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Thursday, July 03, 2008

MLB.com: Brewers stunned in ninth by D-backs

I thought there was a good chance they’d lose the Webb-started finale, but not like THIS…

The D-backs rallied for all six of their runs in the bottom of the ninth inning without recording an out to stun the Brewers, 6-5, at Chase Field on Thursday.
...
Mitch Stetter and Eric Gagne each worked a scoreless inning in relief of [Manny] Parra, but the rest of Milwaukee’s relief corps was not as effective. Reliever Guillermo Mota surrendered a pair of infield hits and a walk before exiting in favor of left-hander Brian Shouse, who surrendered a bases-clearing, three-run double to pinch-hitter Chad Tracy.

That prompted a call for Brewers closer Salomon Torres, who was 13-for-13 in save opportunities since Gagne went on the disabled list in mid-May. He surrendered three straight hits; a single to Justin Upton that made it 5-4, a double to Orlando Hudson that left runners at second and third and a single up the middle to Connor Jackson that drove home the tying and winning runs.

NTNgod Posted: July 03, 2008 at 07:59 PM | 18 comment(s)
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   1. In what respect, Craig K? Posted: July 03, 2008 at 08:26 PM (#2842574)
   2. Bowling Baseball Fan Posted: July 03, 2008 at 08:30 PM (#2842588)
I've seen that twice now. What the hell is a fan graph?
   3. In what respect, Craig K? Posted: July 03, 2008 at 08:34 PM (#2842598)
I've seen that twice now. What the hell is a fan graph?

Basically the probability that one team will win. For example, in the linked one, the Brewers came into the ninth with a rounded 100% chance to win (actually like 99.99999999999999...%), and as the inning progressed, the .0000...0001% chance for the D-Backs to win came true.

Other people here can explain it much better than I can.
   4. The Tailor of the Garden of Tea (Crispix Attacks) Posted: July 03, 2008 at 08:35 PM (#2842603)
I see that Eric Gagne threw one inning, getting three outs on 15 pitches. Then in the 9th they brought in Guillermo Mota. If they aren't putting him in the 9th-inning-closer role, can't Gagne throw two innings? What did they sign him for? Have they already admitted that he is not the answer?
   5. NTNgod Posted: July 03, 2008 at 08:36 PM (#2842604)
It was Gagne's first outing since coming off the DL. They may have wanted to break him in gently at first.
   6. Bowling Baseball Fan Posted: July 03, 2008 at 08:38 PM (#2842610)
Ah, that makes sense. Thank you.
   7. The Tailor of the Garden of Tea (Crispix Attacks) Posted: July 03, 2008 at 08:48 PM (#2842638)
Ah, that makes sense. Thank you.
   8. Joey Belle needs love too Posted: July 03, 2008 at 09:38 PM (#2842833)
Ah, that makes sense. Thank you.
   9. shoewizard Posted: July 03, 2008 at 09:42 PM (#2842845)
This game just may be a big turning point for the D backs......or it just may be a happy moment in an otherwise up and down season. They have a number of 10 hit games recently, and if the bullpen can get their act together at the same time, they may go on another little run here shortly.
   10. Howie Menckel Posted: July 03, 2008 at 09:46 PM (#2842857)
Also Mota had only pitched 2 days in a row, and Yost enjoys seeing what havoc ensues on that 3rd straight day.
   11. NTNgod Posted: July 03, 2008 at 09:50 PM (#2842877)
This game just may be a big turning point for the D backs

The realization they need to start Hammock, Burke, and Ojeda every day? :P

WTF? Even more improbable than the comeback was the fact Hammock/Burke/Ojeda started it off. That screamed 1-2-3 moreso than "comeback"
   12. In the Disney betting pool, Roy Oswalt Posted: July 03, 2008 at 09:54 PM (#2842887)
Not to mention Tracy doubling off a lefty. His first hit off a lefty this year, and .224/.274/.350 over the last 3 years.
   13. John DiFool2 Posted: July 04, 2008 at 12:02 AM (#2842998)
Ah, that makes sense. Thank you.


Ah, that makes sense. Thank you.


Ah, that makes sense. Thank you.


You guys the Evil Triplets of Doom or something?
   14. Gold Star for Robot Boy Posted: July 04, 2008 at 12:21 AM (#2843006)
The Polite Evil Triplets of Doom!
   15. Jay Z Posted: July 04, 2008 at 12:50 AM (#2843019)
Also Mota had only pitched 2 days in a row, and Yost enjoys seeing what havoc ensues on that 3rd straight day.


Mota didn't pitch last night.

Mota can be blamed for the walk. He gave up two infield singles. I guess he could have gotten them to hit it harder.

For those who didn't see it, you had:

Infield single off Branyan's glove (a somewhat makeable play)
Walk
Infield single in the 2B hole (Weeks was shifted)
Bases clearing double to the RC wall by the guy who can't hit lefties
Bloop single to right
Double just fair down the left field line by a lefty
Ground ball single up the middle

Just wasn't meant to be. To balance the karma for me personally, my softball team won 11-10 after being down 8-0 and down 10-5 entering the last inning. We did make an out before we won the game, though...
   16. shoewizard Posted: July 04, 2008 at 12:29 PM (#2843225)
#'s 11 & 12, trust me I understand the flukey nature of last nights comeback. Really what I was referring to was that they have 4 ten hit games in their last 5 games, so thats a good sign the offense is finally starting to turn it around. Furthermore this particular win probably helps them get a monkey off their back psychologically. I think they'll relax and have fun more in the coming weeks, and that will only help their play. This is a team that has been playing tight. It's difficult to quantify, but if you watch them every night, you know.
   17. SouthSideRyan(hates Casey McGehee) Posted: July 04, 2008 at 03:56 PM (#2843453)
Did I see wrongly, or was the infield drawn in on the game-winner? That seems like a questionable call at best.
   18. shoewizard Posted: July 04, 2008 at 04:54 PM (#2843499)
There was nobody out. If they leave the infield back, they get an out on Jackson's GB,.....Maybe.....but the tying run still scores. Then you still have the winning run on 3rd and just one out, and any ground ball or FB is going likely to score him. On top of that, you are on the road, and have just used a big chunk of your bullpen, so playing for the tie is poor percentage.

What they SHOULD have done is walk Jackson to load the bases...his run wouldn't have mattered anyway. Then you have a force at home, and you also have Reynolds at the plate, who strikes out a tremendous amount. If they get the K of Reynolds, they can then put the infield at DP depth to go after Young and try to win the game on a DP.

There was no really good choice for Yost at that moment. Fact is his bullpen didn't record an out, the game was 5-3, and 2nd and 3rd nobody out. Whatever choice he made had a lot of downside.
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