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Monday, March 24, 2008

MSNBC: Doyle: THE SCIENCE OF BASEBALL STATS

“Quantum fluctuations in space, science, exploration and other cosmic fields”...like the study of physioc on baseball?

Was there ever a team sport better-suited for statistical modeling than baseball? The heart of the game involves one pitcher vs. one batter at a time, allowing for a dizzying array of individual statistics. The regular season, as well as the typical player’s career, will generally last long enough to build up an encyclopedia’s worth of those statistics.

No wonder so many statisticians and physicists love to theorize about the game’s winning factors - and no wonder new statistics are being created on a regular basis.

Batting averages and earned-run averages were just the start: Nowadays, you can track win shares and win probability, defense-independent ERA and range factor. But there’s always a farther frontier for baseball analysis, and a couple of new twists came to light at last month’s annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science.

As Major League Baseball kicks off the new season this week, here are a few Web links you just might get a kick out of - even if you’re not a fan of the game:

Repoz Posted: March 24, 2008 at 02:41 PM | 4 comment(s)
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   1. PreservedFish Posted: March 24, 2008 at 03:02 PM (#2718673)
You know what's nice? The standard anti-stathead joke of "what's his batting average on Thursdays between the 3rd and 6th innings?" ... I'm not seeing or hearing that one as much as I used to.
   2. villageidiom Posted: March 24, 2008 at 03:09 PM (#2718690)
You know what's nice? The standard anti-stathead joke of "what's his batting average on Thursdays between the 3rd and 6th innings?" ... I'm not seeing or hearing that one as much as I used to.
You're not seeing people push the answer as useful, either.
   3. Master of the small sample size Posted: March 24, 2008 at 05:42 PM (#2718865)
Well, it'll take time to get the media and the writers to acknowledge the new era of stats, but they're taking steps towards getting back into the 20th century...
   4. Crashburn Alley Posted: March 24, 2008 at 10:29 PM (#2719047)
Loving the comment made by "Steve Smyth" after the article:

there's really no reason to even bother playing 162 games anymore...the last couple of seasons, stats predicted the teams win/lose numbers with startling accuracy...just go directly to the playoffs...which, thankfully still provide anomaly...


Is that the new "What's his batting average on Thursdays between the 3rd and 6th innings?"
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