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Saturday, May 10, 2008

MLB: Statisticians try to keep up with Berkman

SABR vs the Elias Sports Bureau...in a mega Statistical Info War-Off! (SIWOFF)

Lance Berkman has been on four All-Star teams, so clearly, he has had his fair share of quick starts.

But never has he produced such eye-popping numbers at such a frenetic pace as he has through the first 36 games this year. The first baseman is on a historical run, according to several stats experts who have been carefully scouring the record books to figure out exactly where Berkman’s offensive tear ranks among the best ever.

According to Trent McCotter of the Society For American Baseball Research (SABR), Berkman is one of only two players in the last 50 years to have 19 hits in 25 at-bats, which Berkman accomplished by doubling in his second plate appearance against the Dodgers on Saturday. Albert Pujols did the same from May 30-June 7, 2003.

Berkman also is the fourth player since 1957 with 16 hits in 20 at-bats. He also set a franchise record with 18 hits over a five-game span. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, the previous record was 17, accomplished by Derek Bell in August 1999 and Julio Lugo in September 2000.

Repoz Posted: May 10, 2008 at 11:24 PM | 2 comment(s)
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   1. BeanoCook  Posted: May 11, 2008 at 01:30 AM (#2776521)
Berkman had one of the worst starts last year. He had 3 extra basehits on May 6th in 2007, this year he is close to 30. Berkman has highly variable season to season production lines during his career. He is very streaky. He had just 1 double by June 3rd 2007. This year he has 14 already.
   2. Tricky Dick  Posted: May 11, 2008 at 08:35 AM (#2776553)
Berkman has highly variable season to season production lines during his career.

Obviously, all players have variable production from year to year. I don't know that Berkman's is more variable than typical. His OPS+ from 2000-2007: 130, 160, 150, 138, 159, 143, 163, 131. He is in the midst of an incredible hot streak right now, and his OPS+ stands at 226 for 2008. Berkman had his best season in 2006, and I had hoped that he could return in 08 with a season similar to 2006. At this point, I think the odds of that happening are good.
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