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I don't even have the heart to defend Milledge against his critics at this point. Looking at his stats just makes me sad.
In my opinion, this trade is a fireable offense. It has exposed Minaya as the clueless dolt that many said he was. He has lucked into a few nice deals, but nobody with a modicum of baseball IQ makes this move. I can never defend him again.
There's been a bunch of reports that other teams didn't see him as a MLB CFer defensively, and FWIW, the NY Times article on the trade mentions that the Mets didn't see him as one, either (not that the Mets had a spot for him there, of course)
We'll find out one way or another. Worse case, Kearns slides over to center and Milledge slots in right.
[snip] . . .
I'm not justifying the trade, but I honestly always thought Milledge was overrated.
You might be right, except for one thing.
I've been following the Mets for some 40 years.
I have lost track of all the good and really good players they have traded away for next to nothing.
It really does not matter what anyone here might have thought about Milledge, the mere fact that they traded him guarantees that his downside is Amos Otis/Ken Singleton, and that Ryan Church will either turn into Joe Foy or be out of the league with an injury within 2 years.
As someone once said, Life isn't one damn thing after another, it's the same damn thing over and over.
This ends badly. Count on it.
I think this has a good chance of ending badly, but I don't buy into this "woe is me" kind of argument. This will end badly (or not) on it's own merits with nothing to do with past Mets mistakes.
Or something like that. I'm somewhat intoxicated and possibly writing gibberish.
Or perhaps not....
It's past your bedtime. Go brush your teeth.
It's an offseason, for sure. But it's not a sign of spring. It's a sign of a long, cold lonely winter. Sigh.
I don't buy into this "woe is me" kind of argument. This will end badly (or not) on it's own merits with nothing to do with past Mets mistakes.
Ah, a man who doesn't believe in destiny and fate. We shall see.
Girl I'm in love with is moving away.
Cold and lonely winter, indeed.
In 2006, among players with 250+ ab, Milledge ranked 4th in OPS+ in the IL
the three players ahead of him were ages 27, 26 and 24 (he was 21)
and was younger than EVERY single one above him- the only one close in age was Ryan Zimmerman whose .326/.371/.528 line really beat the snot out of Milledge's .337/.392/.487 line :-)
Milledge's career minor league line is .306/.380/.480- that was compiled in poor offensive environments and when he was young for each league.
IF he'd been drafted by AZ and came up in that system, and was held back a year so he played in AA at 21 and AAA at 22 his line would probably look like .345/.420/590 or something and he would not have been traded for Church/Schneider and/or the equivalent...
He's literally outplayed Levski's beloved Chris Young at every single age and every level, but you have to adjust for their league and park contexts to realize it.
I don't like his injury record and he could certainly go Snelling, but if not Bowden made a great move.
Funny, because that's the main reason this trade is upsetting to me -- it makes me feel stupid for rooting for this team and for In Omar We Trust. This really doesn't make the team any worse for next year (though there's an opportunity cost in that we could have traded Milledge for somebody better) and it's barely a problem going forward -- we have other outfield prospects and corner outfielders are supposedly easy to find. So yeah, BFD on the runs we just lost. I just feel so embarrassed and ashamed.
And I think you're being too hard on Omar, even though this was dumb. The Mets fan in 06 probably felt a lot like the Red Sox fan in 04. We have a new GM and everything he touches turns to gold. Well two years later Boy Wonder Theo had a bad run and all of a sudden he didn't look like such a genius anymore. He and his gang righted the ship and were back in it in 2007 though. I expect the same from Omar, as bleak as it looks right now.
The fact that Milledge was traded mere days after this joke, makes this joke the funniest joke in the history of BTF.
I don't buy this, because I am not nearly as confident about the "other outfield prospects" in the system. I like Gomez and Martinez, and think they are high-ceiling guys, but I have yet to see them prove anything close to as much to me as Milledge did. My confidence level in Milledge is pretty damned high; I think he would have contributed more to the '08 Mets than Church will, and will be an outstanding major league outfielder going forward. Gomez and F-Mart? All flash, and the substance may follow. Or it may not, especially at the plate.
Put it this way: there is no other prospect in the Mets' system -- not one, pitcher or position player -- in whom I had the genuine confidence I had in Milledge. I hope for improvement from Pelfrey; I think Humber can be solid. I think the ceilings for Gomez and F-Mart are very, very high. But Milledge was the one I honestly believed was most rock-solid likely to actually contribute at a star-player level. And he's the one they tossed away. I think that's a big loss, and you can't turn to the likelihood of Gomez and F-Mart filling the gap to say it'll be OK.
The fact that Milledge was traded mere days after this joke, makes this joke the funniest joke in the history of BTF.
As the person who said it . . . somehow it seems considerably less funny to me. :-(
If it was just Church for Milledge straight up, I might agree with you. But Omar committed to a catcher who hits marginally better than a pitcher, assuring us a ton of wasted outs, and also assuring us that Castro will be buried if only so Omar can make the Milledge deal look good.
I can understand that, and I could have articulated it, but I don't feel that way. The balance of reason certainly favors this point of view, but you spend so much emotion and energy identifying with a team, wanting it to succeed, getting invested in the narrative, thinking about the future, debating with people on this site, and then ... this. This is worse than anything Steve Phillips ever did. He was short-sighted. The accumulation of his moves crippled the franchise within a few years. But he never just got outright hosed like this.
This is true.
First of all, they don't have the other half of that platoon. Let's see who they have to give up to acquire the guy who can actually hit LHPs . . . .
Second, and more fundamentally, I don't think they'll be better for exactly the reason that I don't believe Ryan Church will give them more -- even in a platoon role -- than Milledge would have. Milledge is going to be a stud, and Omar should not have sold low. If this truly was Milledge's trade value right now, he should have held tight, told Randolph to cut the crap and make the relationship work, and just stuck the kid in RF and sat back. He wouldn't have regretted it.
EDIT: But yes -- it's likely that Church (in a platoon) would give them more than they got from Shawn Green as the primary RFer last year. Is that supposed to make me feel better? Somehow, it doesn't . . . .
It gives me no joy to see stalwarts like Sam M. and Russlan (as well as the rest of the BTF Mets contingent) flagellating themselves today, even as a Nats fan. (It's one thing to rub Jesus Flores and Manny Acta in...but this is something else entirely. Like the difference between making fun of a guy when he trips down the stairs vs. when he trips in front of a speeding bus.) If it's any consolation, as someone who has watched every game Ryan Church has played for three years now, you're getting someone who will at least put up solid numbers for you next year. I've always liked Church - he was quite accessible to fans, both in person and online - and he got a hell of a raw deal both from the FO (which refused to give him a regular starting position when he'd long since earned it) and the local media as well. The whole "Jewish" controversy is little more than a sensationalized twisting of Church's naive musings on Christian theology. All he said was, basically, "Gee, it's a bummer that according to my religion, Jews don't go to heaven. I really like them, heck even my girlfriend is Jewish!" Anyone who can twist that into "Ryan Church is an anti-semite" has an agenda.
Still, he is 29 years old. As everyone has already said a thousand times, he'll probably be better than Milledge next year, but the trajectories are going in opposite directions after that. And while Schneider is a great clubhouse guy, an excellent pitch-caller, and still a plus defensive arm, he's worth less than a bucket of spit offensively.
Oh and incidentally, as I look around the baseball blogosphere I still see a number of people scratching their heads and saying, "but...but I thought Jim Bowden was supposed to be like the worst GM in the league!" It's even turned up a couple of times on this thread, at least by implication. I only say this because I think you can make an argument that over his last two years with the Nats his moves (given the resources available to him) actually rate among the best. I think Bowden capitalizes on people chronically underestimating him...Tipsy McLeatherpants may seem like a vulgar boob, but his record says otherwise.
Ryan Church is a good player. He's a good defensive, okay offensive corner outfielder who can certainly start on a contending team. He might be as good as Lastings next year. Guys like him aren't available for free. But here's the thing. The Mets didn't need a corner outfielder when the trade was made. That means the target in this trade was a catch and throw guy making 5 million dollars a year. That's not a guy you give up Lastings Milledge for. That's a guy you get for free because you agree to take on his salary. Just ridiculous.
Yeah, I can see that. But I'm sure somewhere in your heart you can appreciate how your joke has given us all glimmer into the recess of Minaya's soul that would have otherwise remained dark. It's these little things that transform wit into art. I smile everytime I think about it.
Isn't he a pretty religious guy?
You're thinking of his cousin, Ryan Blackmass.
A nice thing to say, but this franchise is doomed.
Willie's not going to platoon. Church will play until a more established veteran comes along.
Gomez and F-Mart?
I consider it unlikely that the Mets will hold on to both of them. These prospects burn a hole in their pocket..
I was hoping to see if Milledge could supplant Jay Payton as the best OF to come out of the Mets organization since Len Dykstra.
Well, technically, didn't Kevin Mitchell (first real experience: 1986) come out of the Mets' organization after Dykstra (1985)? Either way, Milledge will be the best OFer to come out of the system since those two, unless and until Gomez or F-Mart supplants him. You'll just have to see him a few hundred miles down I-95, that's all.
I consider it unlikely that the Mets will hold on to both of them. These prospects burn a hole in their pocket.
They have absolutely no patience at all. I predict neither of them -- NEITHER OF THEM -- plays more than 100 games in the major leagues for the Mets, unless it is spaced over 2-3 years filling in when veterans get injured, before they are each traded.
the three players ahead of him were ages 27, 26 and 24 (he was 21)
This is not true. Here is the link to the IL Leaderboard for 2006. Milledge had a .828 OPS that year. Using your arbitrary cutoff of 250 at bats, there were 15 players that ranked ahead of him. All of the hitters above him are older than him though.
In 2005 in the FSL, Milledge ranked 32nd in OPS, and later that year, ranked 15th in OPS in the EL
and was younger than EVERY single one above him- the only one close in age was Ryan Zimmerman whose .326/.371/.528 line really beat the snot out of Milledge's .337/.392/.487 line :-)
Now you've gone and done it. Dustin Pedroia was only 21, and blew Milledge away by 38 OPS points. The wrath of the nation will come down upon you.
He's literally outplayed Levski's beloved Chris Young at every single age and every level, but you have to adjust for their league and park contexts to realize it.
You are the second person that has brought up Chris Young in such a way as to make it some sort of "come back" This conversation is about Lastings Milledge, and whether or not he is overrated. Try to stay focused, will ya? I may be totally wrong about Milledge, I am open to that possibility. Nobody here has a crystal ball. Some opinions are more informed than others, and I may not have the most informed opinion. Thats fine. I do the best I can.
About the only credentials I have, (and I admit it's not much) is that in 20 years of playing roto, I've only finished out of the money 3 times. And one of those was 1994.
And the first hints that Gomez will follow Milledge out the door are already in. In this Newsday article on the Milledge deal, get this little nugget:
Lastings is gone. Gomez is next. F-Mart, don't get too comfy. We don't grow prospects to play 'em in this organization. Not any more.
As has been said, the only explanation is a completely myopic focus on holes, and ignoring the cost. It's impossible to justify. Even if Milledge walks in front of a bus tomorrow, the salaries alone of Church + Schneider are barely less then their worth. Just horrible.
The image that popped in my head is the fresh graves of Minaya and Randolph.
C - Schneider (31)/Castro (32)
1B - Delgado (35)
2B - Castillo (32)
SS - Reyes (25)
3B - Wright (25)
LF - Alou (40, July 3rd is his birthday)/Chavez (30)
CF - Beltran (31)
RF - Church (29)
They've gotten younger behind the plate compared to 2007, and in RF, but not by as much as if Milledge had been given the job.
I HATE TRADES.
I guess that means Jose Reyes is next...
oh no doubt ..
and to think, the winter meetings begin .. when?
If they trade Reyes, I'm really going to have to consider abandoning them. That would be about 7 straight favorite Mets given away. Ron Hunt, Agee, Seaver, Strawberry,....
Ah...my bad....didn't see the +
I don't know where to find the OPS+ for that league....the BbRef page I linked doesn't have it. I guess he calculated it himself.
thanks Dave, and sorry for the mis read JP. Does this mean I won't get invited to the induction ceremony in 2031? :(
Great. First Heyman is stealing my thunder, now Trachsel is pilfering my shtick. The Dbacks offered Livan arbitration today, he's a type B free agent so he won't cost his new team a draft pick. Incidentally, he might be the second or third best free agent starter right now.
Most enjoyable traffic jam at the Holland Tunnel in my entire life...
Should I be honored that I am considered a stalwart? Or ashamed that I spend enough time here to be considered a stalwart?
I just hope Met fans aren't too upset. I like most of you guys and don't want you to be upset and I honestly wouldn't follow the team as much if it weren't for you guys. At the end of the day, the Mets are just a baseball team that keeps us distracted from real life. They are a lot more enjoyable a distraction when they are good so this trade sucks. But I hope the Mets are never the best thing going in your lives.
Your post made me laugh as well. Shoewizard called me while I was driving back home and said "Where the hell are you, people on primer are worried something really bad happened to you..."
Just mind boggling. Has Omar not heard of market research? Did he not wonder how all of the Jewish fans of the Mets would react to this? This is probably 1000 times worse than anything Milledge has ever done.
I've got a lot of reading to do, I see.
And what was September the 14th?
A FRIDAY!
Because he and Willie cannot be trusted with the futures of Gomez, F-Mart, or anyone else. Might as well get the best pitcher in baseball, if such a deal is even possible anymore.
Bowden's known for leaving one-sided messages in the wee hours.
Or to put it another way, Bowden made a prank call. Omar took him up on it.
Agreed. Or, perhaps Omar's job security is pretty damn thin. And as has been pointed out in this thread, this trade probably marginally improves the Mets for 2008. Why would Omar care about beyond that if his job could potentially depend on making the postseason this season? Additionally, whereas I think Lastings Milledge is going to be a good player, I don't think we're talking about a spectacular talent here. His power is less than impressive, he's probably not going to be a plus defender, and I tend to put a little bit of credence into the whole "if this is what he settled for, perhaps Milledge's value sucks".
Basically, I think it was a perfect storm of factors that lead to this trade, set in motion by The Collapse. That's why this trade isn't in the same league was Kazmir for me... not that it isn't its own brand of stupid but Kazmir was out of the blue. For quite awhile now, I never could imagine Milledge playing a serious role on the Mets. Sucks that they didn't get anything particularly interesting for him, but oh well. This move was inevitable from the moment that the Mets allowed their own announcing crews to racially slander Milledge. In fact, I recall someone in the chatter speculating that Cohen was ordered to bash Lastings so that Omar could trade him for pennies in the offseason... of course, that doesn't really make a lot of sense, but the lack of support that Milledge had in the organization was disgusting and the fact that I can't honestly say that this trade wasn't substantially motivated by projecting stereotypical racial story arcs onto Milledge is far more disturbing than a lack of a decent return.
Not to be an Omar apologist, but even after considering that, but I don't really expect a trade of this nature to occur again anytime soon. Minaya's done enough to have proven himself competent to me and I really think the Milledge situation was unique and possibly more fragmented than we know.
That said, I'm not gonna allow this trade to stand. Ryan Church should find himself coming down with crippling arthritis any second now... and Blowduca too, just for the ####### hell of it, because you know that little ########### diaperbanging ####### had SOMETHING to do with this.
Perceived at the time of the signing, yes. But it hasn't turned out that way, has it? Miggy jogs to first on ground balls and makes feeble attempts to snare ground balls, begs off stretching with the rest of the team. Mora ignores signs with impunity and incurs the wrath of teammates (see Payton, Jay) for boneheaded plays. Gibbons juices. Huff spanks pornstars on the air. Highly regarded prospects show up late for ST starts. Your ace starter disappears after starts, refuses to speak to reporters, acts like a jerk when he does, and refuses to pitch until he's 110% healthy. Add to that, the beat reporters write frequently of a fractured clubhouse, one where a large Latino faction is highly distrustful of management -- which lead to or was a large contributor to Perlozzo's demise as they undermined him constantly.
Yes, the roster construction has been horrible. But I don't see how you discount completely the malaise that has hovered around this franchise like a swarm of flies on a pile of...well worn baseballs.
Jason Grimsley. David Segui. Sammy Sosa. Rafael Palmeiro. Jerry Hairston, Jr. Gary Mathews, Jr. And several media outlets reported that the redacted names in the Grimsley report include Miggy and Brian Roberts, in addition to the aforementioned Gibbons. Kris Benson, although his only crime was marrying a stripper.
In a platoon role. He has over an .800 OPS against RHP for his career (.833), significantly under against LHP (.723). That .800 OPS "in a pitcher's park" translated into a 114 OPS+ in 2007, and if you try to play him truly full-time (against all the LHPs), that's going to go down, not up.
If a 110 or so OPS+ is "easily a starter" in your book for a right fielder, so be it. I sure as hell don't trade Lastings Milledge for it, and I think it's a marginal player at best, even if he is a strong defensive player and a hell of a guy.
Because there's less of a media machine ready to devour the deal over the weekend, and it's old news by Monday? Just a guess. I can only imagine the three days of #### that would go down in the NY media if this trade happened on a Tuesday and there was nothing else to talk about sports-wise.
BPro translated Milledge's AAA line in 2006 to an EQA of 299.
He's got a pretty good swing for Shea.
I don't know if you read #496, but this is really funny.
I still think its the biggest pile of #### trade I've seen since Kazmir and Willie Randolph is officially dead to me now, he was nailing the casket shut everytime he trotted Mota out there during The Collapse, but now he is officially buried.
I'm trying to temper myself by realizing I love players of Milledge's ilk, because I like to play sports much the sameway, just without the abundance of talent. Driven by emotion and having fun with it.
All I ask is that the country I live in and the baseball team I have loved for 25 years be run by somebody competent. I would even settle for 1 out of 2.
Damn, I need a trip to Vegas.
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