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I've been wrong about pretty much everything this year.
They suck.
Today's game caused Webb's ERA to gain .23 runs, and his ERA+ to drop 11 points. Yikes.
Before the game Haren had the lower ERA, the better ERA+ and a significantly better xFIPS. Not only has he been the better pitcher this year, but given that it was a home game, it was reasonable to think it was a "golden opportunity" for the Diamondbacks.
Thank you for playing. Come again.
Meanwhile, coming into the game, over his previous 7 starts, Haren had allowed 61 hits in 47 innings and had an ERA of 4.56
Don't shout sample size at me VA. When it comes to pitchers, recent trend matters in trying to figure out the outcomes of an upcoming game.
D backs are only going as far as Webb and Haren can take them, and right now that appears not much further.
I think he sulked the first four weeks - he was sent to the bullpen, despite deserving a starting spot, then got moved to start after adjusting to one inning work, and had trouble adjusting to the longer appearances for a few starts. Once he turned the corner, he's been very good overall, with the rare lapse.
You are mistaken, Billingsley was never sent to the bullpen. His April 2nd start was rain delayed, and so Billingsley was pulled as a precaution, but then Torre used him in relief that game. He followed up by using him in relief again 2 days later. Torre's kind of dumb sometimes. I have the feeling that these relief appearances did more harm than good, and likely contributed to his suckiness for the month of April.
I am a huge Billingsley supporter, maybe not kevin loves Pedroia level, but Billingsley is my pick for the best young non-Lincecum pitcher in the game. I am kind of surprised he hasn't gotten more attention given his pitching for the Dodgers. Hell, he's only 23, he strikes out a guy per inning, and he's gotten better every year, what's not to love.
Haren's BABIP his last 6 starts is .426.
BWebb's BABIP his last 3 starts is .354.
I guess it's that right fielder who's poor range let in an extra 15 hits Haren's last 6 starts.
That's because they've been throwing garbage out there
You don't have BABIP that high unless you ##### suck
The Giants are only 10 games back despite being 20 games under. If Zito can string together five good September outings...
There are only two reasons BABIP is that high, bad luck, or injury/dead arm, or a mixture of both. If it was entirely injury/dead arm, i.e. their stuff is so weak it can't get MLB hitters out right now, it should be a very obvious injury to the pitcher and coaching staff. So far BoMel says they are both healthy and all evidence is their velocity is still good. And Brandon had a similar bad stretch in June and bounced back to be awesome again.
Occams razor says bad luck.
Your sarcasm is crunchy and scrumptious. My response: what the other guys said.
(Why fight my own battles when others will fight them for me?)
...by the way, when the matter of which pitcher is better has been shown to be so debatable, as it has in this thread, doesn't that prove, in itself, that the game wasn't a gimme at all?
Nice strawman. No one ever said it was a gimme, just that it was a "golden opportunity". A gimme implies a win probability in excess of 90%, a golden opportunity just in excess of 50%. And since no one addressed all my points, haren + home field advantage should be > 50% against anyone. And I correctly rebutted your claims about Billingsly's ERA being better.
I win! I win! Where is my crown? Who will carry the new king on their shoulders in my triumph? Oh, I forgot. I'm just a nerd sitting in front of a computer with only my adoring cat to witness my greatest triumphs.
And skipping Petit as poorly as the "studs" have pitched is begging for a disaster. If Webb/Haren don't revert to form immediately, the Dodgers are going to steam-roll. They have the easier schedule, the better offense, and the better bullpen. I'd pitch Petit and Scherzer back to back just to give Webb/Haren extra days off and pray they return refreshed.
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