008 at 12:08 AM (#2943008)
Well put, Mr. Straw-Man.

The Cubs deserve every bit of what they've gotten the last two days, and so do the Astros.
   160. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: September 16, 2008 at 12:10 AM (#2943014)
2. Are you also saying those loud Cubs fans have miniscule impact on the Cubs' play?


I'm not McCoy, but since we seem to be in lockstep on this thread, I'll provide my answer: Yes, I think those loud fans have miniscule impact on the Cubs' play.

He can correct me if his opinion differs.
   161. McCoy Posted: September 16, 2008 at 12:12 AM (#2943019)
2. Are you also saying those loud Cubs fans have miniscule impact on the Cubs' play?

Yes.
   162. McCoy Posted: September 16, 2008 at 12:15 AM (#2943026)
I would also like to add that I sure wish the loud fans had a major impact on the Cubs. If they did then the Cubs would have had much better teams during my lifetime.
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