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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Sunday, September 07, 2008
With another gem of a performance against the Royals on Sunday, [Cliff] Lee picked up win No. 21 in the Tribe’s 3-1 victory at Kauffman Stadium. Lee, the only Major Leaguer with 21 wins, went 7 1/3 innings, allowing just a run on seven hits with a walk and five strikeouts.
Lee has now won each of his last 10 decisions to improve to 21-2 with a 2.28 ERA.
NTNgod
Posted: September 07, 2008 at 05:17 PM | 22 comment(s)
Related News: General, Cleveland, Kansas City, Game Recaps
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It should.
Unfortunately I feel like I've heard almost as much MVP talk for K-Rod.
He would probably be the worst MVP in my memory.
Halladay (2000) - 67.7 IP, 10.64 ERA (Highest ever for a season with 50 or more IP), 48 EPA+ 44/42 K/BB, 14 HR
Halladay (2001) - 105.3 IP, 3.16 ERA, 146 ERA+, 96/25 K/BB, 3 HR
Lee's turnaround has been stunning, so I guess it's really dependent on the weighting of playing time.
The example that leapt to my mind was Chris Carpenter from 02-04 except Lee doesn't have the convenient injury & year-long rehab (wherein he spent every day watching Rookie of the Year and taking its lessons truly to heart) to point to as reasons for his renaissance.
As for what has Lee done differently and can he sustain it, the biggest difference is his control this year.
I will submit that it is possible for a slightly above average pitcher to have a year like this purely by random chance, and then go back to being just a slightly above average pitcher. In the case of Don Law, a simulation league pitcher, there are no other factors to explain the Cy Young year except random chance.
(EDIT: That's wrong and dumb, of course; they're 48-70 in Lee's no decisions, most of which have been losses for the Indians.)
http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/WLp_season.shtml
Face posted a .947 for a .506 team.
If I read Retrosheet right, Allen had no relief victories that year, so his 15-1 was legit w.r.t. Lee. (Also I think Allen was 15-0 until the very last game of the season which he lost 1-0. But I might be making a misinterpretation somehow, this is just a quick check.)
I hope they don't look so far past the shiny wins that they miss the fact Lee has pitched better even considering quality of opposition.
Lee's opponents score 4.58 runs per game, and Lee has been 49 runs better than average against them. Halladay's opponents are tougher, scoring 4.81 runs, and he's an excellent 42 runs better than them.
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