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Jayson Stark has pointed out in his chat today that we're probably all overrating Milledge and if Omar could've gotten good value for him, he already would have. I like Brian Schneider as much as the next guy (defensively, anyway) but do any Mets fans actually think this is a favorable deal for them?
Their lineup now is
Barrett/Lo Duca
Johnson/Young
Belliard/Lopez
Guzman/Lopez
Zimmerman
Wily Mo
Milledge
Kearns
Logan/Escobar to back them up, and Maxwell in the wings.
Thats pretty decent. They have a good bullpen, and are drafting bunch of high end starting pitchers. They are not far from being in contention.
They also have Marrero coming up in the system. He looks to be one of the better hitters from that 2006 class.
Church is an X factor. Has power but very brittle. The Nats lose nothing in this trade, they had no place to play Church. And I don't see what the Mets are getting in this trade apart from catcher defence. heck, Blanco could have been had for a song from the Cubs.
Basically, the Mets traded Milledge for Church for a guy who is six years older, needs to be platooned, and is nothing special in the field. Gary Cohen will like him a lot more than Milledge though.
You'd think other teams would offer more if they knew Milledge was available for such a cheap priace.
Trading Milldege for some overrated catcher, and some fourth OF is completely ridiculous. Omar has no clue about anything.
bahahahaha
I thought it was Rick Peterson who claimed he could fix Victor in ten minutes...
EDIT: Nevermind. I thought you were insinuating the quote marks came from Stark.
That's all I'd like to say for now.
Geez; if they needed a freaking catcher I'd've done something like Molina for Milledge or the like. Ryan F. Church? and Brian F. Schneider? Ow.
Ugh. The more I think about this trade, the more unhappy I'm getting.
What's funny is that, because of all the rumors, I had set up a defense mechanism in my own mind that Lastings Milledge was going to get traded before Opening Day, so that it wouldn't bother/hurt me as much when they did move him. Well, that failed.
And for Ryan Church? That just sucks.
It also sucks that, as soon as he was finally going to get a stable chance to play and show everyone what he could do, he gets moved. All that time talking about him, pushing for his playing time and defending him (here and with people I know in real life), and the Mets trade him right before us Met fans (especially all the Mets Primates) get to see him take off.
Much like Kazmir, I wish Milledge the best of luck. I hope he becomes a perennial All-Star. I'll always root for him.
Contemplate how your team could have had Milledge if they were willing to give up your backup C and a 4th OF who would be decent if pressed into everyday duty.
EDIT: As a Yankee fan, I certainly would have done Molina+Melky for Milledge. That's a lot of Ms.
Thats why they are not in contention now.
They do have Hill, Bergmann, Chico. If Patterson can give them some innings, they will have a decent record in 08 too.
npurcell : true. Still a ways away. Am guessing he takes over at 1B.
With Castro/Estrada, there's no need to go get another catcher. Schneider might prove to be better than either of them, but the margin will probably be thin. Church is probably a better player than Milledge is today, but for how long?
The Mets do narrowly improve in 2008. But the Nationals easily got the best player out of the deal.
On the other hand, what the hell?
See you fellow Met fans at Citifield in 09 or when Willie Randolph is fired, whatever comes first.
Boycott 08!
I'm more and more impressed by him. He really pinpoints talented guys that have fallen out of favor with their current organizations for whatever reason. He's become very, very savvy.
Milledge
Kearns
That's quite a lot of disappointment (for various reasons) in one outfield. Nats games are going to be awesome to watch next year though, that's for sure. The thought of having Lastings get to play in center is pretty exciting too.
church is decent, but he's probably not a better hitter than milledge at this point, is 6 years older, and is closer to free agency, plus he has zero chance of being a star.
damn, i knew the sheen had come off of milledge, but i didn't expect he'd fallen *this* far.
I've kind of adopted the Mets as my #2 team over the last few years because I was "done" with the Orioles. So maybe this is all my fault...I should start rooting for the Yankees and see what happens.
I am sick to my stomach.
Schneider: .244/.321/.329 (31)
Church: .271/.348/.473 (29)
Milledge: .270/.355/.449 (23)
The least Omar could have done is get a relief pitcher from the Nats as well.
I feel pretty bad right now.
I sure wish the White Sox had someone like that... their *starting* outfield had OPS+'s of 73, 67, and 105.
Church: .271/.348/.473 (29)
Milledge: .270/.355/.449 (23)
Switching parks is going to change that number. Did Dan run them for RFK?
Minaya/Randolph will be gone by Opening Day '09, I think.
Let's see how the New York media react!
Why not play him then?
Jim Bowden is underrated, or was underrated.
I'm more and more impressed by him. He really pinpoints talented guys that have fallen out of favor with their current organizations for whatever reason. He's become very, very savvy.
I've always got that impression from Bowden, even in Cincinnati. He has other problems as a GM, but he's always seemed to be a guy that could exploit the market pretty well in some respects.
The problem being that Church is going to make Alou look like a paragon of health
Omar is dead to me.
That being said, Omar is not an awful GM (Brian Sabean - that's an example). That leads me to believe a few factors are at play
- Milledge's value really was as down as everyone had been saying (Heyman or someone else noted that the O's and the A's both passed on Milledge).
- The Mets clearly believe that Schneider (still a very good C, if not a hitter) can start 100 games for them next year, and that Church will match Milledge's production in RF (which I find to be a reasonable assumption)
I sure wish the White Sox had someone like that... their *starting* outfield had OPS+'s of 73, 67, and 105
4th OF!!!...IS a bit of an overreaction. However, I think it's just a result of the fact that you can reasonably make a case that Milledge and Church will provide the same immediate value, however, when you take into account tools and all age you realize that Milledge's upside, which is star potential, was traded so the Mets could pay 5 million a year for Brian Schneider. Were I a Met fan, I would be livid.
If Omar is so ####### desperate for a league average OF, go and ####### sign Guillen.
Defensively, he's solid. Hardly anybody runs successfully on him.
Yeah, the offense stinks, but look at the park. And look at how terrible NL catchers are. He's not THAT far below average, and is probably pretty close to league average when you factor in his defense.
Church is what he is... the classic change of scenery guy. He seems like he's reallly laid back like most California players seem to be, which really set some members of the team off. But he played very good defense in the corners and probably an average CF in a pretty tough place to play because of the field dimensions. He's a solid complimentary bat, but, man, you guys are going to howl like the wind when you see him swing at breaking slop on the outside corner. He's the Caucasian Wily Mo.
Agreed. I'm really impressed that they didn't opt for the expensive splash in CF in the form of Jones, Rowand, Hunter, etc (well, at least it's looking that way). So this leaves a lot of money to bolster the pitching staff over the next 2 years (and, to be fair, makes the Dmitri/Belliard extensions look even worse).
Let's see how the New York media react!
They could locker Church next to Shawn Green and film it as a reality show for VH1.
Hello?
Or play Lastings Milledge.
YOU KEEP HIM.
If the problem is that the manager just can't get along with him, you fire the frigging manager.
If the problem is that the GM hasn't got a damn clue how valuable he is, you fire the frigging GM.
Lastings Milledge will be, by far and away, the best player to come out of this trade. He already IS the best player in this trade. The Mets have -- perhaps -- marginally upgraded their catching. I doubt it; I'd have rather gone into 2008 with Castro/Estrada than Schneider/Castro. But let's say it's a marginal catching upgrade.
They will be significantly worse off in RF with Church v. Milledge, and for years to come when Milledge comes back to haunt them playing in the same division.
They also now have no chance to pull off a deal for a starting pitcher of any significance. Obviously, Omar decided that he just didn't have the chips to make that happen, so he pulled the trigger on this abomination.
I can only figure one thing: this was done to appease Willie Randolph, who has shown his disdain for Milledge from Day One. Because it makes no sense whatsoever from a talent perspective. Well, of all the bad things about Randolph, this goes to # 1 on the list without any doubt whatsoever.
Other than the one year when he separated his shoulder while making a catch, he's been pretty healthy. That same year, he did play through a broken pinky toe, but I wouldn't say he's especially injury prone.
Comparing this to Kazmir. Kazmir had just four starts above high-A ball before the trade. He was a great prospect, but TINSTAAP and all that. Milledge was an above average hitter last year as a 22-year-old while dealing with injury issues. This may be a worse deal.
(insert counter-intuitive explanation here)
So keep Milledge, and ####### sign Jose Guillen. ####### sign Yorvit.
I absolutely concur. I was just saying what Jayson said and I wanted to know if anybody else agreed.
Rosenthal says that the Mets offered Johnny Estrada to the Nats in the trade, free of charge, but that the Nats preferred to look elsewhere for a Schneider replacement.
That's a pretty cold fact to let slip to the press.
I'll give ya Dmitri, but Belliard's basically a league-average 2B, and they're getting him for what? $1.5-2 for each of the next two years? That's not terrible.
Hell, with Willie Randolph at the helm, we would have gotten to see Lastings for only about 19 anyway, even if they hadn't traded him. That's how much Randolph hated Milledge and buried him, probably costing the team the division last year . . . . I see little reason to believe he wouldn't have done the same thing in 2008. Tool.
TINSTAAPP. Until those drafted pitchers make it to the show and perform at a high level and stay healthy, the Nationals are far from contending.
Their two best starters in 2007 are likely to be worse in 2008: Shawn Hill, who won 4 games last year, looks decent, though I wouldn't count on him to do as well next year. Tim Redding gave up earned runs at a lower rate than I would have expected in 2007 (though his SO:BB ratio was not good). I suspect he'll soon revert to being Tim Redding.
They had a handful of other young starting pitchers on their '07 roster. None of them was any good, but I suppose most of them have a lot of upside. At this point, they will have to be lucky to win in say 2009, when maybe a couple of their starters will emerge.
I concur, and it seems like there's a fairly obvious reason why.
I'm irritated the A's or Giants couldn't come up with a better package.
As a Mets and A's fan, I'm doubly pissed off.
Did someone else make the Maine and Ollie Perez deals or does Manny Acta know something incriminating about Omar?
Good! I hope he hits a bomb and comes over to high five Willie Randolph, what a ####### pile of ####, go ruin some other organization you ####!
I'm as baffled by this as anyone, but I think there are more plausible explanations for this trade than that it was done to appease Randolph (whose status with the organization after the collapse seems to be less than rock solid). Omar's Montreal connections to Schneider and Castro; a win-now attitude; overvaluing catcher defense; or the organization's (meaning at least ownership's) long-standing and incredibly frustrating inability to distinguish their prospects' real value from market perceptions.
I laughed.
Thanks. If thats true, this trade is actually bit worse. I am guessing Schneider/Castro will be platooned, which will make for decent production in the short term for the Mets.
Chris Needham : Church had some issues with health last year too, right? I remember it being mentioned when a Braves game was on.
But seriously, Church's production is equivalent to Green/Guillen. Schneider is a defensive upgrade on Estrada. Just not worth Milledge, even if he is a bust. Because Milledge could have netted something more valuable in return for the Mets, if he had to be traded.
There really is none. You can make arguments regarding Church being a solid player (he is), but he's 29 years old and not likely going to get better than what he is now. Milledge's downside is Church v. 2007. As Sam pointed out, this deal basically requires the Mets to keep Gomez, which means no Santana, no Bedard, no Haren. And you get to pay $10 million for 700 AB of .680 OPS from Schneider. Say hello to Livan.
It is a terrible, irredeemable, unjustifiable trade.
I laughed.
Me too. I'm shocked it took so long to show up. Also, Omar should have his children and such taken away.
From a non-Mets fan standpoint, this story just gets better and better ...
He missed a few games after being hit in the forearm with a pitch... and missed a few with a quad strain -- the normal kind of day-to-day injuries you'd expect. It certainly doesn't seem like anything chronic. He's not on the Nick Johnson health plan!
That's the thing that puzzles me about all this. Everyone and their mother knew Milledge was available. He is both toolsy and has a good statistical record. You'd think someone should have made a more atractive offer.
From a non-Mets fan standpoint, this story just gets better and better ...
That is effin hilaripus. I almost shot Diet Coke out of my nose. Maybe Omar should have Billy Beane arbitrage his trades afterall.
Well, the Nats just freed up $14 million in salary over the next two years. Maybe they'll swoop in and take even him away from you.
(I'll be charitable and not mention a certain catcher the Nats still hold the rights to)
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