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'nuff said there.
P.S.: Note how the Presidential election narrative has the same high level of logic.
Delgado fails on both counts.
Is this true? Beltran is good, but the two others who have played the most OF innings are Ryan Church (good defensive rep) and Endy Chavez (excellent defender). Also, Mets LF range factor is .09 higher than league average, in RF it's .12 higher than league average, and CF is .12 higher. From that it doesn't appear Beltran is catching a higher % of balls than the average CF.
What bugs me the most is that they're essentially REWARDING players for getting off to a bad start. If Delgado had been consistantly good all year - rather than terrible at the beginning and great at the end - and finished with the exact same numbers that he ends up with, he probably wouldn't crack the top ten. And he'd finish behind Wright, Reyes, and possibly Beltran on his own team.
This is just asinine, asinine logic...
Kelly ####### Leak. We're talking routine fly balls here. Its makes me laugh sometimes how often Evans/Murphy defer to Beltran on the easiest of chances.
And he'd finish behind Wright
No chance. ~.240 with RISP! they'd scream.
Jimmy Winn, CF. 150 OPS+. Finished FIFTH in the voting.
What you're failing to understand, Hugh, is that Delgado's OPS+ has surged to 127, while Albert's has plummeted to 193.
Looks like he was about equal with Delgado with the bat, but wasn't he a much better fielder?
It'll be amazing if we actually get a worse MVP than Morneau this soon. At least in his case there were only two players on his own team definitely more valuable than him instead of four like Delgado...
Most likely, yes. Andre Dawson in '87 would be fairly close, but at least he was a Gold-Glove right fielder, while Delgado is a bad 1B. Really, Delgado's been barely above average for an NL first baseman this year.
I feel the same way. My life will be longer.
I think the award selection process is stupid, but the question isn't what we think; it's what the players and managers and team executives think. I imagine an MVP would mean a lot to Pujols, and to have Delgado rob him is just unfair. It's like watching someone getting mugged from a distance -- it probably doesn't affect me, I can't really do anything about it, but I still care. (Yeah, terrible analogy, but you get the point.)
Didn't Delgado go 4-40 or something right after Randolph's firing?
putting a team no one thought would contend into contention by being by far the best player in the league
might be a better story than
stinking up the joint for a team that was supposed to contend (but you helpd them flail), before coming around to be real good while the rest of the team got hot also
but you'd be wrong wrong wrong
Seriously, if Delgado is getting this backlash, I can't wait to see what happens if Howard gets his BA over 250, hits 50 bombs, 140 RBI, and the Phillies make the playoffs.
*According to Chris Dial's latest report.
Delgado has a teammate who has a higher OPS than he does, and who has more RBIs and Runs scored. So what this guy really is counting is home runs and that's about it.
The evil force of Randolph, strong it was
Healing time, Delgado needed
Now, that's not MY argument. But one who interprets "valuable" in that manner could make it.
I guess I have faith that not all the writers are that dumb, and I still believe that as of today, Pujols will win the MVP. If the Cards go something like 4-12 in the remaining games, then that might cost Pujols his award. Even then, I really don't think Delgado will finish higher than 5th in the voting (which would be ridiculous given that he shouldn't even finish in the Top 20).
I'd say that, relative to expectations, and taking into account the competition of each division, Pujols' team has far exceeded expectations whereas Delgado's has barely (if it all) met them.
And Pujols' team is still in contention with two weeks to go---with Phils vs. Brewers and StL vs. Pit, the Cardinals could conceivably be 2 or 3 games out of the wild card lead after this weekend.
Pujols for NL MVP is, in my mind, the only hands-down simple, obvious pick of all the awards, and it looks like he's not even in the race. Crazy.
Berkman is right there with Pujols defensively according to ZR so he's been an excellent firstbaseman. He's played in about 15 more games than Albert (which matters to me) and it's not like he's been a slouch offensively with his 170 OPS+ and Berkman does have the advantage in SB.
Pujols would be my pick but I would not say anyone who picked Berkman was making a bad choice.
As it means "cave dweller", it's a great synonym with respect to the mom's-basement cliche.
I hadn't really looked at stats or anything in a while, so I just checked out BB-Ref. This "Delgado for MVP" is just bizarre. He's probably the 4th-best position player on the Mets from the stats (Beltran, Wright, and Reyes - all of whom play more important defensive positions, and don't they all at least have the reputation for being much better defenders than Delgado?), and the three best hitters in the NL, by a fairly wide margin it looks like, are pretty clearly Pujols, Berkman, and Chipper Jones. As others have pointed out, even if you go by the 'how much have they helped their team' argument, the Cardinals and Astros are probably the two biggest overachievers in the NL this season. How is this not a 2-man battle between Pujols and Berkman, with tips of the cap to Chipper, Wright, Reyes, Beltran, and a few other guys on contenders (Utley, Howard?, Fielder, Braun, maybe Soto)? I think Manny Ramirez might have a better MVP case than Delgado (I'd say Delgado's more valuable because he's played all season, but if you give credit for being there all season there are a lot of guys who would seem to beat Delgado out pretty easily. If you're going to make a "getting hot at the right time" argument, I think Manny has a stronger case than Delgado (at least Manny had nothing to do with the Dodgers' early-season struggles)).
Sort of....
Looking at Dial's "Offense + Defense" (through 9/2), even accounting for differences in playing time, he has
Delgado at -1.4 runs (a bit above average 1b offensively, below-average defensively)
(his Met teammates: Beltran 32.1, Reyes 30.2, and Wright 29.2)
Berkman at 54.20 (2nd best in the NL)
And Pujols at 70.10
That said (and maybe I'm missing something, 'cause it differs from what Repoz added): ESPN splits has Albert at 398/491/745 for August and 308/438/846 for September, so his OBP seems to be suffering even tho he's still crushing it when he hits. IIRC his hand or elbow is hurting, right?
Now I'll totally discredit myself to you all: Morneau was not an abysmal choice as MVP. Wrong choice, yes, but not godawful.
(OK, I started to do player-by-player comps, and you can make valid arguments that he deserved it over all the vote leaders-- until you get to Jermaine Dye. Wow, did he get hosed.)
I'm assuming that for Delgado to win it, he's going to have to continue over the next 17 games to do about what he's done for September so far, and the Mets will have to win the NL East. If he does that, by the time the month is done he'll have an OPS+ in the low 130s, and around 40 HRs and 120 RBIs, for a division winner. That is a better season than Andre Dawson had in 1987. I don't care what anyone says about 49 damn home runs -- a .328 OBP just is not an MV-friggin'-P.
That's all I got in Delgado's favor. His wouldn't be the very worst season ever by a slugger who got an MVP. Not much of a defense, I admit.
But even comparing to (a low level of )replacement, and taking into account SBs, Pujols still appears to have a pretty big offensive edge. BPro has Pujols at 81.2 runs above a replacement 1b. Berkman at 63.8 runs above. Chipper at 63.7 runs above a replacement 3b.
He was considered risky in fantasy drafts because of the possibility that he would have to stop playing a few weeks into the season for surgery.
I am usually among those that think East-coast bias is overrated as a force in these discussions, but it seems to be working its magic on this one.
Delgado has seemed pretty good on D this year, and the Met infield has been amazing over the last couple of months, which I generally think the 1B has to be given some credit for.
To my eye, Delgado has very little range, he's slow and has a slow first step, but he is excellent at coming off the bag to save throwing errors and still applying the tag. He's probably a bit below average as a defensive first baseman, but he's not hurting the team there.
I'll take a 130 OPS+ from an OF over the same from a 1B.
Isn't this a little bit of a stretch? My counting may be off, but I see the Cardinals have played 45 games against those 3 teams, which is like 27% of the schedule. Close enough, I guess.
But the Mets have essentially the same record as the Brewers (.001 better in win pct%) and are 3 games ahead of Houston. And the Mets have a better run differential than either of those teams. I'd be pretty surprised if both Houston and Milwaukee end up ahead of the Mets; at this point I think the Mets will likely finish ahead of both of them.
Pujols is still the MVP.
You sure about that? Look at those Dial numbers -- he's been a below-average 1B.
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